260  
FNUS76 KSTO 080449  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTON-SCHAADS VMP...CALFIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
849 PM PST SAT FEB 7 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY, WITH A 15%  
CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE EVENING HOWEVER NO MEASURABLE  
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY  
TERRAIN-DRIVEN WITH EAST WINDS IN THE MORNING SHIFTING FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. BREEZIEST WINDS EXPECTED  
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MIN RHS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE MID  
20S TO LOW 30S. BEGINNING MONDAY, A WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING  
INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR FLURRIES TO THE BURN  
SITE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ON  
TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING A 15 TO 20% CHANCE OF  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD  
OF DRY WEATHER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A SECOND SYSTEM IS THEN  
FORECAST TO BRING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FRIDAY INTO THE  
WEEKEND.  
 
MONDAY AM-WEDNESDAY: CHANCE FOR RAIN 0.75" OR MORE: 60-70%  
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6  
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6  
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 52 56 59 61 62 62 60 59 55  
RH..............43 37 31 30 30 30 34 40 45 59  
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 3 3 3  
SL/VL WIND GUST.6 5 5 7 8 10 10 9 8 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69-73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5  
TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 50 49 48 48 48 47 46 46 47 47 47  
RH..............71 71 71 71 71 67 65 63 59 55 51 50  
SL/VL WIND DIR..SW E E E E E E E E E NE NE  
SL/VL WIND SPD..3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW E E E E E E E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 7 7 7 6 6 6 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 7 7 7 6 6 6 9 9  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................7 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 48 49 51 53 55 57 57 57 56 54 52  
RH..............50 50 47 43 40 38 37 39 45 53 60 65  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NW NW NW W W W W W  
SL/VL WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2  
SL/VL WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 9 9 9 7 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E W W W SE SE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E W W W SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
COOLER. CLOUDY WITH RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KF  
REQUESTED BY...FC NATE ULVEVADET  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601103.1/STO  
.DELDT 02/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATE.ULVEVADET@FIRE.CA.GOV  
 
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