363
FNUS76 KSTO 281559
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR TALBOT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
859 AM PDT FRI AUG 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 PDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING OVER THE TALBOT FIRE, EVENTUALLY GIVING
WAY TO BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES AS A TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGE MOVES
FURTHER INLAND. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING
TO AROUND 20% AS WELL, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON T-STORM DEVELOPMENT
DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY ALOFT. REGARDLESS, IF ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS
LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
SURFACE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY
WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH IF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS. CONDITIONS
WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE AS WE MOVE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS MOISTURE
PUSHES FURTHER EAST. SATURDAY WILL START WITH SOME HIGH PASSING CLOUDS
EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S.
NEXT WEEK, EARLY FALL-LIKE HIGH TEMPERATURES WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. ANOTHER SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS POSSIBLE BY LATE NEXT
WEEK, ALTHOUGH DETAILS ARE STILL HIGHLY UNCERTAIN ON EXACT PRECIPITATION
OR T-STORM IMPACTS TO THE AREA AT THIS TIME.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 23 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 28
TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................13 PERCENT INCREASING TO 61 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 14 PERCENT LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............10 60
CHC OF THDR (%).0 20
TEMP............62 68
RH..............71 70
SL/VL WIND......S 2G9 S 3G12
RIDGETOP WIND...S 23 SW 35
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 12
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 22
MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................14 PERCENT DECREASING TO 2 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CWR.............10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0
TEMP............67 57 55
RH..............74 87 84
SL/VL WIND......SW 2G8 S 3G7 S 3G6
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 26 SW 20 SW 17
MIX HGT (FT)....2000 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 7 S 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 23 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CWR.............0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0
TEMP............52 66 75
RH..............88 58 36
SL/VL WIND......S 3G8 S 7G21 SW 8G22
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 24 SW 25 SW 24
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2500 6200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 15 SW 23
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...TALBOT IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619793.12/STO
.DELDT 08/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FRANCISCO.NAVARRO@USDA.GOV,BRIAN.CRAWFORD@USDA.GOV
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