405  
WTPZ41 KNHC 212038  
TCDEP1  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 26  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062022  
200 PM PDT THU JUL 21 2022  
 
ESTELLE HAS NOT PRODUCED A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION  
FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM NO LONGER  
QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY.  
THE REMNANT LOW OF ESTELLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN  
AND DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH BY THIS WEEKEND. THIS IS CONSISTENT  
WITH THE FORECASTS FROM GLOBAL MODELS.  
 
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS A  
LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST. THE UPDATED  
PREDICTION REFLECTS THIS SLIGHT SOUTHWARD SHIFT. THE POST-TROPICAL  
CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE WESTWARD OR A LITTLE NORTH OF WESTWARD IN THE  
LOW-LEVEL WINDS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS  
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS  
HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT  
OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 21/2100Z 22.3N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL  
12H 22/0600Z 22.6N 127.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 22/1800Z 22.9N 129.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 23/0600Z 23.1N 130.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 23/1800Z 23.3N 132.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
60H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI  
 
 
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