225  
FNUS76 KMFR 182339  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TENNANT FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
439 PM PDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MAY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY AND WARM AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE FIRE LOCATION THROUGH  
THE WEEK WITH SOME LIGHT NORTHERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO WEDNESDAY AND TEMPERATURES  
WILL TREND WARMER BY A FEW DEGREES. OVERALL, FIRE WEATHER RISK  
REMAINS LOW THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS UP 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 39 44 49 57 61 64 66 67 70 71 71  
RH..............72 62 51 40 31 26 22 20 19 19 18 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 3 4 6 6 8 10 10 11 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 7.8 8.3 8.3 5.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 10  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR WITH INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 4 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC MC MC PC PC PC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 70 67 58 54 50 48 46 44 41 40 40  
RH..............20 20 27 35 43 49 54 58 63 65 67 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW W W W W W W N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 12 5 5 5 4 4 4 2  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NW NW NW W W W W W W N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 5.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY, THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77-80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH, THEN BECOMING  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 43 49 55 60 65 69 71 73 75 76 76  
RH..............68 61 51 43 36 30 26 24 23 21 21 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 10 10 10 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...SMITH  
REQUESTED BY...SARAH LEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613979.0/MFR  
.DELDT 05/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SARAH.LEE2@USDA.GOV  
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