533
BMBB91 PAER 281300
STQAER
A SPOT FORECAST REQUEST FOR PROJECT "SRD RX" HAS BEEN MODIFIED
REQUEST TYPE: IMMEDIATE
REQUEST ACTION: MODIFIED
DATE: 10/28/25
TIME: 1000
DELIVER DATE: 10/28/25
DELIVER TIME: 0600
SUBMIT DATE: 10/28/25
SUBMIT TIME: 0500
PROJECT NAME: SRD RX
PROJECT TYPE: PRESCRIBED
REQUEST REASON: IAMS
REQUESTING AGENCY: USFS
REQUESTING OFFICIAL: NATHAN BASFORD
EMERGENCY PHONE: 4062912450
EMAIL: NATHAN.BASFORD@USDA.GOV
STATE: AK
DLAT: 60.5078
DLON: 149.6906
CLON: -149.6906
FAX:
OUTLOOK FORECAST: NO
START TIME FORECAST: NO
EXPOSURE: E
FUEL TYPE: TIMBER
SHELTERING: PARTIAL
BOTTOM ELEVATION: 781
TOP ELEVATION: 781
SIZE (ACRES): 5
REQUESTING HYSPLIT: NO
FORMAT: C
INTERVAL: 1,1,1,1
WEATHER CONDITION AT INCIDENT OR NEARBY STATIONS
..REMARKS
PLEASE INCLUDE VENT FACTOR USING M/S UNITS LIKE YOU DID IN THE 7:24
AM FORECAST (SEE BELOW)
FNAK71 PAFC 271456
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUGACH HAND PILE BURNING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
656 AM AKDT MON OCT 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON OCTOBER 27.
DISCUSSION
TODAY,NORTHERLY WINDS WITH ISOLATED FLURRIES POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING. LIGHT WINDS, OF VARYING DIRECTION, WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TOMORROW WITH THE CONTINUED LIKELIHOOD OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
AS ROUNDS OF SHORTWAVES MOVE OVER THE AREA. A STRONGER SYSTEM
MOVES TOWARD THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN ITS EXACT
LOCATION IS LOW, IT WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE AREA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 5
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........72 72 58 58 58 52 52 52 57 57
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SW SW SW SW SW SW
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............31 31 31 32 34 36 36 37 38 36
RH..............84 84 84 81 78 75 74 72 70 72
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
VENT (M^2/S)...335 361 550 547
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 12 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........72 78 78 78 78 78 78 72 72 72 70 70
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW RW RW RW RS RS
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 50 50 20 20
TEMP............32 32 32 32 32 34 36 38 39 39 40 39
RH..............75 76 78 80 81 78 75 72 69 66 62 66
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 9 9 9 13 13 13 10 10
VENT (M^2/S)...503 619 795 1991 1847
FORECASTER...PIETRYCHA
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BASFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524148.1/AER
.DELDT 10/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATHAN.BASFORD@USDA.GOV
..WEATHER PARAMETERS REQUESTED
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE: 0,0,0,0
MIXING HEIGHT: 1,1,1,1
HUMIDITY: 1,1,1,1
WIND (20 FT): 1,1,1,1
TEMPERATURE: 1,1,1,1
SKY/WEATHER: 1,1,1,1
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION: 1,1,1,1
CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN: 1,1,1,1
PRECIPITATION AMOUNT: 1,1,1,1
TRANSPORT WINDS: 1,1,1,1
SNOWFALL AMOUNT: 1,1,1,1
SITE: AER
OFILE: 2524559.0
TIMEZONE: AKST9AKDT
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