685  
FNUS76 KSTO 161042  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKYLINE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
242 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PST ON NOVEMBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY, HEAVIEST IN  
THE MORNING, WITH FORECAST RAIN TOTALS OF 1.25 TO 2.00 INCHES  
FROM DAYBREAK THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO  
MONDAY, STRONGEST IN THE MORNING AND DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY  
THROUGH THE DAY. STORM TOTALS OVER 48 HOURS ENDING 4 AM PST  
TUESDAY OF 2.00 TO 4.00 INCHES ARE FORECAST, WITH A 65%  
PROBABILITY OF 2 INCHES OR MORE. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED AS THE STORM SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH, WITH GUSTS UP TO 22  
MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. LIGHTER WINDS MONDAY,  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH BY THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. PATCHY  
FOG LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
CWR.................75 PERCENT INCREASING TO 95 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
CWR.............75 75 89 89 89 95  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 7 7  
TEMP............50 48 49 49 50 49  
RH..............100 99 100 100 98 100  
SL/VL WIND......S 6 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9  
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 17 20 20 22 20  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 10 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 15 S 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1000 1300 1300 1100 1300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 15 S 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN  
THE EVENING.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.  
CWR.................97 PERCENT DECREASING TO 81 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
CWR.............97 97 97 97 97 81  
CHC OF THDR (%).9 9 9 9 7 7  
TEMP............50 49 49 49 48 47  
RH..............99 100 100 99 100 100  
SL/VL WIND......S 12 S 13 S 12 S 10 SE 8 SE 6  
SL/VL WIND GUST.23 24 22 18 14 12  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15 S 16 S 17 S 17 S 15 S 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 800 900 900 1000 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 16 S 17 S 17 S 15 S 13  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................81 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CWR.............81 81 38 38  
CHC OF THDR (%).5 5 9 9  
TEMP............46 45 46 46  
RH..............98 99 100 99  
SL/VL WIND......SE 6G12 E 6G10 N 6G9 W 5G9  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 13 S 9 S 8 SW 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1400 1100 1600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 9 S 8 SW 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...SP  
REQUESTED BY...JON HOWRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525893.2/STO  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHON.HOWRY@USDA.GOV  
 
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