752
FXUS64 KHUN 110308
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1008 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
- MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUES TO
MOVE NORTHEAST.
- DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT/MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE EAST OF THE
SURFACE LOW NOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. SOME
HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG/AHEAD OF A TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING SSE FROM THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM INTO MARSHALL COUNTY,
AL. THROUGH MIDNIGHT BETWEEN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH TO ONE HALF
OF AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LOOKS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF
DEKALB, JACKSON, AND MOORE/FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN TENNESSEE. THIS
TROUGH AXIS SHOULD SHIFT NORTHEAST OF THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AS WE GO INTO SUNDAY MORNING, THE SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
COULD LINGER IN NW ALABAMA BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AM, BEFORE ENDING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THIS REMNANT LOW.
FURTHER EAST, LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE
MORNING HOURS BEFORE ENDING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUD
COVER SHOULD LINGER NEAR AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR INTO THE
MID/LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. FURTHER WEST, SUNNY SKIES SHOULD RETURN
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WHERE CLOUDS DISPERSE IN THE
AFTERNOON, HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. FURTHER
EAST, HIGHS WILL LIKELY ONLY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S.
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT OR CALM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE BY
TOMORROW NIGHT. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD FOG
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THIS FOG COULD BE
DENSE AND A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED DURING THAT PERIOD.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ARE EXPECTED.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE AREA MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. THIS AND SUNNY SKIES SHOULD PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON MONDAY.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1007 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
THE UPPER RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE SUNNY SKIES AND BUILDING UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL MAKE FOR A VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED LONGWAVE TROUGH AXIS MAKES SOME
SLIGHT PROGRESS PUSHING EAST INTO THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK/WEEKEND. HOWEVER, OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THE SURFACE AND UPPER RIDGE REMAIN STOUT. HOWEVER, ENOUGH
FORCING ALOFT AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE DOES SETUP OVER MUCH OF
TENNESSEE TO PRODUCE SOME PRECIPITATION OVER THAT AREA. OUR
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE COUNTIES COULD SEE SOME LOW END
PRECIPITATION CHANCES, BUT CONSISTENCY IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT
THIS TIME. MOST GUIDANCE DOES PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER TO TO
THE AREA THAT IS MORE SEASONABLE INTO THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 654 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
INCLEMENT FLYING CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT, AS THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF THE SYSTEM, WILL KEEP IFR/MVFR CIGS
IN PLACE, WITH TEMPO REDUCTIONS OF CIGS AND/OR VSBY AS WEAK BANDS
OF SHOWERS TRAVERSE THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS THIS EVENING SHOULD
BECOME WESTERLY, THEN FROM THE SW-W ON SUN AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTS
ACROSS EASTERN TN. A SLOW IMPROVEMENT IS CIG/VSBY IS EXPECTED
DURING THE DAY SUN AS DRIER AIR SLOWLY RETURNS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED LATE SUN MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, WITH WESTERLY
WINDS OF 5-10KT, AT TIMES HIGHER IN THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...KTW
SHORT TERM....KTW
LONG TERM....KTW
AVIATION...RSB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page