029  
FNUS76 KSTO 100929  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAT CREEK WC ADMIN PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
129 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES ON WEDNESDAY, WITH LINGERING ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE MORNING (UP TO 10%). WINDS WILL BE LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE NEAR THE SURFACE; PREVAILING SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION  
AT RIDGETOPS AND TRASNPORT WIND HEIGHTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT,  
BECOMING MORE NORTHEASTERLY ON THURSDAY. RAIN TOTALS NEAR THE BURN  
SITE ARE FORECASTED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY, AROUND 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES (CLOSER TO 0.5 TO 0.75 INCHES  
FOR THE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL BETWEEN TUESDAY AND THURSDAY).  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77-84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................46 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................14 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57-63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SP  
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS SCHNEIDER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602236.0/STO  
.DELDT 02/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.SCHNEIDER@USDA.GOV,JAY.RACKELMANN@USDA.GOV  
 
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