174
FNUS75 KTWC 161536
FWSTWC
SPOT FORECAST FOR YAQUI...AZ-CN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
836 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MST ON MAY 16.
DISCUSSION
TODAY, WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 16 TO 21 MPH GUSTING TO 40
MPH. SOME AREAS MAY SEE STRONGER WINDS UP TO 45 MPH, ESPECIALLY ALONG
RIDGELINES AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WINDS TODAY WILL PEAK BETWEEN
1900 TO 2300 MST. MINIMUM RH TODAY WILL BE AROUND 9 PERCENT. OVERNIGHT,
WINDS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST AND WEAKEN TO 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTING
TO 25. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT. WINDS WILL PICK
UP AGAIN AFTER 0700 MST SUNDAY GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
SOME AREAS MAY SEE STRONGER WINDS UP TO 50 MPH, ESPECIALLY ALONG RIDGELINES
AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST BETWEEN 2000 MST
SUNDAY THROUGH 1000 MST MONDAY. MINIMUM RH SUNDAY WILL BE AROUND 12 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL FINALLY DROP TO LESS THAN 15 MPH AFTER 2000 MST MONDAY. MINIMUM
RH MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 18 PERCENT.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA FROM 1100 TO 2300 MST
SUNDAY, MAY 17TH. THIS IS DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS, DRY CONDITIONS,
AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL THIS WARNING WILL BE EXTENDED
INTO MONDAY FOR THIS AREA.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-12 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(127500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 KNOTS.
TIME (MST) 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........0 0 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0
TEMP............74 81 83
RH..............14 10 11
20 FT WIND......SW 14G20 SW 14G22 SW 16G24
MIX HGT (FT)....4000 6400 7100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 17 SW 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 108 128
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (140200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(7100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 KNOTS.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........0 1 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 69 62 57
RH..............14 21 27 34
20 FT WIND......SW 17G28 W 20G32 W 16G22 W 13G17
MIX HGT (FT)....6700 500 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 23 SW 17 SW 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..140 12 10 8
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT MRGL MRGL POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-81 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 27 MPH. GUSTS UP
TO 38 MPH INCREASING TO 45 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (9700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(166700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 28 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND
29 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........2 0 0 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 71 78 78
RH..............34 20 13 13
20 FT WIND......SW 17G25 S 23G36 SW 22G32 SW 22G33
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3700 6500 6800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 19 SW 24 SW 27 SW 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 90 175 189
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL VYGD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 21 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...MALARKEY
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN HOLLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613673.2/TWC
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AZTDC@FIRENET.GOV
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page