019  
FNUS55 KPSR 171933  
FWFPSR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL  
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
1233 PM MST THU SEP 17 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LINGERING WET GROUNDS AND ELEVATED SURFACE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE  
INTO FRIDAY, BUT A DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY, INITIALLY  
ALOFT, FOLLOWED BY A MORE SIGNIFICANT DRYING THIS WEEKEND. MINIMUM  
RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 25-45%, WITH DRIEST  
CONDITIONS IN SOUTHEAST CA. AS DRYING CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY, MINRHS  
WILL DIP TO 10-20% ACROSS SOUTHEAST CA AND SOUTHWEST AZ AND  
25-35% ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AZ. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL BE  
HIGHEST TONIGHT AT 50-80%, THEN DROP TO 30-70% (DRIEST OUT NEAR  
THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER) FRIDAY NIGHT. BY THIS WEEKEND, MUCH OF  
THE LOWER DESERTS WILL SEE AFTERNOON MINRHS DIP INTO THE TEENS.  
WINDS WILL MOSTLY FOLLOW TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERNS WITH MODEST  
AFTERNOON UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY GUSTINESS (15-25 MPH).  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS  
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
 
AZZ132-180745-  
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX  
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-  
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-  
1233 PM MST THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................71-81.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................55-74 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-101.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-28 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 6 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-80.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-62 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................19 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-102.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-22 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 95-103. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 94-101. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 94-101. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-82. HIGHS 96-103.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 97-104.  
 
 
 
AZZ131-CAZ231-180745-  
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-  
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-  
1233 PM MST THU SEP 17 2026 /1233 PM PDT THU SEP 17 2026/  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-78.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................52-66 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................98-103.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-17 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7500 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-74.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................26-37 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................28 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................99-104.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-13 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71-77. HIGHS 99-104. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 70-77. HIGHS 97-102. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 70-76. HIGHS 97-102. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-78. HIGHS 99-104.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-81. HIGHS 100-105.  
 
 
 
AZZ133-180745-  
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-  
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/  
CAZ-  
1233 PM MST THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................59-73.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................68-87 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-95.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-44 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................12 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................58-73.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................59-81 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-96.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-32 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............1 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-74. HIGHS 80-96. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 57-74. HIGHS 79-95. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57-74. HIGHS 79-95. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 58-75. HIGHS 78-96.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 58-75. HIGHS 78-96.  
 
 
 
CAZ232-180745-  
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-  
1233 PM PDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-77.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-55 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................21 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-102.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-14 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-75.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................24-41 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................13 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-102.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 72-79. HIGHS 93-103. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 70-78. HIGHS 91-101. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 70-79. HIGHS 92-102. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 72-80. HIGHS 94-104.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-82. HIGHS 95-104.  
 
 
 
CAZ230-180745-  
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-  
1233 PM PDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-72.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................38-47 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................33 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-94.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................13-17 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-71.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-35 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-95.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-15 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED  
   
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 65-75. HIGHS 82-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN  
15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 79-93. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 62-73. HIGHS 80-94. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS 65-74. HIGHS 82-96.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66-75. HIGHS 82-96.  
 
 
   
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK  
FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 25TH THROUGH SUNDAY  
SEPTEMBER 27TH: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO ABOVE  
MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.  
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