028
FWUS46 KMFR 230937
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
237 AM PDT WED SEP 23 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC FW FW OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 10 10 25 10 10 5 25 20 20 70 60 60 45 45 45
TEMPERATURE 46 46 56 60 59 52 51 52 51 49 55 56 56 52 52 51 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 48 58 42
WIND DIR SE SE S SW SW SW E SE S S S S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 6 4 8 5 4 4 8 10 12 13 16 18 18 21 27 28 31
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.6 9.7 10.3 11.1 11.0 10.6 10.5 10.9 10.4 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.1
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 15 15 20 5 10 5 25 20 20 70 60 60 40 45 40
TEMPERATURE 42 44 59 62 61 49 47 47 46 48 59 60 58 50 48 46 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 43 61 41
WIND DIR NE NE SE SW W NW N E SE SE S S S S S S W
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 5 4 3 5 8 9 10 12 13 13 16 20 21 24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.6 10.2 11.1 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.8 10.5 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.0
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC FW FW OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 20 10 10 25 10 10 10 25 20 20 70 55 60 45 45 45
TEMPERATURE 47 46 54 59 60 53 51 52 51 49 53 56 56 52 52 50 45
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 48 58 41
WIND DIR SE SE S SW SW SW E SE SE S S S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 6 4 8 5 4 4 9 10 12 13 16 18 18 21 27 28 31
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.6 9.7 10.3 11.1 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.9 10.4 10.4 10.6 10.9 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.2
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW OV BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 25 15 20 20 10 10 10 30 20 20 75 65 65 45 50 45
TEMPERATURE 37 38 45 48 46 40 39 40 40 42 46 46 44 41 40 39 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 38 46 34
WIND DIR SW SW S S SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 12 12 11 10 13 18 20 23 26 32 32 39 48 51 56
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 29 27 31 37 41 44 51 62 69 86 98 107 115
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.8 10.5 11.2 11.0 10.6 10.6 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.7 10.9 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.1
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 10 10 15 10 20 10 10 30 20 15 70 65 60 45 35 45
TEMPERATURE 47 47 56 62 62 54 50 50 50 49 56 59 58 54 52 50 46
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 48 60 44
WIND DIR E SE S S SW SW SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 4 6 9 14 14 13 12 13 16 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.2 9.7 9.6 10.3 11.0 10.7 10.4 10.5 10.8 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.6 9.5
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 35 20 10 20 10 10 10 25 15 25 65 55 65 40 45 35
TEMPERATURE 52 54 66 70 70 59 56 55 57 59 65 67 66 59 57 55 52
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 54 69 51
WIND DIR NW NW N NE N N NW S N S S S S S SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 1 3 2 2 3 1 0 2 6 8 6 4 3 2 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.6 9.5 10.4 11.2 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.8 10.5 10.4 10.8 11.0 10.9 10.8 10.5 8.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW SC BK OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 20 15 20 15 15 10 30 20 30 65 70 65 40 50 35
TEMPERATURE 46 50 58 64 64 53 51 51 52 56 60 64 62 54 53 52 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 47 64 46
WIND DIR NW W W N N W SW S S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 2 3 3 4 3 2 2 3 5 5 9 8 6 5 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.5 9.6 10.8 11.4 11.1 10.7 10.6 10.7 10.5 10.5 10.8 10.9 10.8 10.7 10.5 8.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK BK FW FW BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 25 45 55 60 25 25 55 35 50 70 100 90 85 90 85
TEMPERATURE 39 41 55 58 57 48 46 44 44 44 57 59 58 50 47 43 40
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 42 60 37
WIND DIR S S SW W W SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 6 5 1 3 5 6 9 12 13 9 6 14 19 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 8.0 8.6 9.1 9.3 9.7 10.3 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.4 10.4 10.7 10.8 10.0 9.6 8.0
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC BK SC FW BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 20 25 35 40 65 30 15 55 35 50 75 100 90 80 85 80
TEMPERATURE 39 40 54 58 57 48 46 44 43 43 56 59 58 50 46 43 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 41 60 36
WIND DIR SE S S W W W S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 5 5 2 2 3 5 8 11 12 9 6 13 20 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 70 70 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.2 8.8 9.4 9.5 9.8 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.6 10.5 10.6 10.8 10.8 10.3 9.7 8.1
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW FW BK SC FW SC SC SC OV OV OV BK OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 30 20 15 25 50 35 15 25 25 40 85 80 80 65 75 60
TEMPERATURE 40 41 56 62 61 52 48 47 45 45 59 64 63 54 50 47 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 43 65 40
WIND DIR E E W W W W SW SE S SE S SW W W W SW W
WIND (MPH) 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 4 5 5 5 5 4 2 4 6 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.5 10.6 10.8 10.7 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.0 10.4 9.9 8.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC SC BK SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 25 35 45 65 30 25 45 40 55 80 90 90 80 90 85
TEMPERATURE 41 42 52 56 54 47 46 46 46 46 57 58 56 50 49 47 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 44 59 36
WIND DIR SE S SW W W S S S S S SW SW W SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 4 3 2 5 4 1 6 8 9 9 10 10 6 4 11 13 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 8.1 8.5 9.2 9.3 9.6 10.3 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.7 10.1 9.5 8.0
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC SC SC BK BK SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 35 35 45 55 70 25 20 50 45 55 75 95 90 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 41 42 52 56 54 48 46 46 46 47 56 58 56 51 49 48 43
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 44 58 36
WIND DIR SE S SW W W SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 4 3 2 5 4 0 8 8 9 10 12 11 6 4 12 16 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.7 8.2 9.0 9.2 9.2 10.0 10.6 10.8 10.6 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.0 9.4 7.9
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/23/26 THURSDAY 09/24/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC SC OV OV OV BK OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 30 15 25 25 35 10 25 30 30 50 85 95 80 70 70 50
TEMPERATURE 43 43 51 56 54 49 47 48 48 49 56 61 59 52 51 51 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 46 61 40
WIND DIR SE S W NW NW W S S S S S W W W W SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 4 2 3 5 3 3 5 9 8 3 4 5 2 6 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 8.8 9.0 9.4 10.1 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.6 10.7 10.5 10.4 9.6 7.9
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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