070
FNUS76 KMTR 100044
FWSMTR
SPOT FORECAST FOR JEWEL LAKE PILE BURN...EAST BAY REGIONAL PARKS-EBRPD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
444 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDY SKIES TO START THE DAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS AHEAD OF AN INCOMING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE DAY WITH STEADY RAINS LIKELY AFTER 4 PM TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR WETTING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MUCH
COOLER WITH PERIODS OF RAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. DRY WEATHER RETURNS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT. BEST CHANCE BY LATE IN DAY.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN
OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
MARINE LAYER........1000FT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
MARINE LAYER........NONE.
FORECASTER...R_WALBRUN
REQUESTED BY...COLIN GALLAGHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602248.0/MTR
.DELDT 02/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CGALLAGHER@EBPARKS.ORG
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