553
FWUS46 KMFR 202301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT WED OCT 20 2021
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 85 90 90 95 95 95100100100100100 95 95 80
TEMPERATURE 31 35 36 37 38 37 38 39 39 40 42 40 37 32 31 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 42 32 32
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 29 29 39 35 40 46 50 51 43 42 39 36 34 19 10 18 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 48 62 55 65 77 85 88 73 71 64 58 55 31 16 29 23
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 60 60 70 70 90 90100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R R R R R R S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.33 1.27 2.53 0.73
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.2
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 85 85 90 90 95 95 95100100100100100 95 95 80
TEMPERATURE 34 36 38 38 39 38 40 40 40 39 41 40 36 34 35 35 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 41 32 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 19 19 25 31 32 31 34 35 29 33 31 28 23 13 9 12 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 29 37 47 49 49 55 57 48 52 49 46 34 20 19
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 60 60 70 70 90 90100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.26 1.03 2.22 0.62
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 85 90 90 95 95 95100100100100100 95 95 80
TEMPERATURE 31 34 36 37 38 37 38 38 38 40 41 40 37 32 31 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 42 32 32
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 29 31 39 35 40 44 49 50 42 43 39 36 35 19 10 18 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 48 62 55 65 77 85 88 73 71 64 58 55 31 16 29 23
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 60 60 70 70 90 90100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R R R R R R S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.34 1.29 2.46 0.74
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.2
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 80 90 90 90 95 95100100100100100 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 30 33 34 34 35 35 34 35 35 34 36 36 31 26 24 24 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 36 26 26
WIND DIR SW SW S SW SW SW S SW SW S S S S W W W W
WIND (MPH) 42 41 49 50 55 63 70 72 60 64 63 58 51 29 21 26 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 79 67 85 86 94112115115107113115115 98 55 44 47 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 50 50 70 70 90 90100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.25 1.37 2.91 0.80
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 5.5 12.8 7.2
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 85 90 90 90 90 95100100100100100 95 95 80
TEMPERATURE 31 34 37 37 37 37 38 38 38 39 40 41 37 33 33 33 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 41 30 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW NW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 23 23 32 37 40 37 41 42 43 41 36 36 34 23 10 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 36 48 61 65 61 66 67 70 66 61 58 54 34 17 20 17
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 50 50 60 60 80 80100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R R R R R R R R S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.28 1.10 1.94 0.71
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 7 6 7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 90 95 95 95 95100100100100100 95 90 90 75
TEMPERATURE 37 38 40 41 41 42 44 43 42 43 46 44 41 40 40 39 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 45 38 41
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S SE S S S S S S S SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 9 11 13 14 17 16 23 17 17 10 5 6 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 19 21 25 29 25 42 27 27 16
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 60 60 70 70 90 90100100100100100100100 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
12 HOUR QPF 0.36 1.11 2.21 0.46
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 80 85 85 85 85 95100100100100 95 85 90 80
TEMPERATURE 35 34 36 38 38 41 41 41 42 40 43 40 37 39 35 36 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 44 33 40
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S NW W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 20 21 26 36 37 36 40 36 37 37 33 28 19 18 9 14 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 36 43 57 61 62 70 64 66 66 57 49 31 29 24 19
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 50 50 60 60 90 90100100100100100100100 60 60
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R R R R R R R R R S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.55 1.51 0.43
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 7 6 6 6
..MT. ASHLAND (6,800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 55 50 65 70 70 70 75 85 85100100100 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 36 37 39 38 40 40 43 43 43 44 43 36 34 35 33 34 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 44 30 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S SE S NW W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 24 21 24 42 44 34 35 44 36 36 29 19 14 12 10 13 12
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 33 36 64 69 55 57 71 58 58 48 31 23 19 16 20 19
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 10 10 5 20 20 60 60 90 90100100100 90 90 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.27 1.21 0.24
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6
..MT. BAILEY (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 50 45 55 65 65 65 80 90100100100100 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 35 36 37 38 40 41 46 45 45 43 41 37 33 33 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 47 32 33
WIND DIR S S SE SE S S S S S SE SE W W SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 18 18 19 29 31 29 29 41 36 33 25 14 13 17 11 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 27 27 29 47 51 48 48 66 58 52 40 24 23 26 17 20 20
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 5 10 10 40 40100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R R R S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.19 1.07 0.32
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 8 6 6 6 6 6
..MT. MCLOUGHLIN (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 65 50 50 60 65 65 70 80 90100100100100 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 35 36 38 38 40 40 45 45 45 44 41 37 34 33 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 46 32 34
WIND DIR S S SE SE S S S S S SE SE W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 19 19 21 27 29 31 31 42 36 34 27 17 13 17 11 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 50 47 54 61 58 85 70 70 64 36 23 33 20 27 26
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 5 10 10 40 40100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S R R R R R R S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.15 1.09 0.35
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6
..CRATER LAKE RIM (ABOVE 6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 10/21 FRIDAY 10/22
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 55 60 65 70 65 75 80 95100100100100 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 36 35 37 38 39 38 44 44 45 44 42 38 34 33 32 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 46 32 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S SW W SW SW W SW
WIND (MPH) 19 13 26 25 26 28 33 41 34 33 29 20 17 20 12 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 34 67 54 49 58 79107 85 86 73 48 29 51 29 36 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 5 10 10 40 40100100100100100100100 70 70
PRECIP TYPE S S R R R R R R S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.21 1.00 0.34
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4
12 HOUR ICE MM MM MM MM
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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