586
FNUS86 KLOX 202231
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
ECC029-211645-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
TEMPERATURES NEAR TO BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES PERSIST THROUGH THE
SEVEN DAY OUTLOOK. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY WITH
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD
WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST, THE SANTA CRUZ
MOUNTAINS, AND THE EASTERN SANTA CLARA HILLS, WHILE LIGHTER RAIN IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE SF BAY AREA. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS EXISTS ON WEDNESDAY WITH
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST NEAR THE TIMBER AND
PLASKETT FIRE BURN SCARS.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
ECC028-211645-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
ECC031-211645-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
ECC024-211645-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
ECC032-211645-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
ECC030-211645-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
331 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2026
...STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING/DEBRIS FLOW
IMPACTS...
...FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THEN AN EARLY
SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MOST COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS WILL
SEE BETWEEN 0.50 AND 2.00 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH 1.50 TO 3.00 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FACING SLOPES. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS
EXPECTED SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF
THE STORM, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RATES TO LOCALLY EXCEED
0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS ACROSS RECENT BURN SCARS, ESPECIALLY FIRST YEAR SCARS. IN
ADDITION, THERE IS A LOWER BUT PRESENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING
0.90 INCHES PER HOUR, HIGHEST CHANCES (30%) FOR AREAS IN FLOOD
WATCHES. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF URBAN FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. THERE IS A VERY LOW BUT NONZERO CHANCE FOR A BRIEF, WEAK
TORNADO. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FRIDAY, WITH A
POTENTIAL WEAK TO LOCALLY MODERATE SANTA ANA OVER THE WEEKEND.
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