682  
FNAK79 PAFG 212341  
FWSAFG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOK FIRE...WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE (NATIONAL PARK SERVICE)  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
341 PM AKDT TUE APR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 AKDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OVERALL THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL REMAIN CLOUDY, WITH TEMPERATURES  
STAYING AROUND A MAX OF HIGH 30S AND LOW 40S, AND MINS AROUND  
10-15 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT. RH WILL RANGE BETWEEN 13-40% WITH LOWER  
VALUES EXPECTED IN THE EVENING AND HIGHER VALUES EXPECTED DURING  
THE DAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE CALM RANGING BETWEEN 5-10 MPH FOR THE  
NEXT 3 DAYS. THERE ARE CHANCE OF MIXED PRECIPITATION OF  
SNOW/RAIN, AND THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORM  
DEVELOPMENT. THERE WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT WINDSHIFT FROM NW AT 18  
MPH TODAY TO SE AND LIGHT BY WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NW 16-22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
INVERSION SETUP.....  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TSTM COVERAGE.......NONE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SE WINDS LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
INVERSION BURNOFF...  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND  
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MACKAY  
REQUESTED BY...JOE ERICKSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611249.0/AFG  
.DELDT 04/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JERICKSON@BLM.GOV  
 
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