237  
FNUS76 KSTO 281917  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINA GULCH RX...CAL FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
1217 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A PATTERN CHANGE IS IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY  
AS A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BRINGING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. RIGHT NOW,  
ARRIVAL TIME OF WIDESPREAD RAIN LOOKS TO BE LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY  
TUESDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT MONDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON, THEN A TRANSITION TO  
SOUTHWEST WINDS ROUGHLY 4 TO 7 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH. SIMILAR  
CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY, WITH BREEZY TO GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH  
ON-OFF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
ROUGHLY 0.30 TO 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST, WITH HIGHER  
AMOUNTS LIKELY IN ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE BURN SITE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE  
DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78-82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
CWR.................12 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...JAN SMUTZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607950.0/STO  
.DELDT 03/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHUECCSTAFF@FIRE.CA.GOV,JAN.SMUTZ@FIRE.CA.GOV,TRAVIS.PEDERSON@FIRE.CA.GOV  
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