404  
FNUS76 KSGX 211206  
FWSSGX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRY CREEK UNIT 8...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA  
506 AM PDT TUE APR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM PDT  
WEDNESDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXTREMELY DRY THIS MORNING, WITH HUMIDITY GRADUALLY RISING ALL DAY.  
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND PEAK THIS AFTERNOON  
THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT SHOWERS LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ON  
WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AND IT WILL BECOME DRIER.  
SEASONAL WEAK ONSHORE FLOW THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT NOT STRONG WINDS.  
HUMIDITY AND ONSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND, LEADING  
TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT EARLY, RISING TO 75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 25  
MPH.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 3 3 3 5 5 5 11 11 11 73  
WEATHER COV..... CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 46 48 52 53 57 57 57 58 56 54 52  
RH..............10 18 24 28 34 38 41 48 52 58 68 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 10 12 15 16 16 17 17  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 6 7 7 9 11 12 12 12 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 15 5 5 15 10 15 25 15 15 25  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 TO  
25 MPH OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........73 73 100 100 100 53 53 53 48 48 48 42  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 47 47 48 47 46 45 44 44 43 43 42  
RH..............81 77 81 76 75 75 73 73 72 72 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 10 10 12 10 9 9 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 15 16 17 18 17 16 15 14 13 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 6 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.12 11 11 12 12 13 12 12 11 10 9 9  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 25 20 20 30 20 20 25 15 15 25  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 42 31 31 31 26 26 26 35 35 35 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 41 43 45 48 50 52 52 52 52 51 50  
RH..............70 72 67 61 56 53 53 56 58 60 61 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 8 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.   
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.    
SATURDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH AT EYE LEVEL.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MIGUEL MILLER  
REQUESTED BY...DANA BARRE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611016.0/SGX  
.DELDT 04/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SM.FS.CNFECC@USDA.GOV,GILES.MCGERVEY@USDA.GOV,REYES.ARROYO@USDA.GOV,DANA.BARRE@USDA.GOV  
 
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