970
FWUS46 KMFR 192228
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
228 PM PST THU FEB 19 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW CL CL SC OV OV SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 25 10 5 5 5 45 70 70 45 60 60 75 85 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 18 13 11 10 9 9 17 18 19 16 15 15 16 18 19 20 22
MIN/MAX TEMP 7 19 14 24
WIND DIR NW N N NW N NE SW SW S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 12 10 5 4 8 8 5 8 9 12 17 20 25 27 31 31 34
WIND GUST (MPH) 25 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW CL CL SC BK BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 25 15 5 5 5 35 60 65 45 60 60 75 85 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 18 13 12 10 6 6 19 20 20 15 15 15 16 16 22 22 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 4 22 14 24
WIND DIR NW N N N N SE S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 16 11 5 4 5 5 5 8 8 11 13 16 20 20 21 23 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 20 40 40 40 40 30 30 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.4 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW FW CL CL SC OV OV SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 25 10 5 5 0 50 75 75 45 60 60 75 85 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 19 14 12 11 9 9 17 18 19 16 15 15 17 18 20 21 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 8 19 15 25
WIND DIR NW N N NW NW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 11 10 5 4 8 9 5 8 10 12 17 20 24 26 29 28 34
WIND GUST (MPH) 28 25 58
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.4 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW CL SC BK OV SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 40 20 5 5 5 40 65 70 40 60 60 70 80 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 8 4 3 2 1 2 13 14 14 9 9 9 10 11 11 13 15
MIN/MAX TEMP -1 14 8 17
WIND DIR NW N N NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 14 12 11 20 20 17 11 12 17 24 25 29 37 37 40 42 51
WIND GUST (MPH) 34 54 44 31 43 48 59 59 98
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 40 40 40 40 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 1.7 2.4 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.7 3.3 3.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC FW CL CL SC OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 40 30 10 5 0 35 85 90 75 60 55 70 80 75 75 70
TEMPERATURE 19 16 13 11 9 8 17 20 20 17 17 17 18 19 21 23 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 7 20 17 26
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW W SW S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 19 19 14 9 4 6 10 13 14 18 23 25 31 29 31 31 35
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.2 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.4 3.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK FW FW CL CL FW SC OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 15 5 5 5 5 35 80 80 70 65 65 85 90 85 80 80
TEMPERATURE 27 23 20 19 16 15 23 27 27 24 23 23 25 26 26 29 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 27 23 31
WIND DIR N N NW NW NW S SE S S S S S S SE SE S S
WIND (MPH) 18 18 14 9 5 4 8 10 9 8 8 10 11 12 14 16 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC FW FW FW SC OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 45 20 5 5 35 75 75 60 60 60 75 85 80 70 75
TEMPERATURE 21 19 17 16 13 12 22 24 23 21 20 20 21 23 23 26 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 10 24 19 29
WIND DIR NW NW NW N NW S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 17 17 13 10 6 5 11 13 14 18 21 23 28 24 25 25 28
WIND GUST (MPH) 42
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 40 40 40 40 30 30 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.2 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK OV BK SC FW BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 70 75 60 30 10 50 75 60 65 70 75 80 75 70 75
TEMPERATURE 20 15 13 11 9 9 20 24 25 19 18 17 18 19 23 27 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 8 25 16 28
WIND DIR W W W W SW S S SW SW SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 11 9 6 6 8 8 5 9 10 12 17 20 21 20 21 21 24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 50 50 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.3 3.0 4.0 4.3
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC BK SC FW FW BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 45 55 40 20 10 50 75 60 60 70 75 80 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 20 15 12 10 9 8 20 24 25 19 16 16 16 17 22 26 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 7 25 15 27
WIND DIR NW NW W W W SW S SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 13 10 8 8 9 8 5 9 10 12 16 20 20 20 21 21 24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.8 4.0 4.3
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK FW SC OV BK BK BK BK OV BK OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 65 65 60 20 30 70 65 65 60 55 75 70 70 70 65
TEMPERATURE 24 20 18 16 14 13 22 28 29 23 21 20 22 22 27 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 29 20 33
WIND DIR NW NW W W W SW S S S SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 11 8 4 4 4 3 4 6 6 9 10 11 12 16 16 16 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.3 2.0 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.1
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK FW FW BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 80 75 55 20 20 60 65 70 70 75 75 75 75 70 75
TEMPERATURE 20 18 15 14 11 11 21 25 25 21 20 20 22 23 26 29 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 10 25 20 29
WIND DIR NW NW SW S S SE S SW SW SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 8 6 5 8 8 6 9 10 12 16 19 24 21 23 24 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 50 50 50 50 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 85 80 55 25 15 55 65 65 70 80 75 75 75 70 80
TEMPERATURE 20 18 15 13 10 10 21 25 26 21 20 21 22 23 26 30 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 9 26 20 30
WIND DIR W W SW S S SE SW SW SW SE SE SE SE SE E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 5 8 8 6 9 10 12 17 20 24 21 21 23 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 50 50 50 50 30 30 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 02/20/26 SATURDAY 02/21/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW FW SC BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 65 40 25 10 50 60 70 60 55 55 70 75 75 55 60
TEMPERATURE 19 18 17 15 13 13 22 25 25 23 22 21 23 24 26 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 25 21 30
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW SW S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 13 14 11 6 8 6 5 8 9 17 21 27 33 32 32 33 34
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 20 20 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 1.3 2.2 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.9 3.6 3.9
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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