462
FNAK71 PAFC 180246
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR INTERMEDIATE FIRE FIGHTER ACADEMY...DIVISION OF FORESTRY & FIRE PROTECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
646 PM AKDT FRI APR 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 AKDT ON APRIL 18.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT SCATTERED RAINS AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER AND AROUND THE
FORECAST AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, QUICKLY DIMINISHING IN
COVERAGE THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY, AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN COOK INLET WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST OF THE
AREA. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY AROUND NOON SATURDAY
WITH BREAKS OF SUN, LIGHT WINDS, AND TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO
THE MID 40S. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY EVENING AS RAIN
AND SNOW DEVELOPS OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE WEST.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION BY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH ANY RAIN
AND SNOW MIX CHANGING TO RAIN. PRECIPITATION MAY BE STEADY EARLY,
BUT MAY BECOME VERY LIGHT IN NATURE LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
SHIFT AND BECOME MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY BY LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO TAPER OFF.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING DECREASING
TO 10 PERCENT BY AROUND NOON.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING
RISING TO AROUND 2000 FT AGL BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....TRACE OF SNOW POSSIBLE.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 82 82 82 70 70 70 55 55 55 48 48
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............31 31 30 32 35 37 39 39 41 43 43 43
RH..............97 96 95 92 88 82 75 69 65 63 61 59
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AND SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT IN THE EARLY EVENING INCREASING TO
50 PERCENT AROUND MIDNIGHT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1600 FT AGL IN THE EVENING FALLING TO
AROUND 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 75 75 75 85 85 85 90 90 90 94 94
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RS RS RS RS RS RS RS RS
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50
TEMP............44 43 41 39 37 37 36 35 35 34 34 34
RH..............58 59 63 68 73 76 77 78 79 81 83 84
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W S S S S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 1 1 1 3 3 3 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 2 2 2 6 6 6 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 9 13 14
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW THROUGH MID MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING INCREASING TO
70 PERCENT BY MID MORNING.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY, BECOMING SE
10 TO 18 MPH BY LATE MORNING, THEN BECOMING SW
BY MID AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 600 FT AGL EARLY RISING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 MPH EARLY INCREASING TO 18 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 96 96 96 97 97 97 97 97 97 93 93
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RS RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60
TEMP............35 35 36 37 37 38 40 41 42 43 44 44
RH..............85 85 84 83 81 78 75 72 70 68 66 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 10 14 14 14 18 18 16 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.13 18 18 18 24 24 24 26 26 26 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 16 18 23 23 24 24 23 23 18 16
FORECASTER...MARKLE
REQUESTED BY...TERESA ROSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610593.0/AER
.DELDT 04/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TERESA.ROSE@ALASKA.GOV
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