048
FNUS76 KSTO 030152
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR TALBOT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
652 PM PDT WED SEP 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON THURSDAY WITH CONTINUED COOLER THAN NORMAL
HIGH TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE GUSTS ARE FORECAST OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 TO
40 MPH. A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A 10%
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY; HOWEVER THE
HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL REMAINS NORTH OF THE BURN SITE.
TOTAL FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS ARE AROUND 0.40-0.60". DRY WEATHER AND
WEAKER WINDS RETURNS FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY ALONGSIDE
WARMER TEMPERATURES.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BRINGING RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THREATS TO THE BURN
AREA, BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON EXACT IMPACTS.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN LIKELY LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 40
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................2 PERCENT INCREASING TO 72 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............0 0 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10
TEMP............44 53 59
RH..............86 73 60
SL/VL WIND......S 6G16 SW 9G24 SW 8G23
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 20 SW 30 SW 35
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2100 2700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 16 SW 25
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH
DECREASING TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 30
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................73 PERCENT DECREASING TO 45 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
CWR.............70 70 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0
TEMP............56 49 48
RH..............79 97 93
SL/VL WIND......SW 9G30 SW 13G33 SW 8G22
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 40 SW 40 SW 35
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 900 1100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20 SW 17 S 14
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. RAIN
IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................45 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............50 50 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10
TEMP............45 48 58
RH..............100 100 71
SL/VL WIND......SW 7G20 SW 8G20 SW 6G16
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 30 S 30 S 25
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1600 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 13 SW 15
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...TALBOT IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619793.18/STO
.DELDT 09/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FRANCISCO.NAVARRO@USDA.GOV,BRIAN.CRAWFORD@USDA.GOV
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