695  
FNUS76 KMTR 160309  
FWSMTR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCNEARS RIDGE PILE BURN...CALIFORNIA STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA  
809 PM PDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MARCH 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE HAS ERODED THE MARINE  
LAYER AND HAS BEGUN A STRONG WARMING AND DRYING TREND. HIGH AND  
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE WEEK WITH DECLINING  
HUMIDITIES. THE INCREASED PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN LOW MIXING  
LAYERS AND POOR TRANSPORT WINDS, LEADING TO REDUCED SMOKE  
DISPERSION. GENERAL HAZE WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE SIGHT THROUGH  
THE WEEK AS WINDS REMAIN LIGHT. THE HIGH PRESSURE PATTERN DOES NOT  
LOOK TO BREAK UNTIL THE WEEKEND.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MARINE LAYER........NONE.  
 
 
FORECASTER...B_MURDOCK  
REQUESTED BY...NAFTALI MOED  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605881.0/MTR  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NAFTALI.MOED@PARKS.CA.GOV  
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