480
FXUS64 KHUN 141033
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
533 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 938 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH
MORE FALL-LIKE WEATHER EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.
- MINOR TO MODERATE (LEVEL 2/4) HEAT IMPACTS MAY BE OBSERVED
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 226 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY RIDGING ALOFT WILL SLIDE EAST, CENTERING
OVER THE TN VALLEY. PAIRED WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE,
ANOTHER DAY OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE UPON US. THE NBM
AGAIN IS FORECASTING RECORD TYING OR BREAKING HIGHS AT BOTH MSL
AND HSV WITH THE RECORDING BEING 90 AND 89 RESPECTIVELY. GIVEN
THAT WE BROKE RECORDS YESTERDAY, THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL BE RECORD BREAKING AGAIN TODAY. WITH DEW POINTS IN THE
MID TO HIGH 60S, CONDITIONS WILL FEEL QUITE WARM AND HUMID FOR
MID OCTOBER. AS SUCH, MAKE SURE TO CONTINUE TO PRACTICE PROPER
HEAT SAFETY AND DON'T LET THE TIME OF YEAR GIVE YOU A FALSE SENSE
OF SECURITY. NEVER LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN CARS AND MAKE SURE TO
STAY HYDRATED IF PARTAKING IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 938 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
COOL TO MILD CONDITIONS WED NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 60S.
ONE LAST VERY WARM TO HOT DAY IS EXPECTED ON THU, WITH 925MB
TEMPERATURES AGAIN AROUND 22-23C. THUS HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
RISE INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A STANDING RECORD HIGH OF
88/1947 HUNTSVILLE COULD BE EXCEEDED, WHILE 91/2015 MUSCLE SHOALS
WILL BE GIVEN A CHALLENGE. ONE LAST COOL/MILD NIGHT THU NIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 60S.
THE WARM SPELL WILL COME TO AN ABRUPT END LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI,
AS THE AFORMENTIONED COLD FRONT FINALLY SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA.
TIMING OF THE FRONT SUGGESTS IT PASSING FRI MORNING. A MARKED
SEPARATION BETWEEN A MAIN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR NORTH
AND EAST, AND DRIER AIR FILTERING IN FROM THE WEST WILL MAKE FOR A
DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE. WINDS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL VEER FROM
SW TO THE NNW AT 15-25 MPH AND GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS ON
FRI WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW/MID 70S WEST, TO NEAR 80 EAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL RAPIDLY COOL FRI AFTERNOON, WITH READINGS DOWN
INTO THE LOW/MID 60S AT DUSK.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 938 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
A FAST-MOVING UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE OHIO/TENNESSEE
VALLEYS ON FRIDAY AND PIVOT INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. VERY BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY
THIS FEATURE, WITH A STRONG PUSH OF COOL, DRY AIR MOVING INTO THE
REGION IN ITS WAKE. THIS CAN BE SEEN WITH TEMPERATURES AS THEY
WILL DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY FRIDAY NIGHT, EVENTUALLY SETTLING INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 40S IN MOST LOCATIONS BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
BREEZY POST FRONTAL WINDS OUT OF THE NNE WILL REINFORCE THIS AIR
MASS AS HIGHS WILL BE VERY NOTABLY LOWER ON SATURDAY AND ONLY PEAK
IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S, AND LOWS AGAIN DROPPING TO THE 40S.
WINDS WILL WEAKEN BY SUNDAY AND VEER TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THIS WILL DO LITTLE TO MODIFY THE AIR
MASS INITIALLY AS HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY PEAK IN THE MID/UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S. RIDGING REALLY BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN A GRADUAL WARMING TREND,
THANKS TO AMPLE SUNSHINE AND SOUTHERLY FLOW. DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 70S WILL BE COMMON, WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 533 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH TERMINALS FOR THE DURATION OF
THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...RAD
SHORT TERM....RSB
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...RAD
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