650  
FWUS46 KMFR 040937  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
237 AM PDT MON MAY 4 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 30 60 50 50 35 25 20 25 10 20 15 10 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 40 42 48 49 48 43 42 41 40 42 49 53 53 49 45 42 41  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 38 55 40  
WIND DIR NE NE NE N NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 8 9 14 19 20 16 13 12 14 11 13 16 11 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 30 30 10 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.10 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.9 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.3 8.9 8.8 9.3 10.0 10.4 10.1 10.0 9.6 9.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK SC SC SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 65 40 60 50 50 35 25 20 25 10 20 15 10 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 37 40 48 49 47 41 40 37 36 41 52 56 55 47 43 39 38  
MAX/MIN TEMP 51 35 57 37  
WIND DIR NE E SW NW SW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 6 12 14 14 11 9 9 10 9 11 12 8 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 30 30 10 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.9 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.3 8.9 8.8 9.2 10.1 10.3 10.2 10.1 9.6 9.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 30 60 55 55 35 30 25 25 10 20 20 10 15 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 40 42 46 48 47 43 42 41 40 42 48 52 52 49 45 42 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 38 54 40  
WIND DIR NE NE NE NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 9 9 14 20 20 16 13 12 13 10 13 16 10 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 10 40 30 30 10 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.10 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.9 10.0 10.1 9.8 9.3 8.9 8.8 9.2 10.0 10.4 10.1 10.0 9.6 9.0  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 50 25 60 50 60 40 30 20 25 10 20 20 10 10 10 5  
TEMPERATURE 30 33 37 38 37 34 33 32 30 33 38 41 42 38 35 33 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 30 43 31  
WIND DIR NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 12 13 24 29 27 23 19 19 20 18 21 20 13 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 51 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 30 30 10 5 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE S T S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.11 0.29 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 1.1 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.9 10.1 10.2 9.9 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.3 10.0 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.6 9.0  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 25 60 55 55 35 25 20 25 10 25 25 10 10 5 10  
TEMPERATURE 41 43 50 52 51 47 44 43 41 43 51 55 55 51 46 44 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 53 41 56 42  
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 9 10 13 20 19 14 14 12 13 12 14 17 12 10 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 40 30 30 10 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.9 10.1 10.3 9.8 9.1 8.9 8.8 9.2 9.9 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.5 8.9  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 60 50 55 55 50 50 30 30 15 10 10 10 15 20 15  
TEMPERATURE 45 48 52 55 53 48 47 47 46 49 58 63 63 56 52 49 47  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 45 64 47  
WIND DIR S NE SE SE SW NW N NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 4 5 6 6 6 8 6 6 6 6 9 9 6 4 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 30 30 30 10 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.2 9.2 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.9 10.2 10.1 10.1 9.7 9.1  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC SC BK BK SC SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 75 45 50 50 55 45 30 20 25 15 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 42 45 49 52 51 46 45 43 42 46 51 57 58 52 47 44 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 40 58 42  
WIND DIR N N N N NE NW NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW N  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 6 12 16 16 11 10 10 11 11 12 13 8 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 30 30 30 10 5 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.7 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.2 9.8 10.1 10.1 10.1 9.7 9.1  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 15 5 30 25 15 10 10 15 15 15 25 25 15 10 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 43 47 57 58 57 48 44 42 40 45 56 57 57 50 44 42 40  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 39 59 40  
WIND DIR NE NE NE NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW N N N  
WIND (MPH) 9 9 12 16 18 17 13 11 11 11 11 12 17 13 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.1 9.0 9.9 10.2 9.7 9.4 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.7 10.1 10.2 9.9 9.4 8.8 8.3  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 15 5 30 25 20 10 15 15 15 10 30 30 15 5 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 42 46 57 59 56 48 43 40 39 44 56 57 56 50 44 41 39  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 38 59 39  
WIND DIR NE NE NE N NW N N N N N N N NW NW N N N  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 13 16 18 18 16 12 12 11 11 12 16 13 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 10 10 5 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.1 8.8 9.6 10.3 9.7 9.4 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.6 10.0 10.3 9.9 9.3 8.8 8.3  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 25 15 20 40 45 35 30 25 30 10 20 10 5 5 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 45 47 58 59 57 52 47 44 42 45 57 60 60 54 48 44 42  
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 42 62 42  
WIND DIR NE NE N NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW N N  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 10 13 14 9 8 6 5 6 9 12 11 6 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 10 20 20 5 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.7 10.0 10.0 9.7 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.5 10.0 10.2 10.0 9.7 9.1 8.6  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL  
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 15 10 25 30 40 30 30 30 20 15 20 15 10 5 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 45 49 56 55 54 49 45 45 43 46 55 56 56 51 47 45 43  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 43 58 43  
WIND DIR NE NE N NW NW NW N N N N N NW NW NW N NE E  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 11 16 18 17 13 12 10 9 10 13 16 12 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.0 9.0 9.7 10.1 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.9 10.1 9.8 9.4 8.8 8.3  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW CL FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 5 25 25 40 30 25 30 15 15 20 15 15 5 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 45 50 57 57 56 49 45 45 43 46 56 57 57 52 46 44 43  
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 43 59 43  
WIND DIR NE NE N NW NW N N N NE NE N NW NW NW N NE SE  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 12 17 18 17 13 11 10 10 10 14 16 12 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 10 10 5 5 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.0 8.9 9.7 10.2 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.8 10.1 9.7 9.3 8.7 8.2  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05  
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK FW FW SC SC SC FW SC SC FW CL FW FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 25 25 30 50 35 25 25 30 10 5 5 5 5 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 45 47 51 52 51 47 45 44 43 47 52 55 55 51 48 46 44  
MAX/MIN TEMP 52 42 55 44  
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 11 18 23 25 19 13 10 9 12 16 19 19 11 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.2 9.0 9.2 9.5 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.0 9.0 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.3 8.8  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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