233
FNUS76 KMFR 212109
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR W FORK EVANS CREEK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
209 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE FIRE LOCATION
THURSDAY MORNING. THEN, A COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO
THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING AND THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN FAIRLY MILD DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY BEFORE THEY TREND
HIGHER ON SATURDAY. MODERATE RECOVERIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED FRIDAY
NIGHT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 25% CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-64
MIN HUMIDITY........48-52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH INCREASING TO
5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 48 49 53 56 58 60 62 62 60 61
RH..............67 69 73 70 65 62 58 54 54 52 50
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 4 2 4 5 7 10 13 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.0 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 2
EYE LVL WND GST.1 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 5 5 6 6 6 12 12 12 15
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING AND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING AND AROUND MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 54 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 41
RH..............53 60 66 70 70 72 72 71 71 72 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 8 8 8 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 16 16 21 21 20 18 15 15 8
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 14 14 25 25 25 20 20 20 8
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 39 39 41 43 46 49 52 55 56 56 55
RH..............78 80 78 75 69 62 53 44 38 36 36 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NW NW NW N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...CHELSIE STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623875.10/MFR
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHELSIE.E.STEPHENS@ODF.OREGON.GOV
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