206
FNUS76 KSTO 280439
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR SALT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
839 PM PST FRI FEB 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDY SKIES WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO PRECIPITATION AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AT THE BURN SITE TOMORROW AND SUNDAY.
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW HAVE INCREASED IN THE AREA,
ALONG WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE-LEVEL HAIL, WEAK TORNADOES,
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN, DANGEROUS LIGHTNING, AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS.
CURRENT HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL DATA SUGGESTS THE BEST TIMING FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AROUND 1 TO 9 PM TOMORROW, SIMILAR
TIMEFRAME FOR SUNDAY. CONVERGENCE ZONE SIGNAL HAS ALSO APPEARED
IN RECENT MODEL RUNS ON SUNDAY, DEVELOPING NEAR/OVER THE BURN SITE
AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY EVENING. CONFIDENCE LOW ON
A CONVERGENCE ZONE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH A SHORT BREAK TUESDAY BEFORE LIGHT
ISOLATED SHOWERS REDEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY, WITH MINIMAL ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 8 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................4 PERCENT INCREASING TO 71 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
44 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...29 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC MC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC
CWR.............0 0 0 70 70 70 70 70 70 40 40
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20
TEMP............54 54 55 59 63 65 67 68 67 66 63
RH..............85 88 88 80 76 69 65 65 66 70 80
SL/VL WIND DIR..N N N N N N N SE NW NW NW
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N SW SW SW W W
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N N SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6
MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6
MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................44 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO 34
PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC
CWR.............40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............59 57 56 56 55 55 55 54 54 53 53 52
RH..............87 92 93 94 94 95 97 98 99 100 100 100
SL/VL WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
RIDGE WIND DIR..W N N N N N N NE NE NE N N
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N N N N N N NE NE NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 9
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 9
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................34 PERCENT INCREASING TO 65 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
CWR.............30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 70 70
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............52 51 52 52 53 55 57 58 59 60 59 58
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 92 87 82 78 77 80
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE S S S S S S S S
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
SL/VL WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.3 3.3 3.3 2.1 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9
FORECASTER...JW
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN REGELIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603484.5/STO
.DELDT 02/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JUSTIN.REGELIN@USDA.GOV
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