219  
FNAK71 PAFC 210330  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTANA CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
730 PM AKDT SAT JUL 20 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 AKDT ON JULY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, ALLOWING  
FOR WARMING TEMPERATURES AND MORE SUN THAN TODAY. SUNDAY WILL BE  
STABLE ENOUGH FOR ONLY RAIN SHOWERS, AND THEY LOOK RATHER ISOLATED  
AND MAY JUST STAY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. ON MONDAY, THERE WILL BE  
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS, BUT WITH THE  
CONTINUED WEAK FLOW THEY MAY ALSO REMAIN ALONG THE MOUNTAINS.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........TRACE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (10-30 PERCENT).  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...AHSENMACHER  
REQUESTED BY...BEN DEAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1912490.0/AER  
.DELDT 07/20/19  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.DEAN@USDA.GOV  
 
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