417  
FNUS75 KFGZ 151003  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2026 UBC...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
303 AM MST FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 MST ON MAY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
*DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS PERSIST EACH DAY WITH TEMPERATURES  
5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITY NEAR 15%.  
EXPECT WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON, 10 TO 20 MPH,  
INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 MPH ON SATURDAY. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
*LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY  
ON SUNDAY WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY NEAR 20% AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST  
WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH. TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL ON MONDAY, 5 TO  
10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE, WITH WEAKER SOUTHWEST WINDS, 15 TO 25 MPH.  
TEMPERATURES INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH A RETURN OF DRY CONDITIONS  
AND LIGHT WESTERLY BREEZES.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LITTLE TO NO WIND AT IGNITION,  
BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS OF 18-22 MPH AFTER 0900 MST.  
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......858.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH, BECOMING  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNDER 5 MPH AFTER  
1900 MST.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......50-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS  
OF 25-35 MPH AFTER 0900 MST.  
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.  
CLEARING INDEX......2562.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND  
30 MPH AFTER 0900 MST.  
 
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.  
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY  
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.  
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=34.6668&LON=-111.4149&CLAT=34.6668&CLON=-111.4149  
 

 
FORECASTER...LAGUARDIA  
REQUESTED BY...CODY PAYNE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613394.4/FGZ  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN.RAWLINSON@USDA.GOV,CODY.PAYNE@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.BROOKS@USDA.GOV,CORY.BALL@USDA.GOV  
 
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