614  
FNUS86 KMTR 212057  
FWLMTR  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA  
157 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
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## DISCUSSIONS FROM THE LATEST FWF BELOW ##  
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..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFMTR  
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON  
WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST, POTENTIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE TIMBER AND PLASKETT BURN SCARS, BRINGING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS  
AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY INTO  
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INLAND INTO CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFEKA  
 
SHOWERS ARE HAVE STARTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  
THESE ARE EXPECTED TO EXPAND TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE  
TAPERING OFF THURSDAY EVENING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN MENDOCINO AND LAKE COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
DRY, BREEZY AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. A SURGE OF  
OFFSHORE WINDS OVERNIGHT FRIDAY WILL REINFORCE THE DRY CONDITIONS  
SATURDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS WELL.  
SUNDAY OR MONDAY THERE IS A CHANCE FOR RAIN, BUT THE FORECAST  
REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.  
 
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ECC010-220900-  
ST HELENA ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MARIN AND SONOMA AND NAPA COUNTIES  
157 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON  
WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST, POTENTIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE TIMBER AND PLASKETT BURN SCARS, BRINGING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS  
AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY INTO  
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INLAND INTO CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
 
 
ECC014-220900-  
MORGAN HILL ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR ALAMEDA AND CONTRA COSTA AND SANTA CLARA COUNTIES  
157 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON  
WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST, POTENTIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE TIMBER AND PLASKETT BURN SCARS, BRINGING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS  
AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY INTO  
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INLAND INTO CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
 
 
ECC013-220900-  
FELTON ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA CRUZ AND SAN MATEO COUNTIES  
157 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON  
WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST, POTENTIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE TIMBER AND PLASKETT BURN SCARS, BRINGING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS  
AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY INTO  
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INLAND INTO CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
 
 
ECC018-220900-  
MONTEREY ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTY  
157 PM PDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON  
WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND WETTING RAINS  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY THURSDAY  
MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG SUR COAST, POTENTIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF  
THE TIMBER AND PLASKETT BURN SCARS, BRINGING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS  
AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN FRIDAY INTO  
THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS INLAND INTO CENTRAL  
AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
 
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