069  
FNUS76 KLOX 121720  
FWSLOX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMIT FIRE...CNTY LAC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
1020 AM PDT SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PDT TUESDAY  
 
   
..EXTREME HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY  
 
...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY  
THROUGH MONDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MID LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BRING A  
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FIRE  
LOCATION TODAY AND TONIGHT, INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT ON  
MONDAY. STRONG AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH  
WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION, THE  
LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE STILL QUITE DRY TODAY  
AND TONIGHT, SO THERE WILL BE THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING  
STRIKES, WITH STORMS LIKELY TURNING WETTER ON MONDAY.  
WITH HIGHER MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY AND MONDAY (UP TO 13,000 FEET),  
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK OF LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS (20%). ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING  
STRIKES AND GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR  
STORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7 MPH  
BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 11 MPH  
BY 1600. LOCALLY STRONGER AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH  
BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH  
BY 1600.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 13000 FEET BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON  
HOURS.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS (20%). ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND  
GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR STORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO EAST 2 TO 4 MPH OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY  
STRONGER AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO EAST 5 TO 10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FEET AGL EARLY LOWERING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING THEN 30 PERCENT CHANCE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY STRONGER AND ERRATIC  
WIND GUSTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 13000 FEET BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON  
HOURS.   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW  
WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 7 MPH IN THE  
EVENING. LOCALLY STRONGER AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH EARLY  
EVENING DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FEET AGL EARLY LOWERING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...GOMBERG  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW CARNES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617217.1/LOX  
.DELDT 07/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.CARNES@FIRE.LACOUNTY.GOV,DREW.SMITH@FIRE.LACOUNTY.GOV,CAPT40@FIRE.LACOUNTY.GOV,CHARLES.SWEENEY@FIRE.LACOUNTY.GOV  
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