264
FNUS76 KMFR 201611
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST BEAR 12...LRP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
911 AM PDT MON APR 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT SHOWERS ARE FORECAST TO ARRIVE AT THE BURN SITE
EARLY IN THE MORNING, AND SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. AFTER SUNSET
TUESDAY, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOWER AND SHOWERS REMAIN THROUGH THE
EVENING. NEW RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 0.25"-0.50"
RANGE TUESDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP WEDNESDAY. AFTER THE UPPER
LOW MOVES EAST LATER WEDNESDAY, DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN (35-50 PERCENT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LATE IN THE
MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS (15-30 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 2 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................56 PERCENT.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS (15-20 PERCENT) EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE
OF RAIN (35-50 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.17 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................66 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN (35-50 PERCENT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY (55-70
PERCENT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.9 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 3 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY APRIL 28 THROUGH MONDAY MAY 04
FOR OREGON...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
FOR NRN CALIF...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
=
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN
REQUESTED BY...CBM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2610885.0/MFR
.DELDT 04/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AARON@LOMAKATSI.ORG,ANTONIO@LOMAKATSI.ORG
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