005
FNUS55 KPSR 231038
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
338 AM MST TUE APR 23 2019
DISCUSSION
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL INCREASE STORM CHANCES IN SOUTH-
CENTRAL ARIZONA TODAY. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE EAST OF A LINE
EXTENDING FROM SUNFLOWER, AZ TO SUPERIOR AZ THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DRY LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC
GUSTY WINDS. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS, SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHTER SIDE. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM
THE TEENS IN SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA TO THE LOW 30S IN FAR EASTERN
GILA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. VERY GOOD RECOVERIES TONIGHT.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-232245-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
338 AM MST TUE APR 23 2019
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................84-91.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHWEST 3 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................58-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-96.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 8 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 63-73. HIGHS 93-99. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-73. HIGHS 94-100. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 61-71. HIGHS 91-98. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-69. HIGHS 88-94.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 82-88.
AZZ131-CAZ231-232245-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
338 AM MST TUE APR 23 2019 /338 AM PDT TUE APR 23 2019/
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-96.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-68.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-58 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-99.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 66-71. HIGHS 97-101. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66-71. HIGHS 97-101. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-70. HIGHS 95-99. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 90-94.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 86-90.
AZZ133-232245-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
338 AM MST TUE APR 23 2019
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................66-82.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING BECOMING 3 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-59.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................57-79 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................74-89.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-26 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 47-66. HIGHS 79-94. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-66. HIGHS 81-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 50-66. HIGHS 80-94. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-64. HIGHS 77-91.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-61. HIGHS 71-86.
CAZ232-232245-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
338 AM PDT TUE APR 23 2019
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-95.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-71.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-50 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-99.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 66-73. HIGHS 92-101. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-72. HIGHS 91-100. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-71. HIGHS 89-98. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-68. HIGHS 84-93.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-66. HIGHS 80-88.
CAZ230-232245-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
338 AM PDT TUE APR 23 2019
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-89.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................55-65.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................22-28 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-94.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-68. HIGHS 81-96. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 54-67. HIGHS 81-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-66. HIGHS 78-94. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-63. HIGHS 73-88.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-59. HIGHS 69-85.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
TUESDAY APRIL 30TH THROUGH THURSDAY MAY
2ND: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.
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