199  
FNUS75 KFGZ 231825  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POCKET FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
1125 AM MST THU JUL 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MST ON JULY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ  
   
DISCUSSION  
TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND TO  
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LESS  
WIDESPREAD IN COVERAGE BUT STILL LIKELY FORM ABOVE AND ALONG THE  
MOGOLLON RIM EACH AFTERNOON INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE FIRE SCAR. A  
HEAVIER DOWNPOUR COULD STILL PRODUCE A FLASH FLOOD RISK EACH DAY.  
STORM MOTION WILL LIKELY BE SLOW WITH MOVEMENT GENERALLY TO THE  
NORTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEFORE MOVEMENT SHIFTS TO OFF THE RIM TO  
THE WEST/SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85-89 RIM, 96-100 LOWER CANYONS.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT RIM, 23-27 PERCENT LOWER CANYONS.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......943.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 11800  
FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-62 RIM, 68-72 LOWER CANYONS.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT RIM, 54-58 PERCENT LOWER CANYONS.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92 RIM, 99-103 LOWER CANYONS.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT RIM, 18-22 PERCENT LOWER CANYONS.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR.  
CLEARING INDEX......381.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 12700  
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO  
500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.  
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY  
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.  
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=34.9935&LON=-111.8547&CLAT=34.9935&CLON=-111.8547  
 
 
FORECASTER...BERNHART  
REQUESTED BY...CADE HICKMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617885.2/FGZ  
.DELDT 07/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CADE.HICKMAN@USDA.GOV  
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