289  
FNUS76 KSGX 210915  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRY CREEK UNIT 2...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
115 AM PST SAT FEB 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THIS MORNING, EXPECT EASTERLY FLOW, SUSTAINED AT 5-10 MPH WITH  
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH. RH DROPS DOWN TO 25-35% DURING THIS  
AFTERNOON AND RECOVERS SLOWLY TO 40-50% OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. LIGHT  
EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON, THEN ONSHORE FLOW  
PICKS UP DURING THE AFTERNOONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 
MIN RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP DOWN TO 20-30% SUNDAY THROUGH  
TUESDAY WITH MINIMAL OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY UNTIL TUESDAY NIGHT AS  
ONSHORE WINDS RETURN.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 17 17 17 27 27 27 53 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 36 38 42 45 48 49 50 50 50 49 46  
RH..............42 42 45 43 40 40 40 41 42 43 43 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 7 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 8 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S SE SE S SE SE S SE SE S SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 0 5 5 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT EAST WINDS AROUND 3-8 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........53 46 46 46 49 49 49 39 39 39 26 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 43 43 44 43 44 44 44 45 44 44 45  
RH..............40 38 36 33 33 30 31 29 28 28 28 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S SE SE S SE SE S SE SE S SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 10 5 5 10 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS AROUND 2-6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 20 20 20 9 9 9 5 5 5 11 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 44 46 51 55 57 59 59 60 59 58 55  
RH..............29 32 34 32 30 30 32 33 34 34 35 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E NE N N N N NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S SE SE S S S S S S S SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SEBASTIAN WESTERINK  
REQUESTED BY...DANA BARRE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602947.3/SGX  
.DELDT 02/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.BRENZEL@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV,JUAN.RODRIGUEZ6@USDA.GOV,DANA.BARRE@USDA.GOV  
 
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