810
FNUS74 KBMX 012009
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWER SHOAL B & C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
209 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEARBY OBSERVATIONS AS OF 2 PM SHOW RHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
30S. THIS WILL BE THE CASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON,
THOUGH VALUES COULD BRIEFLY GO AS LOW AS THE MID 20S. HIGH-LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THOUGH NO RAIN IS
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL REMAIN VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AT 5 MPH OR
LESS.
FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH RH RECOVERY IN
THE 80 PERCENT RANGE.
RAIN-FREE WEATHER CONTINUES ON MONDAY WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 5
MPH. MINRHS ARE SHOWN TO BE IN THE LOWER 40S IN THE VICINITY OF
THE BURN SITE, THOUGH VALUES COULD BRIEFLY GO AS LOW AS THE UPPER
30S.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49 59 64 67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 74 72 69
RH..............35 33 36 40
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW
20 FT WIND DIR..290 290 300 310
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 5.9 3.8 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 3
DISPERSION IDX..29 30 21 4
LVORI...........2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 8
MPH OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........69 58 52 50 40 45 58 53 60 72 75 78
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............65 61 59 58 56 55 54 53 53 52 52 52
RH..............50 60 64 67 69 72 74 77 77 80 80 83
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S E
20 FT WIND DIR..000 060 100 120 130 140 150 140 150 150 170 110
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 1 3 3 5 6 7 8 8 7 6 3
DISPERSION IDX..0 0 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 18
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 57 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 77 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 84 DECREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 28.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82 74 50 38 33 31 26 29 31 26 38 51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 53 55 61 65 67 69 71 71 72 70 67
RH..............86 80 80 67 58 54 49 44 42 39 42 49
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..100 100 110 120 130 130 140 140 130 130 130 120
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 10 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.1 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 10 14 14 16 18 18 18 17 13
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 5 5 6 40 57 74 79 84 66 28
LVORI...........5 5 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...SATTERWHITE
REQUESTED BY...TROY MCFARLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604408.0/BMX
.DELDT 03/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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