445
WWAK87 PAJK 052222 CCA
SPSAJK
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
222 PM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025
AKZ330-332-062300-
KETCHIKAN GATEWAY BOROUGH-ANNETTE ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KETCHIKAN AND METLAKATLA
222 PM AKDT SAT JUL 5 2025
..HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE EARLY NEXT WEEK
FOLLOWING A FRONT BRINGING RAIN ACROSS THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY, A
DEVELOPING LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SE GULF MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS STILL EXPECTED TO BRING ENHANCED RAINFALL
TO THE FAR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE, PARTICULARLY KETCHIKAN AND
METLAKATLA. MODEL SPREAD FOR THIS FEATURE HAS BEGUN TO DECREASE,
WITH A LESS IMPACTFUL SOLUTION BECOMING MORE LIKELY. THIS WOULD
HAVE THE LOW BE MORE PROGRESSIVE AND THE MOISTURE PLUME STAY
FURTHER SOUTH BEFORE WRAPPING AROUND TO IMPACT THE EASTERN HALF OF
CLARENCE STRAIT LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
WHILE OVERALL 24 HR RAIN AMOUNTS ARE NOW RANGING FROM 0.75 FOR
COASTAL COMMUNITIES ON PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND TO UPWARDS OF 1.5
INCHES FOR KETCHIKAN AND METLAKATLA, THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AND
RATES ARE EXPECTED ALONG SOUTHERLY FACING MOUNTAINS IN EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE KETCHIKAN GATEWAY BOROUGH AND ANNETTE ISLAND.
FAST RESPONDING RIVERS AND LAKES MAY REACH BANK FULL CONDITIONS
BUT NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WHILE NOT AS STRONG,
WINDS IN CLARENCE STRAIT AND THE SE GULF WILL STILL INCREASE OUT
OF THE S AND SE WITH THIS FEATURE TO FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE (18 -
24 KT) TUESDAY MORNING AS IT APPROACHES THE OUTER COAST.
LATER IN THE WEEK, THURSDAY & FRIDAY, IT IS LOOKING LIKE A MORE
IMPACTFUL FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH AN ASSOCIATED ATMOSPHERIC RIVER
WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE, BRINGING HEAVIER RAINFALL & SOME
RELATIVELY GUSTY CONDITIONS TO A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA.
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