964  
FNUS76 KSTO 202057  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CA-219 BURN OPS...STANISLAUS COUNTY FIRE WARDEN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
157 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED PRECIPITATION TO THE BURN  
SITE ON WEDNESDAY, WITH A 15-20% CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
FORECAST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ON WEDNESDAY ARE BETWEEN 0.10 TO  
0.20 INCHES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND LESS THAN 10 MPH FOR THE  
MAJORITY OF THE DAY, EXCEPT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHEN GUSTS  
FROM THE NORTHWEST UP TO 13 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP.  
 
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES ON THURSDAY WITH CHANCES FOR  
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL THEN BE FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD  
OF DRIER WEATHER FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH BREEZY NORTH TO  
NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST UP TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 13 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5  
MPH.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15-20 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 10 20 20 10  
TEMP............52 51 53 58 64 66 68 68 68 70 69 68  
RH..............98 100 100 84 75 73 72 73 75 77 79 88  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE E E S NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 5  
SL/VL WIND GUST.3 3 5 7 7 8 10 10 12 13 12 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E SW SW SW NW NW NW S S S NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SW SW SW NW NW NW S S S NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 5  
 
 
FORECASTER...KF  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER M PARNELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624179.0/STO  
.DELDT 10/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CPARNELL@STANOES.COM  
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