569
FNAK79 PAFG 130413
FWSAFG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 7 MILE LOOKOUT FIRE...SA GRAY TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
813 PM AKDT SAT JUL 12 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AKDT ON JULY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FAA WEB CAMERA IN TOK SHOWED SOME SHOWERS IN THE DIRECTION OF THIS
FIRE LAST EVENING. IT IS UNCLEAR IF ANY LIGHT RAIN OCCURRED. THIS SPOT
ASSUMES THERE WAS NO RAIN. THE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
YESTERDAY WERE IN THE NORTHEAST FLOW AROUND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE.
THIS RIDGE MOVES OVER THIS FIRE TODAY AND THEN EAST OF IT ON MONDAY.
THAT WILL RESULT IN MORE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS. MONDAY THE WIND FLOW OVER THIS HIGHER
TERRAIN TURNS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. THAT SHOULD ENHANCE THE UPSLOPE
WINDS ON THIS ASPECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON BUT A BETTER CHANCE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
WETTING RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ONLY IF A STORM MOVES DIRECTLY OVER THIS
FIRE.
TODAY/SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST/UPSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1100 AKDT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2300 AKDT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TSTM COVERAGE.......ISOLATED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1100 AKDT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...MAIER
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA ILSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517898.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/12/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JESSICA_ILSE@FIRENET.GOV
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