622  
FNUS76 KMFR 260315  
FWSMFR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL HILL RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
815 PM PDT TUE JUN 25 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON JUNE 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE QUITE DIFFERENT THAN WHAT WAS  
SEEN YESTERDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER AND WETTER  
WEATHER TO THE BURN SITE. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM  
MID MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING ON WEDNESDAY WITH A HIGHER CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THE LATER THE CLOUDS ROLL IN ON WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AREA COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS THAT COULD TRAVEL  
SEVERAL MILES FROM THE STORM ITSELF. OCCASIONAL TO MODERATELY FREQUENT  
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS AS WILL  
BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN. OTHERWISE, RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN RATHER  
LIGHT IN NATURE. MIXING WILL BE GOOD ON BOTH DAYS WITH MIXING HEIGHTS  
CRASHING TOWARD THE SURFACE AFTER SUNSET. OTHERWISE, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES  
WILL BE HIGHER THAN THEY HAVE THE PAST FEW DAYS, INCLUDING OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERIES WHICH WILL BE GOOD. THE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STORMS WILL  
CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD ON FRIDAY WHEN THINGS  
BEGIN TO DRY OUT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS EXCEPT IN A T-STORM  
WHERE A QUARTER OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 TO 44 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 0 TO 1 MPH BECOMING WEST 3 TO 5  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO  
30 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5900  
FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................47 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDER-  
STORMS BEFORE SUNDOWN. THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS  
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44 TO 46 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 TO 95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING UPSLOPE  
0 TO 1 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30 MPH  
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
UPSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................56 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 TO 68 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 2 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 30  
MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................29 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHAAF  
REQUESTED BY...LINDSEY NEGHERBON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1911341.0/MFR  
.DELDT 06/26/19  
 
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