339  
FNUS76 KSTO 220150  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUTE INCIDENT...CAL FIRE NEU  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
650 PM PDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 PDT ON JULY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DAYTIME HUMIDITY ON WEDNESDAY UP TO THE MID 40S EXPECTED, WITH  
GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DRYING  
TREND RETURNS THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HUMIDITY TO  
AROUND 30, IN THE 20S FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S TO LOW 90S OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
WINDS REMAIN TERRAIN DRIVEN, WITH STRONGEST GUSTS EXPECTED IN THE  
AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS. STRONGEST WINDS THIS WEEK WILL OCCUR  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SOUTH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH  
(10-15% & POTENTIALLY STRONGER IN DOWN-CANYON AREAS). THURSDAY  
WILL SEE CONDITIONS LOWER TO TYPICAL, DAILY BREEZY AFTERNOON  
WINDS. WHILE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES NEAR THE FIRE REMAIN BELOW 5%  
WEDNESDAY, NEARBY STORMS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY BRING ABOUT  
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. THURSDAY WILL SEE CHANCES PULL FURTHER EAST,  
REDUCING THE GUSTY OUTFLOW THREAT.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR CLR  
TEMP............76 75 74 73 71 70  
RH..............55 57 58 60 61 63  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 1 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 2 2 2 3 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 5 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 5 5 5 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS UP TO 15-25  
MPH AT TIMES.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
TEMP............69 68 71 73 79 81 83 85 87 87 88 87  
RH..............66 67 67 64 59 55 53 50 47 44 42 41  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE SE S S S SW SW SW S S S SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
SL/VL WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE SE S S S SW SW SW S S S SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S SW SW SW S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 9 9 9 9  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82-86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 BECOMING LIGHT NORTHEAST  
WINDS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
4 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
TEMP............87 86 81 76 73 71 70 68 67 65 64 64  
RH..............42 44 47 57 64 69 75 79 82 84 84 83  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E E NE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 6 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1  
SL/VL WIND GUST.14 14 12 12 12 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E E NE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S SE SE SE E E E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 5  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
TEMP............62 63 67 71 76 80 83 85 87 89 90 90  
RH..............84 81 75 69 62 55 49 43 38 33 30 29  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 3 9 9 9 12 12 12 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NE NE NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NW NW NW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 7  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DA  
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY HART  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617921.0/STO  
.DELDT 07/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RODNEY.HART@FIRE.CA.GOV  
 
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