146  
FXAK69 PAFG 242204  
AFDAFG  
 
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK  
204 PM AKDT FRI OCT 24 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY ACROSS THE INTERIOR,  
NORTH SLOPE AND ALONG THE WEST COAST. SUNDAY THE ACTIVE WEATHER  
SLOWS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION WITH MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS  
PERSISTING INTO NEXT WEEK. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE  
UNUSUALLY COLD, MOST AREAS WILL MANAGE TO STAY BELOW THE FREEZING  
MARK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
 
   
KEY WEATHER MESSAGES  
 
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...  
 
- LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE INTERIOR TONIGHT THROUGH  
SATURDAY THEN GRADUALLY ENDS SATURDAY NIGHT. AROUND 1-2" OF  
SNOW IS EXPECTED IN MOST PLACES.  
 
- BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS SPREAD EASTWARD ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUE AT  
TIMES THROUGH NEXT WEEK. FRESH SNOW ALLOWS FOR COOLER  
TEMPERATURES PERHAPS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS UNDER CLEAR SKIES, BUT  
GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PREVAIL.  
 
- THE NEXT CHANCE FOR 1+" OF SNOW LOOKS TO BE LATE NEXT WEEK WHEN  
ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY SPINS NORTH INTO THE INTERIOR FROM A  
GULF OF ALASKA LOW.  
 
WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...  
 
- SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TOTAL  
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SPOTS.  
 
- STEADY LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN  
INTERIOR WITH UP TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY  
SATURDAY.  
 
- MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOLLOW THE LIGHT SNOW WITH FRESH SNOW COVER  
ALLOWING FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES PERHAPS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS  
UNDER CLEAR SKIES. HOWEVER, GENERALLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
PREVAIL WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND HIGHS IN THE 20S.  
 
- MAINLY DRY FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
NORTH SLOPE AND BROOKS RANGE...  
 
- GENERALLY 1-3" OF SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA,  
EXCEPT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 5-6" FROM POINT HOPE TO CAPE  
LISBURNE.  
 
- WINDS EVERYWHERE CONTINUE TO DECREASE THEN TURN OFFSHORE ON  
SUNDAY AS A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH.  
 
- TEMPERATURES HOLD STEADY WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S ACROSS THE NORTH  
SLOPE AND SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS IN THE BROOKS RANGE. LOWS  
MOSTLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S, WITH SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW  
ZERO IN THE BROOKS RANGE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WHEN LESS CLOUDS ARE  
EXPECTED.  
 
 
   
FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION  
 
BROAD TROUGHING CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION FOR A FEW MORE DAYS AS  
WEAK DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE GENERAL FLOW PATTERN MANAGE  
TO BRING MAINLY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE MOST  
SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LIFTING NORTH AND EAST  
THROUGH THE WESTERN INTERIOR. THIS IS BEING REFLECTED AS A WEAK  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM AROUND HUGHES TO NEAR MCGRATH.  
THIS FEATURE SHOULD SPREAD A SWATH OF MAINLY LIGHT SNOW THROUGH  
MUCH OF THE INTERIOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH SNOW EXPANDING  
NORTH THROUGH THE BROOKS RANGE ON UP ON THE NORTH SLOPE. SNOWFALL  
IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ALL THAT HEAVY WITH THIS FEATURE WITH MOST  
LOCATIONS SEEING ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES TOTAL THROUGH  
SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN THIS SHOULD ALL WIND DOWN.  
 
MEANWHILE AS ONE DISTURBANCE WEAKEN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC  
COASTLINE ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE WILL APPROACH THE YUKON DELTA AND  
SEWARD PENINSULA LATER SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL PRODUCE MAINLY  
LIGHT SNOWFALL WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES LOCALLY POSSIBLE. BY SUNDAY  
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER WILL SETTLE DOWN WITH JUST A FEW LIGHT  
SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST. THE PATTERN WILL  
THEN SHIFT TO A DOMINANT UPPER LOW DRIFTING SOUTH INTO THE BERING  
WITH SOME WEAK RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN REACHES OF THE STATE.  
THIS SHOULD BEEP MOST AREAS (ASIDE FROM THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST)  
DRY INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN  
BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS, BUT WILL STILL BE A BIT ABOVE  
NORMAL THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7  
 
OVERALL PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY QUIET OVER NORTHERN ALASKA WITH  
THE MAJORITY OF THE STATE CONTINUING TO BE UNDER A "TROUGHY"  
PATTERN. ALL GLOBAL MODELS ARE HINTING AT MULTIPLE WELL DEFINED LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO ROTATE ALONG THE BOTTOM OF THE OVERALL TROUGH  
AXIS AND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD  
WILL START OFF WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW DOMINATING THE EASTERN PORTION  
OF THE STATE. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR POTENTIALLY CLEARER AND CALMER  
CONDITIONS, WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO GET DOWN TO NORMAL  
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IN REGARDS TO POSSIBLE CHINOOKING, THE  
OVERALL GRADIENT DOES NOT LOOK TO BE TOO STRONG TO HAVE THAT MUCH  
OF AN IMPACT. THE EC AND CANADIAN ARE IN AGREEMENT FOR 960MB LOW  
TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF LATE WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT. IF THE STRENGTH AND STRUCTURE OF THIS SYSTEM WERE TO REMAIN  
AS MODELS ARE SHOWING, IT COULD BRING A GOOD CHANCE FOR SCATTERED  
SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE INTERIOR BEGINNING THURSDAY. THIS WOULD  
BE ALONG A FRONT THAT WOULD PROGRESS FROM THE SE TO THE NW. THE  
OVERALL TROUGHY PATTERN IS LOOKING TO CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT  
WEEKEND, ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE STATE.  
 
EXTENDED - TWOMBLY  
 
COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE  
 
 
   
AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AK...NONE.  
PK...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ801-804-850.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ802-803-805>807-852-853-856.  
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ815-860.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ816-817.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ851.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ854.  
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ859.  
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ861.  
 
 
 
 
LANEY  
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