405
FWUS46 KMFR 042227
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
226 PM PST WED MAR 4 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC SC FW CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 50 35 25 20 5 5 5 10 25 35 30 35 20 20 20
TEMPERATURE 26 20 19 18 19 19 23 26 26 23 22 23 22 22 29 31 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 17 27 21 31
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 26 26 21 19 24 29 24 20 21 29 26 24 19 17 16 14 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 20 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.7 4.5 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.5 3.5 4.0 5.2 5.8 6.3
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC SC FW FW CL FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 60 40 30 25 5 5 5 10 30 35 30 35 20 20 20
TEMPERATURE 28 22 21 20 18 16 26 29 29 24 23 23 22 22 33 35 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 31 21 35
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N N N N NW N N N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 21 21 18 18 21 25 21 21 23 21 19 17 14 13 11 11 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 20 0 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.6 4.4 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.9 5.1 5.8 6.2
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC FW FW CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 40 30 25 20 5 5 5 5 25 30 30 35 20 20 20
TEMPERATURE 27 21 20 19 19 20 25 27 26 23 22 23 22 23 29 31 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 27 21 32
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N NW NE NE N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 26 26 21 17 23 28 23 17 17 29 26 24 19 17 16 14 25
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 20 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.6 4.5 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.9 5.2 5.8 6.3
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 65 55 40 25 5 10 20 25 30 35 30 35 25 20 20
TEMPERATURE 16 12 11 10 9 9 15 18 19 17 15 16 15 16 22 25 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 8 20 14 26
WIND DIR NW NW N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 35 41 33 35 41 44 40 39 42 50 51 43 36 33 28 31 42
WIND GUST (MPH) 70 80 73 74 81 81 74 69 73 93 109 89 77 71 57 73 80
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 30 20 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.7 4.5 5.1 4.4 3.8 3.6 3.6 4.0 5.2 5.8 6.3
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK SC SC CL FW FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 60 55 45 30 5 10 20 15 20 35 30 45 25 25 25
TEMPERATURE 29 24 22 21 20 19 25 30 31 26 23 23 22 23 29 33 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 32 22 34
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NW NW
WIND (MPH) 23 19 20 19 20 26 24 25 25 21 19 17 17 18 16 14 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 30 10 5 5 5 5 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.6 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.6 4.5 5.1 4.3 3.6 3.3 3.4 3.9 5.2 5.8 6.3
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW SC FW SC SC FW CL CL FW CL SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 25 25 30 20 5 0 10 5 35 35 30 25 15 15 15
TEMPERATURE 38 33 31 29 29 29 33 39 39 35 31 31 29 31 37 43 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 40 28 43
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N NW N N N NW N N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 14 13 17 19 18 19 20 18 19 20 18 18 16 17 18 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 10 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.6 4.4 5.0 4.4 3.7 3.5 3.5 4.0 5.2 5.8 6.2
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK BK BK BK FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 65 65 55 55 15 10 20 35 45 35 35 30 25 20 20
TEMPERATURE 32 27 25 26 23 23 27 32 32 28 27 27 26 27 33 35 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 33 25 36
WIND DIR NW NW NW N N N N N N NW N N N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 16 21 19 19 23 27 25 25 27 21 20 17 14 16 17 16 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.5 4.3 4.8 4.3 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.9 4.9 5.6 6.2
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 80 80 80 75 50 55 75 60 50 60 70 70 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 26 23 22 21 20 19 24 26 27 24 21 22 21 22 30 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 28 20 33
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 20 21 21 18 20 25 23 21 25 21 18 14 13 12 12 16 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 70 50 50 10 30 30 40 40 20 20 40 40 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.37 0.14 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 5.2 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.3 0.2 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.8 5.7 5.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK SC BK BK OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 75 70 70 70 50 55 65 55 45 55 65 70 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 26 22 22 21 20 18 23 27 28 24 22 22 22 22 30 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 28 20 33
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 20 21 24 20 21 26 24 23 25 21 18 14 13 12 12 14 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 60 50 40 10 30 30 30 30 20 20 30 30 40 40 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.6 0.2 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.9 4.3 5.0 5.8 6.0
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK OV BK SC BK BK BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 80 85 85 75 45 60 70 50 45 60 70 60 50 50 55
TEMPERATURE 30 27 27 27 25 25 25 29 30 28 25 25 26 26 31 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 30 25 34
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 17 17 14 12 11 10 12 11 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 50 40 30 10 20 20 10 10 5 5 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.44 0.15 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 5.7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.3 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.7 5.4 5.8
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 85 85 80 55 60 80 65 55 65 70 70 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 26 24 23 23 22 20 22 25 26 24 22 23 21 23 28 30 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 26 20 31
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 21 20 20 17 21 25 21 21 25 21 18 14 13 11 12 16 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 40 41 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 80 50 70 20 30 40 50 50 30 30 50 50 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.38 0.18 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 7.6 0.4 0.2 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.4 3.6 4.0 4.7 5.4 5.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 85 80 80 60 60 80 70 55 70 70 70 70 70 60
TEMPERATURE 26 24 23 23 22 20 22 25 26 24 22 22 21 22 28 31 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 26 19 32
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 20 19 19 16 20 24 21 20 24 21 17 13 13 11 12 16 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 80 50 70 10 30 40 50 50 30 30 50 50 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.17 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 4.4 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 6.7 0.2 0.3 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.6 4.0 4.7 5.3 5.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 03/05/26 FRIDAY 03/06/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 80 85 85 80 40 30 65 60 55 60 70 60 55 40 35
TEMPERATURE 28 25 24 23 22 21 24 27 28 25 24 24 23 25 27 30 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 28 22 31
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 20 19 18 19 23 25 21 24 26 20 17 14 13 11 12 17 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 30 30 20 5 5 10 5 5 0 0 10 10 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.26 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.5 4.3 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.4 3.5 4.4 4.7 5.5 6.1
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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