291  
FNUS75 KFGZ 200145  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG LAKE PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
645 PM MST MON OCT 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON OCTOBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ  
   
DISCUSSION  
A 30-40% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO  
BE LIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S, AROUND  
SEASONAL AVERAGES. A 50% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EXISTS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
REMAINING LIGHT. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED  
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES AND  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.50" AND 1.00" LIKELY. NUMEROUS RAIN  
SHOWERS CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AT  
TIMES AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.50" AND 1.00".  
 
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SW 10-15 MPH AFTER 10AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.  
CLEARING INDEX......1351.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 20 KNOTS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 5 MPH AFTER 8PM, S 5-10 MPH AFTER 4AM. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........S 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.  
CLEARING INDEX......1344.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTH  
20 TO 25 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.  
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY  
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.  
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=33.8659&LON=-109.4259&CLAT=33.8659&CLON=-109.4259  
 
 
FORECASTER...BERNHART  
REQUESTED BY...JOE BEHRENS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624106.0/FGZ  
.DELDT 10/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.BEHRENS@USDA.GOV  
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