951
FWUS46 KMFR 012136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT FRI MAY 1 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 60 65 75 65 55 55 45 65 60 60 60 65 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 53 47 44 44 43 44 48 48 48 43 42 42 43 47 52 53 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 50 41 55
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE E SE
WIND (MPH) 10 11 16 16 17 21 21 23 24 24 19 17 19 14 18 10 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.1 8.1 8.5 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 70 60 65 75 70 55 60 45 65 60 60 60 65 70 70 75
TEMPERATURE 54 45 43 42 42 44 51 52 49 42 41 41 41 47 55 56 49
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 54 39 58
WIND DIR S S S SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE E E SE E S
WIND (MPH) 8 9 12 12 13 16 18 19 18 18 16 17 20 11 13 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.4 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 60 65 75 65 55 55 50 65 60 60 60 65 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 52 47 44 44 42 44 47 48 48 43 42 42 43 47 51 52 48
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 50 41 55
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE E SE
WIND (MPH) 10 11 14 16 17 21 21 23 24 24 19 17 19 14 18 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.1 8.1 8.5 8.5 9.1 9.4 9.6 9.6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 60 70 70 70 60 60 55 65 60 60 60 65 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 40 35 33 33 32 34 36 36 36 33 32 33 33 37 41 43 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 38 32 45
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S SE E NE NE
WIND (MPH) 14 19 26 27 28 32 29 31 34 34 33 31 32 28 29 18 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 51 51 55 54 54 55 61 58 62 62 59 66 57 42 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 0 0 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.0 8.9 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.7 8.0 8.0 8.3 8.4 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 75 70 80 75 80 70 55 60 65 65 55 60 60 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 54 50 45 45 43 45 49 51 50 47 43 43 43 48 53 53 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 52 43 56
WIND DIR S SW S S S S S S S S SE SE SE E SE E S
WIND (MPH) 11 11 11 11 11 14 17 18 16 14 11 11 11 12 13 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 5 0 0 5 20 20 20 0 0 5 5 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.5 8.4 8.7 8.7 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC BK OV BK SC SC SC BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 50 70 75 60 50 45 45 65 60 65 65 70 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 64 55 53 50 49 53 58 60 59 52 49 49 48 55 61 62 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 49 62 48 65
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S S S S S S SE SE NE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 5 6 6 12 13 11 6 5 5 6 4 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.6 8.3 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.3 9.0 9.3 9.5 9.5
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 70 55 65 75 65 60 55 50 65 60 60 60 65 70 70 75
TEMPERATURE 57 50 47 46 45 48 51 53 52 47 44 44 44 51 55 56 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 53 43 58
WIND DIR S S SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE S NW S
WIND (MPH) 11 11 10 12 13 14 17 18 18 17 16 14 17 12 13 9 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 5 0 5 10 10 10 0 0 5 5 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 8.8 8.6 8.5 8.2 8.2 8.0 8.1 8.3 8.3 9.0 9.3 9.6 9.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 70 80 85 75 65 60 70 65 60 50 50 35 65 65 70
TEMPERATURE 56 48 44 42 42 45 55 57 55 47 43 43 42 47 58 60 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 58 41 62
WIND DIR NW NW N NE E E SE S SW E SE E E E E E N
WIND (MPH) 6 8 9 10 11 10 11 12 10 8 9 11 11 10 12 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 5 10 10 10 40 40 40 5 5 0 0 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.3 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.4 9.6 9.3 8.7 8.8 8.6 9.0 9.2 9.7 9.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 75 80 85 75 70 60 70 65 60 50 50 40 65 65 70
TEMPERATURE 56 47 43 42 41 44 53 56 55 47 43 42 41 46 57 60 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 57 40 62
WIND DIR W NW N NE E E SE S S SE SE E E E E E NE
WIND (MPH) 5 9 9 10 11 11 11 14 11 8 9 11 10 10 12 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 5 10 5 10 40 30 30 5 5 0 0 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.4 9.5 9.3 8.8 8.8 8.7 9.0 9.2 9.7 9.9
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV SC BK BK BK SC BK BK SC OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 70 75 80 80 45 60 60 55 45 55 55 50 70 70 80
TEMPERATURE 62 52 46 45 44 47 57 61 61 54 47 45 44 49 60 65 62
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 63 44 67
WIND DIR W W NW E E E SE S S SE SE E NE E E E NW
WIND (MPH) 10 6 3 5 6 6 10 12 9 4 5 6 8 5 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 5 5 5 20 30 30 30 0 0 0 0 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE T R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.0 8.7 9.0 9.5 9.2 8.5 8.3 8.6 8.4 9.0 9.2 9.7 9.9
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 75 85 80 65 65 65 70 45 45 45 30 65 65 75
TEMPERATURE 56 49 46 45 44 47 55 56 54 50 47 46 45 50 58 60 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 57 45 62
WIND DIR NW NW N NE E E S SW W NE E E E E E E N
WIND (MPH) 8 6 9 9 11 10 10 10 9 8 9 12 11 11 11 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 20 10 10 5 10 50 40 40 5 5 0 0 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.5 9.1 8.7 8.8 8.6 8.9 9.2 9.7 9.9
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV SC SC SC FW BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 75 90 80 75 65 70 70 45 40 40 25 65 65 70
TEMPERATURE 56 49 45 45 44 47 55 56 54 49 47 46 44 50 59 61 58
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 58 44 63
WIND DIR NW NW N NE E E SE SW W NE E E E E E SE N
WIND (MPH) 8 5 9 8 10 10 9 8 9 8 8 11 11 10 12 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 20 10 10 10 10 50 40 40 5 5 0 0 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R T R R R R T
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.4 8.8 8.8 8.6 8.8 9.2 9.7 9.9
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 05/02/26 SUNDAY 05/03/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 80 80 75 60 45 45 60 45 50 50 55 65 65 80
TEMPERATURE 54 49 45 46 46 46 52 55 55 50 47 46 45 50 57 58 55
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 56 45 60
WIND DIR NW N N NE E SE SE S S S S SE SE SE E N N
WIND (MPH) 10 10 11 13 13 13 13 16 13 14 16 12 14 13 11 10 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.7 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 9.0 8.7 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.1 8.7 9.2 9.7 9.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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