654
FWUS46 KMFR 221017
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
216 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL FW CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 30 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 35 30 25 40 35 30 45 55
TEMPERATURE 34 34 40 43 40 36 37 38 38 36 39 39 35 30 30 30 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 36 40 25
WIND DIR N N NE N N N N NW NW SW SW W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 6 6 4 5 13 17 18 18 16 17 20 24 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.4 6.9 7.5 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 4.8
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL FW CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 30 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 30 30 30 40 35 30 45 55
TEMPERATURE 26 27 40 44 39 32 31 31 29 29 39 41 35 29 28 27 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 27 42 23
WIND DIR NE NE NE NE NE N N NW NW SW SW SW SW W W NW N
WIND (MPH) 6 6 6 4 4 3 5 9 10 10 13 11 12 16 18 14 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.3 6.7 7.4 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 4.8
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL FW FW CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 25 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 35 30 25 40 35 30 45 55
TEMPERATURE 33 34 38 41 39 37 36 38 38 37 38 39 35 30 30 30 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 36 40 25
WIND DIR NE N NE NE N N N NW W SW SW SW W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 9 6 6 4 4 10 13 16 18 16 17 20 24 18 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.4 6.9 7.4 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 4.8
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL FW CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 30 10 5 5 5 5 5 20 30 30 30 45 40 35 50 60
TEMPERATURE 27 26 33 36 31 29 29 29 29 29 32 31 26 22 21 21 19
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 29 32 18
WIND DIR N N N N N N NW W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 18 17 14 12 12 9 10 14 20 25 32 28 28 41 46 39 42
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 37 33 29 37 55 69 64 58 102 105 93 105
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.6 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 6.8 6.8 6.3 5.9 5.4 4.8
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW CL FW CL CL CL FW SC SC FW SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 20 10 5 5 5 0 5 20 40 35 25 35 30 30 45 60
TEMPERATURE 31 31 37 42 39 35 34 36 35 35 38 40 35 31 29 29 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 34 41 25
WIND DIR NE NE NE NE NE NW NW W W SW SW SW SW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 6 5 5 5 4 5 8 9 12 10 11 16 17 14 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.1 6.6 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.1 6.5 6.9 6.8 6.2 5.8 5.3 4.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 30 10 5 5 5 0 5 15 30 30 25 30 30 25 40 50
TEMPERATURE 38 38 44 48 45 42 42 42 42 41 44 46 41 37 36 35 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 41 47 31
WIND DIR SE W SE E W W SE S W S S SW NW W NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 4 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 1 4 4 4 3 4 4 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.4 6.7 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.4 4.9
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL SC FW CL FW CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 35 10 5 5 5 5 5 15 35 30 30 35 35 35 45 60
TEMPERATURE 34 36 42 46 44 40 39 40 40 41 43 43 39 34 32 30 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 38 43 27
WIND DIR NE NE NE N N N N W W SW SW SW W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 5 5 4 3 6 9 10 12 11 10 13 17 13 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.2 6.5 7.0 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.8 6.8 6.4 5.9 5.4 4.8
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW CL CL FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 20 10 10 5 5 10 20 50 60 55 70 85 85 75 70 60
TEMPERATURE 31 30 40 43 39 32 32 31 31 31 35 37 33 31 29 27 24
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 30 38 21
WIND DIR E E SE W W S S S SW S SW W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 8 5 5 5 6 8 10 13 16 20 14 18 21 18 21 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 80 80 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.10 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.9 6.6 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.7 6.1 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.2 3.7
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW CL CL FW FW BK BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 20 15 10 5 5 10 20 50 65 50 65 75 75 70 65 60
TEMPERATURE 29 28 38 41 38 31 31 30 30 29 35 36 32 30 28 26 22
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 29 37 20
WIND DIR SE SE SE SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 5 5 5 5 8 10 13 16 20 16 18 21 19 23 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 50 50 80 80 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.08 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.8 6.5 7.0 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.8 6.1 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.2 3.7
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW CL CL FW FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 20 15 10 5 5 5 15 35 55 40 60 75 85 85 70 70
TEMPERATURE 29 29 37 45 42 35 33 33 32 31 38 42 37 35 33 32 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 31 43 26
WIND DIR E E SE E SE SE S SW W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 5 5 4 6 5 4 6 6 8 10 10 11 11 9 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 70 70 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 5.7 6.3 6.8 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.9 6.3 6.3 6.0 5.3 4.6 4.0
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 10 5 5 5 10 20 50 60 50 75 85 90 85 75 70
TEMPERATURE 34 33 40 43 40 36 36 36 35 34 37 36 32 31 30 28 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 34 37 23
WIND DIR SE SE SE W W S S SW SW S SW W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 5 6 6 8 10 13 16 20 14 18 20 18 21 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 90 90 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.10 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.9 6.5 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.8 6.1 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.2 3.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 10 5 10 5 10 20 55 60 55 80 90 90 85 75 65
TEMPERATURE 34 33 40 43 40 35 35 35 35 34 36 36 32 31 29 28 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 34 37 22
WIND DIR SE SE S W W S S S SW S SW W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 6 6 5 6 6 8 11 14 17 21 14 18 21 18 21 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 70 70 90 90 60 60 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.11 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.9 6.6 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.7 6.0 6.0 5.5 4.7 4.0 3.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/22/25 SUNDAY 11/23/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 15 5 5 10 10 10 35 45 45 60 70 85 85 80 80
TEMPERATURE 36 37 43 45 42 40 40 40 39 38 39 39 35 33 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 38 40 29
WIND DIR SE SE SE NW W N S SW SW S SW W W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 4 5 5 6 8 11 13 18 12 13 17 18 18 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 50 50 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.6 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.4 5.8 5.6 6.3 6.4 6.1 5.5 4.8 4.2
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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