511
FNUS86 KLOX 101639
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
ECC029-111045-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
THE WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS HAVE ARRIVED AND WILL PERSIST
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE WE ARE NOT
EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT. THE
CONDITIONAL CHANCES FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN THE
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH A MID- TO- UPPER LEVEL
MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE SOUTH. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW
CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO
FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL COAST. ANY ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW
WINDS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
ECC028-111045-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
ECC031-111045-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
ECC024-111045-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
ECC032-111045-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
ECC030-111045-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
939 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH TODAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY IMPROVE
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT EXPECTED BY SATURDAY.
MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO
25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO 30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE.
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND OF 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF STORMS
REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST TIME FRAME OF CONCERN
FOR DRY LIGHTNING FIRE STARTS WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF THE
MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY
BE WETTER.
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