084  
FNUS74 KBMX 040603  
FWSBMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK MOUNTAIN...SHELBY EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL  
103 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 CDT ON OCTOBER 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AT OAK MOUNTAIN STATE PARK AND VICINITY, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED  
SHOWERS FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT WITH A HIGH CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY. IF OAK MOUNTAIN STATE  
PARK BECOMES INVOLVED WITHIN AN AREA OF STEADY RAINFALL TODAY, RAIN  
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE GENERALLY UNDER ONE INCH. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A  
FRONT, WIND DIRECTION WILL LIKELY FLUCTUATE FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST,  
GENERALLY AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
3 AM.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (CDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........68 93 94 95 96 97  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 30 30 30 50 50  
TEMP............77 76 75 74 74 73  
RH..............79 85 87 93 93 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E N N N  
20 FT WIND DIR..070 100 100 000 000 000  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........5 6 6 6 9 9  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........97 98 98 99 99 99 98 99 98 99 99 98  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 40 40 40 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90  
TEMP............71 70 70 72 74 75 76 76 76 78 76 75  
RH..............100 100 100 100 97 94 90 90 94 85 90 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 120 130 140 150 130 120 130 110 070 080 080  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 6 7 7 8  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 2 2 6 6 7 9 11 10 9  
LVORI...........9 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE IN  
THE EVENING.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5.  
LVORI...............8.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........97 97 97 97 97 95 92 92 90 90 89 88  
WEATHER COV.....DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CWR.............90 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............75 72 71 71 71 70 70 70 70 70 68 68  
RH..............94 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND DIR..080 070 080 060 060 050 040 050 040 040 040 030  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 7 7 8 7 7 7 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 9 8 9  
DISPERSION IDX..6 9 3 0 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 6  
LVORI...........6 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 83 78 71 64 59 54 48 40 31 22 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............68 67 68 70 73 77 80 82 82 83 81 80  
RH..............100 100 100 100 90 79 69 63 63 59 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND DIR..040 040 040 030 040 040 040 040 040 030 030 030  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 8 7 8 8 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.5 4.0 3.7 3.8 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 12 12 10 10 12 12 9  
DISPERSION IDX..6 7 9 12 14 26 28 36 39 41 42 24  
LVORI...........9 8 8 8 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEISER  
REQUESTED BY...MINDY NASH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2622816.14/BMX  
.DELDT 10/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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