014
FNUS76 KMFR 022017
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR WRIGHTS SPRING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
117 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AT 6AM, THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MIXED WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
EXPECTED. THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY MORNING, BUT THEY WILL LIKELY BE MORE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED VERSUS TODAYS WIDEPSREAD CHANCES. THAT SAID, GIVEN THE
ISOLATED/SCATTERED NATURE TOMORROW MORNING, THERE IS A CHANCE THE
WILDFIRE LOCATION COULD BE STRADDLED WITH SHOWERS TO THE NORTH AND
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AND REMAIN DRY AFTER SUNRISE. AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES THURSDAY, THERE IS EVEN HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF
BEING DRY AS SHOWERS BECOME EVEN MORE ISOLATED ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. ISOLATED LIGHTNING WILL BE A
THREAT THURSDAY MORNING.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN
THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.18 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO 16 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................47 PERCENT DECREASING TO 9 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CWR.............50 50 50 50
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 20 20
TEMP............43 47 50 51
RH..............94 90 84 66
20 FT WIND......SW 16G26 SW 15G24 SW 12G19 W 11G18
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 6G10 SW 6G9 SW 4G7 W 4G7
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2200 3800 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 14 W 15 W 15
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 6
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 0 0 0
TEMP............50 41 38 35
RH..............66 85 87 84
20 FT WIND......W 9G16 W 7G12 W 7G12 SW 7G12
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 3G6 W 3G5 W 3G5 SW 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....3600 900 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 9 W 8 SW 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.11 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 10 10
TEMP............33 39 50 53
RH..............84 80 57 49
20 FT WIND......S 6G11 S 5G7 S 7G12 SW 7G12
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2G4 S 2G3 S 3G5 SW 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 3900 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 6 SW 9 SW 12
FORECASTER...GUERRERO
REQUESTED BY...PSC3 TRAINEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621114.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KATHLEEN.OTWAY@USDA.GOV,2026.WRIGHTSSPRING.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV
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