312  
FNUS76 KSTO 171751  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TWAIN INCIDENT...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
1051 AM PDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 PDT ON JULY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING FOR THE TWAIN INCIDENT  
NEXT FEW DAYS. GENERAL, TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN  
THE FORECAST, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH TODAY AND  
SUNDAY. SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST AS WELL.  
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY, RAISING  
DAYTIME HUMIDITY VALUES, AS WELL AS INCREASE OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.  
WHILE MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA, THE BEST CHANCES FOR  
PRECIPITATION AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL LOOK TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE  
TWAIN INCIDENT. STILL, AROUND A 5% CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWER  
OR THUNDERSTORM WILL BE IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING MONDAY THROUGH  
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 14  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 77 91 93  
RH..............53 30 20 20  
SL/VL WIND......N 0G2 SE 1G5 S 3G12 SW 5G14  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 22 S 17 S 16 SW 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1800 6100 6500  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 3 S 5 S 14 S 14  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........59-63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............90 77 67 62  
RH..............22 37 51 58  
SL/VL WIND......SW 3G13 SW 1G5 N 0G2 N 0G1  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 16 SW 17 SW 15 SW 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....4900 500 300 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 6 SW 3 NE 3  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 69 88 94  
RH..............65 49 24 18  
SL/VL WIND......N 0G1 N 0G2 N 0G3 SW 2G9  
RIDGETOP WIND...S 15 S 15 S 13 S 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 4100 7800  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 NE 3 SW 6 SW 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...JW  
REQUESTED BY...E. BADALAMENTI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617242.5/STO  
.DELDT 07/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRETT.LOOMIS@USDA.GOV,ISABELLA.GIACOMANGELI@USDA.GOV,JAMES.LICO@USDA.GOV,JORDAN.WADE@USDA.GOV,EDWARD.BADALAMENTI@USDA.GOV,JOSEPH.MCGINN@USDA.GOV  
 
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