430
FNUS55 KPSR 020911
FWFPSR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
211 AM MST THU JUL 2 2020
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TOMORROW
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA BUT ANY WETTING RAINS
WILL VERY LIMITED. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP CAN STILL PRODUCE
LIGHTNING STRIKES THAT COULD START NEW WILDFIRES, STRONG WIND GUSTS,
AND POTENTIALLY OUTFLOW WINDS. DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL DROP BETWEEN 10-20% FOR MOST AREAS WHILE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES
MAY REACH THE 30-50% RANGE. OTHERWISE, WIND DIRECTIONS WILL FAVOR
LOCAL TERRAIN INFLUENCES WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZINESS.
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
AZZ132-022115-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
211 AM MST THU JUL 2 2020
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................97-103.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................5 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................74-84.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-52 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................16 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................5 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................100-106.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 104-109. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 105-110. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-86. HIGHS 104-110. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 103-108.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-82. HIGHS 101-107.
AZZ131-CAZ231-022115-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
211 AM MST THU JUL 2 2020 /211 AM PDT THU JUL 2 2020/
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................101-105.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-21 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 17 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................76-80.
* 24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................40-56 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................103-107.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 77-83. HIGHS 106-110. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 77-83. HIGHS 108-112. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 77-82. HIGHS 107-111. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 75-81. HIGHS 106-110.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 74-80. HIGHS 105-109.
AZZ133-022115-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
211 AM MST THU JUL 2 2020
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................86-99.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................5 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING BECOMING 2 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-77.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................43-60 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................20 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-101.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-22 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-79. HIGHS 92-105. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-79. HIGHS 92-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-79. HIGHS 92-106. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-79. HIGHS 91-104.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-77. HIGHS 90-103.
CAZ232-022115-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
211 AM PDT THU JUL 2 2020
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-104.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-17 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-79.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................26-50 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................97-106.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
MORNING BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 76-83. HIGHS 101-111. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 75-83. HIGHS 102-112. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 75-81. HIGHS 101-111. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 100-110.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 72-79. HIGHS 98-108.
CAZ230-022115-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
211 AM PDT THU JUL 2 2020
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................84-99.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-73.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................26-33 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-101.
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT.
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 63-77. HIGHS 91-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 64-77. HIGHS 93-107. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 64-76. HIGHS 91-106. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 90-105.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 61-74. HIGHS 88-103.
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
THURSDAY JULY 9TH THROUGH SATURDAY JULY
11TH: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.
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