943  
FNUS75 KVEF 171121  
FWSVEF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOTHIC FIRE...SND-BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV  
421 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 PDT ON JULY 17.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT  
(702) 263-9750.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THE DAY TO DAY COOLING AND MOISTENING TREND WILL  
ACCELERATE TONIGHT. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT THE  
FIRE SITE WILL BE 10 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, PEAK  
NEAR 40 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THEN DROP BACK TO 10  
TO 20 PERCENT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOWER HUMIDITY WILL  
ALSO RETURN BEGINNING SATURDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HAZE IN THE  
MORNING. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
10000 FT WINDS....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
CWR (>= 0.10).......5 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. HAZE THROUGH THE  
NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE  
EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........51-54 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING.  
10000 FT WINDS....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR (>= 0.10).......5 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 KNOTS.  
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. HAZE THROUGH THE DAY. AREAS OF  
SMOKE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31-34 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
10000 FT WINDS....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR (>= 0.10).......20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
VENTILATION.........VERY GOOD.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MORGAN  
REQUESTED BY...BRADY SHULTZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517804.7/VEF  
.DELDT 07/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BSHULTZ@BLM.GOV  
 
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