111
FNUS76 KSTO 181822
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOAFER CREEK RX...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1122 AM PDT SUN OCT 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AT THE BURN SITE MONDAY MORNING, WITH SOUTH WINDS
BELOW 10 MPH EXPECTED. PATTERN CHANGE WILL HELP USHER IN MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED HUMIDITY VALUES MONDAY AS WELL. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL ENTER THE FORECAST ON TUESDAY IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH MOSTLY
LIGHT SHOWER CHANCES. BETTER CHANCES AT RAIN AND RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL
ENTER THE FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS MAIN WAVE OF ENERGY
WILL PUSH ONSHORE. CONTINUED COOL CONDITIONS WITH HUMIDITY VALUES IN
THE 30S TO 40S THROUGH THE WEEK.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 8 MPH.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 60 63 65 67 68 69 69 68
RH..............59 55 52 49 47 44 42 40 39
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 5
SL/VL WIND GUST.13 16 17 18 18 18 17 16 14
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14 9
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 64 62 61 61 60 59 58 57 56 54 53
RH..............39 44 50 52 53 54 58 59 60 63 67 71
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE N N N N N N N
SL/VL WIND SPD..5 5 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SL/VL WIND GUST.14 14 7 7 7 2 2 2 1 1 1 2
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E N
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 2 2 2 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 2 2 2 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 52 53 55 58 61 64 67 68 70 70 69
RH..............72 73 72 68 61 55 51 49 47 45 43 44
SL/VL WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE SW SW SW SW SW SW W
SL/VL WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 2
SL/VL WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 3 7 7 7 9 9 9 6
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE S S S S S S W
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE S S S S S S W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 5
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...TIM CASSONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623434.1/STO
.DELDT 10/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FAUSTINO.PAMATZ@FIRE.CA.GOV,TIM.CASSONE@FIRE.CA.GOV
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