635
FNUS76 KSGX 170036
FWSSGX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MORENA COMMUNITY DEFENSE PILE BURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
436 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1630 PST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST TUESDAY
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 4 PM PST
WEDNESDAY...
DISCUSSION
RAIN SHOWERS ONGOING ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS, THOUGH MAY BECOME MORE ON AND OFF. LATER THIS
EVENING. ON AND OFF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL LATE
TUESDAY MORNING WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY BECOMING MORE SPOTTY. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25-35+ MPH ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THIS EVENING, AND THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 22 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 45 MPH.
CWR.................84 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 33 MPH.
TIME (PST) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO
TEMP............46 44
RH..............100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..20 18
20 FT WIND GUST.30 28
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 14
EYE LVL WND GST.22 20
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..45 45
CWR.............80 80
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). ON AND OFF RAIN
SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH
DECREASING TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38
MPH DECREASING TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH.
CWR.................84 PERCENT DECREASING TO 74 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............43 41 41 40 40 39 39 39 38 38 38 39
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..17 16 15 14 15 13 13 13 13 14 14 12
20 FT WIND GUST.27 25 23 22 22 20 21 20 20 22 21 18
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.12 11 11 11 11 9 9 9 9 10 10 8
EYE LVL WND GST.19 18 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 15 13
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W SW W SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..40 45 35 35 35 30 30 35 30 30 35 25
CWR.............80 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH.
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 93 93 93 92 92 92 89 89
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 38 39 43 44 48 49 48 49 49 47 46
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 95 89 90 87 85 91 96
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 9 9 10 12 14 14 14 15 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 15 16 17 18 22 22 22 22 22 21
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W SW SW W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 6 7 7 7 9 10 11 11 11 10 9
EYE LVL WND GST.13 11 11 12 12 13 16 16 16 16 16 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW W W SW W W W W W W SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 25 25 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30
CWR.............70 70 70 70 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
FORECASTER...DAVID MUNYAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA CRADDOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602396.5/SGX
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.CRADDOCK@USDA.GOV,GARRETT.CRAIGHEAD@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV
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