635
FNUS74 KBMX 211515
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BOLD DESTINY...ALABAMA INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
915 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
INCREASING CLOUDS WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATER
TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE MID 60 PERCENT RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT
10-15 MPH WHILE SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 5-10
MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 62 64 61 57 52 48 51
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 50 50 50 30 30 30
TEMP............69 72 74 75 75 77 75 72
RH..............78 71 66 64 66 62 66 76
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND DIR..230 230 230 230 220 220 200 200
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5 5 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.6 1.4 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 12 12 12 9 8
DISPERSION IDX..5 31 38 35 36 34 16 8
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT OVERNIGHT,
THEN DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........57 61 65 71 70 70 78 86 89 92 91 90
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 50 50 50
TEMP............70 66 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 64 65
RH..............81 93 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..190 180 200 190 210 210 200 210 220 220 230 230
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 9 9 8 9 12 10 12 12 12
DISPERSION IDX..7 6 8 7 8 6 4 5 5 5 5 5
LVORI...........5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 82 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 51 DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........87 81 79 77 69 61 53 43 34 24 24 24
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............66 66 68 70 72 75 77 78 79 79 77 74
RH..............100 100 100 97 90 82 74 69 64 62 67 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..240 240 250 250 260 270 270 270 280 280 280 290
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 3.0 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 16 17 16 16 16 17 16 14 10
DISPERSION IDX..5 7 8 11 12 37 41 71 82 82 51 23
LVORI...........8 8 8 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...HOLMES
REQUESTED BY...AL-AIC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526504.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/21/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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