030  
FNUS75 KTWC 180107  
FWSTWC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MENEGERS DAM...TOHONO OODHAM OEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ  
607 PM MST WED SEP 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MST ON SEPTEMBER 17.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING CHANCES FOR STORMS AND SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE  
TO DIMINISH. THERE IS CURRENTLY ONE STORM JUST TO THE SOUTH OF MENEGERS BUT  
IT IS MOSTLY STAYING TO THE SOUTH. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH STORMS AND SHOWERS  
IS BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. TOMORROW, THERE IS A 30  
TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR STORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING HOURS.  
AGAIN, THE MAIN CONCERN WITH STORMS AND SHOWERS IS HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO  
FLASH FLOODING. THERE IS A 20 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR GREATER THAN 1  
INCH OF RAINFALL. BY THE WEEKEND, STORM CHANCES DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY  
AND AN INCREASING TEMPERATURE TREND BEGINS.  
 
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....73-76 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-84 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4 TO 10 KNOTS.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........79 79 59 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10  
TEMP............87 83 80 77  
RH..............54 60 68 77  
SURFACE WIND....N 5G12 SW 5G9 S 4G8 SE 3G6  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SE 7 SE 6 S 5  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-97 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-43 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........39 28 33 65  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 50  
TEMP............75 84 92 94  
RH..............82 60 47 41  
SURFACE WIND....E 3G5 S 3G7 SW 4G8 W 4G10  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 SE 6 S 6 SW 5  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....74-77 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-83 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 11 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3  
TO 4 KNOTS OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 4 KNOTS AFTER 3 AM.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........57 59 54 57  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 20 20  
TEMP............91 84 80 77  
RH..............49 61 69 79  
SURFACE WIND....W 5G10 SW 4G8 S 4G8 SE 3G6  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 W 8 NW 5 NE 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-98 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-42 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 KNOTS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........50 50 55 55  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30  
TEMP............76 84 93 96  
RH..............80 62 44 40  
SURFACE WIND....E 3G5 SE 3G7 S 4G8 SW 4G10  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 SE 7 S 8 SW 8  
 

 
FORECASTER...MALARKEY  
REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY MANUEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2522125.0/TWC  
.DELDT 09/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTHONY.MANUEL@TONATION-NSN.GOV  
 
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON  
 
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