952  
FNUS76 KSTO 150700  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FORBESTOWN IRSC PILE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
1100 PM PST SAT FEB 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO MOVE IN SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN  
THE MORNING, BECOMING LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE OUT  
OF THE SOUTH GUSTING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE MORNING INTO THE  
AFTERNOON. MODERATE RAIN TO HEAVY IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A  
SLIGHT CHANCE (15%) OF THUNDERSTORMS. MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES  
THROUGH MONDAY (WASHINGTON'S BIRTHDAY), WITH WET SNOW TUESDAY  
BRINGING LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO AROUND AN INCH AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. A COOL AND UNSETTLED PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH  
THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66-70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.  
CWR.................9 PERCENT INCREASING TO 95 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
CWR.............10 50 50 100  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10  
TEMP............44 48 50 49  
RH..............87 76 71 76  
SL/VL WIND......SE 5G14 SE 6G20 S 7G20 S 6G20  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 35 S 40 S 40 S 35  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 3100 2600 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 22 S 21 S 14  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH.TOTAL  
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5+ FEET OF SNOW ARE FORECAST FOR THE BURN SITE  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 14 MPH.  
CWR.................95 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
CWR.............100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL  
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5+ FEET OF SNOW ARE FORECAST FOR THE BURN SITE  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
TEMP............47 46 46 45 45 45 44 43 42 42 42 41  
RH..............86 87 88 89 90 90 90 90 90 91 91 92  
SL/VL WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.20 17 17 17 13 13 13 10 10 10 9 9  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83-87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
CWR.................94 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............41 41 41 41 41 42 43 43 43 42 42 41  
RH..............93 93 93 92 91 91 91 91 90 88 87 88  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SE E E E SE SE SE S S S S S  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6  
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 12 12 12 13 13 13 16 16  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E SE SE SE S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..13 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.1 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E E SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 12 12  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
SNOW AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 40S.  
 

 
FORECASTER...EK  
REQUESTED BY...JARED HAWE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602624.2/STO  
.DELDT 02/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JASON.T.MILLER@USDA.GOV,JARED.HAWE@USDA.GOV,MARK.CRESALIA@USDA.GOV  
 
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