145
FNUS75 KTWC 150018
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR MULE DEER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
518 PM MST FRI AUG 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON AUGUST 14.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT, WINDS FROM THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY NEAR OR UNDERNEATH STORMS AND
SHOWERS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW 70S WITH MAX RH AROUND
56%. TOMORROW, HIGH TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH MIN RH AROUND
27%. VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCES DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE
EAST UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY
BE STRONGER NEAR SHOWERS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30% DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-72 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH UP
TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (38800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1500
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3
TO 4 KNOTS AFTER 3 AM.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........58 48 45 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0
TEMP............83 77 74 71
RH..............38 45 50 54
20 FT WIND......W 4G8 SW 3G6 SW 3G6 S 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....5500 600 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 5 W 5 SW 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 3 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-92 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 KNOTS LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6 KNOTS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........31 19 17 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10
TEMP............70 79 86 88
RH..............57 45 35 28
20 FT WIND......E 3G6 N 2G5 W 4G7 NW 5G10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3000 7700 8300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 4 NE 4 S 4 W 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 12 31 42
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL FAIR GOOD
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....71-74 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-52 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO MARGINAL
(8700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 6
KNOTS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 4 KNOTS OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........43 47 41 44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 0 0 0
TEMP............87 80 77 73
RH..............29 37 42 46
20 FT WIND......W 4G7 N 3G6 E 4G6 E 3G6
MIX HGT (FT)....6000 500 300 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 SW 5 SE 5 SW 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..42 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-29 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (57700
KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 8200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 4 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........22 41 36 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10
TEMP............72 80 88 91
RH..............50 40 30 27
20 FT WIND......E 3G6 NE 2G5 NW 5G7 NW 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3100 8200 10300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 N 5 N 5 NW 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 15 41 62
VENTRATE CAT....POOR MRGL GOOD GOOD
FORECASTER...MALARKEY
REQUESTED BY...SARAH TOLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619398.5/TWC
.DELDT 08/14/26
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