458
FNUS76 KSTO 101633
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR PML...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
933 AM PDT SAT OCT 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
IN THE AFTERNOONS WITH GUSTS UP TO 15-20 MPH. PRECIPITATION MOVES
INTO THE VICINITY SUNDAY AS SHOWERS MOVE OVER THE SIERRA BUT
SHOULD REMAIN FURTHER EAST THAN THE BURN AREA. BEST CHANCES OF
SEEING PRECIPITATION, IF ANY, WOULD BE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING BUT NO ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION IS FORECASTED
CURRENTLY. SNOW LEVEL SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 5500 FEET SO THE SITE
SHOULD ONLY SEE RAIN IF PRECIPITATION OCCURS. DAYTIME HUMIDITIES
INCREASE THIS WEEKEND IMPROVING INTO THE 40S AND INTO THE 60S ON
MONDAY.
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS (SUN PM - MONDAY): 10-30%
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING UP TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0-5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0-5 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP............55 61 63 65 65
RH..............67 56 53 50 49
SL/VL WIND......S 3 S 3 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10
SL/VL WIND GUST.9 9 17 20 20
RIDGETOP WIND...S 7 S 7 S 10 S 12 S 12
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 3500 5000 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 10 S 12 S 12
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE
EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-25
MPH INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING AS LOW AS 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................5-10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0-5 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CWR.............5 0 0 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).5 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 58 56 54 52 51
RH..............50 59 68 75 79 80
SL/VL WIND......SW 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 10 SE 9 SE 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.17 15 15 23 20 15
RIDGETOP WIND...S 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 12 SE 11 SE 11
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 700 700 600 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 7 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9
COLUMBUS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
15-20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING UP TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5-15 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0-5 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
CWR.............10 15 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10
TEMP............50 52 57 59
RH..............81 76 64 61
SL/VL WIND......SE 8G18 SE 7G15 S 6G14 SW 5
RIDGETOP WIND...SE 10 SE 9 S 8 SW 7
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 4000 5200
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 9 S 8 SW 6
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...DA
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW HARRISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623432.0/STO
.DELDT 10/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.HARRISON@FIRE.CA.GOV
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