219
FNAK71 PAFC 120046
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 MAUD ROAD RX...STATE OF ALASKA DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
446 PM AKDT MON MAY 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON MAY 12.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF COUPLED WITH AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL SUPPORT STRONG AND GUSTY
GAP WINDS ACROSS THE MATANUSKA VALLEY, ESPECIALLY NEAR PALMER AND
MAUD RD. WINDS WILL TAPER OFF AFTER 3AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (596-4769 M^2/S).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 90 90 75 75 75 73 73 73 81 81
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............42 44 46 48 50 52 54 54 55 55 55
RH..............57 55 53 50 48 45 43 42 42 42 43
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 14 14 14 21 21 21 23 23
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 28 28 28 32 32 32 33 33
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 13 13 13 17 17 17 17 17
VENT (M^2/S)....596 596 596 47694769476947694769476939223922
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH BECOMING EAST 7 TO
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (298-3922 M^2/S).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........81 80 80 80 83 83 83 74 74 74 76 76
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20
TEMP............54 53 52 51 49 48 47 46 46 46 45 45
RH..............45 46 49 51 53 65 68 72 73 74 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..23 22 22 22 17 17 17 12 12 12 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.33 31 31 31 25 25 25 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 13 13 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7
VENT (M^2/S)....3922392239223922455 455 455 455 455 455 298 298
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (298-3749 M^2/S).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 70 70 70 65 65 65 63 63 63 61 61
WEATHER COV.....ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............46 46 48 51 53 54 55 56 56 56 57 56
RH..............75 75 70 65 61 58 55 52 51 50 49 50
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E S S S SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.7 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
VENT (M^2/S)....298 298 298 298 34513451345134513451345137493749
FORECASTER...MITCHELL
REQUESTED BY...TERESA ROSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613410.0/AER
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TERESA.ROSE@ALASKA.GOV
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