622
FNUS76 KMFR 260315
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL HILL RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
815 PM PDT TUE JUN 25 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE QUITE DIFFERENT THAN WHAT WAS
SEEN YESTERDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER AND WETTER
WEATHER TO THE BURN SITE. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM
MID MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING ON WEDNESDAY WITH A HIGHER CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THE LATER THE CLOUDS ROLL IN ON WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AREA COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS THAT COULD TRAVEL
SEVERAL MILES FROM THE STORM ITSELF. OCCASIONAL TO MODERATELY FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS AS WILL
BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN. OTHERWISE, RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN RATHER
LIGHT IN NATURE. MIXING WILL BE GOOD ON BOTH DAYS WITH MIXING HEIGHTS
CRASHING TOWARD THE SURFACE AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL BE HIGHER THAN THEY HAVE THE PAST FEW DAYS, INCLUDING OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES WHICH WILL BE GOOD. THE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD ON FRIDAY WHEN THINGS
BEGIN TO DRY OUT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS EXCEPT IN A T-STORM
WHERE A QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 TO 44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 0 TO 1 MPH BECOMING WEST 3 TO 5
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO
30 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5900
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................47 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDER-
STORMS BEFORE SUNDOWN. THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44 TO 46 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING UPSLOPE
0 TO 1 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................56 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 68 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30
MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................29 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
FORECASTER...SCHAAF
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY NEGHERBON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1911341.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/26/19
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