055
FNAK71 PAFC 140547
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAZY LAZY RACE MOUNTAIN SAFETY TEAM...ALASKA MOUNTAIN RESCUE GROUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
947 PM AKDT FRI MAR 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON MARCH 14.
DISCUSSION
THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS FOR LAZY MOUNTAIN OVER THE WEEKEND
CONSIST OF COLD WEATHER, LIGHT SNOW, AND POSSIBLE HIGHER-ELEVATION
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY RANGING FROM 5
TO 12 DEGREES ON SATURDAY.
AS FAR AS SNOW IS CONCERNED, THE MOUNTAIN WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF
SNOW POTENTIAL TOMORROW, WITH HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW FARTHER
EAST. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD FOR SNOW WOULD OCCUR AFTER NOON AND
BEFORE 10PM. SHOULD SNOW FALL, AMOUNTS OF A DUSTING TO ABOUT AN
INCH MAY ACCUMULATE.
CLOUDS WILL LOWER THROUGH THE DAY, POSSIBLY OBSCURING THE TOP OF
LAZY MOUNTAIN BY MID-AFTERNOON. SIMILARLY TO SNOW, THIS IS A
RELATIVELY HIGH-UNCERTAINTY FORECAST GIVEN THE MOUNTAIN WILL LIE
RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF THE HIGHER MOISTURE AIR.
ANY SNOW WILL END OVERNIGHT SATURDAY BUT LOW-ISH CLOUDS OBSCURING
THE TOP OF THE MOUNTAIN MAY LINGER IN SUNDAY MORNING. EVENTUALLY,
COLDER DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN AND BREAK UP ANY CLOUD COVER.
WINDS WILL GO FROM LIGHT/VARIABLE ON SATURDAY TO NORTHEASTERLY AT
5 TO 15 MPH ON SUNDAY.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
LATE IN THE MORNING. SNOW LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 12.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND CHILL..........-3 TO 5
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.5 INCHES.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 12.
WIND CHILL..........-5 TO 0
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN BRYAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2605525.0/AER
.DELDT 03/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHAIRMAN@AMRG.ORG
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