199
FNUS86 KLOX 072315
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
ECC029-081715-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE SANTA LUCIA RANGE DUE TO VERY HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS...
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE INTERIOR
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST. DAYTIME
HUMIDITY RETENTION REMAINS POOR TO VERY POOR AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FROM 10 TO 30%.
OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RETENTION IS LIKEWISE POOR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
1000 FEET WITH NOCTURNAL DRYING EVENTS POSSIBLE IN FAVORED
LOCATIONS. GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, WITH GUSTS REACHING 25 TO 35 MPH THROUGH GAPS, PASSES, AND
FAVORED VALLEYS. CONTINUED RIDGING ALOFT WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC028-081715-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC031-081715-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC024-081715-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC032-081715-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC030-081715-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
415 PM PDT FRI AUG 7 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS,
MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...
...MODERATE TO HIGH HEAT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY FOCUSED AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS DUE TO HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FRINGE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
BEHAVIOR THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THERE IS A 5 TO 15 PERCENT CHANCE
OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, WIT HIGHEST
CHANCES OVER THE LA/VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND ANTELOPE VALLEY. IF
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISKS WOULD BE ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL SOUTHWEST TO ONSHORE WINDS OF
10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER
THE INTERIOR. GUSTIEST WINDS WILL LIKELY COME SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE POTENTIAL FOR OVERLAP OF VERY DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS BRINGS A
LOW CHANCE FOR CATEGORY 2 RED FLAG WARNINGS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY,
ALTHOUGH CHANCES OF REACHING 6+ HOURS IS DECREASING. A GRADUAL
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY OR
THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY PULL
IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE CENTRAL COAST BY THURSDAY OR
FRIDAY, WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING
THE RISK OF ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
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