432
FNUS55 KTWC 021011
FWFTWC
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF 'LIGHT WINDS' INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE 20-25 PERCENT EAST OF TUCSON-
NOGALES TODAY AND SUNDAY AND 10-15 PERCENT TO THE WEST. STRONG
SOUTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THROUGH THE GILA RIVER VALLEY OF 18-23
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON TODAY,
DECREASING TO 12-17 MPH AND GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT.
WINDS EAST TO SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH ELSEWHERE, WITH SOMEWHAT
STRONGER WINDS IN AREAS EXPOSED TO EAST-SOUTHEAST FLOW.
SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, THOUGH THE PROBABILITY OF
WETTING RAIN IS LOW. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EARLY
EVENING. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM.
A PACIFIC SYSTEM AND FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH SUNDAY, CROSSING
THE REGION LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AND INCREASE TO
15-20 MPH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOONS WITH GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH.
A VERY ISOLATED CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE
EASTERN COUNTIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY A THUNDERSTORM ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
INCREASE FROM 15-25 PERCENT MONDAY TO 20-30 PERCENT TUESDAY,
WITH EVEN HIGHER VALUES IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WARMING AND DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
AZZ150-022215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 150
SONORAN FDRA-MOST OF PIMA COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-TUCSON METROPOLITAN AREA-TDC-
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............SUNNY (0-10 PCT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (20-30 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........85 TO 95 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 2 TO 5 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............12 TO 22 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT............11784 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 9 TO 16 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (188544 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........60 TO 70 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 9 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............32 TO 42 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 TO 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........85 TO 95 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............13 TO 23 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 2 TO 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............12516 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTH 14 TO 20 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (250320 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 60 TO 70.
HIGHS 77 TO 87. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
18 TO 28 PCT.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 51 TO 61. HIGHS
70 TO 80. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO
31 PCT.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS 75 TO 85. LIGHT WINDS.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 21 PCT.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 61. HIGHS 85 TO 95.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 56 TO 66. HIGHS 91 TO 101.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
AZZ151-022215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 151
WESTERN HALF DESERT GRASSLANDS FDRA INCLUDING ELEVATIONS UP TO
5500 FEET IN SOUTHEAST CORNER OF PINAL COUNTY-
EXTREME EASTERN PIMA COUNTY-WESTERN THIRD OF COCHISE COUNTY-
SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-TDC-
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PCT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........76 TO 86 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............16 TO 26 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT............11759 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (211662 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........53 TO 63 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 9 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............54 TO 64 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 9 TO 13 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........78 TO 88 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............17 TO 27 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............9680 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (145200 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 53 TO 63.
HIGHS 74 TO 84. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
17 TO 27 PCT.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 65 TO 75. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 25 TO 35 PCT.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 49. HIGHS 69 TO 79. WEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 16 TO 26 PCT.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS 77 TO 87.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 49 TO 59. HIGHS 83 TO 93.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
AZZ152-022215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 152
EASTERN HALF DESERT GRASSLANDS FDRA INCLUDING ELEVATIONS UP TO
5500 FEET IN SOUTHWEST GRAHAM COUNTY AND EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
COCHISE COUNTY-SOUTHERN SAN CARLOS RESERVATION-
SOUTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-TDC-
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........72 TO 82 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............22 TO 32 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 8 TO 12 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT............7607 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 22 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (167354 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........50 TO 60 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 DEG.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............58 TO 68 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........10 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........76 TO 86 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............18 TO 28 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 TO 4 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............7763 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 17 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (116445 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 51 TO 61.
HIGHS 75 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
15 TO 25 PCT.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 66 TO 76. WEST WIND AROUND
20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 25 TO 35 PCT.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 49. HIGHS 69 TO 79. WEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 14 TO 24 PCT.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 43 TO 53. HIGHS 76 TO 86.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 48 TO 58. HIGHS 82 TO 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
AZZ153-022215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 153
NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTY-NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-
WHITE AND GILA MOUNTAINS-APACHE SITGREAVES NF-
SOUTHERN SAN CARLOS RESERVATION ABOVE 5000 FEET-SDC-
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PCT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........20 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........60 TO 70 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 TO 7 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............32 TO 42 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 10 TO 14 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............9187 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 16 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (146992 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........42 TO 52 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 DEG.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............64 TO 74 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 TO 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........10 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........64 TO 74 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............26 TO 36 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 5 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............8433 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 14 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
17 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (143361 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS
64 TO 74. WEST WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 17 TO 27 PCT.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40 TO 50. HIGHS 54 TO 64. WEST WIND AROUND
20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 34 TO 44 PCT.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 33 TO 43. HIGHS 60 TO 70. WEST
WIND AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 15 TO 25 PCT.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 37 TO 47. HIGHS 67 TO 77.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 42 TO 52. HIGHS 73 TO 83.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
AZZ154-022215-
ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 154
FOREST WOODLANDS FDRA INCLUDING THE SKY ISLANDS OF SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA ABOVE 5500 FEET-CORONADO NF-TDC-
311 AM MST SAT MAY 2 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........63 TO 73 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............32 TO 42 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 7 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..BREEZY. SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT............9474 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 19 KNOTS.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (161058 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT).
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE..........47 TO 57 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 4 DEGS.
* MAX HUMIDITY.............60 TO 70 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 TO 10 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER........0 PCT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE..........67 TO 77 DEGS.
24 HR TREND...........UP 3 TO 6 DEGS.
* MIN HUMIDITY.............26 TO 36 PCT.
24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 PCT.
* WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WIND........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT............10139 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 14 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (141946 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 49 TO 59.
HIGHS 65 TO 75. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 20 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY
20 TO 30 PCT.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44 TO 54. HIGHS 56 TO 66. SOUTHWEST WIND
AROUND 25 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 31 TO 41 PCT.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 36 TO 46. HIGHS 59 TO 69. WEST WIND
AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 20 TO 30 PCT.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 41 TO 51. HIGHS 66 TO 76.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 46 TO 56. HIGHS 72 TO 82.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
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