612
FNUS74 KBMX 140811
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG OAK A...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
211 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
60S IN THE AREA OF INTEREST. RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER 30
PERCENT RANGE BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST
AT 5-10 MPH. SKIES WILL BECOME CLOUDY OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY LATE, CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY WHERE RAIN WITH SOME
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST. LINGERING SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING BEFORE
CLOUDS GRADUALLY DECREASE LATER IN THE DAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS
RETURNING AND PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65 77 72 79 83 84 83 85 84 76 72 67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 38 43 49 52 56 59 60 61 61 59 58
RH..............54 58 53 48 44 39 35 34 33 34 37 41
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..140 140 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 140 140 130
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 1.8 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 13 12 13 12 13 12 13 13 10
DISPERSION IDX..7 7 7 8 8 21 26 32 30 35 29 0
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 16 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........64 67 69 71 77 81 85 83 85 83 89 91
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 70 70 70
TEMP............55 53 52 52 51 51 51 50 50 50 50 49
RH..............47 48 48 48 49 50 52 56 61 63 71 80
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..130 130 130 130 140 140 130 130 130 140 140 130
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 14 14 14 16 16 16 18 18 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 13 13 13 15 15 16 16 18 20
DISPERSION IDX..0 0 0 3 5 8 13 13 14 14 16 19
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 95 95 95 95 94 94 91 88 85 84 82
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............50 50 51 53 55 57 59 61 62 62 62 60
RH..............86 93 93 96 93 95 92 86 81 81 83 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S SE E
20 FT WIND DIR..140 140 140 140 150 160 160 160 160 160 140 090
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 19 18 18 17 14 14 12 11 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.6 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 24 23 21 21 21 21 18 16 13 9 7
DISPERSION IDX..19 27 26 23 23 37 38 36 33 26 16 8
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...HOLMES
REQUESTED BY...TROY MCFARLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602738.0/BMX
.DELDT 02/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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