325
FNUS75 KFGZ 242127
FWSFGZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR POCKET FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
227 PM MST FRI JUL 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MST ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ
DISCUSSION
VERY WARM WEATHER AND SUBDUED CONVECTIVE BEHAVIOR
CONTINUES FOR SATURDAY, BUT ACTIVITY MAY INCREASE FOR SUNDAY AS
TROPICAL MOISTURE ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH.
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW WILL GENERALLY STAY TIED TO
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. OUTFLOWS AND IMPROVED STEERING FLOW ON SUNDAY
MAY ALLOW FOR A HIGHER THREAT OF FLOODING TO ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THERE IS A NOT A STRONG NOCTURNAL SIGNAL, LIKE WE
SAW EARLIER THIS WEEK AND LAST WEEKEND.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 TO 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT (LOWER ELEVATIONS) TO
26 PERCENT (HIGHER ELEVATIONS).
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH AT THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY MIX OUT
TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD.
CLEARING INDEX......474.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 12300
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO
200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOW TEMPERATURES WILL VARY QUITE A BIT. SOME
LOWER ELEVATIONS THAT HAVE PESISTENT DRAINAGE
WILL BE AROUND 74 TO 76 DEGREES, WHILE UPPER
LOCATIONS WILL BE 55 TO 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 TO 60 PERCENT IN LOWER, DRAINAGE WIND AFFECTED
LOCATIONS, TO NEAR 90 PERCENT AT THE UPPER
ELEVATIONS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH. SOME AREAS
THAT DRAIN TO THE SOUTH AND EAST WILL EXPERIENCE
DRAINAGE WINDS AS HIGH AS 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT (LOWER ELEVATIONS) TO
28 TO 30 PERCENT (HIGHER ELEVATIONS).
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX VENT RATE.......MARGINAL.
CLEARING INDEX......148.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=34.9935&LON=-111.8547&CLAT=34.9935&CLON=-111.8547
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...CADE HICKMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617885.3/FGZ
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CADE.HICKMAN@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page