169  
FNUS76 KSTO 122151  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DENNIS...ELDORADO NATIONAL FOREST USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
251 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 PDT ON AUGUST 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 9 PM PDT THURSDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THURSDAY WILL SEE A 10-20% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH  
BEST CHANCES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE. CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN  
EXACT PLACEMENT AND STORM MODE AT THIS TIME WITH THE MORNING  
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON WILL BE THE BEST WINDOW TO SEE THUNDERSTORM  
DEVELOPMENT BEFORE INITIATIONS FORM FURTHER EAST BY THE LATE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES COOL INTO 70S INTO WEEKEND WITH INCREASING  
HUMIDITY TRENDS AS AFTERNOON VALUES NEAR 50% THURSDAY AND 40S INTO  
SATURDAY. OUTSIDE OF ANY ERRATIC WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WINDS IN  
AFTERNOONS WILL BE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-25 MPH, WEAKENING  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
THURSDAY: 10-15% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (GREATER THAN 0.10")  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS 15 TO 25 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MCR PC MCR MCR  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............56 54 58 63 69 70 72 72 72 72 73 72  
RH..............87 95 86 68 57 53 53 52 53 51 49 50  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 7  
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 9 13 16 17 17 20 20 21 21 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..17 18 20 20 20 20 21 22 23 23 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 5.1 5.1 5.1 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 13 13 16 16 16 18 18 18 14  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
15-20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0-5 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 69 65 59 57 55 55 54 53 52 51 51  
RH..............51 54 61 76 84 89 89 89 91 92 92 93  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW S S S E E E E E E E  
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 20 10 10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..22 23 24 25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 9  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING WITH GUSTS AROUND 15-20 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 52 55 59 65 69 71 71 71 72 72 71  
RH..............91 86 78 68 57 49 47 49 51 50 49 50  
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
SL/VL WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 15 15 15 17 17 17 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..26 26 25 24 22 21 21 21 21 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 8 8 13 13 13 14 14 14 10  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...JS  
REQUESTED BY...CAMINO ECC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619491.3/STO  
.DELDT 08/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EARL.WYLIE@USDA.GOV,CACICC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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