779  
FNAK71 PAFC 191350  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AVY ACRES 125...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
450 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 AKST ON NOVEMBER 19.    
DISCUSSION
 
 
QUIET AND SEASONAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY BETWEEN SYSTEMS. TONIGHT  
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE KENAI PENINSULA, BRINGING WARMER  
TEMPERATURES, EASTERLY WINDS AND LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY  
MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
VENT RATE...........375 INCREASING TO 545 IN THE AFTERNOON  
 
TIME (AKST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 32 38 38 38 36 36 36 39 39 39  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............25 25 25 26 28 30 32 32 31 30 28  
RH..............89 90 91 90 87 86 83 81 78 77 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY  
LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................41 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.2 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 47 47 63 63 63 85 85 85 95 95 95  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN RS RS RS RN RN RN RN RN RN  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 60 60 60 80 80 80 90 90 90  
TEMP............27 26 27 28 29 31 32 33 34 36 36 37  
RH..............75 76 78 79 81 82 84 84 84 84 86 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 15 15 15 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 13 13 13 21 21 21 28 28 28  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 16 16 16 22 22 22 24 24 24  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
VENT RATE...........1725  
 
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 94 90 90 90 84 84 84 77 77 77  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............36 36 37 37 38 39 40 40 40 39 38 37  
RH..............90 90 90 91 89 88 86 82 78 77 80 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 17 17 17 14 14 14 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 21 20 20 20 15 15 15 13 13 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...JONES  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN BASFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525742.0/AER  
.DELDT 11/19/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.BASFORD@USDA.GOV  
 
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