323
FNUS74 KBMX 172321
FWSBMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLOW RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
621 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE'S A LOW CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM THIS EVENING AT THE WILDFIRE
SITE IN SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY. OTHERWISE, CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. RHS WILL RECOVER WELL TONIGHT THEN MIX DOWN INTO
THE 50-55% RANGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY 20FT WINDS OF 5 TO 7 MPH ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TOMORROW WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
THERE'S A LOW CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN CHEROKEE COUNTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-EASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........36 36 29 6 14 22
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CWR.............20 20 10 0 0 0
TEMP............78 72 70 68 66 66
RH..............71 81 87 90 93 97
20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 3 S 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 11 10 10 10
20 FT WIND DIR..150 160 160 150 150 150
MIX HGT (FT)....600 500 500 500 400 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9
DISPERSION IDX..7 6 6 5 4 4
LVORI...........4 4 5 6 6 9
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 76 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 86 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 97 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 74 DECREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 41 38 25 29 29 29 36 40 36 36 36
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............65 67 70 73 78 81 83 84 86 86 86 87
RH..............97 93 87 84 71 67 63 59 55 55 55 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 150 160 160 170 170 170 170 170 180 170
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.3 2.2 3.0 4.3 5.0 5.5 5.5 4.8 4.3 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 13 15 15 16 15 14 14 13
DISPERSION IDX..4 4 5 5 6 76 86 101 93 77 70 60
LVORI...........9 5 5 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 34 37 38 39 38 35 34 36 48 51 43
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 82 77 73 72 71 70 69 68 67 67 66
RH..............55 63 69 76 76 76 73 76 76 78 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND DIR..170 170 180 160 160 160 160 150 150 150 150 150
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 10 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9
DISPERSION IDX..23 4 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 7 6
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 70 DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55 54 49 54 59 62 64 66 60 53 47 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 67 70 74 78 81 84 86 87 88 87 86
RH..............84 81 78 74 67 60 55 50 48 47 48 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 160 160 150 160 170 180 180 190 190 180
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.0 4.1 5.1 5.9 6.5 6.7 6.2 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 10 9 8 7 8 9 9 8
DISPERSION IDX..5 4 4 4 5 48 51 31 37 43 70 45
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...MARTIN
REQUESTED BY...AL-AIC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613886.0/BMX
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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