683  
FNUS55 KPSR 160732  
FWFPSR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL  
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
1232 AM MST SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL TODAY  
BEFORE TEMPERATURES RISE TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MONDAY. LITTLE TO NO  
MONSOON ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE START OF THE WORK WEEK,  
WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN DISTRICTS.  
AFTERNOON MINRHS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 15-20% ACROSS THE LOWER  
DESERTS AND BETWEEN 20-25% ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN DISTRICTS.  
EXPECT OVERALL LIGHT WINDS GENERALLY FOLLOWING TYPICAL DIURNAL  
PATTERNS.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
 
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
 
AZZ132-161945-  
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX  
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/  
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-  
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-  
1232 AM MST SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-109.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-21 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHWEST 8 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................81-91.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-41 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-111.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-19 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......12600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 4 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 106-112. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 105-111. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 106-112. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 106-112.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 83-93. HIGHS 105-111.  
 

 
 
AZZ131-CAZ231-161945-  
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-  
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-  
1232 AM MST SUN AUG 16 2026 /1232 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 2026/  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................105-110.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-23 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11300 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 7 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................83-88.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-46 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................107-112.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-20 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........13800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 7 KNOTS.  
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-88. HIGHS 108-113. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-88. HIGHS 107-112. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-89. HIGHS 108-113. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-89. HIGHS 109-114.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-88. HIGHS 108-113.  
 

 
 
AZZ133-161945-  
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-  
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/  
CAZ-  
1232 AM MST SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-104.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-23 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................66-82.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................36-56 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-106.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-24 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............5 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66-84. HIGHS 91-107. EAST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-85. HIGHS 92-107. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-85. HIGHS 93-107. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 66-84. HIGHS 93-107.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 66-83. HIGHS 92-107.  
 

 
 
CAZ232-161945-  
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-  
1232 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................100-109.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-24 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................83-89.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-43 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................102-111.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-89. HIGHS 103-113. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-90. HIGHS 102-112. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-90. HIGHS 103-113. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 84-90. HIGHS 104-113.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 83-89. HIGHS 103-113.  
 

 
 
CAZ230-161945-  
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-  
1232 AM PDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-103.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-27 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............4 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-84.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MAX HUMIDITY....................34-46 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............2 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-105.  
* 24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.  
* MIN HUMIDITY....................17-23 PCT.  
* 24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.  
* WINDS - 20 FOOT...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.  
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...............0 PERCENT.  
 
   
EXTENDED
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-86. HIGHS 93-107. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-86. HIGHS 93-107. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-86. HIGHS 93-107. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-86. HIGHS 94-107.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-85. HIGHS 93-107.  
 

 
   
8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK
 
SUNDAY AUGUST 23RD THROUGH TUESDAY AUGUST  
25TH: ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO ABOVE MEDIAN  
PRECIPITATION.  
 
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