105
FNUS74 KHUN 120800
FWSHUN
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
300 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR THE BURN SITE IS FORECAST TO DROP TO 30% THIS
AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO REACH NEAR 7000 FEET
TODAY AND 5500 FEET ON MONDAY. SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO REACH 15-20 MPH TODAY AND MONDAY. WE HAVE ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO DRY CONDITIONS AND ELEVATED
WINDS (SUSTAINED VALUES AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 15-20
MPH).
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 11 13 15 14 23 26 25 39 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............61 66 75 78 81 82 84 84 84 83
RH..............65 56 41 38 33 32 30 30 30 31
20 FT WIND DIR..170 180 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.4 3.8 5.6 6.5 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.2 6.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.180 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 12 16 18 21 20 20 20 20 18
DISPERSION IDX..3 5 7 116 146 147 149 152 150 134
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........24 45 50 45 32 28 48 40 62 64 64 64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............82 78 73 71 70 69 68 67 66 65 63 63
RH..............32 38 44 47 49 51 53 54 56 58 62 58
20 FT WIND DIR..190 180 180 180 180 180 190 200 200 200 200 200
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 16 16 17 18 18 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 190 180 180 180 180 190 210 220 210 210 200
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 12 13 13 13 15 15 16 14 14 14
DISPERSION IDX..98 9 7 8 8 9 10 7 11 9 9 9
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 21 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 83 76 68 60 58 55 53 52 51 50 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62 61 63 66 71 74 77 79 80 82 82 81
RH..............60 69 68 62 55 50 46 43 40 39 39 39
20 FT WIND DIR..200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 190 190 190
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.1 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 190 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 16 20 22 22 22 21 21 21 20 17
DISPERSION IDX..9 9 11 22 29 76 85 85 89 90 116 78
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORECASTER...CRAMER
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609830.3/HUN
.DELDT 04/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KERRY.CLARK@USDA.GOV,JESSE.FREEMAN-ERBIN@USDA.GOV,GARY.C.MOORE@USDA.GOV
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