276
FWUS46 KMFR 182227
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
227 PM PST WED FEB 18 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 95 85 95 80 60 50 50 25 25 15 35 35 55 75
TEMPERATURE 14 14 13 15 15 15 16 17 17 14 13 10 8 10 16 17 18
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 18 8 19
WIND DIR W SW S SW S S NW N NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 13 23 16 20 6 13 19 18 13 5 6 9 10 12 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 50 90 80 90 70 40 30 30 5 5 10 10 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.22 0.47 0.46 0.09 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 6.4 6.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 9.4 7.4 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.4 1.9 2.4
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC FW FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 95 90 95 75 55 50 50 30 25 20 30 35 55 75
TEMPERATURE 16 14 15 16 15 15 19 20 18 14 13 10 8 7 19 20 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 22 6 22
WIND DIR SW S S S S S NW NW NW NW NW NW NW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 6 8 11 17 12 14 11 14 19 16 13 6 8 6 8 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 50 90 80 90 60 30 30 30 5 5 5 5 10 10 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.36 0.39 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.1 4.8 5.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.9 5.9 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.4
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK FW FW FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 85 95 85 95 80 60 50 50 25 20 15 35 35 60 75
TEMPERATURE 15 15 14 16 16 16 17 18 18 15 13 10 8 10 16 17 18
MIN/MAX TEMP 14 19 8 19
WIND DIR SW SW S SW S S NW N NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 11 13 23 16 20 5 13 16 18 9 4 6 9 10 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 50 90 80 90 70 40 30 30 5 5 10 10 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.48 0.46 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.1 6.7 6.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 9.8 7.3 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.3 1.9 2.3
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 95 85 95 80 65 55 55 35 25 20 30 35 55 75
TEMPERATURE 5 5 4 6 6 6 7 8 7 6 4 2 0 2 10 11 12
MIN/MAX TEMP 4 9 0 12
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW S NW N N N NW NW NW W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 13 17 26 33 25 25 11 18 21 18 16 17 19 26 21 19 18
WIND GUST (MPH) 59 58 47 48 36 54 84 58 42
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 50 90 80 90 70 40 30 30 5 5 5 5 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.42 0.45 0.12 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.5 5.6 6.0 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 8.1 7.6 1.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 1.5 2.0 2.4
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 75 90 85 95 85 75 55 55 40 25 20 35 35 55 70
TEMPERATURE 17 17 16 17 17 17 18 20 19 17 15 14 10 9 17 20 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 20 9 20
WIND DIR SW S S S S S N N NW NW NW NW W SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 16 18 18 16 16 8 13 16 16 14 10 6 9 10 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 40 90 70 90 80 30 30 30 5 5 10 10 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.39 0.36 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.7 5.5 4.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 8.2 6.0 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.4
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 80 95 90 90 75 55 50 50 20 20 20 35 40 55 80
TEMPERATURE 24 23 23 23 24 23 24 27 27 23 21 19 17 15 24 26 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 28 15 27
WIND DIR S S S S S S N N N NW NW NW NW NW S S S
WIND (MPH) 9 11 8 9 9 5 10 14 14 13 11 9 6 5 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 40 90 90 80 60 30 30 30 5 5 5 5 20 20 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.38 0.34 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.6 4.9 4.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 6.5 4.4 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.3
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK SC SC SC SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 75 90 90 90 80 75 50 55 40 35 25 35 35 50 75
TEMPERATURE 20 19 18 20 20 20 20 22 22 20 18 17 14 12 21 23 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 23 12 24
WIND DIR W S S S S S N NW NW NW NW NW W SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 4 9 12 14 13 11 11 14 16 14 13 9 8 6 9 11 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 30 80 90 80 50 40 20 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.22 0.25 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 2.8 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.6 4.5 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.4 2.0 2.4
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 85 85 100 85 80 85 85 85 70 60 70 60 55 55 60
TEMPERATURE 18 15 14 14 15 15 19 21 20 16 14 13 11 10 20 24 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 13 21 9 25
WIND DIR W S S S S SW W NW NW NW NW W W W S SW S
WIND (MPH) 13 11 13 11 18 10 9 11 12 11 8 5 5 8 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 5 50 100 30 40 80 80 80 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.21 0.15 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.5 3.3 0.5 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 85 85 100 85 75 85 85 85 65 60 65 55 50 50 60
TEMPERATURE 17 14 13 14 14 14 19 20 20 16 13 12 10 9 19 24 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 21 8 25
WIND DIR W SW S S S SW W W NW NW NW W W W S SW S
WIND (MPH) 12 10 14 11 17 8 10 12 13 12 9 8 6 8 9 10 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 40 5 50 100 30 40 80 80 80 40 40 30 30 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.27 0.14 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.0 3.0 0.4 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 80 85 95 85 85 75 70 70 70 65 70 55 40 50 65
TEMPERATURE 23 19 18 19 20 20 21 24 23 20 19 18 15 14 22 27 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 25 13 29
WIND DIR SW S S S S SW W W NW NW W W NW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 10 9 9 5 9 11 11 10 8 6 4 5 6 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 10 30 100 50 40 60 60 60 30 30 20 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.12 0.18 0.08 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.8 2.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.2 3.9 1.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 85 85 100 80 80 85 85 85 75 70 65 60 50 55 65
TEMPERATURE 19 17 16 17 18 18 19 21 21 18 16 15 13 12 21 24 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 22 11 25
WIND DIR W SW S S S W W NW NW NW NW W W SW SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 9 12 14 14 19 8 8 10 11 9 6 5 5 8 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 39
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 50 100 30 40 80 80 80 50 50 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.22 0.17 0.08 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 3.3 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.6 3.7 0.8 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.5
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 70 85 85 100 80 80 85 90 90 80 70 65 65 55 55 60
TEMPERATURE 19 17 16 17 17 17 19 21 21 17 15 14 12 12 20 25 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 22 11 25
WIND DIR W S S S S W W NW NW NW NW W W SW SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 9 14 16 16 18 6 6 10 10 8 5 4 4 9 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 50 100 30 40 80 80 80 50 50 50 50 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.26 0.13 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.6 3.8 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.4 3.0 0.7 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.5
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 02/19/26 FRIDAY 02/20/26
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK BK SC SC SC BK OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 85 85 95 85 80 60 65 75 65 60 50 50 45 50 70
TEMPERATURE 19 18 16 17 18 18 18 19 20 20 19 16 14 16 23 25 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 20 14 26
WIND DIR W SW S S S SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 14 16 16 16 6 9 13 16 13 11 6 6 9 10 11 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 10 10 50 90 40 30 20 40 40 10 10 5 5 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.21 0.15 0.12 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.1 3.7 1.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 1.4 2.2 2.7
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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