293
FNUS76 KMFR 260352
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAMMOTH...USFS- MODOC NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
852 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 PDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
A FEW MORE CELLS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 9 PM BEFORE
DRYING FOR THE NIGHT. THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN TONIGHT AS WELL. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TIMEFRAME IS LOOKING TO BE
BETWEEN 3 PM TO 9 PM. GUSTY WINDS, LIGHTNING, AND SMALL HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE. CELLS HAVE BEEN MOVING SLOWLY IN RECENT DAYS, SO HEAVY
RAIN IS POSSIBLE. FOR NOW, A 15 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF A SHOWER IS
PRESENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY TO PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS (40 TO 50 PERCENT) AND THUNDERSTORMS
(30 TO 40 PERCENT) THROUGH 9 PM.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.33 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 TO 80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 8 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING. WINDS WILL WEAKEN
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH, WEAKENING TO 5 TO
8 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH,
WEAKENING TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................42 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY. HAZE. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS (20 TO 30 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS (15 TO 25
PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.22 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
UP TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................22 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
(15 TO 25 PERCENT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS (10 TO 20 PERCENT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.16 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 4 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...HERMANSEN
REQUESTED BY...MARK MAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518618.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/25/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MODOCECC@GMAIL.COM,MARK.MAIN@USDA.GOV
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