155  
FNUS75 KPSR 211742  
FWSPSR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TONTO BASIN MISC PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ  
1042 AM MST MON SEP 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON SEPTEMBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL WILL EXIST  
AT THE BURN SITE TUESDAY MORNING. WIND DIRECTIONS SHOULD BECOME  
SOUTHEAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS AND GUSTINESS  
INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD  
IMPACT THE BURN SITE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW  
WINDS, HOWEVER THE CHANCE OF HEAVY, WETTING RAINFALL IS UNDER  
20%.  
   
..THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS
 
 
NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND  
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH. WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BY  
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MO  
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN HENDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622252.0/PSR  
.DELDT 09/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JUSTIN.HENDERSON@USDA.GOV  
 
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