690  
FNUS74 KHUN 021328  
FWSHUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
728 AM CST MON MAR 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 02. IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AN INCREASINGLY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS WILL EXIST IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE TODAY, WITH A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT  
POSITIONED TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTH OF THE REGION. WITHIN THIS  
AIRMASS, AN OVERCAST COVERAGE OF MID-LEVEL/ALTOSTRATUS CLOUDS CAN  
BE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY, WITH CURRENT RADAR DATA ALSO  
SUGGESTING THAT A FEW POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE  
(MAINLY BETWEEN 10 AM-2 PM). HOWEVER, MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION  
ALOFT WILL EVAPORATE INTO VIRGA BEFORE REACHING THE SURFACE.  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES MAY FALL INTO THE 35-40% RANGE, BUT THIS COULD  
POTENTIALLY END UP BEING HIGHER IF TEMPERATURES ARE COOLER THAN  
INDICATED. MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 5000 FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS IN  
THE 10-15 MPH RANGE WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION  
THIS AFTERNOON. DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, CLOUDY AND MILD  
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS  
(WHICH WILL REDUCE CONCERN FOR NOCTURNAL FOG DEVELOPMENT).  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8  
TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........76 69 69 61 66 55 65 60 57 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............57 62 66 70 72 73 74 75 73 73  
RH..............74 65 54 47 43 39 38 36 38 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..170 190 190 190 190 190 180 180 180 170  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 14 13 13 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.4 2.5 3.6 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.8 3.6 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.170 180 190 210 220 220 210 210 200 180  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 13 16 17 15 12 8 8 9  
DISPERSION IDX..3 4 6 42 51 45 35 24 29 20  
LVORI...........4 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 53 41 28 44 36 16 24 30 37 50 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............69 65 64 62 61 60 59 59 58 57 56 56  
RH..............46 52 54 58 60 60 64 64 67 76 78 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 13 13 15 15 16 17 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.170 170 170 170 160 160 160 160 150 150 150 140  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 8  
DISPERSION IDX..4 6 8 8 10 11 4 4 3 3 5 5  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4  
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 33 38 43 44 46 47 48 48 49 48 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............55 57 59 62 65 69 72 74 75 76 75 73  
RH..............85 85 81 75 67 60 53 49 46 45 47 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 160 160 160 170 170 170 180 180 180 170  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 18 17 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.1 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.2 4.9 3.8 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.140 140 160 160 160 170 170 180 190 190 190 180  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 14 14 15 15 16 17 18 20 20  
DISPERSION IDX..6 5 6 9 9 71 81 94 102 104 90 63  
LVORI...........5 5 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...DIXON  
REQUESTED BY...CLARK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604463.0/HUN  
.DELDT 03/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARY.C.MOORE@USDA.GOV,KERRY.CLARK@USDA.GOV  
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