611
FNUS76 KMFR 160258
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOVELESS CREEK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
758 PM PDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING BY NORTH OF THE SITE ON
FRIDAY NIGHT, AND A STRONGER DISTURBANCE ON SATURDAY NIGHT WILL
BRING BREEZY NORTH WINDS, CLOUDS, COOLING, AND VERY GOOD HUMIDITY
RECOVERY. THIS INCLUDES A CHANCE OF A DUSTING OF SNOW LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SEASONABLY
COOL MORNING TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATELY STRONG WARMING AND
DRYING TREND FOR THE AFTERNOONS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC PC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 35 37 40 41 43 45 47 48 48 49
RH..............68 58 52 48 42 37 33 30 27 26 26
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 13
20 FT WIND GUST.14 11 11 11 13 13 13 16 16 16 19
EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5
EYE LVL WND GST.5 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 4.1 4.1 4.1 5.8 5.8 5.8 7.1 7.1 7.1 7.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 13 13 14 14 14 18 18 18 20
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO AN INCH.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 46 43 38 36 34 33 31 30 28 28 27
RH..............27 29 35 42 50 58 63 69 72 76 80 84
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 17 17 17 12 12 12 9 8 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 25 25 25 18 18 18 14 14 14 16
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 4
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.0 7.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 18 18 16 16 16 17 17 17 17
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 8
MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 24 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 27 28 30 32 34 37 40 43 44 46 45
RH..............86 78 70 62 57 51 44 37 32 28 26 25
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 15
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 19 19 19 19 19 19 21 21 21 22
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.3 3.7 3.7 3.7 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.7 6.7 6.7 7.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 20 20 20 22 22 22 24 24 24 24
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...ZACH HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613518.3/MFR
.DELDT 05/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ZACHARY.J.HALL@ODF.OREGON.GOV,ROBERT.H.WOOD@ODF.OREGON.GOV,MICHAEL.LEACH@ODF.OREGON.GOV,ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV
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