747
FNUS55 KPSR 250920
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
220 AM MST MON OCT 25 2021
DISCUSSION
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY BRINGING
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS MOSTLY
OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST UPWARDS OF 20-30
MPH IN MANY PLACES WITH SOME PLACES ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
AND SOUTHWEST ARIZONA GUSTING UPWARDS OF 40 MPH. SOME AREAS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH
WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS OCCURRING REMAINING LIMITED TO
SOUTHWEST IMPERIAL COUNTY. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING, A FEW SHOWERS COULD
DEVELOP WHILE MOSTLY REMAINING CONFINED TO THE HIGH TERRAIN. ANY
SHOWERS THAT DO DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY PRODUCE LIGHT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS. MIN RH VALUES TODAY WILL BE AROUND 25-40% WHILE
OVERNIGHT MAX RHS WILL BE AROUND 60-75% FOR MOST LOCATIONS. DRIER,
COOLER CONDITIONS SET IN TUESDAY WITH MIN RHS AROUND 15-25%
(25-35% FOR SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY).
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-252130-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
220 AM MST MON OCT 25 2021
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-89.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-39 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......7000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................50-60.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................60-74 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-24 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 15 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 49-59. HIGHS 76-81. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 82-87. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 85-90. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 82-88.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 79-85.
AZZ131-CAZ231-252130-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
220 AM MST MON OCT 25 2021 /220 AM PDT MON OCT 25 2021/
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-87.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................32-38 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........5600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-56.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................64-74 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................17 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING WEST AND BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........5600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 50-62. HIGHS 81-85. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 85-90. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 87-91. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-62. HIGHS 85-89.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 82-86.
AZZ133-252130-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
220 AM MST MON OCT 25 2021
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................73-86.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-35 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................46-58.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................74-96 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................30 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 40 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* LAL.............................1.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-36 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 37-55. HIGHS 65-78. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 42-58. HIGHS 71-85. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 42-59. HIGHS 72-87. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 44-59. HIGHS 70-84.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-58. HIGHS 68-81.
CAZ232-252130-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
220 AM PDT MON OCT 25 2021
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................75-85.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................30-46 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY BLOWING DUST .
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................50-57.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................56-76 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-23 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................18 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 53-66. HIGHS 76-85. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 58-67. HIGHS 82-90. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 58-67. HIGHS 83-91. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-65. HIGHS 80-89.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-64. HIGHS 77-86.
CAZ230-252130-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
220 AM PDT MON OCT 25 2021
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................62-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................35-58 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................15 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BECOMING
20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. PATCHY BLOWING DUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................38-50.
* 24 HR TREND..................8 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................57-80 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING NORTHWEST AND BECOMING 30 TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING
BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
TUESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................60-72.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-27 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................22 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 44-59. HIGHS 67-79. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 50-59. HIGHS 72-84. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 50-60. HIGHS 73-85. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-60. HIGHS 71-85.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-58. HIGHS 67-81.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
MONDAY NOVEMBER 1ST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NOVEMBER 3RD: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.
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