239  
FNUS76 KSGX 020729  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO CARRILLO...FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
1229 AM PDT SAT MAY 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON MAY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MONDAY MORNING, THE MARINE LAYER WILL DEEPEN TO AROUND 4,500 FEET  
MSL, BELOW WHICH HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 75%. DURING  
THE DAY, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE ANTICIPATED TO DROP TO 55-65%.  
FROM THE EARLY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING, WEST WINDS WILL BE  
ELEVATED AROUND 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15-25 MPH. A SCATTERED  
CHANCE (25-35%) FOR SHOWERS BEGINS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY  
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ANY AREAS THAT DO GET RAIN ARE  
ANTICIPATED TO ONLY MEASURE LESS THAN 0.15". HUMIDITY VALUES ARE  
EXPECTED TO REACH 80-100% OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND DROP INTO  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO SIMILAR LEVELS AS MONDAY AFTERNOON. DAYTIME  
WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR AS WELL WITH HIGHEST GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST UP TO 6 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING WEST 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT INCREASING TO 16 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 80 80 80 80 72 72 72 72 72 72 50  
WEATHER COV..... CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 53 55 55 54 56 58 59 58 58 58 57  
RH..............78 79 72 73 73 68 65 63 67 67 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 5 5 5 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 7 8 9 10 13 14 14 15 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 7 7 5 6 7 7 9 10 10 11 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W NW NW W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........  
CWR.................16 PERCENT INCREASING TO 27 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 11 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 50 50 50 50 59 59 59 59 59 59 51  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 55 54 50 50 52 53 54 53 53 52 52  
RH..............74 74 77 87 85 78 75 74 75 76 76 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 9 8 7 15 15 14 14 14 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W NW W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 4 3 2 1 7 7 6 6 6 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 9 7 6 5 4 11 11 10 10 10 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 10  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........  
CWR.................11 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 37  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 54 54 55 55 56 57 58 57 58 57 57  
RH..............73 71 69 69 70 70 69 67 69 68 70 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 11 11 11 16 16 16 17 17 17 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 8 8 8 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
RIDGE WIND SPD..M M M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 

 
FORECASTER...SEBASTIAN WESTERINK  
REQUESTED BY...CYRUS GALVAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612284.2/SGX  
.DELDT 05/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CYRUS.GALVAN@USDA.GOV  
 
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