274
FXUS64 KHUN 241933
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
233 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1039 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
- CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE INITIATION OF BRUSH AND
WILD FIRES REGION-WIDE TODAY WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES DIPPING
BELOW 30%.
- AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN
FROM WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY.
- LOW CHANCES (10-20%) FOR LIGHT SHOWERS ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING.
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
AFTERNOON TEMPS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S
ACROSS THE REGION AS MIXING CONTINUES TO DROP DEWPOINTS INTO THE
20S AND 30S AND THUS RH VALUES CURRENTLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S. WITH THE AREA REMAINING IN A SEVERE DROUGHT,
ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. LIGHTER
WINDS ARE THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR AND HAVE KEPT US FROM NEEDING A
RED FLAG WARNING, BUT SEVERAL FIRES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS THE
REGION EVIDENT BY SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE
CONTINUE TO PRACTICE FIRE SAFETY BY AVOIDING SPARKS AND OPEN
FLAMES IN UN-CONTAINED AREAS. TEMPS WILL COOL INTO THE UPPER
40S/LOWER 50S TONIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES MOVING INTO THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1039 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
A DRY FORECAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD AS HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE THE DOMINANT INFLUENCE. UPPER
RIDGING/HEIGHT RISES WILL PROMOTE A CONTINUED WARMING TREND
THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGHS CLIMB BACK INTO THE 80S AND
SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW HELPS TO ADVECT BETTER MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA. WHILE THIS SHOULD MITIGATE FIRE CONCERNS SOMEWHAT, WE REMAIN
IN A SEVERE DROUGHT ACROSS A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE AREA AND
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THURSDAY WILL RAISE WILDFIRE
CONCERNS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 943 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN CENTERED IN THE DEEP SOUTH THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS REGION,
A COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY SHIFT SOUTHWARD FROM THE OH RIVER VALLEY
TOWARDS OUR AREA. IN TURN, LOW RAIN CHANCES (30% OR LESS) ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE TN RIVER FRIDAY EVENING. AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED SFC HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD, DRY CONDITIONS RETURN
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND WITH SEASONAL HIGHS IN THE
60S-70S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH
PREDOMINANTLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS THAT MAY GUST NEAR 15KTS
TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF BKN TO OVC
SKIES ARE EXPECTED BUT CIGS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 20KFT.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...25
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