342
FNUS76 KMFR 162236
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAVEL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
336 PM PDT SAT OCT 16 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE EARLY SUNDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A WET COLD
FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. EXPECT GUSTY SOUTH WINDS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, WEAKENING AND TURNING WEST SUNDAY NIGHT. 0.25 TO 0.35 INCHES
OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST FOR THE FIRE AREA, WITH THE POTENTIAL
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW EARLY MONDAY MORNING. TUESDAY SHOULD BE
MOSTLY DRY, BUT SEVERAL ADDITIONAL FRONTS, WITH WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION, ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEK.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY LATE IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO
12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 12-15 MPH IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO
20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING, INCREASING
TO 6000-7000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO
30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH,
BECOMING WEST OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH,
BECOMING WEST OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BUNKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2119534.2/MFR
.DELDT 10/17/21
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