491  
FNUS76 KMFR 150431  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPENCER GULCH 541...ODF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
931 PM PDT SUN JUN 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 PDT ON JUNE 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT TUESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
A HEAT WAVE WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY WITH  
DAILY AFTERNOON BREEZY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES. TRIPLE DIGIT  
HEAT WILL IMPACT VALLEY BOTTOMS WITH MID 90S OVER THE RIDGELINES.  
HUMIDITY WILL BE DOWN TO 10-15%, MAYBE EVEN SINGLE DIGITS FOR AN  
HOUR OR TWO. MODERATE RH RECOVERIES (PERHAPS POOR AT RIDGETOPS) ARE  
EXPECTED AT NIGHT. A SLIGHT LOWERING OF TEMPS TUE/WED, BUT BACK  
UP AROUND 100F THU. MORE SIGNIFICANT COOLING IS EXPECTED FRI INTO  
NEXT WEEKEND, BUT TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. LIGHTNING CHANCES REMAIN  
QUITE LOW (10% OR LESS) THROUGH LATE WEEK.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65 RIDGELINES, 55-60 VALLEYS.  
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT RIDGELINES TO 55-65 PERCENT  
VALLEY BOTTOMS.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 1-3 MPH BECOMING CALM OR DOWNSLOPE 0-1 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........N 4-6 MPH BECOMING NNE 1-4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 69 67 64 63 63  
RH..............38 40 42 44 44 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 5 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 0 0 0 0  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 2 2 2 2 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.SUNNY AND HOT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95 RIDGELINES TO 100 VALLEY BOTTOMS.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT VALLEY BOTTOMS TO 14 PERCENT RIDGELINES.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-1 MPH BECOMING N 2-4 MPH. GUSTS TO 8  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NNE 1-4 MPH BECOMING N 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 18 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE BECOMING N AROUND 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 63 67 72 79 84 87 91 94 95 96 97  
RH..............48 47 41 35 29 24 22 18 16 15 14 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N NE N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 4 5 6 8 10 12 13 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE NE N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST. 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE NE NE NE N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 13  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65 RIDGELINES, 55-60 VALLEYS.  
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT RIDGELINES TO 65-75 PERCENT  
VALLEY BOTTOMS.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NNW 3-6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE 0-2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NNW 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH  
DECREASING TO 2-5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 6-13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............95 95 91 84 79 74 72 70 67 64 63 62  
RH..............14 15 17 21 27 32 35 38 42 45 49 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 12 12 12 5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.3 7.3 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW SW SW SW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 12 12 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...MATT FUMASI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2615523.0/MFR  
.DELDT 06/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATT.R.FUMASI@ODF.OREGON.GOV  
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