761
FNUS75 KFGZ 161208
FWSFGZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 UBC...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
508 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 MST ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
FOR TODAY, EXPECT A ROUND OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AT THE BURN SITE, WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY NEAR 15%
AND SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS IN THE 25-30 MPH RANGE. A RED FLAG WARNING IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE ZONE BETWEEN 11 AM AND 8 PM MST, BUT RED FLAG WARNING
CRITERIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE MET FOR AREAS IN THE ZONE TO THE NORTH AND
EAST, AND ARE UNLIKELY TO BE EXCEEDED AT THE BURN ITSELF. DECREASING
WIND SPEEDS AND GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE FORECAST OVERNIGHT. ON
SUNDAY, A PASSING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING EVEN STRONGER SOUTHWEST
WINDS, BUT HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 5-10% HIGHER AT THE BURN SITE
THAN TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
ZONE ON SUNDAY, BUT SIMILARLY, THE MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE. IF YOU
HAVE ANY QUESTIONS, PLEASE GIVE US A CALL.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........AFTER 0800, SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH GUSTING TO 18 MPH.
AFTER 1200, SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH GUSTING 22-28 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......2095.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH GUSTING 20-26 MPH UNTIL 2100.
AFTER 2100, SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
5 TO 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........AFTER 0700, SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.
AFTER 1100, SOUTHWEST 18-24 MPH GUSTING 29-35 MPH.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......1819.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 TO
40 KNOTS.
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=34.6668&LON=-111.4149&CLAT=34.6668&CLON=-111.4149
FORECASTER...RICKEY
REQUESTED BY...CODY PAYNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613394.5/FGZ
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CODY.PAYNE@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.BROOKS@USDA.GOV,RYAN.RAWLINSON@USDA.GOV,CORY.BALL@USDA.GOV
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