629
FNUS55 KPSR 170740
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1240 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
DISCUSSION
A WEATHER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE REGION
EARLY TODAY WITH RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE EASTERN DISTRICTS MOSTLY
ENDING BY THIS AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AND PICK UP AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS GUSTS ONCE AGAIN REACH ABOVE 35
MPH IN SOME AREAS. ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ARIZONA HIGH TERRAIN ON WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON
MINRH VALUES WILL RANGE BETWEEN 25-40% ACROSS THE LOWER DESERTS TO
35-60% OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS THROUGH FRIDAY. OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY WILL RANGE FROM GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-171945-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
1240 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................63-71.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-35 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......7900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-52.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-93 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND BECOMING 45 TO 55 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-66.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................29-42 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 55 TO 65 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......3900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 21 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-46. HIGHS 58-66. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-46. HIGHS 58-66. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-50. HIGHS 65-72. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 43-54. HIGHS 73-79.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-57. HIGHS 77-83.
AZZ131-CAZ231-171945-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
1240 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2026 /1140 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026/
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................68-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................30-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-49.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-82 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND BECOMING 55 TO 65 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................63-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-35 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........WEST 29 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38-47. HIGHS 63-68. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-47. HIGHS 63-68. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 36-49. HIGHS 67-72. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-53. HIGHS 73-78.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 44-55. HIGHS 78-83.
AZZ133-171945-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
1240 AM MST TUE FEB 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................46-61.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................41-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................21 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 20 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................80 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............9 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................32-46.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................76-100 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING BECOMING SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................44-58.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................49-70 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............7 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 29-43. HIGHS 44-57. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS, SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 24-42. HIGHS 44-58.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24-47. HIGHS 53-67. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32-50. HIGHS 60-74.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37-53. HIGHS 64-79.
CAZ232-171945-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
1140 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................29-43 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................46-53.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................61-82 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 65 TO 75 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. PATCHY BLOWING DUST .
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................57-67.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-38 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-49. HIGHS 57-68. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-49. HIGHS 58-68. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-52. HIGHS 62-70. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-56. HIGHS 69-76.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-58. HIGHS 74-82.
CAZ230-171945-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
1140 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................48-64.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................32-58 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................35-47.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-96 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 60 TO 70 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND BECOMING 70 TO 80 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................43-59.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-49 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 65 TO 75 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
29-41. HIGHS 44-59. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 30-41. HIGHS 47-60. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 31-46. HIGHS 50-63. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 37-50. HIGHS 58-70.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41-53. HIGHS 63-75.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
TUESDAY FEBRUARY 24TH THROUGH THURSDAY
FEBRUARY 26TH: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO BELOW MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page