776  
FNUS76 KMFR 020118  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLY RIDGE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
618 PM PDT FRI MAY 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A LOW PRESSURE JUST OFF THE COAST WILL GRADUALLY  
MOVE SOUTH THIS WEEKEND AND MONDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING CHANCES OF  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY AFTERNOON  
WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND AGAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING  
ON SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES TREND COOLER ON MONDAY AND EXPECT  
CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
16 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST O SOUTH 10-12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHWEST TO NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
11 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHWEST TO NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 5-8 MPH, INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM  
REQUESTED BY...JOSE J. CASTILLO JR.  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611840.5/MFR  
.DELDT 05/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSE.CASTILLO@USDA.GOV,MICHELLE.HENRY@USDA.GOV  
 
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