118
FNUS76 KMFR 220958
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR PICTURE ROCK...OR-LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
258 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1732 PDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
PDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH...
DISCUSSION
AN OFFSHORE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DRY COLD FRONT
WILL PASS OVER THE FIRE AREA TODAY, PRODUCING CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HUMIDITY
AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT. THIS AREA IS KNOWN FOR ERRATIC WINDS
AND STRONG GUSTS AT TIMES DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE ESCARPMENT.
WINDS IN THIS FORECAST ARE FOR PREVAILING FLOWS, BUT BE AWARE
THAT WINDS COULD SHIFT QUICKLY WITH STRONG GUSTS AT ANY TIME,
ESPECIALLY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES OVERHEAD TODAY.
IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. BLOWING DUST IS POSSIBLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 12 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING,
BECOMING SOUTHWEST THEN WEST 8-12 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH IN THE MORNING,
BECOMING SOUTHWEST THEN WEST 15-22 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY AROUND 2 MPH IN THE
MORNING, BECOMING UPSLOPE/VALLEY BY EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN NORTH 3-5 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY AROUND 3 MPH IN THE
MORNING, BECOMING UPSLOPE/VALLEY BY EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN NORTH 6-10 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HUTCHINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620217.1/MFR
.DELDT 08/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ORLFC@FIRENET.GOV,ADMCNAIR@BLM.GOV,ARTURO.WILLIS@USDA.GOV
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