261  
FNUS55 KPSR 211009  
FWFPSR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL  
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
309 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH  
TEMPERATURES WARMING RAPIDLY. MINRH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 10-15%  
BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW AND OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL BE AROUND  
35-45%. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GO FROM AROUND 70 DEGREES  
ACROSS THE LOWER DESERTS TODAY TO THE LOW TO MID 80S TOMORROW.  
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY WITH AN OCCASIONAL BREEZE UP TO 15-20  
MPH AND A WEAK NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY DIRECTIONAL COMPONENT. THERE  
WILL BE AN UPTICK IN EASTERLY WINDS TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS  
SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ, WITH GENERAL WINDS UP TO 10-15 MPH AND GUSTS UP  
TO 20-25 MPH ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS (BELOW 3000') AND A BIT  
HIGHER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS, UP TO 15-25 MPH SUSTAINED WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH. THERE IS NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST  
FOR THIS WEEKEND. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH TODAY,  
FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS THIS EVENING/TONIGHT.  
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
 
AZZ132-212215-  
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX  
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-  
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-  
309 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................65-72.  
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-17 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHEAST 5 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-53.  
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................29-48 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-82.  
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-14 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHEAST 8 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-57. HIGHS 78-84. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 49-61. HIGHS 81-86. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-64. HIGHS 83-91. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 85-90.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 86-92.  
 
 
 
AZZ131-CAZ231-212215-  
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-  
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-  
309 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026 /209 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026/  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-72.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-18 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 6 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................40-50.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-55 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-81.  
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-16 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 12 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 44-55. HIGHS 79-84. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 47-60. HIGHS 83-88. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-62. HIGHS 87-92. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-63. HIGHS 87-92.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-63. HIGHS 88-93.  
 
 
 
AZZ133-212215-  
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-  
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/  
CAZ-  
309 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................54-67.  
* 24 HR TREND..................11 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................17 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................34-50.  
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-54 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................25 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-75.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-22 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-53. HIGHS 65-79. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
20 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39-56. HIGHS 68-81. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-58. HIGHS 69-82. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-59. HIGHS 71-85.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-60. HIGHS 73-87.  
 
 
 
CAZ232-212215-  
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-  
209 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-70.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-20 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-52.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................27-49 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-79.  
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-16 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-60. HIGHS 75-83. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51-64. HIGHS 79-88. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 57-65. HIGHS 83-92. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-67. HIGHS 82-91.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-68. HIGHS 84-93.  
 
 
 
CAZ230-212215-  
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-  
209 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................51-64.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-25 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................37-45.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-40 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................60-73.  
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-19 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-56. HIGHS 65-78. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-61. HIGHS 71-83. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 72-85. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 71-84.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-62. HIGHS 73-86.  
 
 
   
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK  
SATURDAY FEBRUARY 28TH THROUGH MONDAY  
MARCH 2ND: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN  
PRECIPITATION.  
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