939  
WTPZ42 KNHC 100239  
TCDEP2  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 23  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022  
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 09 2022  
 
KAY HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION JUST ABOUT ALL DAY (ABOUT THE  
PAST 15 HOURS), AND IT NO LONGER MEETS THE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION  
CRITERIA NEEDED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE, KAY IS NOW  
CONSIDERED A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE, AND SINCE ALL COASTAL TROPICAL  
STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON  
THIS SYSTEM. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT.  
 
THE LOW HAS NOW TURNED TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST, AND A TURN TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AND THEN THE SOUTH IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND  
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS WHILE MOVING WITHIN THE  
LOW-LEVEL FLOW.  
 
EVEN THOUGH KAY IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE, THIS SYSTEM IS  
STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN BAJA  
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. IN ADDITION, STRONG WINDS NOT  
DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH KAY'S CORE WIND FIELD ARE STILL OCCURRING  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN  
ARIZONA. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE WIND HAZARD, SEE PRODUCTS  
FROM YOUR LOCAL NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 10/0300Z 31.3N 118.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL  
12H 10/1200Z 31.4N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 11/0000Z 31.4N 120.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 11/1200Z 31.2N 121.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 12/0000Z 30.5N 122.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
60H 12/1200Z 29.6N 121.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
72H 13/0000Z 29.0N 121.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
96H 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
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