295
FZAK80 PAFC 072240
ICEAFC
SEA ICE FORECAST FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE - ALASKA SEA ICE PROGRAM
240 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY 7 MAY 2025
FORECAST VALID...MONDAY 12 MAY 2025.
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH.
SYNOPSIS...A LOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN ANOTHER LOW WILL TRACK
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING SEA. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA WHILE A LOW MOVES SOUTH
ACROSS THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH MONDAY.
-BEAUFORT SEA-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ813-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ814-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ815-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ859-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT FROM 15 TO 75 NM-
PKZ860-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND FROM 15 TO 80 NM-
PKZ861-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT FROM 15 TO 75 NM-
ICE COVERED.
FORECAST FOR THE BEAUFORT SEA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 5)...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. NORTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME
WESTERLY AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTH TOWARD BANKS ISLAND SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. EXPECT SEA ICE TO DRIFT WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY
AND THEN EASTERLY SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. SEA ICE NEAR THE ALASKA
COASTLINE WILL LIKELY MOVE VERY LITTLE OVERALL.
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ807-WALES TO CAPE ESPENBERG OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ808-CAPE ESPENBERG TO MOTHERWOOD POINT OUT TO 10 NM-
PKZ809-MOTHERWOOD POINT TO CAPE KRUSENSTERN OUT TO 10 NM-
PKZ810-CAPE KRUSENSTERN TO CAPE THOMPSON OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ811-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ812-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ813-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ855-KOTZEBUE SOUND GREATER THAN 10 NM-
PKZ856-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON GREATER THAN 15 NM-
PKZ857-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT FROM 15 TO 85 NM-
PKZ858-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN FROM 15 TO 85 NM-
PKZ859-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT FROM 15 TO 75 NM-
ICE COVERED.
FORECAST FOR THE CHUKCHI SEA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 5)...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY WINDS WILL GENERALLY
PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY. THE POLYNYA OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF
ALASKA WILL PERSIST AND CONTINUE TO FILL IN WITH NEW ICE AND MULTI-
YEAR SEA ICE WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT WEST TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
CHUKCHI SEA. SOUTH OF POINT HOPE, SEA ICE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH MONDAY.
-BERING SEA-
PKZ803-KWIKPAK PASS TO CAPE STEPHENS OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ817-NORTH SIDE OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND OUT TO 15 NM-
ICE COVERED.
PKZ414-BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
PKZ760-BRISTOL BAY GREATER THAN 15 NM-
PKZ761-BRISTOL BAY FROM PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE CHICHAGOF OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ762-BRISTOL BAY FROM CAPE CHICHAGOF TO CAPE PEIRCE OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ763-KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ764-KUSKOKWIM DELTA FROM 15 TO 80 NM-
PKZ765-NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
PKZ767-SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
PKZ801-ETOLIN STRAIT TO DALL POINT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ802-DALL POINT TO KWIKPAK PASS OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ804-CAPE STEPHENS TO MOSES POINT OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ805-MOSES POINT TO SLEDGE ISLAND OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ806-SLEDGE ISLAND TO WALES OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ816-SOUTH SIDE OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND OUT TO 15 NM-
PKZ850-ETOLIN STRAIT TO KWEMELUK PASS FROM 15 TO 90 NM-
PKZ851-SOUTHWEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND FROM 15 TO 100 NM-
PKZ852-NORTON SOUND GREATER THAN 15 NM-
PKZ853-KWEMELUK PASS TO KWIKPAK PASS FROM 15 TO 90 NM-
PKZ854-SLEDGE ISLAND TO WALES GREATER THAN 15 NM-
THE MAIN ICE EDGE EXTENDS FROM NEAR QUINHAGAK TO 56 42’N 169 3’W TO
57 16’N 172 26’W TO 60 15’N 179 39’W AND CONTINUES INTO RUSSIAN
WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS OPEN WATER.
FROM LAND-BASED POINTS IN ALASKA, THE MAIN ICE EDGE EXTENDS FROM
NEAR QUINHAGAK TO 20 NM NORTHEAST OF SAINT GEORGE TO 100 NM
NORTHWEST OF SAINT GEORGE TO 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AND
CONTINUES INTO RUSSIAN WATERS. THE ICE EDGE IS OPEN WATER.
FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA (DAYS 1 THROUGH 5)...FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH. SOUTHERLY TO EASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE
ICE PACK THROUGH MONDAY, THOUGH NEAR THE BERING STRAIT WINDS WILL
REMAIN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SEA ICE NEAR THE
BERING STRAIT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH OVERALL, WHILE THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ICE PACK IN THE BERING SEA WILL DRIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST ESPECIALLY EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AND CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY MELT.
SCHRECK
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