996  
FNUS74 KHUN 110739  
FWSHUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
239 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0803 CDT ON APRIL 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON. AS A  
RESULT, MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP TO AROUND 30-35% PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BE UNDER 1000FT AT  
IGNITION TIME, HOWEVER, WILL RISE TO ABOVE 3000FT BY 10 AM. WINDS  
WILL GENERALLY STAY LIGHT (AROUND 5 MPH OR LESS) AND VARIABLE IN  
DIRECTION.  
 
MIXING HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE CONSIDERABLY BY 7 PM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT (TO AROUND 5-7  
MPH) AND BECOME PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHERLY IN DIRECTION. WE WILL BE  
MONITORING AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS GUSTY  
WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES IMPACT THE AREA.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.  
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 0 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO 5  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST 2 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 3 2 2 4 8 9 16 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............59 67 73 77 80 81 82 83 82 82  
RH..............75 59 48 42 37 34 31 31 31 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 000 000 330 020 050 060 060 060 080  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.4 4.6 5.8 6.5 6.9 7.1 7.4 7.4 6.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.240 280 000 010 040 070 090 090 120 130  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 3  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 24 27 29 29 20 20 28  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.  
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO  
7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........9 16 8 4 2 3 5 4 2 10 9 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............81 76 71 68 66 64 63 61 61 59 58 58  
RH..............33 40 47 55 54 60 60 62 65 69 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..100 100 110 140 160 160 160 180 170 180 180 170  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.110 110 110 140 170 170 170 190 180 190 190 180  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..21 2 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.  
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 21 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 16 31 23 14 16 18 20 24 27 31 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............58 57 61 67 74 78 81 82 84 84 84 83  
RH..............73 74 67 58 48 40 35 34 31 30 30 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..170 170 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 13 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.3 5.6 6.6 7.4 7.6 7.0 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.180 180 180 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 12 15 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 18  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 5 7 8 94 124 141 161 165 156 108  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...CRAMER  
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2609830.2/HUN  
.DELDT 04/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARY.C.MOORE@USDA.GOV,JESSE.FREEMAN-ERBIN@USDA.GOV,KERRY.CLARK@USDA.GOV  
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