242  
FNUS55 KPSR 210833  
FWFPSR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL  
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
133 AM MST TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MUCH OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE OVER THE  
ARIZONA HIGH TERRAIN TODAY WHILE GUSTY STORM OUTFLOW WINDS WILL  
BE THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY FOR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA LOWER  
DESERTS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL QUICKLY DROP OFF  
WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACTIVITY EXPECTED THURSDAY AS HOTTER  
AND DRIER CONDITIONS SETTLE INTO THE REGION. HUMIDITIES WILL  
REMAIN ELEVATED TODAY WITH MINRHS OF 30-45% ACROSS THE EASTERN  
DISTRICTS, WHILE THE WESTERN DISTRICTS WILL DIP TO 20-25%. MINRHS  
WILL THEN DIP TO 15-20% ACROSS ALL OF THE LOWER DESERTS STARTING  
THURSDAY.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS  
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
 
AZZ132-212045-  
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX  
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-  
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-  
133 AM MST TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-104.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-34 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............7 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 7 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................79-89.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................40-63 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............8 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-108.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-28 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHWEST 3 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 106-113. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 85-95. HIGHS 107-113. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 85-95. HIGHS 108-114. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 84-94. HIGHS 108-114.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 105-111.  
 
 
 
AZZ131-CAZ231-212045-  
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-  
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-  
133 AM MST TUE JUL 21 2026 /133 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 2026/  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-107.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-25 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 6 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................82-87.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-45 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................106-111.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-22 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 5 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 86-93. HIGHS 110-115. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 87-93. HIGHS 110-115. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 86-91. HIGHS 111-116. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 86-91. HIGHS 111-117.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 85-91. HIGHS 108-114.  
 
 
 
AZZ133-212045-  
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-  
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/  
CAZ-  
133 AM MST TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS .  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-95.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................36-56 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................20 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............39 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-79.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................65-97 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............39 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................84-99.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................31-48 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............19 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-85. HIGHS 89-105. EAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66-86. HIGHS 92-107. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS 67-86. HIGHS 93-108. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
67-86. HIGHS 93-108.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-85. HIGHS 92-107.  
 
 
 
CAZ232-212045-  
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-  
133 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................99-109.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-23 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................81-88.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-51 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING EAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-111.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
THURSDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 86-94. HIGHS 105-115. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 87-94. HIGHS 105-115. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 87-93. HIGHS 106-116. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 86-93. HIGHS 107-117.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-92. HIGHS 105-115.  
 
 
 
CAZ230-212045-  
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-  
133 AM PDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-103.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-25 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................71-85.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-44 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-106.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-25 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
THURSDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 75-90. HIGHS 95-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 77-90. HIGHS 95-109. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-89. HIGHS 96-110. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-89. HIGHS 97-111.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-88. HIGHS 96-109.  
 
 
   
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK  
TUESDAY JULY 28TH THROUGH THURSDAY JULY 30TH:  
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO ABOVE MEDIAN  
PRECIPITATION.  
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