407  
FNUS55 KPSR 251056  
FWFPSR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL  
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
356 AM MST SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE WILL BE BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS WEEKEND  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THAN THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS, BUT WITH  
ACTIVITY STILL MOSTLY FAVORING THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN AZ AND  
SOUTHEASTERN AZ AND SLIGHT CHANCES (10-20%) IN THE LOWER DESERTS  
OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT STRONG GUSTY  
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS WILL PROGRESS INTO THE LOWER DESERTS  
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING, WHICH MAY OFFER SLIGHTLY  
BETTER ODDS FOR RAIN OVER THE LOWER DESERTS TODAY THAN IN THE  
FOLLOWING FEW DAYS. EXTREME, WELL ABOVE NORMAL, TEMPERATURES WILL  
CONTRIBUTE TO SEASONALLY DRY AFTERNOON CONDITIONS. HOTTEST  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TODAY, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES IN  
THE 10-20%. TEMPERATURES THEN FALL SEVERAL DEGREES HEADING INTO  
THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND MOISTURE INCREASES SLIGHTLY,  
LEADING TO MINIMUM RH VALUES IMPROVING TO 20-30%. OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERIES WILL BE FAIR MOST NIGHTS WITH RH VALUES MOSTLY IN THE  
35-50% RANGE ACROSS LOWER DESERTS TO 45-65% ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA  
COUNTY. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS, WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE  
FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY LOCAL AFTERNOON GUSTS  
20-25 MPH.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
 
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
 
AZZ132-252300-  
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX  
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-  
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-  
356 AM MST SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................112-118.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-18 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 6 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................88-98.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-46 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............10 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-111.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-25 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 11 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 104-110. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 104-110. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 105-112. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-94. HIGHS 107-113.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 85-95. HIGHS 108-114.  
 

 
 
AZZ131-CAZ231-252300-  
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-  
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-  
356 AM MST SAT JUL 25 2026 /356 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 2026/  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................114-119.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-18 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 8 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................89-94.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-50 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................108-113.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-26 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............8 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 11 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 84-89. HIGHS 108-113. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-89. HIGHS 108-113. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-89. HIGHS 109-114. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 85-90. HIGHS 110-115.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 87-92. HIGHS 111-116.  
 

 
 
AZZ133-252300-  
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-  
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/  
CAZ-  
356 AM MST SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-112.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-26 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............30 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-87.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................45-66 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............15 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-107.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-31 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-85. HIGHS 90-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-85. HIGHS 91-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 66-85. HIGHS 92-106. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 66-86. HIGHS 94-109.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 68-86. HIGHS 95-109.  
 

 
 
CAZ232-252300-  
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-  
356 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................109-119.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................88-95.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-49 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-115.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-91. HIGHS 104-114. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-90. HIGHS 104-115. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-90. HIGHS 104-114. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-92. HIGHS 105-116.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 86-93. HIGHS 107-117.  
 

 
 
CAZ230-252300-  
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-  
356 AM PDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................99-113.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-18 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................78-90.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-30 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................96-109.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-88. HIGHS 95-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-87. HIGHS 95-108. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-87. HIGHS 95-108. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-89. HIGHS 96-110.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-89. HIGHS 98-112.  
 

 
   
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
 
SATURDAY AUGUST 1ST THROUGH MONDAY AUGUST  
3RD: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.  
 
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