407
FNUS76 KEKA 151728
FWSEKA
SPOT FORECAST FOR BONANZA...TRIBAL ECORESTORATION ALLIANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1028 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS REGARDING THIS FORECAST, PLEASE
CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (707) 443-6484
PLEASE DO NOT RESPOND DIRECTLY IF YOU HAVE RECEIVED THIS IN AN EMAIL.
DISCUSSION
NEXT WEEK'S WEATHER WILL BE DOMINATED BY A LINGERING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS FORECAST TO TRAVEL DOWN THE COASTLINE
OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.. THIS SET UP WILL
LEAD TO A SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE, INCREASING MIXING HEIGHTS
AND SMOKE DISPERSION DURING THE DAYTIME. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EXISTS AS
WELL, HOWEVER IT IS SMALL(<=25%) THAT ANY WETTING RAIN WILL REACH THE
BURN SITE. THAT SAID, THE CHANCE FOR DRIZZLE (0.01-0.1") IS MORE AROUND
30-50% FOR THE BURN EVENT. WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONGEST ON TUES. COMPARED
TO WED. W/ GUSTS UP TO 15MPH POSSIBLE AT 20FT AGL. A SLIGHT WARMING IS
EXPECTED ON WED. AS WELL INCREASING TEMPERATURES BY ~3-6F COMPARED TO
TUES.
THE TRACK OF THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES
TO CHANGE WITH EACH GLOBAL MODEL RUN.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH,
THEN...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING VARIABLE 3 TO 6
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3500 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH, THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 58 58 58 53 53 53 53 53 53 50
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CWR.............20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
TEMP............48 48 49 50 51 53 54 55 56 56 56
RH..............77 75 73 70 67 63 59 56 55 56 58
20 FT WIND DIR..W N N N E E E SE SE SE E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 7 7 5 5 5 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 12 14 14 14 15 15 15 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.5 3.5 3.5 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 5
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CWR.................15% EARLY IN THE EVENING, DECREASING OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH, THEN NORTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........50 50 43 43 43 50 50 50 50 50 50 38
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CWR.............20 15 15 15 15 15 5 5 5 5 5 5
TEMP............55 54 53 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 51 51
RH..............62 66 69 67 64 61 60 60 61 62 64 65
20 FT WIND DIR..E E N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE N
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN.
CWR.................5-10%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68F.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-53%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN...BECOMING
VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3200 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH, THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........38 38 38 38 38 33 33 33 33 33 33 19
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CWR.............5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10
TEMP............50 50 50 51 52 54 56 57 58 59 60 59
RH..............67 68 68 67 64 61 58 55 53 52 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
FORECASTER...DANNY SCHMIEGEL
REQUESTED BY...THEA MARIA CARLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623845.0/EKA
.DELDT 10/15/26
.EMAIL WEATHER@TRIBALECORESTORATION.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page