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FNUS75 KREV 151753
FWSREV
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTE CREEK PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
953 AM PST SAT NOV 15 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN RENO.
DISCUSSION
* A RAIN/SNOW MIX IS EXPECTED AT IGNITION TIME, CANNOT RULE OUT
EMBEDDED THUNDER.
* TUESDAY WILL OFFER A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION, WEDNESDAY
CHANCES RETURN AT THE BURNSITE.
* WEDNESDAY'S RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL BECOME ALL SNOWFALL BY THURSDAY
MORNING, WITH 2-4" POSSIBLE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE STORM
EXITS.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN LIKELY LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........32-34 AT IGNITION...MAX 37-40.
RH..................95-100% AT IGNITION...MIN 95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION
...OTHERWISE SOUTH 3-7 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....35% DECREASING TO 10% IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
VENTILATION.........MARGINAL TO FAIR.
TIME (PST) 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........84 71 71
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW RNSN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............40 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10
TEMP............33 36 36
RH..............100 100 100
20 FT WIND......SE 3G10 SE 3G10 S 3G10
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.9 1.5 2.9
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 S 15 S 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 17 23
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL MRGL FAIR
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SNOW IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24-26.
RH..................MAX 95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-6 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5%.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER
3 AM.
VENTILATION.........MARGINAL TO POOR.
TIME (PST) 4 PM 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM
SKY (%).........63 53 56 46
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN SNOW NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 32 31 30
RH..............100 100 100 96
20 FT WIND......NW 2G10 N 2G10 NE 3G10 N 2G10
MX HT MSL (KFT).2.2 0.9 1.0 1.2
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 N 5 N 5 N 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 5 6 10
VENTRATE CAT....MRGL POOR POOR MRGL
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 40-43.
RH..................MIN 80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH.
CHC WETTING RAIN....5%.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0%.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN THEN 1700-2700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
VENTILATION.........POOR TO MARGINAL.
TIME (PST) 4 AM 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM
SKY (%).........47 47 42 42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............28 26 34 38
RH..............96 95 99 89
20 FT WIND......N 2G5 NE 2G10 NE 3G10 N 3G10
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.6 0.5 1.3 2.7
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10 N 10 E 10 E 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 11 16
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR MRGL MRGL
FORECASTER...RICHARDS
REQUESTED BY...CHARLIE MONTANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525872.0/REV
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHARLIE.MONTANO@USDA.GOV,BRETT.MATTHEWS@USDA.GOV
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