785  
FNUS76 KSTO 240316  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MT. HOUGH DISTRICT PILES- IRSC 103/300...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
716 PM PST FRI JAN 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON JANUARY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH BREEZY NORTH TO EAST WINDS CONTINUE TODAY AT THE  
BURN SITE. INVERSION SHOULD FULLY BREAK THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE  
MOVES FURTHER INLAND IN SOCAL, HELPING RAISE MIXING HEIGHTS DURING  
THE DAYTIME AND NIGHT, ALLEVIATING SOME OF THE DISPERSION CONCERNS  
AS STAGNANT AIR IS FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE REGION. EAST TRANSPORT  
WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN  
FORECAST TO REDEVELOP OFFSHORE, WHERE A SHORT PERIOD OF STAGNANT AIR  
FLOW MAY RETURN TO THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FURTHER INTO NEXT  
WEEK, A WEAK SYSTEM MAY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AND BRING VERY LIGHT  
RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION MOUNTAIN SNOW, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE ON  
ANY PRECIPITATION IS VERY LOW AT THIS TIME. BEST CHANCES OF ANY  
PRECIPITATION WOULD BE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............25 35 42 42  
RH..............72 59 40 37  
SL/VL WIND......NE 5G12 E 6G14 E 7G16 NE 6G13  
RIDGETOP WIND...NE 16 E 20 E 18 E 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 3000 3100 1800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16 E 20 E 18 E 13  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-24.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61-65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 28 26 24  
RH..............43 56 59 59  
SL/VL WIND......NE 6G13 NE 5G9 NE 2G7 NE 2G7  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 13 E 9 E 9 E 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1200 1200 1200  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 9 E 9 E 10  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............22 30 41 46  
RH..............63 51 38 36  
SL/VL WIND......NE 2G6 NE 1G5 E 1G5 S 2G6  
RIDGETOP WIND...E 8 E 8 E 7 SW 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 1500 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 8 E 7 SW 6  
 
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...EDWARD BADALAMENTI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600702.3/STO  
.DELDT 01/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LUCAS.PASCUCCI@USDA.GOV,SAMUEL.HARWOOD@USDA.GOV,EDWARD.BADALAMENTI@USDA.GOV  
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