589
FNUS76 KMFR 010131
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINA GULCH 1-2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
631 PM PDT THU APR 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE SETS UP FRIDAY
AND PERSISTS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTHWARD. THIS
WILL BRING CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM AND EXPECT AFTERNOON
BREEZY WINDS. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND COOLER AND CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN WILL
TREND HIGHER.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY, THEN BUILDING CLOUDS IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0 TO 1 MPH BECOMING NORTH
TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTH
TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING
NORTHEAST 0 TO 1 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-7 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY, WITH BUILDING CLOUDS IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0 TO 1 MPH BECOMING NORTH
TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTH
TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...LOGAN OSHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612327.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEREMIAH.JACKS@USDA.GOV,LOGAN.OSHELL@USDA.GOV
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