783
FWUS46 KMFR 071022
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST WED JAN 7 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK FW SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 70 75 90 90 65 65 50 50 25 30 40 30 30 30 20
TEMPERATURE 27 26 25 25 23 21 18 17 16 16 20 22 23 20 20 20 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 14 23 16
WIND DIR NW NW W W W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 24 17 25 32 23 27 19 18 24 27 27 24 24 12 11 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 46 41 44 46 41 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 10 70 40 80 40 40 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.01 0.21 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.1 2.5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 4.7 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.7 3.8 4.0 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.2
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC FW SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 65 75 85 85 70 65 55 50 20 30 40 30 30 30 20
TEMPERATURE 26 25 28 26 23 21 20 19 16 16 20 22 22 17 15 15 15
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 14 24 13
WIND DIR NW NW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 17 12 19 25 17 20 18 14 18 20 20 18 18 9 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 10 60 40 80 40 40 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.01 0.15 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.1 1.6 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.6 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.7 3.9 4.0 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.9 1.5 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 70 80 90 90 65 65 50 50 25 30 40 30 30 30 20
TEMPERATURE 27 26 25 25 23 21 18 17 16 17 19 22 22 19 19 19 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 15 22 16
WIND DIR W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 25 18 25 32 23 27 18 18 24 26 27 24 24 12 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 46 41 44 46 41 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 10 70 40 80 40 40 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.18 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.1 2.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.8 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.7 3.9 4.0 3.5 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK FW SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 60 80 90 90 75 70 60 55 25 35 45 30 30 30 20
TEMPERATURE 18 16 15 15 12 11 8 7 6 7 10 14 14 11 12 11 11
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 6 15 8
WIND DIR W W W W W W NW NW N N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 33 28 46 54 37 39 28 25 50 54 50 46 41 16 13 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 67 69 97 115 77 67 51 49 115 115 104 104 77
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 10 70 40 80 50 50 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.01 0.29 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.1 3.5 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 6.8 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.7 3.6 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 60 80 90 90 70 65 55 55 35 40 40 30 30 30 25
TEMPERATURE 27 26 26 26 24 22 18 18 17 16 17 21 21 19 17 16 16
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 15 22 15
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 19 14 20 24 17 21 17 14 17 18 20 17 18 10 9 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 10 70 50 70 50 50 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.21 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.2 2.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.1 3.6 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1 1.4 2.2 2.5 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW FW SC FW FW SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 60 60 75 90 90 60 60 40 40 20 20 30 20 25 25 20
TEMPERATURE 32 31 33 34 31 27 26 25 24 23 25 28 28 25 23 23 23
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 22 28 22
WIND DIR W SW SW S SW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 4 3 3 5 6 8 11 12 14 17 17 16 14 9 8 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 30 60 50 70 40 40 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 70 75 85 85 60 65 50 55 25 25 35 25 30 30 20
TEMPERATURE 29 28 29 30 26 24 22 22 20 20 19 23 24 22 22 22 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 18 25 17
WIND DIR W W SW W W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 17 13 21 26 16 18 14 11 18 21 21 18 18 9 9 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 5 20 60 50 70 40 40 5 5 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.01 0.11 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 2.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.7 4.1 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.3
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 80 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 85 85 75 65 65 60 60
TEMPERATURE 25 23 23 23 20 19 18 18 16 16 17 20 20 18 17 17 17
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 15 20 15
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W W W NW NW W W W W W S SE
WIND (MPH) 19 19 23 26 29 19 16 14 13 18 20 19 18 8 5 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 20 70 100 100 70 100 100 80 80 80 80 20 20 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.44 0.43 0.25 0.05 0.07 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.1 6.3 5.5 3.2 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 8.4 8.7 1.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 75 100 100 100 100 100 85 85 85 85 75 65 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 24 23 22 22 20 19 18 17 16 15 17 20 20 18 16 15 15
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 14 21 14
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W W W NW NW W W W W W SW S
WIND (MPH) 21 21 23 27 29 19 16 16 13 17 19 19 18 8 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 10 70 100 100 70 90 90 80 80 70 70 20 20 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.38 0.34 0.20 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 5.4 4.3 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.9 6.9 1.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 70 100 100 100 100 100 85 85 70 70 70 60 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 30 29 27 28 25 24 23 23 21 21 20 23 24 22 19 18 18
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 19 25 17
WIND DIR W W SW W W W W W W W W W W W NW E E
WIND (MPH) 14 16 13 16 18 14 13 11 12 11 9 8 6 4 3 5 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 20 30 90 100 70 100 100 70 70 50 50 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.21 0.48 0.37 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.4 2.8 6.0 4.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.2 10.7 0.9 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.2 3.8 3.5 2.8 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 80 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 80 80 75 65 60 55 60
TEMPERATURE 26 25 23 23 21 20 19 19 18 17 17 20 21 19 19 18 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 17 21 16
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W W W NW NW W W W W W SE SE
WIND (MPH) 20 18 23 27 27 18 18 14 14 18 20 19 18 8 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 42 48 49 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 70 100 100 90 100 100 90 90 80 80 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.40 0.41 0.30 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.7 5.5 5.1 3.8 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.2 8.9 1.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.4 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 75 65 65 60 60
TEMPERATURE 25 24 23 23 20 20 19 19 18 17 17 20 21 19 19 18 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 17 21 16
WIND DIR W SW SW SW W W W W NW NW W W W W W SE SE
WIND (MPH) 19 18 21 26 26 19 17 13 14 18 20 18 17 9 5 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 70 100 100 90 100 100 90 90 80 80 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.46 0.35 0.24 0.05 0.06 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.2 6.4 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.6 7.4 1.4 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.1 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 01/07/26 THURSDAY 01/08/26
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 45 95 100 100 85 85 80 70 60 55 55 40 45 50 45
TEMPERATURE 29 27 28 27 23 21 21 20 19 18 19 20 22 20 21 22 23
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 18 22 19
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW W NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NE E E
WIND (MPH) 18 17 23 24 23 17 16 13 13 19 19 19 17 6 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 5 10 90 100 70 80 80 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05 0.40 0.26 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.6 4.7 3.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 8.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.9
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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