180
FNUS76 KSGX 211802
FWSSGX
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTE...OCFA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1102 AM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE FIRST ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE
COAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE RAIN. TONIGHT, THE RAIN SCATTERS OUT SLIGHTLY, WITH
HIT-OR-MISS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, BECOMING MORE SCATTERED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING, THEN
ISOLATED THROUGH FRIDAY. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COULD YIELD
RAIN RATES OF 0.45-0.7"/HR AND BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO
AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING
TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................23 PERCENT INCREASING TO 87 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
TIME (PDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81 81 81 81 81 81 100
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC
TEMP............74 74 75 74 73 72 70
RH..............65 66 63 65 68 69 74
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 11 11 11 11 11
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.7 8 8 8 8 8 8
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 15 15 30 15 15 30
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 90
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO AROUND
15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO AROUND
35 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 20 TO
25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................87 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2 TO 6
MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT SCT
TEMP............69 67 66 66 65 64 63 63 63 62 61 60
RH..............78 83 85 89 92 96 97 98 98 98 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..W SE SE SE E S SE SE E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SE SE S SE S SW E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 30 15 15 35 25 20 25 15 15 20
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 80
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 7
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................78 PERCENT DECREASING TO 18 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 67
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
TEMP............60 59 60 61 62 65 66 66 67 66 65 65
RH..............100 99 100 99 91 82 79 75 70 72 72 71
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE S S SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 8 10 10 11 10 10 8
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SW SW SW W W W SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 7 7 6
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15
CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 60 20
FORECASTER...SEBASTIAN WESTERINK
REQUESTED BY...RYAN SWANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2623952.4/SGX
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYANSWANSON@OCFA.ORG
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