265  
FNUS76 KMFR 180428  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRST CREEK UNIT 3...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
928 PM PDT WED OCT 17 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON OCTOBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A THERMAL TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT MAINLY  
EASTERLY WINDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A PATTERN CHANGE WILL BRING  
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES WITH A CHANCE OF  
RAIN BEGINNING ON TUESDAY.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHEAST 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 MPH BECOMING NORTH 3 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING CALM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING EAST 3 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST  
5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS 65 TO 70. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WEYGAND  
REQUESTED BY...HANNE MEYERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1817020.0/MFR  
.DELDT 10/18/18  
 
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