107
FXUS64 KHUN 092026
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
326 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1100 AM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
- ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES (40% OR LESS) WILL LINGER THROUGH TODAY
WITH A LOW RISK OF FLOODING IF STORMS TRACK ACROSS PREVIOUSLY
FLOODED AREAS IN NORTHEAST AL.
- HEAT RISK INCREASES BY LATE THIS WEEK WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN
THE MIDDLE 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- MONITORING THE RISK FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SHORT LIVED THUNDERSTORMS
OVER DEKALB COUNTY. CURRENT HEAT INDICES HAVE RISEN TO THE 92-98
DEGREE RANGE MAKING FOR AN UNCOMFORTABLY HOT AND HUMID AFTERNOON.
WE WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NORTH AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE DURING THE AFTERNOON UPDATE.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
WITH THE UPPER WAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAY'S STORMS EXITING TO
OUR EAST, THERE WILL BE LESS SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION LOCALLY AND
THUS WE HAVE POPS CAPPED AT 40% OR LOWER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN/NORTHEAST AL AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN TODAY. WITH STILL
WEAK STEERING FLOW ALOFT, ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP IN
THE AREA WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN. WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE RADAR TRENDS
CLOSELY ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS THAT HAVE EXPERIENCED FLOODING
THIS WEEK.
OUTSIDE OF THIS, HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S WITH
HUMIDITY BRINGING HEAT INDICES TO THE MID TO UPPER 90S. PLEASE
PRACTICE HEAT SAFETY BY PROTECTING YOUR SKIN, STAYING HYDRATED,
AND NEVER LEAVING PEOPLE OR PETS UNATTENDED IN VEHICLES.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL TO THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S WITH CHANCES
FOR PATCHY DENSE FOG ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST AL. WE WILL
MONITOR THIS CLOSELY THROUGH THE NIGHT IN CASE ADVISORY CONDITIONS
ARE MET.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE FAR SE, RELATIVELY DRIER AIR
WILL MOVE IN AT LEAST TEMPORARILY THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD
OFFERING A TRADE OFF BETWEEN THE RAINY PATTERN FOR A HOTTER AND
HUMID FEW DAYS. DANGEROUS HEAT WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 90S AND HEAT INDICES NEAR OR JUST ABOVE 100
DEGREES. WHILE WE WON'T BE COMPLETELY RID OF THUNDERSTORM CHANCES,
THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS IN NORTHEAST AL AND WILL BE CAPPED
BETWEEN 20-30% BOTH DAYS. WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID
70S, THIS WILL OFFER LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY. PLEASE WEAR SKIN AND HEAT PROTECTING
CLOTHING IF SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS AS WELL AS STAYING HYDRATED.
ALWAYS LOOK BEFORE YOU LOCK AND NEVER LEAVE PEOPLE OR PETS IN
UNATTENDED VEHICLES!
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 956 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
THE AFOREMENTIONED WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S FRIDAY ALONG
WITH HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100-103 DEGREES. ONE
THING TO KEEP AN EYE ON WITH FRIDAY WILL BE HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER
AND RETURNING RAIN CHANCES AFFECT THESE FORECAST TEMPERATURES.
THERE CONTINUES TO BE MODEL UNCERTAINTY IN HOW FAR SOUTH A COLD
FRONT TRAVELS AND SUBSEQUENT RAIN CHANCES ON FRIDAY. HEAT
CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND (ALTHOUGH WITH LOWER HEAT INDEX
VALUES) AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S BOTH SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. DESPITE THIS FORECAST REMAINING BELOW HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA, WE REITERATE TO REMAIN HYDRATED AND TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO
PREVENT HEAT RELATED ILLNESS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH A LOW
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL AS PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT. AMENDMENTS MAY BE NEEDED IF IT LOOKS LIKE THE
TERMINALS WILL BE IMPACTED.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...25
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page