137
FXUS65 KVEF 042300
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 PM PST WED MAR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY, WITH A RELATIVE LULL ON FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.
* CALMER CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON IN BISHOP AND DYER AND CONTINUE TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT
REACHING THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN UPPER LOW
WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST AND WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION FURTHER EAST AS
WELL (ALTHOUGH A BRIEF SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN FAR EASTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY ON THURSDAY). THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE WIND AND NO
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WIND ADVISORIES THAT ARE IN EFFECT. THE
TREND HAS BEEN FURTHER EAST WHICH MAY LIMIT THE WINDS TO SOME EXTENT
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY (INYO AND WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES).
IN GENERAL, WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. AS THE FIRST WAVE PUSHES TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY WINDS WILL BACK OFF MARGINALLY BUT THE SECOND WAVE WILL DIVE
SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA FRIDAY EVENING AND PARK OFF THE BAJA
COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL AID IN PRODUCING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
WIND AND FOR SOME LOCATIONS, LIKE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY A
LIKELY STRONGER SHOT OF WINDS ON SATURDAY. WE'LL BE MONITORING THIS
EVOLUTION AND THE POTENTIAL NEED FOR ADDITIONAL WIND PRODUCTS WITH
THE SECOND SYSTEM. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES
OR SO COOLER ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW THEIR
SEASONAL NORMALS.
THE LATEST ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLE TOOLS INDICATE THE CLOSED
LOW OVER THE BAJA WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST BUT IT'S IMPACTS WILL BE
DIMINISHED IN OUR AREA BY SUNDAY. SOME FORM OF RIDGING WILL BUILD
INTO THE DURING THE WEEK PROVIDING CALMER CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TREND WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGE 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT THE WINDS TO
SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 08-10Z AS A FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE VALLEY. 25 TO 35 KNOT GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT
WITH A 50% CHANCE OF GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AROUND
SUNSET BUT REMAIN NORTHERLY AND THEN RE-INTENSIFY ON FRIDAY WITH
GUSTS IN THE 20-25 KTS RANGE.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 00Z FORECAST PACKAGE...SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-
WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT, SOUTHERN
NEVADA, NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA. MEANWHILE IN INYO COUNTY AND THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN, THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT AROUND 00Z FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THIS FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST, BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS INTO SOUTHERN NEVADA
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 KTS WILL BE COMMON ON THURSDAY WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS. FEW TO BKN MID-TO-HIGH CLOUDS AOA 10
KFT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SKIES
CLEARING BEHIND IT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...CZYZYK
AVIATION...CZYZYK
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