631
FNUS76 KSTO 182141
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR D54 PILE BURN...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
141 PM PST WED FEB 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ACTIVE WEATHER TO CONTINUES AT THE BURN SITE, WITH PERIODS OF
GUSTY WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION, FOLLOWED BY A
BRIEF BREAK FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, THEN ADDITIONAL OPPORTUNITIES
FOR RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS AS ANOTHER SYSTEM ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY
INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH SNOW LEVELS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND
2000-2500 FEET NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, PERIODS
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY, BUT
OVERALL DRIER WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY-SATURDAY, WITH
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION RETURNING NEAR THE BURN SITE BY SUNDAY.
GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT, REMAINING
BREEZY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEFORE BECOMING GUSTY SUNDAY INTO NEXT
WEEK. SNOW LEVELS LATE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE THE BURN SITE ELEVATION, ALTHOUGH MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAIN IS STILL ANTICIPATED.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................96 PERCENT DECREASING TO 42 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
CWR.............100 90 90 90 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............32 33 33 34 32
RH..............90 85 84 79 87
SL/VL WIND......SE 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 SW 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 22 23 23 21
RIDGETOP WIND...S 25 S 22 W 15 W 15 NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1500 1700 1700 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 22 W 15 W 15 NW 10
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW
LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN
BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................42 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............40 40 10 10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 30 29 28 26 25
RH..............89 91 91 90 88 84
SL/VL WIND......SW 10 S 8 E 2 E 2 E 3 E 5
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 16 5 5 6 7
RIDGETOP WIND...NW 10 W 8 N 7 N 7 E 6 E 7
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 400 1000 1000 600 200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 W 8 N 7 N 7 E 6 E 7
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............25 31 37 40
RH..............74 66 65 65
SL/VL WIND......E 5G7 E 5G8 S 3G7 SW 3G10
RIDGETOP WIND...E 7 E 7 S 5 SW 5
MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 2500 2700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 7 S 5 SW 5
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST-
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 7 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...BRADLEY WALKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603110.0/STO
.DELDT 02/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRADLEY.WALKER@USDA.GOV,DAVID.REYNOLDS@USDA.GOV
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