914  
FNAK79 PAFG 142330  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 404 - KONEDSIN MINNKOHWIN...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
330 PM AKDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 AKDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP OVER THE KANUTI  
FLATS. BANDS OF CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL HELP KEEP HUMIDITIES HIGH AND  
CONTINUE TO AID FIRE SUPPRESSION EFFORTS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE  
TO STAY BELOW NORMAL. THE NEXT BAND OF RAIN MOVES UP OVER THE FIRE  
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. MODELS ARE PROJECTING  
BETWEEN THREE-TENTHS (0.30") AND A HALF INCH (0.50") OF RAIN WILL  
OCCUR ON THE FIRE. RAINFALL SHOULD BE LIGHT TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE  
A BREAK ON THURSDAY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS. THEN ON FRIDAY  
ANOTHER BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH. MORE WETTING  
RAINS ARE EXPECTED. SATURDAY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FOLLOWED  
BY SOME POTENTIAL WARMING AND DRYING SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) WITH NUMEROUS RAIN  
SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT LATE.  
CWR25...............10 PERCENT LATE.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 4 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....AROUND 2200 AKDT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) WITH NUMEROUS RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............60 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1000 AKDT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............20 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1000 AKDT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-85 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................8 PERCENT.  
CWR25...............1 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE (0 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...AROUND 1100 AKDT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...MAIER  
REQUESTED BY...TANANA ZONE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617175.8/AFG  
.DELDT 07/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AKYFDC@FIRENET.GOV,TSHIELDS@BLM.GOV,MMATUSH@BLM.GOV  
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