055  
FNUS76 KMFR 210153  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
553 PM PST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON NOVEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE  
REGION, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS AND RAIN THURSDAY THROUGH  
FRIDAY. THIS WILL BRING PERIODS OF GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO  
THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 7000 FEET THURSDAY  
MORNING AND REMAIN HIGH INTO FRIDAY.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 28 MPH.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM  
REQUESTED BY...WES BREAKFIELD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2427108.0/MFR  
.DELDT 11/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WESLEY.BREAKFIELD@USDA.GOV  
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