392
FNUS75 KTWC 212011
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR BULLRIDGE RX...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
111 PM MST THU OCT 21 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MST ON OCTOBER 21.
DISCUSSION
BENIGN WEATHER CONTINUES, WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS
THAT FAVOR A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON. NO
CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES APPROACHING 20 PERCENT AND GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 TO 22 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH GUSTS TO
14 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 45 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 48 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS LESS THAN 5
MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 3 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 TO 24 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 KNOTS.
FORECASTER...HOWLETT
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES DONA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2119890.0/TWC
.DELDT 10/21/21
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL AZPHC@FIRENET.GOV
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