165  
FNUS76 KSTO 220600  
FWSSTO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR RIDGE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA  
1000 PM PST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 PST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN THE  
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AT THE BURN SITE. UPPER LEVEL HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE  
MOVING INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH A  
VERY SMALL CHANCE OF A BRIEF SHOWER OR LIGHT SPRINKLE AT THE BURN  
SITE. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL INCREASE ON THURSDAY, AROUND 15-20%  
HIGHER THAN WEDNESDAY FOR RECOVERY LEVELS IN THE MORNING AND FOR  
AFTERNOON MINIMUMS, AND REMAIN THIS WAY THROUGH FRIDAY. GENERALLY  
LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. STRONGER NORTHEAST  
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE  
MOVES FARTHER INLAND, WITH THE BREEZIEST DAY SATURDAY.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING WEST UP  
TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST UP TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5  
TO 7 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 7  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 7  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................3 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 48 51 54 54 56 55 57 55 52 50  
RH..............47 48 48 45 44 45 49 49 52 54 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E SE SW W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NE E SE SW W W W W W NW NW  
SL/VL WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 7 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE EAST OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE EAST OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 46 46 45 45 44 44 44 43 43 43  
RH..............71 71 72 71 69 69 70 70 70 69 67 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
SL/VL WIND DIR..NW NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
SL/VL WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
SL/VL WIND GUST.12 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
UP TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL. RESULTING  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 44 46 49 51 52 53 53 53 52 51 49  
RH..............62 59 54 49 46 47 50 53 54 54 55 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 14 14 14 15 15  
SL/VL WIND DIR..E E E E SW SW SW W W W W W  
SL/VL WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 9  
SL/VL WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 14 14 14 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..E NE NE NE S S S W W W NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.1 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE S S S W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 9  
 
 
FORECASTER...EK  
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN SCHULZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600141.4/STO  
.DELDT 01/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEPHEN.SCHULZ@USDA.GOV,SHAUN.CRAIG@USDA.GOV  
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