810  
FNAK71 PAFC 052005  
FWSAER  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PILAR MOUNTAIN SLIDE...KODIAK EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK  
1105 AM AKST THU FEB 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 AKST ON FEBRUARY 05.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A FRONT THAT BROUGHT RAINFALL THIS MORNING IS GOING TO CONTINUE  
TO LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY, DECREASING THE CHANCE  
OF RAIN. UP TO 0.1 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY THROUGH THE REST  
OF TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE FIRST  
HALF OF FRIDAY AS WINDS SHIFT FROM OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO THE  
NORTHEAST AND DECREASE TO 15 MPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THIS  
SECOND ROUND OF RAINFALL, EXPECT AMOUNTS TO BE LIGHTER AND SHOWERY  
THAN WHAT WE HAVE SEEN THIS MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 60 60 60 40 40 40  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.29 28 28 28 25 25 25  
SURFACE WND GST.30 29 29 29 26 26 26  
   
TONIGHT  
 
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 18 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE E E E  
SURFACE WND SPD.24 24 24 23 23 23 18 18 18 15 15 15  
SURFACE WND GST.25 25 25 25 25 25 16 16 16  
   
FRIDAY  
 
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 20 20 20  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.15 15 15 16 16 16 18 18 18 16 16 16  
SURFACE WND GST.18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...MCCORMICK  
REQUESTED BY...KEN FOLSOM EMERGENCY MANAGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2601827.0/AER  
.DELDT 02/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KFOLSOM@CITY.KODIAK.AK.US  
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