272
FXUS64 KHUN 310237
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
937 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 937 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
- A WARM, MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK,
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S EACH DAY, WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO
THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE STARTING WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME STRONGER STORMS COULD DEVELOP BY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 937 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS CONTINUE TONIGHT AFTER A MILD SPRING
AFTERNOON. GIVEN SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S, TEMPERATURES ARE
NOT FORECAST TO FALL MUCH TONIGHT WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CLOUD COVER
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AL THAT WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHERN
PART OF THE STATE OVERNIGHT. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE CLOUD
COVER.
HEADING INTO TUESDAY, HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DRIFT OFF THE
EAST COAST. SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SFC WILL REINFORCE THE WARM AND
MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. THE CLOUD COVER THAT
MOVES IN OVERNIGHT SHOULD CLEAR OUT DURING THE MORNING ALLOWING
FOR SUNSHINE TO WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 80S.
AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE RIPPLES THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS, A
LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MAY
DEVELOP.
SHORT TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 937 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOPED EARLIER DURING THE
AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. ONCE AGAIN, A MILD AND HUMID EVENING WITH LOWS BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING DROPPING DOWN INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
AS A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EJECTS EASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY, EXPECT A MORE PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE
TO MOVE THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THIS WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH
FORCING TO GENERATE LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES (30-50%) OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH BETTER COVERAGE COMPARED TO TUESDAY. BASED ON
FORECAST SOUNDINGS, DO NOT EXPECT STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS GIVEN
WEAK SHEAR AND MODEST INSTABILITY. DESPITE THE PRECIPITATION,
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO
THE LOW TO MID 80S.
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SFC CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
IN THE PLAINS OCCURS WITH THE LOW FORECAST TO LIFT OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AN AREA OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY AND INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONSIDERABLY WEAKENING, DO NOT EXPECT SEVERE
STORMS WITH THIS PRECIPITATION, BUT IT WILL BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED
RAIN TO THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 937 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY. A BRIEF
BREAK IN PRECIP SHOULD OCCUR FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK UP INTO THE 80S. GIVEN THE WARM AND
MOIST ENVIRONMENT, THERE IS AT LEAST A LOW CHANCE (20-30%) OF SOME
DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS, BUT COVERAGE AT THIS TIME IS
EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO
DIG SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH OUR NEXT IMPACTFUL SYSTEM
FORECAST TO ARRIVE INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. AS A SFC CYCLONE
EJECTS TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION, A COLD FRONT WILL SWING
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON SATURDAY. LATEST MODEL TRENDS BRING
THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCES (50-65%) OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT DOES NOT
LOOK AT THIS TIME THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS
AS THE BETTER FORCING IS EXPECTED TO BE DISPLACED TO OUR NORTH.
MODEST INSTABILITY AND SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR SOME
STRONGER STORMS TO DEVELOP.
THE FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. A NOTICEABLE AIRMASS CHANGE WILL BE FELT BY THE START OF
NEXT WEEK AS NORTHWEST FLOW USHERS IN SOME COOLER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL RISE INTO THE
UPPER 60S, A FEW DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
EARLIER CLOUD COVER HAS REALLY SCATTERED OUT. SOME SCATTERED HIGH
CLOUDS REMAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE
PREDOMINANTLY LOOKING UPSTREAM AT SATELLITE IMAGERY/MODEL PROGS.
MODELS DO SHOW ANOTHER AREA OF CLOUD COVER PUSHING NORTHWEST INTO
THE TERMINALS AT TIMES BETWEEN 2Z AND 6Z. WINDS WILL TURN A BIT
MORE SOUTHWESTERLY BY DAYBREAK, WHEN MORE PREDOMINANT AND LIKELY
MVFR CIGS BUILD OVER THE TERMINALS. THESE CIGS SHOULD LIFT BY 18Z
INTO VFR RANGE. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZIER ON TUESDAY AROUND 10
KTS GUSTING TO 20 KTS.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...GH
SHORT TERM....GH
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...KTW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page