013  
FNUS75 KFGZ 140009  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONUMENT FIRE...AZ DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
509 PM MST MON JUL 13 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON JULY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ  
   
DISCUSSION
 
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY,  
WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY WEAKER  
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES  
ARE LOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, BUT A STRAY SHOWER OR  
STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON. MONSOON ACTIVITY  
LOOKS TO PICK UP LATER THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH. STRONGEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.  
CLEARING INDEX......2311.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. STRONGEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10  
MPH AFTER 8 PM.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................1.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT.  
CLEARING INDEX......1725.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...STEFFEN  
REQUESTED BY...DON G WEAVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2009340.0/FGZ  
.DELDT 07/13/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL DWEAVER@DFFM.AZ.GOV  
 
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