232
FNUS76 KMFR 160221
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR W FORK EVANS CREEK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
721 PM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY WARM AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTS INTO FRIDAY
WITH EASTERLY OFFSHORE FLOW. POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
(~30% MAX RH) WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS PERSISTING ACROSS THE
RIDGETOPS INTO FRIDAY MORNING. VERY LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH RHS IN THE LOW TEENS. ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS
LATE IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY, SO EXPECT WINDS TO TURN NORTHERLY
FRIDAY EVENING, WITH RECOVERIES TRENDING MUCH HIGHER FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL TREND MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHER
DAYTIME HUMIDITIES.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
SOUTH 1-3 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON, THEN
WEST EARLY EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 6-8 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
SOUTH 4-6 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON, THEN
WEST EARLY EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 2-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 6-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTH
AND INCREASING TO 6-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING, BECOMING NORTH
AND INCREASING TO 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...FIRMIN
REQUESTED BY...MATT FUMASI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623875.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATT.R.FUMASI@ODF.OREGON.GOV
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