191  
FNAK71 PAFC 170424 CCA  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCKINLEY...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
824 PM AKDT MON SEP 16 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON  
SEPTEMBER 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A COLD TROUGH WILL CLIP THE AREA FROM THE NORTH  
TONIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH DAYBREAK. TUE  
WILL SEE A DRYING TREND AHEAD OF THE NEXT STRONG FRONT. THE FRONT  
WILL MOVE QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST AND RAIN SHOULD START TO FALL  
OVER THE FIRE BY LATE TUE EVENING. THIS WILL BE ONE OF THE WETTEST  
SYSTEMS SO FAR THIS SEASON WITH OVER ONE INCH OF RAIN EXPECTED  
THROUGH WED. IT COULD ALSO BRING SOME GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST  
WINDS STARTING LATE TUE NIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH WED.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) EARLY THEN INCREASING  
CLOUDS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.  
CWR.................94 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
OVERNIGHT. POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.45 INCHES.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.  
CWR.................91 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 33 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.61 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...OTTENWELLER  
REQUESTED BY...PHIL BLYDENBURGH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1915531.1/AER  
.DELDT 09/16/19  
.EMAIL DNR.DOF.PAQ.DISPATCH@ALASKA.GOV,BRYAN.QUIMBY@ALASKA.GOV  
 
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