206
FNUS74 KBMX 030933
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAIL 5 8 12...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
333 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE MILDER TEMPERATURE TREND CONTINUES FOR TODAY WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS. MIN RHS WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER TODAY INTO THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 40S (PERCENT) FOR THE BURN AREA. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE A
LITTLE BREEZIER THAN YESTERDAY. CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS WILL
RETURN BY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE BEST CHANCES
WILL BE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS MAY
CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE PULLING OUT OF THE
AREA. WITH MORNING RAINS AND LINGERING CLOUDS BEHIND THE RAIN, MIN
RHS WILL BE ELEVATED FOR WEDNESDAY. A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS
RETURNS FOR THURSDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 45 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 39 DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 72 70 77 77 79 72 58 59 70 81 89
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 50 50 50
TEMP............32 34 39 44 48 51 55 58 58 59 57 54
RH..............85 80 75 66 62 60 54 48 49 48 54 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..220 230 230 240 230 230 220 210 210 210 210 220
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 16 16 16 17 17 20 21 18 15
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 8 11 11 32 43 47 61 65 39 0
LVORI...........4 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER 3 AM BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO
10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........93 92 93 93 92 91 92 94 95 96 96 96
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 40 40 40
TEMP............51 48 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 45 45
RH..............70 83 89 93 96 96 98 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..210 210 210 210 210 220 230 230 240 260 270 290
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 13 13 14 13 12 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION IDX..8 7 8 11 12 14 8 8 6 6 7 7
LVORI...........4 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........95 93 92 91 90 89 88 88 88 88 87 86
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............43 44 44 44 45 45 46 46 46 46 44 41
RH..............100 100 100 95 91 88 79 75 72 70 73 78
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND DIR..300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 310 310 310 320
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 16 16 16 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 17 18 18
DISPERSION IDX..7 6 7 8 8 21 25 29 31 35 37 36
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...TROY MCFARLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601563.0/BMX
.DELDT 02/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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