531  
FNUS76 KSGX 120324  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK 1...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
824 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 PDT ON AUGUST 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
REMAINING ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS WILL END BY 2100 PDT. LIGHT  
WINDS AND MODERATE TO HIGH HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A 40  
PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAIN ON  
THE HIGHER RIDGES IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE BETWEEN ABOUT NOON  
AND 1700 PDT WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
THE FIRE ITSELF IS AROUND 20%. ANY NEARBY STORMS COULD PRODUCE  
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES. OTHERWISE  
SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH MODERATE DAYTIME HUMIDITY AND WEAK  
UPSLOPE/UPCANYON WINDS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY, BECOMING LIGHT  
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 MPH.  
CWR.................8 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO  
8 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (PDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 48 48 25 25 25 12 12 12 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............58 57 56 56 57 56 55 55 54 54  
RH..............74 70 73 73 67 69 66 66 67 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW S SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 4 4 4 6 7 9 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W SW SW SW S SE SE S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 6 4 3 3 3 4 5 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 30 50 50 50 75 75 75 82 82 82 63  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... SHR SHR SHR SHR SHR SHR  
TSTM COV........ ISO IS0 ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............55 55 57 59 60 62 61 60 60 59 59 58  
RH..............63 62 58 55 55 53 58 60 61 63 62 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S W NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 3 4 5 5 6 6 8 9 9 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S W NW NW W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S SW SW S SW SW SW S S W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 5 5 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 5  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........63 63 89 89 89 95 95 95 91 91 91 76  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 56 56 54 54 54 54 53 53 53 52 52  
RH..............73 79 77 74 77 76 72 74 70 70 70 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW W W SW SW S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 5 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 7 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W SW SW W W SW SW S S S SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S W S S S SE S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
 
FORECASTER...STEFANIE SULLIVAN  
REQUESTED BY...DIV 3  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619493.0/SGX  
.DELDT 08/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CASBCC@FIRENET.GOV  
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