649  
FNUS76 KMFR 080406  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDHORSE PRESCRIBED BURN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
906 PM PDT THU MAY 7 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A DRY TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS  
COULD ACCOMPANY THAT, BUT THAT'S ABOUT IT. MARINE CLOUDS STAY BENEATH THE BURN  
ELEVATION AND CLOSER TO THE COAST. IT'LL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN ON THURSDAY.  
THE FLOW WILL BECOME MOSTLY OFFSHORE SATURDAY, SO THINGS WARM UP AGAIN, BUT IT  
LIKELY TURNS ONSHORE AGAIN SAT NIGHT/SUN. WARMER, DRY AFTERNOONS ARE EXPECTED  
EARLY NEXT WEEK. NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIP WON'T COME UNTIL SOMETIME MID-LATE NEXT  
WEEK -- MODELS ARE STILL WAFFLING ON HOW THIS PLAYS OUT, WHETHER THERE IS A  
CONVECTIVE PATTERN WITH A CHANCE AT SHOWERS/T-STORMS OR IF THE PATTERN IS  
MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH JUST OCCASIONAL TROUGHS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WE'LL  
CONTINUE TO MONITOR, BUT ODDS ARE FAVORING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/PRECIP FOR WEEK  
2 BEGINNING MAY 15.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SOME HIGH CLOUDS; OTHERWISE, SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 0-2 MPH BECOMING NW 1-4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SW 2-6 MPH BECOMING NW 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-87 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NW 1-4 MPH BECOMING E OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NW 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING,  
BECOMING E AT SIMILAR SPEEDS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NW 5-10 MPH BECOMING NE 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....E 1-4 MPH BECOMING NW.  
WIND (20 FT)........E 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH BECOMING NW  
AT SIMILAR SPEEDS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NE BECOMING NW 5-10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. N WINDS  
5-9 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
NE WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. ENE 5-10  
MPH BECOMING W.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
THURSDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
   
OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY MAY 15 THROUGH THURSDAY MAY 21
 
 
FOR OREGON...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
FOR NRN CALIF...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
=  

 
FORECASTER...SPILDE  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW LARRIMORE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612132.4/MFR  
.DELDT 05/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RICHARD.LARRIMORE@USDA.GOV  
 
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