768  
FNAK71 PAFC 161624  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE GRANITE CREEK RX...SOA DFFP  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
824 AM AKDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 AKDT ON MAY 16.    
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE WITH  
GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH LIKELY LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.  
WINDS WILL THEN BECOME EASTERLY OR NORTHEASTERLY OVERNIGHT AS A  
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL COAST. THE EAST WINDS  
WILL THEN SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON  
AS THE FRONT LIFT NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. CHANCES FOR RAIN  
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE FOR SUNDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  
WETTING RAINS, HOWEVER, ARE NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH TO  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS BETWEEN 12 AND 20 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 600 FT THROUGH MID MORNING RISING TO  
4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASING TO  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (298-5146 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 18 18 18 46 46 46 48 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 46 49 51 52 54 55 55 54  
RH..............66 57 50 45 43 40 38 36 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 10 12 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 7 7 7 12 12 12 14 14  
VENT (M^2/S)....298 48954895489548954895489551465146  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO  
20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS  
THIS EVENING SHIFTING TO THE EAST 4 TO 8  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH TONIGHT AND THROUGH  
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 4000 FT IN THE EVENING FALLING TO AROUND  
600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 9  
MPH TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (455-5146 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 52 52 52 84 84 84 87 87 87 88 88  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............53 51 49 47 44 43 42 40 40 40 39 38  
RH..............36 38 41 45 50 52 55 58 58 58 58 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 2 2 2 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 13 13 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 9 9 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8  
VENT (M^2/S)....5146514651465146455 455 455 455 455 455 800 800  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 18 MPH AT TIMES  
BEGINNING LATE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 600 FT IN THE MORNING RISING TO  
3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9 TO  
13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (800-5146 M^2/S).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
SNOWFALL AMOUNT.....0.0 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 88 88 88 83 83 83 70 70 70 70 70  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30  
TEMP............38 39 40 42 45 47 50 52 53 54 53 52  
RH..............61 60 57 53 48 44 41 39 38 38 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 8 8 9 9 9 3 3 3 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 13 13 13 17 17 17 13 13 13 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.6 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 9 9  
VENT (M^2/S)....800 800 800 800 51465146514651465146514640324032  
 
 
FORECASTER...MARKLE  
REQUESTED BY...JERED KEMP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613745.0/AER  
.DELDT 05/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERED.KEMP@ALASKA.GOV  
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