315
FNUS86 KLOX 101649
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
ECC029-111100-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
...ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST TODAY
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND THE SANTA LUCIA RANGE DUE TO HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS...
THE MARINE LAYER HAS DEEPENED OVERNIGHT WHILE IT WAS STILL WARM AND
DRY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE DISTRICT. COASTAL STRATUS AND
FOG HAVE REDEVELOPED WITH SOME INLAND INTRUSION OF STRATUS AND FOG
TAKING PLACE THIS MORNING. STRATUS AND FOG WILL MIX OUT BY LATE
MORNING, WITH STRATUS AND FOG RETURNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
MORNING. WITH A STEADILY DEEPENING MARINE LAYER THIS WEEK EXPECT AN
INCREASE IN HUMIDITY EACH DAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. GUSTY
ONSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST ESPECIALLY EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 35 MPH THROUGH GAPS, PASSES AND FAVORED
VALLEYS.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC028-111100-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC031-111100-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC024-111100-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC032-111100-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
ECC030-111100-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
949 AM PDT MON AUG 10 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED
RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND DESERTS...
...INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BRING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH A VERY
SMALL RISK EXTENDING INTO ALL OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...
WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO TUESDAY ACROSS INTERIOR VALLEYS, MOUNTAINS, AND
DESERTS DUE TO HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS
AND THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR TODAY AND
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE BETWEEN 10,000 AND
16,000 FEET ACROSS THE INTERIOR TODAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A 10 TO
15 PERCENT CHANCE OF MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE NORTHERN VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS/EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. ANY STORMS TODAY WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FROM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, THE
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED, LEADING
TO A 30-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE VENTURA
COUNTY/SANTA BARBARA COUNTY INTERIOR MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN SAN
GABRIELS EXTNEDING INTO EASTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY. THE STORMS IN THESE
AREAS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE WETTER. ENHANCED
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BRING A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING RISK ACROSS THE REMAINING
PORTIONS OF SAN LUIS OBISPO, SANTA BARBARA, AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON
TUESDAY, THEN MAINLY CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL COAST ON WEDNESDAY.
HUMIDITES OVER THE FAR INTERIOR WILL COMMONLY BE IN THE 8 TO
20 PERCENT RANGE WITH FAIRLY TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 35 MPH IN WINDIEST AREAS OVER THE INTERIOR.
THE BEST OVERLAP OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO BRING
BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE TODAY.
A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REACH NORMAL OR EVEN BELOW NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST COULD
PULL IN SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SOMETIME BETWEEN
THURSDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH A 5-10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS (WITH HIGHEST RISK ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST).
IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN RISK WOULD BE
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES.
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