251  
FNUS75 KVEF 160201  
FWSVEF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JORDAN INCIDENT...INYO NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV  
701 PM PDT SAT JUN 15 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JUNE 16.  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...OR IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST...PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT  
(702) 263-9750.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
RESIDUAL MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHERN SIERRA WILL  
LEAD TO AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH MID WEEK. THE GREATEST THREAT  
OF THUNDERSTORMS LOOK TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE FIRE, BUT THE THREAT  
OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE DOES EXIST. GUSTY OUTFLOW  
WINDS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY NEAR ANY STORM. MIN RH VALUES WILL  
LOWER INTO THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S WITH GENERALLY GOOD RECOVERIES  
OVERNIGHT. MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE  
WEEK.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN  
THE AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WIND........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
10000 FT WIND.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....15 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING. 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
VENTILATION.........GOOD TO EXCELLENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY EVENING THEN MOSTLY CLEAR.  
SLIGHT CHANCE SHOWERS EARLY EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
10000 FT WIND.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO EAST 7 TO  
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....5 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
VENTILATION.........FAIR.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE  
AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27-33 PERCENT.  
WINDS:  
20 FT WIND........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
10000 FT WIND.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....25 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING. 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.  
HAINES INDEX........3.  
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...GORELOW  
REQUESTED BY...TODD MCDIVITT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1910932.0/VEF  
.EMAIL TODD.MCDIVITT@USDA.GOV  
 
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