265
FNUS76 KSTO 151813
FWSSTO
SPOT FORECAST FOR PML VMP...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1113 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 PDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PDT FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE BURN
VICINITY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS GUSTY DOWNSLOPE EAST-NORTHEST
WINDS PREVAIL ALONGSIDE LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY, AND VERY POOR
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. CONDITIONS WILL MARGINALLY IMPROVE BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS WINDS WEAKEN, BUT WITH OFFSHORE, EAST-NORTHEAST WIND
DIRECTIONS CONTINUING, LOW DAYTIME HUMIDITY IN THE TEENS AND POOR
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES LOOK TO PERSIST FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN PLACE AS WELL, ALTHOUGH A PATTERN SHIFT
TOWARD COOLER WEATHER WITH INCREASING SHOWER CHANCES IS
ANTICIPATED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING,
INCREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT.
GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH AT TIMES.
RIDGETOP...........NORTH 20 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 63 63 63 63 62 62 62 61 61
RH..............30 29 28 26 26 27 27 26 26 25
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13
SL/VL WIND GUST.18 22 22 23 22 22 21 22 22 21
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
RIDGE WIND SPD..22 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH DECREASING THROUGH
THE MORNING THEN BECOMING WEST 3 TO 5 MPH BY
MIDDAY. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 59 59 65 73 77 78 79 80 80 81 79
RH..............26 25 24 21 17 15 16 17 17 17 17 17
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E E E E W W W W W W W
SL/VL WIND SPD..13 13 7 7 7 2 2 2 5 5 5 1
SL/VL WIND GUST.21 21 14 14 14 10 10 10 13 13 13 7
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E S S S W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO AROUND 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7
TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............76 71 66 64 63 63 62 62 61 60 60 60
RH..............21 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 30 30 29 29
SL/VL WIND DIR..W W NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
SL/VL WIND SPD..1 1 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
SL/VL WIND GUST.7 7 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NE NE NE E E E E E E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 7
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 58 59 65 71 77 80 80 80 81 80 79
RH..............30 31 30 26 21 17 16 16 17 17 18 19
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE N N N W W W W
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 6 4 4 7 7 7 6
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 13 5 5 5 18 18 18 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 12 12 12 10
FORECASTER...NR
REQUESTED BY...MATT HARRISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623704.2/STO
.DELDT 10/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.HARRISON@FIRE.CA.GOV
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