788
FWUS46 KMFR 051046
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
246 AM PST WED NOV 5 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 75 90 80 90 95 100 100 100 80
TEMPERATURE 37 35 33 34 34 33 33 34 33 33 33 35 34 35 37 39 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 31 36 35
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 54 49 37 39 35 29 28 24 21 19 20 19 25 32 26 28 26
WIND GUST (MPH) 86 79 61 62 57 47 51 46 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 60 60 60 60 90 90 100 100 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.80 0.52 0.28 0.18 0.04 0.16 0.44 0.25
6 HOUR SNOW 11.1 2.7 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 13.8 3.6 0.6 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.2 8.4 8.5 8.2 7.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 85 85 75 85 80 90 95 95 100 100 80
TEMPERATURE 37 35 36 36 34 34 34 35 35 35 36 36 34 36 36 38 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 34 36 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 41 36 28 29 26 23 21 18 16 14 14 14 19 24 19 21 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 62 55
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 60 60 60 60 90 90 100 100 40
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 1.58 0.37 0.19 0.12 0.03 0.13 0.44 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.5 8.2 8.6 8.6 8.2 7.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 75 90 80 90 95 100 100 100 80
TEMPERATURE 37 36 33 34 34 33 33 34 34 33 32 34 34 36 38 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 31 36 36
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 52 49 37 39 35 29 28 24 21 19 20 19 24 32 26 28 26
WIND GUST (MPH) 86 79 61 62 57 47 51 46 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 90 90 80 80 60 60 60 60 90 90 100 100 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.73 0.52 0.31 0.18 0.04 0.16 0.42 0.23
6 HOUR SNOW 8.9 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 11.5 3.3 0.6 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.4 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.5 8.2 8.3 8.5 8.2 7.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 85 85 70 85 75 90 95 95 100 100 75
TEMPERATURE 30 28 25 26 24 24 24 25 25 25 25 26 26 28 29 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 24 28 28
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 87 72 64 59 56 47 44 43 37 34 35 37 46 50 46 51 48
WIND GUST (MPH) 115 115 115 98 105 82 81 90 74 71 73 89 98 88 94 113 95
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 60 60 60 60 90 90 100 100 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.97 0.58 0.30 0.17 0.03 0.15 0.49 0.27
6 HOUR SNOW 17.0 5.6 3.0 1.6 0.2 1.0 3.0 1.5
12 HOUR SNOW 22.6 4.6 1.2 4.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.7 8.3 8.6 8.5 8.2 7.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 85 85 75 80 80 85 90 95 100 100 85
TEMPERATURE 37 35 33 35 33 33 32 32 32 31 31 34 34 35 37 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 30 37 35
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW S S S S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 42 42 31 29 27 23 24 19 14 14 17 18 19 18 20 19 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 64 64 48 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 50 50 60 60 90 90 100 100 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 1.75 0.53 0.28 0.15 0.04 0.13 0.32 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 2.4 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.5 8.1 8.3 8.5 8.2 7.6
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 80 90 85 90 90 95 100 100 85
TEMPERATURE 39 43 39 41 40 39 39 39 39 41 40 41 40 40 42 43 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 37 42 40
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 26 19 19 19 16 12 9 8 6 8 9 11 11 12 12 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 60 60 60 60 90 90 90 90 40
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 1.71 0.39 0.19 0.07 0.03 0.16 0.32 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.3 7.2 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.4 8.3 9.0 8.8 8.3 7.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 95 95 95 80 80 65 80 80 85 90 95 95 95 70
TEMPERATURE 37 40 36 38 36 36 35 35 35 37 36 37 37 38 39 40 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 34 39 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW S
WIND (MPH) 41 34 29 31 26 21 21 18 16 14 13 14 21 27 19 17 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 62 51 46
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 90 90 90 70 70 50 50 70 70 100 100 90 90 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S R S S S S S S S S R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 1.12 0.36 0.17 0.06 0.02 0.11 0.31 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.3 7.1 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.6 8.5 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 90 90 95 100 100 95 90
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 35 34 33 33 32 32 32 34 35 35 36 37 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 31 37 34
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 46 36 27 34 32 29 28 26 25 21 20 18 17 25 25 27 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 69 55 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.56 0.59 0.68 0.35 0.08 0.21 0.43 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.8 3.9 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.3 6.4 0.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.9 7.5 6.7 6.2
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 95 95 95 100 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 35 33 32 33 33 33 33 34 35 35 36 37 38 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 32 36 35
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 46 36 27 33 31 29 28 26 25 21 19 17 16 25 26 27 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 69 55 50 48 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 50 90 90 90 90 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.52 0.53 0.63 0.29 0.05 0.22 0.43 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.5 3.8 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 5.7 0.4 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.5 7.8 7.6 6.8 6.2
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 85 95 100 100 95 95 80 80 85 90 95 100 100 100 85
TEMPERATURE 41 38 37 39 38 36 36 35 36 34 36 38 39 40 40 41 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 34 40 38
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 28 20 21 20 19 19 17 16 14 13 13 13 14 13 14 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 80 90 100 100 90 90 40 40 80 80 90 90 100 100 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.56 0.14 0.16 0.06 0.01 0.20 0.48 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.1 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.9 7.5 8.0 8.2 7.8 7.2 6.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 90 85 90 95 100 100 100 95 90
TEMPERATURE 40 37 35 35 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 35 35 37 38 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 32 38 34
WIND DIR S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 47 35 29 35 33 31 28 26 24 20 19 18 18 24 23 27 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 79 55 51 57 55 51 46 41 41 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.61 0.47 0.47 0.34 0.08 0.23 0.40 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 4.2 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.9 7.4 7.6 8.0 7.4 6.7 6.2
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 90 95 95 100 100 100 95 95
TEMPERATURE 39 37 35 35 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 35 35 37 38 39 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 32 37 34
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 46 36 28 36 33 31 28 26 25 20 20 19 19 24 24 28 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 69 55 55 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.70 0.61 0.59 0.46 0.11 0.23 0.33 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 5.8 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.8 7.1 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.8 7.4 7.4 7.8 7.3 6.5 6.0
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 11/05/25 THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 85 90 90 90 80 80 60 75 85 90 95 100 100 90 80
TEMPERATURE 38 37 35 37 35 33 33 34 33 32 34 37 37 37 40 40 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 32 40 36
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 43 29 28 29 31 26 24 19 17 18 19 17 20 19 20 20 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 65
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 80 90 90 90 70 70 40 40 70 70 100 100 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.87 0.34 0.14 0.04 0.02 0.17 0.35 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.7 7.1 7.8 8.5 8.5 8.0 7.3 6.8
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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