906
WTPZ43 KNHC 282031
TCDEP3
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 49
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022
200 PM PDT TUE JUN 28 2022
ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH CELIA CEASED ENTIRELY
EARLIER TODAY AND THE CYCLONE IS NOW A REMNANT LOW. THEREFORE, THIS
IS THE LAST ADVISORY. A PARTIAL ASCAT PASS NEAR 1800 UTC INDICATED
WINDS OF 25-30 KT, SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT. CELIA
SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT SPINS DOWN OVER COLD WATER DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE INDICATES IT
WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE THURSDAY OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE CYCLONE IS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 9 KT, AND SHOULD CONTINUE ON THAT
GENERAL HEADING AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED UNTIL IT
DISSIPATES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/2100Z 22.6N 121.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 29/0600Z 23.3N 122.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 29/1800Z 24.0N 124.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/0600Z 24.5N 125.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/1800Z 24.8N 126.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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