936
FNAK71 PAFC 152108
FWSAER
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEWARD USCG SECTOR REQUEST...USCG SECTOR SE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
108 PM AKDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON MAY 16.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA, EXPECT EAST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KT TO INCREASE TO
AROUND 30 KT BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS OF UP TO
40 KT SUSTAINED BY LIGHT SATURDAY EVENING. STORM-FORCE GUSTS ARE
ALSO LIKELY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA COAST FROM PERL ISLAND, ACROSS NUKA ISLAND AND BAY, TO
BLYING SOUND SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM EAST TO SOUTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND DIMINISH TO AROUND
15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT AS THE FRONT MOVES NORTH AND INTO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WAVE HEIGHTS WILL QUICKLY BUILD ON SATURDAY
REACHING HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 16 FT OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY
MORNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
KENAI PENINSULA, WITH UP TO 4 FT IN SHELTERED BAYS. HEAVY RAIN AND
LOW CLOUDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE HEAVY RAIN
WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
TEXT AND TABULAR FORECAST FOR N OF CAINES HEAD TO SEWARD
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS
RAIN SHOWERS LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH RAIN LIKELY BY EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT EARLY INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WIND AROUND 6 MPH (5KT) THROUGH MID
MORNING INCREASING TO 17 MPH (15 KT) WITH GUSTS
TO 25MPH (22 KT) LATE MORNING THROUGH EVENING.
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42.
TIME (AKDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........75 83 87 86
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 60 70
TEMP............42 43 44 45
RH..............91 84 76 73
SURFACE WIND....S 5G7 S 10G13 S 17G25 S 15G21
SFC WIND (KTS)..S 4G6 S 9G11 S 15G22 S 13G19
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2
FREEZING SPRAY..NONE
SST (F).........41 41 42 42
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO
100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH (9 TO 14 KT) WITH
GUSTS TO 25 MPH (22 KT).
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....41.
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........86 86 86 86 94 94 94 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 60 60 70 70 70 90 90 90 100 100
TEMP............45 45 45 45 45 44 43 43 42 42 42 42
RH..............78 78 78 79 80 80 82 83 85 86 88 89
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 10
SURFACE WND GST.25 22 19 17 17 17 17 22 25 25 25 22
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FREEZING SPRAY..NONE
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH (9 TO 14 KT) SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25
WAVE HEIGHT.........2 FEET.
FREEZING SPRAY......NONE.
SEA SURFACE TEMP....42.
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............42 41 42 42 43 43 44 44 44 44 45 45
RH..............89 90 88 86 85 84 83 82 83 84 85 84
SURFACE WND DIR.S S N N N S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 17 17 15 10 10 10 10
SURFACE WND GST.18 14 14 14 16 25 25 22 17 17 17 17
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FREEZING SPRAY..
FORECASTER...MARKLE
REQUESTED BY...COMMAND CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...MARINE
.TAG 2613750.0/AER
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCCSOUTHEASTALASKA@USCG.MIL
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