616  
WTPZ32 KNHC 120232  
TCPEP2  
 
BULLETIN  
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172025  
800 PM MST SAT OCT 11 2025  
 
...RAYMOND BECOMES A REMNANT LOW AND THIS IS THE LAST NHC  
ADVISORY...  
...REMNANT MOISTURE TO BRING A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING TO  
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES FOR ANOTHER  
FEW DAYS...  
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...22.9N 110.0W  
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES  
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.  
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE  
RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST.  
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  
9 MPH (15 KM/H). A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION AT A  
FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL DISSIPATION ON SUNDAY. ON  
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE REMNANTS OF RAYMOND WILL MOVE OVER BAJA  
CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE ON SUNDAY.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).  
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
RAINFALL: ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED  
ACROSS MUCH OF SONORA, NORTHWESTERN SINALOA, AND NORTHERN CHIHUAHUA  
THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS RAINFALL WILL BRING A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING,  
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2  
INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL SINALOA, PORTIONS OF BAJA  
CALIFORNIA SUR, AND ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF BAJA  
CALIFORNIA. MOISTURE FROM RAYMOND WILL ALSO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR  
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. SUNDAY  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING  
ASSOCIATED WITH RAYMOND, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT  
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF  
 
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE  
COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR  
THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS  
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT  
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.  
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE  
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW  
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND  
ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP  
 
 

 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
 
 
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