316
FNUS76 KSTO 060623
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTON-SCHAADS VMP...CALFIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1023 PM PST THU FEB 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY DRY, GENERALLY CALM WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE IS A ~15% CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS ON FRIDAY BUT FORECAST AMOUNTS
ARE LESS THAN 0.10". WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.
HUMIDITIES SLOWLY TREND HIGHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS AN
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGS INCREASED MOISTURE. THIS SAME
SYSTEM WILL INTRODUCE PRECIPITATION CHANCES LATE SUNDAY THROUGH
MID WEEK. EXACT TIMING AND AMOUNTS REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME,
BUT CURRENT FORECAST RAIN AMOUNTS ARE BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.50
INCHES. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE HINTS AT A CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN THROUGH MID FEBRUARY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............53 57 59 60 61 62 60 59 56
RH..............46 42 38 37 38 39 43 52 59
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE S SW SW SW W NW N
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 5
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S S S SW SW SW NE NE
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S SW SW SW NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 51 50 50 49 49 49 48 48 48 48 47
RH..............67 69 69 66 67 63 60 60 58 54 52 52
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
SL/VL WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 46 48 52 57 60 62 62 62 62 60 57
RH..............51 52 55 50 42 39 38 39 42 46 51 58
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE E E E N N N W W W NW NW
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 2 2 2 5 5 5 3 3
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 6 6 6 9 9 9 8 8
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E N N N NW NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 3.7 3.7 3.7 2.2 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E N N N NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FC NATE ULVEVADET
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601573.2/STO
.DELDT 02/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATE.ULVEVADET@FIRE.CA.GOV
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