601
FNUS86 KLOX 222030
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
ECC029-231430-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
RAIN SHOWERS AND A LOW POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS (10-15 PERCENT)
ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. IF
THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP, THE MOST LIKELY HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY,
ERRATIC WINDS AND LOCALIZED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. CHANCES FOR RAIN
SHOWERS BEGIN TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AND MORE SO INTO FRIDAY WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH BAY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH FAIR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AND
POOR DAYTIME HUMIDITY RETENTION.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
ECC028-231430-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
ECC031-231430-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
ECC024-231430-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
ECC032-231430-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
ECC030-231430-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
130 PM PDT THU OCT 22 2026
...TAIL END OF STORM THIS AFTERNOON WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACROSS
THE REGION WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
THE TAIL END OF THE CURRENT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. DUE
TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THE STORM, THERE IS MODERATE TO HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR
WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ACROSS
RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN ADDITION, THERE
IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 0.90 INCHES PER HOUR,
HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING
THE THREAT OF MORE WIDESPREAD URBAN FLOODING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO
CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK TORNADO.
LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO SOME AREAS ON
FRIDAY, OTHERWISE GENERALLY DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION
TO END THE WORK WEEK. A WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA IS
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT
RANGE IN THE THE BREEZY TO WINDY AREAS.
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