186
FNUS86 KLOX 151552
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
ECC029-161000-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING DUE TO WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTH BAY
INTERIOR MOUNTAINS...
...ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY
DUE OFFSHORE WINDS AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY FOR THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE BAY AREA...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS THE BAY AREA THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THESE AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERY AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 25-35 MPH, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS
UP TO 45 MPH FOR THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS AND EXPOSED RIDGES.
CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPROVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, AS A TROUGH BRINGS COOLER WEATHER AND IMPROVED RH
VALUES.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
ECC028-161000-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
ECC031-161000-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
ECC024-161000-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
ECC032-161000-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
ECC030-161000-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
852 AM PDT THU OCT 15 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT OVER MOST OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES THROUGH 8 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG
SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM FRIDAY OVER THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES FOR
GUSTY EAST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY DUE
TO DRY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WITH UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD GUSTY
WINDS...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TODAY, PEAK AROUND FRIDAY,
THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DURING THE PEAK, NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BE COMMON OVER
THE WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, WITH
LOCALIZED GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE
UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY, WHEN MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA AND SAN
LUIS OBISPO WILL EXPERIENCE A FEW HOURS WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS WHERE WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE AIR WILL RAPIDLY WARM AND
DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 85 AND 95 WILL BE COMMON BY FRIDAY,
WARMEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE SOME HIGHS COULD REACH 100 AND WHERE
THE RISK FOR HEAT ILLNESS IS HIGH. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY LOWER INTO THE 8 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE, WITH POOR OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES. ALL OF THIS WILL ADD UP TO A HIGH RISK FOR LARGE FIRES
AND RAPID FIRE GROWTH OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL AS INTERIOR SAN LUIS OBISPO
AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE.
COOLER AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN LIKELY SOMETIME TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. COASTAL
FLOODING ISSUES WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE WEEK, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED
WITH SOUTH SWELLS CONTINUING.
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