828  
FNAK71 PAFC 221650  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 CRAB FEST...KODIAK ISLAND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
850 AM AKDT FRI MAY 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0857 AKDT ON MAY 22.    
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SURFACE  
FRONT MOVES FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND. THIS  
FEATURE WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW THROUGH  
TODAY, SHIFTING MORE WESTERLY LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY  
SATURDAY AS WIND SPEEDS DIMINISH. FOR SATURDAY, CLOUDS WILL BEGIN  
TO SCOUR OUT THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER, THE WESTERLY FLOW WILL  
WEAKEN THROUGH LATE MORNING AND BECOME SOUTHERLY THEN EASTERLY BY  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING IN SOME MOISTURE IN  
THE FORM OF SCATTERED SHOWERS BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE  
BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL BE UP ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND  
MOUNTAINS; HOWEVER, A SHOWER ALONG THE COAST CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  
ANY SHOWERS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND QUICK IN DURATION.  
 
FOR SUNDAY MORNING, WEAK LOW PRESSURE EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND MAY  
BRING IN LOWER CLOUD COVER AND A SCATTERED SHOWER DUE TO A MORE  
NORTH-NORTHEST WIND OFF THE WATER. BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, EXPECT  
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS UP TO 20 MPH AND CLEARING SKIES AS THE LOW  
EXITS THE REGION AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WEST.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS BY LATE MORNING WITH RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO 60  
PERCENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST  
5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25  
MPH AT TIMES THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 80 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 40 50 60 60 60 40  
TEMP............43 44 45 45 46 47 47 47 47 46  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.14 14 13 13 13 10 10 10 7 4  
SURFACE WND GST.22 22 21 21 21 18 18 17 11 8  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........92 92 92 92 91 91 91 92 92 92 88 88  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 10  
TEMP............46 46 45 44 44 43 43 42 42 41 41 41  
SURFACE WND DIR.W SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW W W  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS BY AROUND NOON. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 68 68 68 61 61 61 61 61 61 56 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CHC OF PCPN (%). 10 10 20 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............40 40 41 42 43 44 44 44 45 45 45 44  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W S S S SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.7 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.10 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...MARKLE  
REQUESTED BY...KEN FOLSOM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2613462.1/AER  
.DELDT 05/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KFOLSOM@CITY.KODIAK.AK.US  
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