093  
WTPZ42 KNHC 201436  
TCDEP2  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 26  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022  
900 AM MDT MON JUN 20 2022  
 
GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT BLAS HAS BEEN UNABLE  
TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER FOR ALMOST 24  
H. ALTHOUGH A COUPLE OF SPORADIC BURSTS OF CONVECTION HAVE OCCURRED  
TO ITS NORTH THIS MORNING, THIS IS NOT DEEMED ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN ITS  
STATUS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. SINCE THE SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED INTO  
A REMNANT LOW, THIS WILL BE THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY ON BLAS. THE  
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF DVORAK CURRENT  
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB.  
 
THE REMNANT LOW IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 275/4 KT, AND IT IS FORECAST  
TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL BRING THE SYSTEM OVER COOLER WATERS  
AND INTO A DRIER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING DEEP-LAYER  
SOUTHERLY SHEAR. THEREFORE, THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY  
WEAKEN AND OPEN INTO A TROUGH BY WEDNESDAY.  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS  
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS  
HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT  
OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 20/1500Z 19.2N 113.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL  
12H 21/0000Z 19.3N 114.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 21/1200Z 19.6N 115.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 22/0000Z 19.8N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 22/1200Z 19.8N 116.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
60H 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
 
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