564
FNUS76 KSTO 130547
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR TALBOT...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1047 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 PDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COOLER AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH DRIER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED BY
THE WEEKEND. WINDS IN THE BURN VICINITY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
DIURNAL AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WITH LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS BECOMING BREEZY FROM THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
LOOK TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10% BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, WITH
HIGHEST CHANCES AROUND 20% ARRIVING BY MIDDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE INCREASING CHANCES, BEST
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED ALONG AND
EAST OF THE SIERRA CREST. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP IN THE
DIRECT BURN VICINITY WILL LIKELY BY A DRY STORM MODE. OTHERWISE,
LIGHTNING OUTSIDE OF PRECIPITATION CORES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
MAY STILL POSE A THREAT TO THE BURN VICINITY FROM STORMS DEVELOPING
NEAR OR EAST OF THE CREST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...UP TO 8 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 6 6 8 8
TEMP............61 61 61 59 59 59
RH..............67 66 69 72 72 75
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2
SL/VL WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 5 5
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 8 8 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 7 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH BY
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...AROUND 10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
19 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 0
TEMP............57 58 59 62 67 70 71 74 74 75 76 74
RH..............77 79 81 77 65 57 54 51 52 51 51 53
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.6 7 9 13 17 18 17 17 18 18 18 17
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW S
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 12 12 12 17 17 17 20 20 20 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.1 5.1 5.1 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 12 12 17 17 17 20 20 20 15
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE EAST-
SOUTHEAST.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............72 70 62 59 58 57 56 57 56 55 55 54
RH..............59 66 77 83 83 83 82 78 80 81 82 84
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SL/VL WIND GUST.17 17 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 3.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 54 56 60 65 69 72 74 75 76 76 74
RH..............84 82 77 68 57 48 45 45 47 47 48 52
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 7 7 7 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 16 16 16 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 13 13 13 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 13 13 13 15 15 15 14
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DAYTIME
MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE LOWER 40S.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE MID 30S.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE MID 30S.
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619594.0/STO
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.BOLLINGER@USDA.GOV,SM.FS.CAGVCC@USDA.GOV
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