690  
WTPZ45 KNHC 252043  
TCDEP5  
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE NEWTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 17  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152022  
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 25 2022  
 
SATELLITE IMAGES DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS INDICATE THAT NEWTON HAS  
NOT PRODUCED MUCH CONVECTION, AND A BRIEF BURST OVERNIGHT WAS TOO  
EPHEMERAL TO QUALIFY AS ORGANIZED ENOUGH FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  
THUS, THIS SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED TO A REMNANT LOW, AND THIS IS THE  
LAST NHC ADVISORY. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS SET TO 25 KT, ASSUMING  
SOME SPIN DOWN OF THE VORTEX SINCE THIS MORNING. THE REMNANT LOW  
SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE FEW DAYS BEFORE OPENING  
UP INTO A TROUGH. AT THE SAME TIME, THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY  
WEAKEN. THIS SOLUTION IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND  
THE CONSENSUS AIDS.  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS  
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS  
HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT  
OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
 
INIT 25/2100Z 18.4N 117.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
12H 26/0600Z 17.6N 118.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
24H 26/1800Z 16.4N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
36H 27/0600Z 15.1N 120.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
48H 27/1800Z 14.3N 121.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
60H 28/0600Z 13.0N 123.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
72H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
 
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