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FNUS86 KLOX 041621
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
ECC029-051030-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
THROUGH LATE WEEK DUE TO HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS...
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY, ACCOMPANIED
WITH WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW. POOR TO VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY IS
EXPECTED FOR THE THERMAL BELTS, GENERALLY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE
1000-1500 FEET, LEADING TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE
MARINE LAYER IS CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND AROUND 500 FEET
OR LESS. IF WORKING IN THE THERMAL BELTS, MODERATE TO EXTREME
HEATRISK IS FORECAST THIS WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURE AND HEATRISK TRENDS
IMPROVING LATE WEEK. A PATTERN CHANGE LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BRING COOLER WEATHER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR IMPROVED RH
RECOVERY.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
ECC028-051030-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
ECC031-051030-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
ECC024-051030-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
ECC032-051030-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
ECC030-051030-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
921 AM PDT SUN OCT 4 2026
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH HIGH RISK
FOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES AND HEAT ILLNESS THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
WEEK...
EXTREMELY HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 95 TO 107 DEGREES, AND MIXING HEIGHTS
10,000-14,000 FEET, WILL BE COMMON OVER MUCH OF THE AREA, INCLUDING
THE COASTS. WHILE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT, AREAS OF NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH WILL
PERSIST EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS, RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE UNLIKELY, BUT
THERE IS A HISTORY OF LARGE FIRES WITH SIMILAR HEAT AND DEEPER
MIXING HEIGHTS. AS SUCH, THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR PLUME-DOMINATED
AND FAST MOVING FIRES. WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ARE
IN EFFECT THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK, WITH A HIGH RISK FOR
HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS LIKELY FRIDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IF REMNANTS OF HURRICANE RACHEL END UP STREAMING INTO
OUR AREA. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING CONCERNS WILL LIKELY
OCCUR TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT DUE TO SOUTHERLY SWELLS
FROM HURRICANE RACHEL.
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