015
FNUS55 KPSR 211935
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1235 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING RAPIDLY TO WELL-ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS HEADING
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MINRH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN
10-20% WITH FAIR TO GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES OF 35-45% INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT REST OF TODAY WITH AN
OCCASIONAL BREEZE UP TO 15-20 MPH AND A WEAK NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY
DIRECTIONAL COMPONENT. THERE WILL BE AN UPTICK IN EASTERLY WINDS
TOMORROW MORNING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ, WITH GENERAL WINDS UP
TO 10-15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS
(BELOW 3000') AND A BIT HIGHER OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS, UP TO 15-25
MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP TO 30-35 MPH.
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-220745-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
1235 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-53.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-47 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-82.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......4800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......EAST 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
SUNDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................47-57.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-45 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......3000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTH 3 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........POOR.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-62. HIGHS 81-88. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 84-91. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 85-91. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 86-93.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 87-93.
AZZ131-CAZ231-220745-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
1235 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026 /1135 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026/
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................41-50.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-54 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-81.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-15 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
SUNDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-55.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................31-55 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........4300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 8 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-60. HIGHS 84-89. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 55-63. HIGHS 87-92. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-64. HIGHS 87-92. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-64. HIGHS 89-94.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 57-64. HIGHS 89-94.
AZZ133-220745-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
1235 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................35-50.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-51 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................27 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................61-76.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................36-53.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-54 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................66-80.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-57. HIGHS 68-80. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-58. HIGHS 70-82. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-59. HIGHS 72-85. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-60. HIGHS 74-87.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-61. HIGHS 74-88.
CAZ232-220745-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
1135 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-52.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-49 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-57.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................26-48 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-83.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-65. HIGHS 80-88. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 58-66. HIGHS 83-93. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-67. HIGHS 83-92. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-67. HIGHS 85-93.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 60-67. HIGHS 85-93.
CAZ230-220745-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
1135 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................36-46.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-42 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................11 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................60-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-50.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................29-40 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................65-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-60. HIGHS 72-85. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 73-86. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51-61. HIGHS 72-85. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 74-86.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 75-88.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
SUNDAY MARCH 1ST THROUGH TUESDAY MARCH
3RD: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.
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