487
FNUS76 KMFR 070339
FWSMFR
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDHORSE PRESCRIBED BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
839 PM PDT WED MAY 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
OVER THE NEXT WEEK, SW OREGON WILL SEE LITTLE DAY-TO-DAY
VARIABILITY EXCEPT WITH RESPECT TO THE MARINE LAYER. OVERALL, EXPECT IT TO
BE SUNNY AT THE BURN ELEVATION MOST OF THE TIME THURSDAY WITH MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS PUSHING BACK TO NEAR THE COAST, BUT THEN RETURNING AT NIGHT. I SHOULD
NOTE THAT THESE CLOUDS WON'T BE DEEP ENOUGH TO MAKE IT TO THIS ELEVATION
(THEY'LL REMAIN ALONG THE COAST), BUT SOME HIGH CLOUDS COULD ACCOMPANY A WEAK
FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL VERY LIKELY MOVE THROUGH
DRY (PRECIP CHANCES <10%). FLOW WILL BECOME MOSTLY OFFSHORE SAT, BUT COULD TURN
ONSHORE AGAIN SAT NIGHT/SUN. WARMER, DRY AFTERNOONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY-MID
NEXT WEEK. NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIP WON'T COME UNTIL SOMETIME LATE NEXT WEEK --
MAYBE BY THU-SAT, MAY 14-16 - THIS LOOKS LIKE MORE OF A CONVECTIVE PATTERN,
WHICH MEANS POSSIBLE SHOWERS/T-STORMS. JUST WHERE EXACTLY THEY SET UP, HOWEVER,
REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
THURSDAY MAY 7
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NNE 0-2 MPH BECOMING SW 1-4 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NNE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SW 2-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NNE 5 BECOMING SW 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 2 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY MAY 8
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SW 0-2 MPH BECOMING NW 1-4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SW 2-6 MPH BECOMING NW 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....W 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY, MAY 9
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. N WINDS 5-9 MPH.
SUNDAY, MAY 10
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. N WINDS
5-9 MPH.
MONDAY, MAY 11
MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NE WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY, MAY 12
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WEDNESDAY, MAY 13
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY MAY 14 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MAY 20
FOR OREGON...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
FOR NRN CALIF...INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.
=
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW LARRIMORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612132.3/MFR
.DELDT 05/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RICHARD.LARRIMORE@USDA.GOV
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