815
WTPZ43 KNHC 102034
TCDEP3
REMNANTS OF JULIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182022
400 PM CDT MON OCT 10 2022
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF JULIA HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA TO EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THUS IT IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE, AND
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY. THE WIND SPEED IS SET TO 25 KT
BASED ON EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA ON THE FRINGE OF THE
SYSTEM. THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THE REMNANTS OF JULIA IS HEAVY
RAINFALL, WHICH IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA TODAY AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TOMORROW.
THE REMNANTS OF JULIA COULD ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A NEW TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OFFSHORE OF SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER THIS WEEK, SO
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF
TEHUANTEPEC IN MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY. ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA, THE
FLASH FLOODING RISK IS DECREASING, BUT SOME AREAS OF ADDITIONAL
FLOODING REMAIN POSSIBLE.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 10/2100Z 15.0N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF
12H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BLAKE
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