052
FXUS65 KVEF 301142
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
442 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A PATTERN SHIFT THIS WEEK BRINGS COOLER TEMPERATURES, GUSTY WINDS,
AND MID-WEEK PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TODAY MARKS THE END OF OUR HISTORIC MARCH HEATWAVE. TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL, BUT WE SHOULD STAY BELOW RECORD
VALUES ACROSS THE AREA. AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES, TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO DROP FAIRLY STEADILY (MAY SEE A SLIGHT UPTICK ON
THURSDAY). THE COOLEST DAY LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR, OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW, NORMAL. THE PATTERN
CHANGE WON'T JUST BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES, BUT ALSO GUSTY WINDS
AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. STRONGEST GUSTS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS MULTIPLE TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH, BUT GUSTY CONDITIONS
LINGER FRIDAY IN THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. BEST CHANCES FOR
IMPACTFUL WINDS (40+ MPH) ARE ALONG THE I-15 AND I-40 CORRIDORS
WHERE ODDS ARE 50-80%. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR DOWNSLOPING OFF THE
SIERRA AND SPRING MOUNTAINS, BUT THIS POTENTIAL IS MORE UNCERTAIN.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARRIVE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, WITH BEST
CHANCES (40-80%) IN THE SIERRA, SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN, AND THE
NORTHEASTERN MOJAVE DESERT. ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN MOJAVE
DESERT, CHANCES ARE 10-40%. AMOUNTS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BE
LIGHT, BUT THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN MAY SEE SOME
MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION (0.25-0.50"). WITH SNOW LEVELS GENERALLY
8500+ FEET, POTENTIAL FOR WINTER IMPACTS IS QUITE LIMITED. AS WE
ROLL INTO THE WEEKEND, DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS RETURN.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID
FOR THE 12Z FORECAST
PACKAGE...SOUTHERLY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL VEER TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNRISE, WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS INCREASING TO
AROUND 15KT WITH GUSTS TO 25KT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AROUND
SUNSET, WINDS DECREASE SLIGHTLY, THOUGH GUSTS TO AROUND 20KT ARE
STILL EXPECTED ON AT LEAST AN INTERMITTENT BASIS, WITH WINDS
VEERING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT, INCREASING TO 15-18KT
WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN GUSTS TO 25-30KT THEREAFTER THROUGH
THE END OF THE PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE, THOUGH INCREASING
CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN SCT-BKN CEILINGS DROPPING FROM 20KFT TO
15KFT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 12Z FORECAST PACKAGE...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH SUNRISE, BECOMING ELEVATED AND
GUSTY BY LATE MORNING. SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15KT WITH GUSTS TO
20-25KT WILL BE COMMON, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN MOJAVE AS WELL AS NEAR KHND IN THE
SOUTHERN LAS VEGAS VALLEY. FOR MOST, WINDS DIMINISH SOMEWHAT AFTER
SUNSET, THOUGH WILL REMAIN GUSTY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY WHERE THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR GUSTS TO 20-30KT TO
RETURN OVERNIGHT. KBIH IS AN EXCEPTION, WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND BECOME GUSTY FOR A PERIOD THIS
AFTERNOON, BEFORE RETURNING TO THE NORTH AFTER SUNSET. VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH INCREASING CLOUDS RESULTING IN SCT-BKN
CEILINGS 15-20KFT BY THIS AFTERNOON.
CLIMATE
NUMEROUS CLIMATE LOCATIONS HAVE A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AND/OR FORECAST WARM LOW TEMPERATURE WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF
THE DAILY RECORD.
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AND THE
YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH RECORDS
ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
MAX MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD(YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 90(2015)* 91(1966)
BISHOP 85(2015) 87(1966)
NEEDLES 98(2015)* 97(2018)
DAGGETT 92(2015)* 91(2011)
KINGMAN 87(2004) 88(1934)
DESERT ROCK 86(2015) 84(2015)
DEATH VALLEY 101(2015) 103(2015)
THE TABLE BELOW SHOWS THE DAILY RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AND
THE YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET. AN ASTERISK (*) DENOTES WHICH
RECORDS ARE IN JEOPARDY (WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF THE FORECAST).
WARM MIN MON, MAR 30 TUE, MAR 31
RECORD (YR) RECORD (YR)
LAS VEGAS 63(2015)* 65(2015)*
BISHOP 49(2011) 50(2013)
NEEDLES 66(2013)* 69(1893)*
DAGGETT 62(2013)* 63(1969)*
KINGMAN 53(1974)* 53(2025)*
DESERT ROCK 59(2010) 54(1986)*
DEATH VALLEY 77(1978) 72(2011)*
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...WOODS
AVIATION...PHILLIPSON
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