817  
FNUS76 KMFR 021832  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WONDER 2...PRIVATE GRAYBACK FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
1132 AM PDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON MAY 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
LOW PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL MAINTAIN SOUTH/SOUTHEAST  
FLOW OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING GUSTY  
AFTERNOON WINDS AND DAILY CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
FOR TONIGHT, 10-15% AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DISSIPATE QUICKLY  
INTO THE EVENING, WITH ACTIVITY MORE LIKELY TO STAY TO THE NORTH  
AND WEST OF THE SPOT LOCATION. WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL IS HIGHEST  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY,  
BUT PRECIPITATION IS LIMITED TO CHANCES OF A STRAY RAIN SHOWER  
(10-20%) WITH NO CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. WARMER WEATHER AND DRY  
CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON  
THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 TO 74 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 TO 36 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AT 1 TO 4 MPH INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 12 MPH WITH AFTERNOON  
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 14 TO 18 MPH INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 10 15 15  
TEMP............59 63 66 68 69 69 70  
RH..............66 55 46 40 39 36 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 9 9 9 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 12 15 18 20 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 5 5 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.2 4.2 6.4 6.8 7.0 7.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 16 18 17 16  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES  
DROP QUICKLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT BECOMING 0 PERCENT BY TONIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 56 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 TO 65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT  
1 TO 3 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 9 TO 12 MPH WITH EVENING GUSTS UP TO  
18 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT 7 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 13 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT  
8 TO 10 MPH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC PC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).15 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 67 64 61 59 57 57 56 55 54 54 53  
RH..............36 39 45 46 51 55 56 58 58 61 62 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 6 6 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 9 12 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 9 9 9 8 8 8 10 10 10 9  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. AFTERNOON RAIN  
SHOWERS POSSIBLE (50-70%) WITH CHANCES OF  
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS (25-30%).  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 73 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 TO 43 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AT 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AT 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AT 8 TO 10 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS  
UP TO 17 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 9 TO 12 MPH  
WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH. ACTIVE WEATHER  
MAY CAUSE ERRATIC WIND DIRECTIONS. THUNDERSTORMS  
MAY BRING LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 12 MPH BECOMING EAST AT  
10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............54 56 58 60 63 66 68 70 71 71 70 69  
RH..............60 57 54 51 48 45 43 41 41 42 46 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE N N N N N NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 12 12 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 14 16 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.7 3.7 3.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 10 12  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DALDRUP  
REQUESTED BY...TIM BREWER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612469.1/MFR  
.DELDT 05/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TIM@GRAYBACKFORESTRY.COM  
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