551
FNUS74 KBMX 200020
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR WADE 2 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
620 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF OUR NEXT
COLD FRONT. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS AS THE BOUNDARY STALLS TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE. MUCH
DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION LEADING TO MIN RH VALUES
FROM 25-30% DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF THE BOUNDARY, GENERALLY FROM 5-10
MPH. MOISTURE RECOVERS OVERNIGHT WITH RHS INCREASING TO NEAR 95%
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN
DECREASING TO 20 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........61 59 85 92 95 95
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............10 20 20 30 70 70
TEMP............71 68 67 67 66 64
RH..............66 76 84 87 90 93
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 17
20 FT WIND DIR..200 200 210 220 230 250
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1100 1600 1600 1200 800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SW 17 SW 20 SW 21 SW 20 SW 18
DISPERSION IDX..16 24 33 23 18 16
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 5 5
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 0 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........93 84 66 41 43 53
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............30 30 10 0 0 10
TEMP............63 63 66 71 73 72
RH..............90 81 56 36 31 31
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 NW 3 NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 11 10 10 8 7
20 FT WIND DIR..270 290 310 310 300 310
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1700 2100 2700 3000 2200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 NW 13 NW 10 NW 8 NW 5 NW 3
DISPERSION IDX..14 8 7 27 17 9
LVORI...........5 5 2 2 2 2
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........57 65 74 81 85 88
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC
CWR.............30 30 30 80 80 80
TEMP............67 62 61 61 60 59
RH..............42 52 58 67 78 90
20 FT WIND......NE 2 E 2 E 2 SE 2 S 2 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 8 10
20 FT WIND DIR..030 070 110 150 170 190
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 400 400 600
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 2 E 5 E 3 SE 6 SE 8 S 6
DISPERSION IDX..0 0 0 3 3 4
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 90 87 85 78 70 63 60 56 53 52 51
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............60 60 60 61 62 64 66 68 69 70 69 67
RH..............93 96 96 93 90 81 73 65 63 59 61 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW NW NW W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND DIR..230 260 310 330 320 290 280 280 290 290 300 310
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.0 3.1 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8
LVORI...........6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2
FORECASTER...CASTILLO
REQUESTED BY...ERIK BAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603127.1/BMX
.DELDT 02/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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