204  
FNUS75 KTWC 230838  
FWSTWC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ODONNELL RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ  
138 AM MST FRI JAN 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 23.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY  
NIGHT RESULTING IN ON AND OFF RAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL ALSO  
BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER IN THE RAIN BOTH THIS AFTERNOON  
AND AGAIN SATURDAY. WINDS WILL MAINLY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN  
15 MPH, THOUGH SOME GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-59 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64-67 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 KNOTS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (12600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR  
(34100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (34500 KNOT-FT)  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........90 86 92  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CWR.............60 70 90  
TEMP............50 55 56  
RH..............91 74 65  
20 FT WIND......S 7G12 S 10G18 SW 11G19  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3200 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SW 14 SW 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 45 45  
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL GOOD GOOD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 TO 13 KNOTS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO MARGINAL (14700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN  
THE NIGHT DECREASING TO MARGINAL (8800 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........92 65 68 90  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............90 50 40 80  
TEMP............51 46 45 44  
RH..............79 96 98 100  
20 FT WIND......SW 8G16 S 8G13 S 6G11 S 6G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 900 800 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 11 S 11 S 13 S 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 10 11 9  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR MRGL MRGL MRGL  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-55 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66-69 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 KNOTS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (12300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR  
(33800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........93 94 98 98  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............90 90 100 100  
TEMP............43 47 51 52  
RH..............100 99 78 68  
20 FT WIND......SW 5G8 SW 6G10 SW 8G14 W 10G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 2000 2200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 11 SW 10 W 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 14 20 29  
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL MRGL MRGL FAIR  
 
 
FORECASTER...LADER  
REQUESTED BY...WES GUTWEILER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600079.4/TWC  
.DELDT 01/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WESLEY.GUTWEILER@USDA.GOV  
 
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