274  
FNUS76 KSTO 132342  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUTE INCIDENT...CAL FIRE NEU  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
442 PM PDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AND INCREASINGLY HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE FIRE AREA  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANY MONSOONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON  
TUESDAY EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED OVER HIGHER MOUNTAINS TO THE  
EAST OF THE AREA. HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO DROP OVER THE  
NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUMS AROUND 30 PERCENT ON  
TUESDAY, INTO THE LOWER 20S ON WEDNESDAY. EXPECT A TYPICAL DIURNAL  
WIND PATTERN, WITH LIGHT DOWNSLOPE/DOWN CANYON WINDS AT NIGHT  
INTO THE EARLY MORNING, SHIFTING TO BREEZY SOUTHWEST AND UPCANYON  
LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS NORTHEAST/DOWNCANYON WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST UP TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH  
GUSTS TO 14 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 72 77 84 86 88 91 92 92 94 93  
RH..............72 68 55 47 42 39 36 33 31 30 29  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.6 5 5 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 6.9 6.9 6.9 8.3 8.3 8.3 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST  
WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 92 86 82 78 76 73 72 71 69 68 68  
RH..............29 30 37 41 46 50 55 58 60 62 62 62  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW SE SE SE E E E NE NE NE NE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 12 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 6 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.8 6.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S E E E NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 2 2 2 6 6 6 8 8 8 8  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-98.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS BECOMING WEST UP TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 67 72 77 83 88 91 93 94 95 96 95  
RH..............64 64 60 53 44 36 32 30 29 26 24 23  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE SW SW SW W W W SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 6 6 6 5  
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 6 6 6 9 9 9 14 14 14 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S W W W SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 5.6 5.6 5.6 7.8 7.8 7.8 7.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE W W W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 5 5 5 6 6 6 9 9 9 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...EK  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW DANOS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617325.0/STO  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.DANOS@FIRE.CA.GOV  
 
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