537
FNUS86 KLOX 092132
FWLLOX
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
ECC029-101545-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
A WARMER AND DRIER AIRMASS SETTING UP ACROSS THE REGION WILL
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE WE ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME
HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT. IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER
LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS IS A LOW
CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO IF
WE SEE ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOP OVER THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL
COAST. ANY ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO DRY
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. REMAIN AWARE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
ECC028-101545-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
ECC031-101545-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
ECC024-101545-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
ECC032-101545-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
ECC030-101545-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
232 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2026
...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY AWAY FROM THE COAST, WITH ELEVATED CONDITIONS
CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY OVER THE FAR INTERIOR...
...HEAT ADVISORIES EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, WITH EXTREME
HEAT WATCHES IN EFFECT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR MONSOONAL SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON
THROUGH SATURDAY, PEAKING TODAY AND FRIDAY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE FAR INTERIOR. HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 PERCENT HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE FAR INTERIOR TODAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO
SLIGHTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW AND SATURDAY, WITH 10 TO 20 PERCENT
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY. MEANWHILE MOST COASTAL VALLEYS HAVE AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY, IMPROVING TO 20 TO
30 PERCENT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FURTHER IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY THE COASTAL
SIDE OF COASTAL SLOPE. SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA WILL SEE WEAKER
NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING (10 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH) AND MINIMUM HUMIDITES 20 TO 30 PERCENT (LOCALLY
15 TO 20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK TODAY AWAY FROM THE
COASTS (90 TO 105 DEGREES), THEN A SLIGHT COOLDOWN WILL OCCUR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES PEAKING BY MID WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN NEXT WEEK, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE
SUNDOWNER WINDS AND FOR VERTICAL PLUME GROWTH.
ADDITIONALLY AN INFLUX OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL
BRING A 10 TO 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK. WHILE THE BETTER CHANCES
FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, THERE IS A
SMALL RISK OF STORMS REACHING COASTAL/VALLEY AREAS. THE GREATEST
TIME FRAME OF CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE THE ONSET OF
THE MONSOONAL SURGE SUNDAY WHEN MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE MORE LIMITED
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THEN STORMS NEXT WEEK WILL LIKELY BE
WETTER.
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