104
FNUS55 KPSR 122036
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
136 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2026
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED MOISTURE LEVELS WILL RESULT IN A SCATTERED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH THE BEST CHANCES
OVER THE EASTERN DISTRICTS. A FEW STORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. DUE TO INCREASING MOISTURE LEVELS, MINRHS ARE
EXPECTED TO HOVER BETWEEN 20-30% TODAY INTO EARLY THIS WEEK, WITH
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY OFFERING GOOD RELIEF AS RHS RISE TO BETWEEN
40-70%. OUTSIDE OF POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS, WINDS WILL
FAVOR DIURNAL TRENDS WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZINESS BETWEEN
20-25 MPH.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-130845-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
136 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................79-89.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................46-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT WEST PORTION...10
PERCENT EAST PORTION.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............25 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-107.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-30 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......6000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 15 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.
MONDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................80-90.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................45-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............11 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................103-109.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-27 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 79-89. HIGHS 104-111. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 99-106. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 93-101. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 93-101.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 96-104.
AZZ131-CAZ231-130845-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
136 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2026 /136 PM PDT SUN JUL 12 2026/
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................80-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................40-55 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............6 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................103-108.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-31 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............9 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
MONDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................80-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-53 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............6 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................106-111.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-27 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-88. HIGHS 108-113. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 80-87. HIGHS 103-108. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 79-84. HIGHS 99-104. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 78-83. HIGHS 99-104.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-84. HIGHS 102-107.
AZZ133-130845-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
136 PM MST SUN JUL 12 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-80.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-68 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............20 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-104.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-34 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............37 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-81.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-75 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............34 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-104.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-40 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............47 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 62-82. HIGHS 86-103. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61-80. HIGHS 84-99. EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-78. HIGHS 80-94. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-77. HIGHS 79-93.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-78. HIGHS 81-96.
CAZ232-130845-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
136 PM PDT SUN JUL 12 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................82-87.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................37-66 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING EAST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............6 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-108.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-35 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............8 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................82-88.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................38-63 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............6 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-111.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-30 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-90. HIGHS 104-114. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 81-90. HIGHS 100-110. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 79-87. HIGHS 95-105. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 79-85. HIGHS 94-104.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-86. HIGHS 97-107.
CAZ230-130845-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
136 PM PDT SUN JUL 12 2026
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-84.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................38-48 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-101.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-37 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............14 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-84.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-52 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............7 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-104.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-32 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............13 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 75-86. HIGHS 93-108. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 71-86. HIGHS 90-104. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70-83. HIGHS 85-99. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 70-82. HIGHS 84-98.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 70-83. HIGHS 87-102.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
MONDAY JULY 20TH THROUGH WEDNESDAY JULY
22ND:
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.
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