540  
FNUS86 KMTR 102121  
FWLMTR  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA  
221 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
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## DISCUSSIONS FROM THE LATEST FWF BELOW ##  
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..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFMTR
 
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES. WHILE WE  
ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.  
IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY  
BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM SFOFWFEKA
 
 
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RH IS EXPECTED TODAY AND  
SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES. WINDS WILL STAY  
MOSTLY LIGHT AND FOLLOW NORMAL DAILY PATTERNS, WITH NORTHWESTERLY  
AFTERNOON WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. THE IMMEDIATE COAST WILL CONTINUE  
TO REMAIN COOL AND DAMP UNDER THE MARINE LAYER. SUNDAY AND INTO  
NEXT WEEK SOME GRADUAL WARMING IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHS NEARING 100  
IN THE THE WARMER VALLEYS. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE OF  
MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH THAT COULD BRING A RISK OF  
LIGHTNING TO THE NORTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
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## COMPLETE A DISCUSSION FOR EACH ECCDA SEGMENT BELOW ##  
## WHEN DONE CLICK TRANSMIT, PRODUCT SENT AS KMTRFWLMTR ##  
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ECC010-110930-  
ST HELENA ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MARIN AND SONOMA AND NAPA COUNTIES  
221 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES. WHILE WE  
ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.  
IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY  
BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
 
ECC014-110930-  
MORGAN HILL ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR ALAMEDA AND CONTRA COSTA AND SANTA CLARA COUNTIES  
221 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES. WHILE WE  
ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.  
IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY  
BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
 
ECC013-110930-  
FELTON ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA CRUZ AND SAN MATEO COUNTIES  
221 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES. WHILE WE  
ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.  
IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY  
BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
 
ECC018-110930-  
MONTEREY ECC DISPATCH-  
DISCUSSION FOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTY  
221 PM PDT FRI JUL 10 2026  
 
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE COASTAL MARINE INFLUENCES. WHILE WE  
ARE NOT EXPECTING EXTREME HEAT, FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.  
IN ADDITION, MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE SURGE FROM THE  
SOUTH BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND  
MONDAY. THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW CONFIDENCE, LOW PROBABILITY  
BUT POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT SCENARIO FOR THE BAY AREA AND CENTRAL  
COAST. ANY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD LEAD TO  
DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE  
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
 
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