993
FXUS65 KTWC 191003
AFDTWC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
303 AM MST THU FEB 19 2026
SYNOPSIS
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WORK WEEK WITH BREEZY WINDS AND DAILY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW.
COOL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A WARMING TREND TO
FOLLOW INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
DOPPLER RADAR, AS OF 250 AM, WAS SHOWING LIGHT SHOWERS
ACROSS EASTERN PINAL COUNTY AND WESTERN GRAHAM COUNTY. THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF THAT BROUGHT THESE LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT HAS PUSHED
NORTHEAST WHILE A FOLLOW-UP TROF WAS MOVING INTO NORTHERN CA THIS
MORNING. THIS TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE LATER TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MAINLY AREAS
FROM TUCSON. QPF WILL BE LIGHT ALONG WITH MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN THE MOUNTAINS. BREEZES, NOT AS STRONG AS YESTERDAY, WILL BE
AROUND TODAY AND FRIDAY. COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE WARM-UP TO NORMAL BEGINS ON
SATURDAY.
DAYS 4-7 (SUN FEB 22 TO WED FEB 25)
WARMER WITH HIGHS MONDAY THRU TUESDAY WILL RUN AROUND 8 TO 13
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS (FEB 26 TO MAR 4)
TEMPERATURE: LIKELY ABOVE NORMAL (60-70%)
PRECIPITATION: LEANING BELOW NORMAL (40-50%)
REMINDER THAT THE CPC MARCH & SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED
THIS AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
VALID THROUGH 20/12Z.
SCT-BKN 5K-8K FT AGL WITH ISOLD -SHRA MAINLY NORTH OF KTUS FOR
MUCH OF THE PD. S OF KTUS MAINLY CIRRUS LEVEL CLOUDS PASSING THRU.
SFC WINDS BELOW 10 KTS TIL 19/20Z THEN WLY 12-16 KTS WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
TAF AMENDMENTS.
FIRE WEATHER
BREEZY WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY. ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
MOVES FROM TUCSON NORTH LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. DRY
THIS WEEKEND AND WARMER WITH LESS WIND.
TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PUBLIC FORECASTER
AVIATION...AVIATION FORECASTER
FIRE WEATHER....FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
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