526
FNUS76 KSTO 161237
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR D54 PILE BURN...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
437 AM PST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY SNOW AS COLD AIR MOVES
INTO THE REGION LATER TODAY. HIGHEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. STRONGEST SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AS WELL, WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 TO 45 MPH. SNOW LEVELS FALL
TO THE BURN SITES ELEVATION TONIGHT, THEN CONTINUE TO DECREASE FURTHER
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. CURRENT RAIN FORECAST IS AROUND 1-2 INCHES FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY, THEN SNOW TOTALS TONIGHT THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
ROUGHLY AROUND 32 TO 42 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SNOW LEVELS WILL
FALL EVEN FURTHER, DOWN TO ROUGHLY 1000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT, THEN REMAIN
AROUND 1500-2500 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH
INCREASING TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 20
TEMP............33 38 39 38 33
RH..............100 90 79 81 94
SL/VL WIND......S 12 S 16 S 17 S 17 S 18
SL/VL WIND GUST.25 33 36 37 38
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 16 S 23 S 21 S 21 S 21
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1900 2000 2000 1800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 S 23 S 21 S 21 S 21
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-24.
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH
DECREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
CWR.................98 PERCENT DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............100 100 90 90 90 80
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 20 20 20 10
TEMP............31 30 29 29 29 26
RH..............100 98 100 100 100 100
SL/VL WIND......S 18 SW 16 SW 15 SW 15 SW 13 SW 14
SL/VL WIND GUST.37 35 32 31 28 30
RIDGETOP WIND...S 21 S 16 S 15 S 15 SW 15 S 14
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1000 700 700 1200 800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 16 S 15 S 15 SW 15 S 14
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW, HEAVY AT TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH
INCREASING TO 44 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................80 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............80 80 100 100
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10
TEMP............25 26 31 33
RH..............100 99 84 78
SL/VL WIND......SW 14G30 SW 18G38 S 21G43 S 23G44
RIDGETOP WIND...S 14 S 18 S 31 S 32
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1400 2600 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 18 S 31 S 32
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...BRADLEY WALKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602811.0/STO
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRADLEY.WALKER@USDA.GOV,DAVID.REYNOLDS@USDA.GOV
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