204
FWUS46 KMFR 121022
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 75 85 80 75 95 95 95 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 75 65
TEMPERATURE 38 38 39 38 37 36 39 40 40 38 37 36 33 33 32 33 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 36 40 30
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 24 28 29 32 33 36 42 44 48 49 49 36 41 34 32 26 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 51 54 58 67 72 78 79 79 58 67 55 51 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 20 50 80 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.73 1.73 1.09 0.44 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.3 3.5 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.5 4.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.4 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.2 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 75 85 80 70 90 95 95 100 100 95 95 90 85 75 75 65
TEMPERATURE 36 36 41 40 37 37 39 39 39 39 39 38 34 33 32 32 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 37 39 28
WIND DIR S SE S S S S S S S S S S S SE S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 18 21 23 24 25 27 32 34 37 39 37 26 31 25 24 20 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 57 58 57
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 5 20 50 80 90 100 100 90 90 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.66 1.62 0.91 0.33 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.3 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.8 8.4 8.7 8.9 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.1 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 75 85 80 75 95 95 95 100 100 95 95 90 90 80 80 65
TEMPERATURE 37 39 37 38 36 36 40 40 40 39 37 36 34 33 33 34 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 36 40 29
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 24 28 31 32 33 36 42 44 48 50 49 36 42 34 32 27 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 51 54 58 67 72 78 79 79 58 67 55 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 20 50 70 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.72 1.66 1.05 0.41 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.1 2.8 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.3 3.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.0 7.9 7.9 8.4 8.7 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.8 7.2 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 75 85 80 75 85 90 95 100 100 95 95 90 85 75 75 65
TEMPERATURE 29 29 30 29 28 29 31 32 32 31 29 28 24 24 24 25 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 29 31 23
WIND DIR SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW S
WIND (MPH) 39 41 42 46 47 52 65 72 75 77 78 69 74 60 54 49 37
WIND GUST (MPH) 67 69 74 79 81 89 107 115 115 115 115 115 115 115 105 74 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 20 50 80 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.91 2.20 1.29 0.50 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.4 14.6 12.2 4.8 1.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 6.3 26.8 5.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.4 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.4 8.8 9.0 8.9 8.2 7.9 7.2 6.5 6.0 5.9 5.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 90 80 80 85 90 90 100 100 100 100 85 85 75 75 70
TEMPERATURE 39 39 39 39 39 36 39 40 39 39 38 36 34 35 34 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 36 40 32
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SE SE S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 20 21 23 25 26 27 33 36 39 40 40 28 33 29 26 21 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 55 61 61 61 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 10 40 60 80 90 90 100 100 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.41 1.26 0.86 0.26 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.3 8.3 8.0 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.5 8.9 9.0 8.2 7.7 7.3 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 80 90 80 75 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 90 85 80 80 75
TEMPERATURE 43 44 45 45 43 43 46 45 45 46 44 44 40 40 39 36 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 43 46 36
WIND DIR S SE SE S SE SE SE S SE SE S SE SE S S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 6 9 12 12 16 19 21 20 17 14 19 14 11 11 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 10 5 20 50 80 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.95 2.12 0.96 0.31 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.2 8.1 7.7 7.5 7.7 8.4 8.7 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.7 7.0 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 80 80 70 70 85 85 95 100 100 95 95 85 80 70 70 65
TEMPERATURE 40 41 42 41 39 39 41 41 41 43 41 39 36 35 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 38 43 32
WIND DIR S SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S SE S
WIND (MPH) 17 20 21 24 25 28 32 35 39 39 34 27 23 21 23 17 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 55 64 65 58 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 10 5 20 50 70 90 100 100 90 90 70 70 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.62 1.50 0.62 0.23 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.2 8.2 7.9 7.7 7.8 8.4 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.1 7.7 7.1 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 65 60 55 55 85 65 90 85 95 95 90 90 80 80 80
TEMPERATURE 39 39 44 46 44 40 39 39 40 39 40 39 36 36 37 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 38 42 34
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW S
WIND (MPH) 17 17 19 23 21 24 27 31 32 27 35 28 19 19 14 16 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 20 30 40 70 70 90 90 70 70 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.3 8.0 8.2 8.0 7.8 8.5 8.9 9.2 9.0 8.5 7.9 7.5 6.9 6.4 5.8 5.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 70 55 55 65 85 75 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 80 75
TEMPERATURE 37 37 41 44 43 39 38 38 39 38 39 38 37 36 36 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 38 40 33
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW S
WIND (MPH) 17 17 19 21 20 21 26 28 29 27 34 29 20 19 14 16 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 10 20 30 40 60 60 90 90 70 70 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.12 0.10 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.3 8.0 8.2 8.1 7.9 8.2 8.6 9.0 8.9 8.4 7.9 7.6 6.9 6.4 5.8 5.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 85 85 65 75 90 90 95 95 90 90 75 75 70
TEMPERATURE 41 41 44 47 47 43 43 43 43 43 43 44 41 36 37 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 42 46 36
WIND DIR SE S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 10 12 12 11 14 19 20 23 20 17 16 13 11 11 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 5 10 20 30 70 70 90 90 70 70 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.10 0.06 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.1 8.0 8.1 7.8 7.8 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.0 8.3 7.8 7.4 6.7 6.3 5.8 5.5
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 70 70 70 65 70 90 90 100 100 95 95 80 80 80
TEMPERATURE 41 41 45 46 45 42 41 41 42 41 41 41 38 37 38 38 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 40 43 35
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE S SE
WIND (MPH) 17 16 18 21 20 21 26 31 28 28 35 29 19 19 14 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 37 44 48 48 48 64 51 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 10 10 30 30 70 70 90 90 70 70 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.2 8.0 8.1 7.9 7.8 8.5 8.8 9.2 9.1 8.4 7.8 7.5 6.8 6.5 5.7 5.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 60 65 60 60 60 65 90 90 100 100 95 95 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 41 41 46 47 46 42 41 41 41 41 41 42 39 37 38 38 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 40 43 35
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E S SW S
WIND (MPH) 17 16 17 21 20 21 26 32 28 28 35 29 17 19 14 14 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 10 10 30 30 70 70 90 90 70 70 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.3 8.0 8.1 8.0 7.8 8.5 8.9 9.2 9.1 8.5 7.8 7.5 6.9 6.6 5.7 5.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/12/25 THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 80 70 75 65 80 80 95 95 90 90 85 85 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 42 43 43 44 43 40 41 42 42 41 41 36 37 37 37 37 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 40 42 36
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE N S NE
WIND (MPH) 16 17 20 23 25 28 35 39 39 39 35 32 24 19 21 17 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 58 58 58 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 5 10 10 20 50 80 80 80 80 60 60 40 40 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.41 0.26 0.08 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.8 7.8 8.4 8.8 9.3 8.8 7.9 7.5 7.1 6.4 6.0 5.7 5.5
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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