183  
WTPZ32 KNHC 170232  
TCPEP2  
 
BULLETIN  
REMNANTS OF TARA ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP222018  
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 16 2018  
   
..TARA DISSIPATES NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO
 
 
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF  
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...  
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION  
-----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...20.0N 105.5W  
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES  
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE REMNANTS OF TARA WERE LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING  
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).  
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
RAINFALL: THE REMNANTS OF TARA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL  
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND  
WESTERN JALISCO, THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL  
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE  
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN  
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE  
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  
 

 
FORECASTER ZELINSKY  
 
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