534
FWUS46 KMFR 152223
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
223 PM PST SUN FEB 15 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 100 90 90 95 75 75 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 27 27 27 26 25 24 24 25 24 20 15 13 15 16 17 17 17
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 25 13 19
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 18 17 21 20 11 12 12 11 18 21 23 20 29 28 31 26 19
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 48 51 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 100 70 60 40 10 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.56 0.47 0.10 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.37 0.30
6 HOUR SNOW 5.7 4.9 1.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 5.8 4.6
12 HOUR SNOW 10.6 2.0 3.9 10.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 4.1 2.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 90 90 95 75 75 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 90
TEMPERATURE 28 27 27 26 25 24 27 28 24 21 18 15 15 16 20 20 17
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 29 13 22
WIND DIR SE E E S S S SW SW SW W W S S S S SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 13 16 14 9 10 10 8 14 17 16 16 21 20 20 18 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 100 60 60 40 10 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.50 0.39 0.09 0.06 0.10 0.12 0.34 0.28
6 HOUR SNOW 4.2 3.4 0.9 0.6 1.3 1.7 5.2 4.3
12 HOUR SNOW 7.6 1.5 3.0 9.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.5 5.1 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.1 2.8 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 100 90 90 95 75 70 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 27 27 27 26 26 25 24 26 24 21 16 13 15 17 17 17 17
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 26 13 19
WIND DIR SE SE SE S S SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 18 17 21 21 11 12 12 11 14 19 23 20 29 28 29 25 20
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 48 51 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 100 70 60 40 20 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.54 0.47 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.15 0.38 0.29
6 HOUR SNOW 5.2 4.7 1.3 0.8 1.4 2.2 5.9 4.6
12 HOUR SNOW 9.9 2.1 3.6 10.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.2 2.8 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 100 85 90 90 70 80 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 20 20 19 18 18 16 15 17 16 11 5 5 6 9 8 9 9
MIN/MAX TEMP 15 18 5 12
WIND DIR S S S S SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 28 28 32 33 25 21 21 18 20 23 29 39 51 43 40 35 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 61 57 58 64 61 43 43 40 57 82 109 89 77 58 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 100 60 60 30 10 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.56 0.42 0.08 0.09 0.19 0.15 0.37 0.30
6 HOUR SNOW 5.9 4.6 1.0 1.0 2.7 2.2 5.2 4.3
12 HOUR SNOW 10.5 2.0 4.9 9.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.6 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.8 4.1 2.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.1
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 95 90 90 95 80 90 95 95 90 90 95 95 100 100 90
TEMPERATURE 30 30 29 29 27 26 26 28 26 23 18 16 17 18 19 19 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 26 28 16 20
WIND DIR SE S SE S S S SW SW SW W W SW S S SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 13 14 18 21 12 10 11 11 14 18 18 19 24 31 31 25 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 90 70 60 40 20 40 90 90 80 80 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.36 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.12 0.34 0.26
6 HOUR SNOW 2.6 3.2 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.9 5.2 3.9
12 HOUR SNOW 5.8 1.6 3.2 9.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 2.9 1.4 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.1
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 90 95 90 80 75 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 35 35 34 33 33 32 32 34 33 28 23 22 24 24 25 26 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 34 22 27
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S S S SW NW NW W S S S S S SW
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 10 10 8 11 14 14 14 14 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 90 100 70 60 40 20 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.59 0.39 0.08 0.04 0.05 0.12 0.28 0.24
6 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.6 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.7 4.1 3.4
12 HOUR SNOW 5.4 0.9 2.3 7.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.4 4.8 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.2 2.6 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.1
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 90 90 90 85 80 95 95 95 95 100 100 100 100 90
TEMPERATURE 31 31 30 30 29 28 29 31 29 25 19 18 20 21 22 23 22
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 31 18 24
WIND DIR SE E SE S S S S SW W NW W S S S S SW W
WIND (MPH) 14 14 16 13 11 10 11 6 13 16 13 17 20 24 24 21 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 90 90 60 50 40 20 30 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.48 0.30 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.13 0.23 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.8 3.5 2.8
12 HOUR SNOW 6.3 1.0 2.6 6.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.0
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 70 80 90 90 85 95 100 100 95 95 95 95 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 33 29 28 28 28 26 26 27 23 17 15 15 15 16 18 19 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 28 14 21
WIND DIR SE E E SE S SW SW W W W W S S SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 11 11 13 14 13 19 14 17 17 18 24 19 21 20 17 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 20 60 70 80 80 90 100 100 100 100 90 90 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.07 0.20 0.26 0.09 0.22 0.24 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.0 1.3 3.3 3.7 1.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.7 5.4 4.6 5.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.4 4.0 3.6 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 75 80 90 90 85 95 100 100 95 95 95 95 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 32 28 27 27 27 26 27 28 24 18 15 15 15 15 18 19 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 29 14 21
WIND DIR SE NE E SE S SW W W W W W S S SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 12 11 13 14 12 18 13 18 18 18 23 19 21 21 18 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 41 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 30 60 70 70 70 90 100 100 100 100 90 90 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.08 0.15 0.19 0.07 0.21 0.22 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.2 1.0 3.3 3.4 1.6
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 4.0 4.3 5.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.9 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.4
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 80 80 95 90 75 90 95 95 100 100 95 95 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 38 33 32 32 32 31 30 32 29 23 21 21 21 22 22 24 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 33 20 26
WIND DIR SE E SE SE S SW SW W W W W S SW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 6 6 9 10 10 11 12 13 11 11 13 12 12 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 80 70 60 60 60 30 90 90 90 100 100 90 90 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.21 0.13 0.12 0.30 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.2 1.7 1.7 4.4 2.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 2.9 3.4 7.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.1 2.0 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 70 80 90 90 80 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 34 31 30 30 30 29 27 28 24 20 17 17 17 19 19 20 19
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 30 17 21
WIND DIR SE E SE SE S SW SW W W W SW S S SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 12 11 14 14 13 17 13 17 16 17 24 17 20 20 18 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 60 80 90 70 90 100 100 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.05 0.18 0.24 0.13 0.20 0.24 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.7 1.8 3.0 3.7 1.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 4.7 4.8 5.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.2 4.9 4.3 3.9 3.5 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.4
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 65 70 80 90 95 80 95 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 95
TEMPERATURE 35 31 30 30 30 28 27 28 24 20 16 17 17 18 19 20 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 30 16 21
WIND DIR S E SE SE S SW SW W W W SW S S S SW W W
WIND (MPH) 6 11 12 16 16 16 19 13 16 16 18 25 17 20 20 18 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 60 80 90 70 90 100 100 90 90 100 100 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.06 0.22 0.23 0.10 0.22 0.19 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.5 1.3 3.3 2.9 1.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 4.9 4.6 4.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.5 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.3 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE MONDAY 02/16/26 TUESDAY 02/17/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 80 85 95 80 65 90 90 90 100 100 95 95 100 100 90
TEMPERATURE 33 32 32 31 29 28 29 28 26 21 18 18 19 21 22 21 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 29 18 23
WIND DIR E E SE S S SW SW W NW W SW S SW SW SW W NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 20 17 10 9 12 14 19 18 16 25 20 21 24 23 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 90 70 30 50 50 20 90 90 90 100 100 90 90 100 100 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.10 0.02 0.18 0.13 0.20 0.30 0.17
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.8 0.2 1.9 1.7 3.0 4.6 2.6
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 2.1 4.7 7.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.1 2.0 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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