861  
FNUS74 KHUN 312216  
FWSHUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW MOUNTAIN FIRE...ALABAMA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL  
516 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MARCH 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH (BUT MAY BECOME  
LOCALIZED AT TIMES OUT OF THE SW AND WSW) THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
AFTER SUNSET, WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO AROUND 6 MPH OR LESS, BUT  
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL DROP TO AROUND 800 FEET AS SMOKE BE A CONCERN  
FOR FIREFIGHTERS OVERNIGHT.  
 
ON WEDNESDAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5 TO 10 MPH OUT OF THE  
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE ELEVATED AND ONLY DROP  
TO AROUND 52 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MEDIUM CHANCES FOR SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS (40-50%) ARE FORECAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOULD  
A STORM IMPACT THE FIRE, ERRATIC WINDS COULD OCCUR AS WELL AS LOCALIZED  
WETTING RAINS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........78 AT FORECAST START...MIN 59.  
RH..................49 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 800  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........31 21 28 34 37 47 42 30 42 44 43 58  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............78 75 73 69 67 66 64 64 63 62 61 61  
RH..............49 53 60 66 70 75 81 81 84 87 92 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..200 200 200 190 200 200 200 200 210 200 210 210  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 200 200 210 220  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 9 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 7 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..74 10 9 8 8 10 4 4 3 3 4 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.  
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT  
DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16  
TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........68 78 71 76 74 56 61 45 35 41 40 31  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............61 60 62 65 69 72 75 77 79 79 79 80  
RH..............95 100 96 98 90 84 74 69 63 59 57 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..200 200 190 200 200 200 200 190 200 200 210 200  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 13 14 15 15 15 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.9 4.4 4.1 4.2 4.0 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 200 200 210 210 200 200 200 190 210 200  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 8 12 12 13 14 16 17 17 18 16  
DISPERSION IDX..3 2 4 5 8 41 51 84 85 86 89 66  
LVORI...........6 9 9 9 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 30 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 30 20 20  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.  
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 26 25 19 13 12 11 10 14 18 22 20  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............78 75 74 71 68 66 65 64 63 62 62 60  
RH..............54 58 58 63 70 74 76 78 81 85 88 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..210 190 200 190 170 170 160 160 160 160 160 160  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.210 190 200 200 190 190 180 170 170 170 170 170  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 8 8 9 10 10 10 9 8 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..22 8 8 8 9 10 5 5 4 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 6 6  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.  
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 17 17 18 18 23 28 33 41 49 57 58  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TEMP............60 60 63 68 72 75 78 80 81 82 82 81  
RH..............95 95 91 83 76 70 64 59 54 51 49 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..150 150 160 170 170 170 180 180 180 180 180 180  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 13 15 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.6 2.7 3.9 5.0 5.9 6.3 5.9 5.0 3.9 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.170 170 170 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 10 16 20 21 21 20 20 20 18 16  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 5 7 13 119 136 89 87 81 67 49  
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...PRITCHETT  
REQUESTED BY...EMERGENCY MANAGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608744.0/HUN  
.DELDT 03/31/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JWHITCOMB@JACKSONCOUNTYEMA.ORG  
 
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