010  
FNUS76 KMFR 090545  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASPEN INCIDENT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
1045 PM PDT MON AUG 8 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2300 PDT ON AUGUST 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR  
STRONG GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RH...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. EXPECT GUSTY, ERRATIC AND QUICKLY  
SHIFTING WINDS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL EASE BRIEFLY  
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY, BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT  
LIVED. WINDS ARE QUICK TO INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING AND ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THOUGH THE STRONGEST  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY, GUSTY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND  
EVENINGS, ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARD, THUNDERSTORMS  
ARE NO LONGER A CONCERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60 TO 65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH. WINDS EASE BRIEFLY DURING  
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY TO 5 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH. WINDS EASE BRIEFLY DURING  
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY TO 8 TO 10 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
CWR.................13 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTS  
INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTS  
INCREASING TO 35 TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH. WINDS EASE SOME AFTER MIDNIGHT  
TO 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH. WINDS EASE SOME AFTER MIDNIGHT  
TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
 

 
FORECASTER...FIRMIN  
REQUESTED BY...REYJON ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2216446.0/MFR  
.DELDT 08/08/22  
 
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