241
FNAK71 PAFC 151538
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR SRD RX.../USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
638 AM AKST THU JAN 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 AKST ON JANUARY 15.
DISCUSSION
SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING TRANSITIONING TO FREEZING
RAIN/SNOW/RAIN AND THEN TO ALL RAIN BY THIS AFTERNOON AS A FRONT
AND WARM AIR MOVES OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA. WINDS WILL BE
EAST/SOUTHEASTERLY GUSTING TO 35 TO 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND THE
DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (1584-5899 M^2/S).
TIME (AKST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 25 25 25 30 30 30
VENT (M^2/S)....1584 5005 5899
TONIGHT
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (1333-4973 M^2/S).
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 33 33 25 25 25 21 21 21 21 21 21
VENT (M^2/S)....4973 1882 1333 1365
FRIDAY
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14 TO
16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (1584-3953 M^2/S).
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 20 20 20 16 16 16 14 14 14
VENT (M^2/S)....1584 1616 3953 2557
FRIDAY NIGHT
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (298-564 M^2/S).
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10
VENT (M^2/S)....392 298 407 564
FORECASTER...MITCHELL
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BASFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600160.0/AER
.DELDT 01/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PHILLIP.INGERSOLL@USDA.GOV,NATHAN.BASFORD@USDA.GOV
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