200
FNUS76 KSTO 170457
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR D52 PILE BURNING 02172026...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
857 PM PST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OVER THE SITE EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW
LEVELS WILL BE BETWEEN 2500-3000 FEET THROUGH THE MORNING,
INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FEET BY THE AFTERNOON. INTERMITTENT
SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY EVENING WITH A 15% CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL BRIEFLY BELOW 2000 FEET
OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING TO 2000 TO 2500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY.
CURRENTLY, TOTAL FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS ARE BETWEEN 18 AND 24
INCHES FOR THE SITE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON,
BEFORE WEAKENING LATER IN THE EVENING. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, BUT THE STRONGEST WINDS OF
THE WEEK WILL BE ON TUESDAY. ACTIVE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........94-98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 38
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................98 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............90 90 100 100 100 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 20
TEMP............30 30 31 32 33 32
RH..............99 100 100 98 99 100
SL/VL WIND......S 13 S 13 S 16 S 15 S 15 S 15
SL/VL WIND GUST.32 32 38 35 35 33
RIDGETOP WIND...S 24 S 24 S 30 S 25 S 25 SW 22
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 1800 1400 1400 1500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 24 S 30 S 25 S 25 SW 22
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SNOW
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SNOW LIKELY AFTER
3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 9 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................98 PERCENT DECREASING TO 35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............100 100 80 80
CHC OF THDR (%).20 10 10 0
TEMP............32 31 29 27
RH..............100 99 98 100
SL/VL WIND......S 15G33 S 13G32 SW 12G29 SW 8G23
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 22 SW 18 W 16 W 8
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 900 900 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 22 SW 18 W 16 W 8
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SNOW IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-35.
MIN HUMIDITY........82-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 16
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................35 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TIME (PST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............40 60 60
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10
TEMP............25 28 32
RH..............97 95 89
SL/VL WIND......SW 7G16 S 8G20 S 7G18
RIDGETOP WIND...W 9 S 10 S 16
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1900 2100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 S 10 S 16
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KELLIN BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602872.0/STO
.DELDT 02/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KELLIN.BROWN@USDA.GOV
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