868
FNUS76 KMFR 120424
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK FLAT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
924 PM PDT SUN OCT 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIMITED MIXING ANTICIPATED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING, BUT
MIXING SHOULD START AROUND 10-11 AM. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. DESPITE GOOD
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES MONDAY NIGHT, LOW RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED IN
THE AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY. IN FACT, VERY SIMILAR MINIMUM RH VALUES
ARE ANTICIPATED EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY IN THE
LOW TO MID 20 PERCENT RANGE. THROUGH THIS STRETCH, WIND SPEEDS
WILL LIKELY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS WELL.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY OCTOBER 20 THROUGH MONDAY OCTOBER 26
FOR OREGON...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
FOR NRN CALIF...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
=
FORECASTER...GUERRERO
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOGLIA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623576.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RAMON.MOTA@USDA.GOV,FORREST.COOTS@USDA.GOV,CHRISTINE.HOLST@USDA.GOV,KEVIN.MOGLIA@USDA.GOV,HANNE.MEYERS@USDA.GOV,BRIAN.D.MURPHY@USDA.GOV,TERESA.FLORES@USDA.GOV
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