036  
FNUS86 KMTR 112029  
FWLMTR  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA  
129 PM PDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
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## DISCUSSIONS FROM THE LATEST FWF BELOW ##  
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..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFMTR
 
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES.  
WHILE WE DO NOT ANTICIPATED EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO  
DRY OUT. MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT  
POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFEKA
 
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MOST  
VALLEYS SEEING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S. WINDS WILL STAY  
MOSTLY LIGHT AND FOLLOW NORMAL DAILY PATTERNS, WITH NORTHWESTERLY  
AFTERNOON WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH. SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK SOME  
GRADUAL WARMING IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHS NEARING 100 IN THE THE  
WARMER VALLEYS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS  
MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THE  
HIGHEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN  
TRINITY COUNTY.  
 
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## WHEN DONE CLICK TRANSMIT, PRODUCT SENT AS KMTRFWLMTR ##  
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ECC010-120830-  
ST HELENA ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MARIN AND SONOMA AND NAPA COUNTIES  
129 PM PDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES.  
WHILE WE DO NOT ANTICIPATED EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO  
DRY OUT. MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT  
POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.  
 

 
 
ECC014-120830-  
MORGAN HILL ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR ALAMEDA AND CONTRA COSTA AND SANTA CLARA COUNTIES  
129 PM PDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES.  
WHILE WE DO NOT ANTICIPATED EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO  
DRY OUT. MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT  
POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.  
 

 
 
ECC013-120830-  
FELTON ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA CRUZ AND SAN MATEO COUNTIES  
129 PM PDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES.  
WHILE WE DO NOT ANTICIPATED EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO  
DRY OUT. MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT  
POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.  
 

 
 
ECC018-120830-  
MONTEREY ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTY  
129 PM PDT SAT JUL 11 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE  
UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES.  
WHILE WE DO NOT ANTICIPATED EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO  
DRY OUT. MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY BUT  
POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE  
TO MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE  
WEEKEND INTO MONDAY.  
 

 
 
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