520  
FNUS76 KSTO 190529  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR H-100...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
929 PM PST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0751 PST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SNOW OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY,  
THEN GRADUAL DRYING CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AT THE BURN SITE ROUGHLY BY  
2PM, WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL  
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. DRY AND PARTLY SUNNY FOR FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY  
BEFORE OUR NEXT, WARMER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA BY SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS WILL BEGIN AROUND 3000 FEET SATURDAY MORNING  
THEN SNOW LEVELS RISE ABOVE THE BURN SITE'S ELEVATION BY SUNDAY.  
RAIN WILL BE THE LIKELY PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THE MAJORITY OF NEXT  
WEEK'S SYSTEM, WITH ACTIVE WEATHER FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST  
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. CURRENT RAIN TOTAL FORECAST AT THE BURN SITE  
IS ROUGHLY 3 TO 5 INCHES, SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY, WITH TOTALS LIKELY  
TO CHANGE AS WE MOVE INTO THIS WEEKEND AND FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IMPROVES.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING, TAPERING OFF AROUND  
NOON TO 2PM, BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE EVENING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 13  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 13  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................93 PERCENT DECREASING TO 12 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............90 90 90 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............24 24 25 27 28 32 34 36 36 35 32  
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 89 79 73 73 73 84  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6  
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 12 12 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E NW NW NW W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 13 13 13 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.7 1.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 2.6 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 13 13 13 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............14 15 17 20 24 29 34 37 39 39 37 35  
RH..............98 98 100 100 100 89 76 65 61 60 64 72  
SL/VL WIND DIR..N N N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.2 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...LUKE PASCUCCI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602760.3/STO  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LUCAS.PASCUCCI@USDA.GOV  
 
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