815  
WTPZ43 KNHC 102034  
TCDEP3  
 
REMNANTS OF JULIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182022  
400 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2022  
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE  
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF JULIA HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH OF LOW  
PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA TO EXTREME  
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THUS IT IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE, AND  
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY. THE WIND SPEED IS SET TO 25 KT  
BASED ON EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE FRINGE OF THE  
SYSTEM. THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THE REMNANTS OF JULIA IS HEAVY  
RAINFALL, WHICH IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL  
AMERICA TODAY AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TOMORROW.  
 
THE REMNANTS OF JULIA COULD ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A NEW TROPICAL  
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER THIS WEEK, SO  
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.  
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
1. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF  
TEHUANTEPEC IN MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY. ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA, THE  
FLASH FLOODING RISK IS DECREASING, BUT SOME AREAS OF ADDITIONAL  
FLOODING REMAIN POSSIBLE.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 10/2100Z 15.0N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF  
12H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
 
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