618  
FNUS74 KHUN 141243  
FWSHUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILE CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
643 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR SMOKE DISPERSIONS TODAY WILL BE  
LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS OF NEAR 2KFT OR LESS. THIS WILL BE COMBINED  
WITH SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS IN THE 10-15MPH RANGE AHEAD OF A  
STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW.  
WETTING RAINS AROUND 0.5" ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN  
FALLING TOMORROW MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.  
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 88 87 86 77 88 82 79 77 69 62  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............41 44 49 53 57 59 61 62 63 63 61  
RH..............60 57 50 45 40 40 37 38 38 38 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..130 140 150 160 160 160 150 150 150 140 130  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 14 14 15 14 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 140  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 14 13 14 14 15 15 16 13  
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 6 9 19 23 24 29 30 32 16  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.  
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........71 75 82 86 88 90 83 85 92 88 88 93  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............59 57 56 55 55 54 54 54 53 53 53 53  
RH..............47 50 53 57 59 61 66 66 69 71 78 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..130 130 130 140 140 140 140 140 140 140 140 140  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 21 21 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.130 130 140 140 140 150 150 150 150 140 140 140  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 18 17 18 18  
DISPERSION IDX..17 19 20 19 23 25 12 12 12 12 12 21  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4  
CWR.............20 20 40 30 30 50 20 40 40 60 80 80  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40 30 30 50 20 40 40 60 80 80  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.  
RH..................MIN 71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........93 95 94 93 92 92 91 88 85 82 83 83  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............52 51 53 55 57 60 62 63 64 64 63 61  
RH..............94 99 99 96 93 89 85 81 78 77 80 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..140 140 150 150 150 160 160 120 050 010 010 000  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 21 20 18 16 15 14 14 14 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.140 140 150 160 170 180 180 220 290 330 340 350  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 21 21 18 15 13 12 10 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..22 23 23 14 12 25 21 21 21 22 22 22  
LVORI...........5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 80 80 80  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 80 80 80  
 
 
FORECASTER...RAVENSCRAFT  
REQUESTED BY...CLARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602749.0/HUN  
.DELDT 02/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KERRY.CLARK@USDA.GOV  
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