845  
FNUS76 KSTO 200101  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH MEADOWS MACHINE PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
501 PM PST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ACTIVE WEATHER TO CONTINUE AT THE BURN SITE THURSDAY MORNING, WITH  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING THEN SNOW SHOWERS AS COLDER AIR  
MOVES INTO THE REGION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF LATE THURSDAY  
NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION.  
FRIDAY WILL SEE BREEZY WINDS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT, WITH EAST WINDS  
SUSTAINED UP TO 10-15 MPH, GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 MPH. IMPROVING CONDITIONS  
BY THE WEEKEND WITH CLEARING SKIES AND CALMER WINDS.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AT START OF THE DAY,  
THEN TRANSITIONING TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. 1-3  
INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION THROUGH FRIDAY  
MORNING, 0.50" INCHES OF RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........90-94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS, TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS BELOW 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................78 PERCENT DECREASING TO 12 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............80 80 80 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............32 33 35 35 37 39 38 39 39 37 35  
RH..............100 100 98 100 92 88 92 86 93 92 97  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N N  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NE NE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 7 7 7 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.7 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 7 7 7 5 5 5 6 6  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS AROUND 16 TO 23 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 21  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.  
CWR.................12 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 32  
RH..............100 96 98 96 92 91 90 90 90 91 91 89  
SL/VL WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10  
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 14 14 14 20 20 20 21 21 21 23 23  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 13 13 13 16 16 16 18 18 18 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 13 13 13 16 16 16 18 18 18 21 21  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 22 TO 28  
MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 33 35 37 39 41 43 44 44 43 41 39  
RH..............87 85 84 83 81 77 73 71 73 77 81 84  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E E E  
SL/VL WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 12 12 8 8 8 7 7  
SL/VL WIND GUST.23 28 28 28 25 25 25 21 21 21 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..21 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 20 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 20 16 16  
 
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...TAHOE / AMERICAN RIVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526396.0/STO  
.DELDT 11/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MIKE.DUROCHER@USDA.GOV,BRIAN.CRAWFORD@USDA.GOV,MATTHEW.RADTKE@USDA.GOV,JEREMY.HIERONIMUS@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab CA Page
Main Text Page