194
FWUS46 KMFR 151021
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST SAT NOV 15 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 25 65 65 75 80 85 95 85 90 95 95 95 90 85
TEMPERATURE 37 37 45 47 44 42 41 39 36 35 32 32 30 31 32 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 32 36 30
WIND DIR SE SE SE E E E SE SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 9 9 14 16 17 10 3 8 11 16 16 16 17 20 28 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 46
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 50 50 80 80 90 90 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.56 0.22 0.47 0.35
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1 1.5 3.3 2.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 3.6 6.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.2 8.2 7.4 6.8 6.7 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.0 5.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 30 60 60 70 75 85 90 85 90 95 95 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 32 32 46 49 43 39 39 37 34 33 34 34 31 30 31 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 32 35 29
WIND DIR E NE E E NE E SE S S S S S S S S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 8 3 6 13 18 14 9 8 10 12 12 12 12 16 21 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 40 40 40 40 80 80 90 90 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.48 0.20 0.46 0.32
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.6 1.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.7 8.8 9.2 9.5 9.9 9.8 9.2 8.1 7.4 6.7 6.6 6.9 6.7 6.4 6.0 5.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 30 65 65 75 80 85 95 90 90 95 95 95 90 85
TEMPERATURE 37 37 43 46 44 42 41 39 37 36 32 33 31 31 32 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 32 37 29
WIND DIR SE W E E E E SE SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
WIND (MPH) 13 9 10 16 14 13 8 4 9 11 16 16 16 17 20 28 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 46
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 50 50 80 80 90 90 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.55 0.22 0.45 0.34
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.3 2.8 2.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.2 8.1 7.4 6.7 6.6 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.0 5.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 25 60 65 75 75 85 90 85 90 95 95 95 90 85
TEMPERATURE 29 29 36 37 35 33 32 31 27 27 24 24 22 24 24 26 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 23 28 22
WIND DIR S S S E SE SE SE W SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 20 17 11 14 20 20 13 8 12 16 20 20 24 25 28 40 39
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 29 41 40 48 71 67
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 40 40 80 80 90 90 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.41 0.23 0.49 0.40
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.1 4.4 3.9
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 5.0 8.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.6 8.9 9.2 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.3 8.3 7.5 6.9 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.0 5.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 15 30 65 60 70 70 85 85 90 90 95 95 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 37 37 42 47 45 42 42 41 38 35 34 34 32 33 32 34 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 33 37 30
WIND DIR W NE E E E E SE S SW S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 10 6 10 10 11 11 8 11 20 19 19 18 17 14 25 23 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 50 50 90 90 90 90 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.18 0.10 0.23 0.21
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.4 9.8 9.8 9.5 8.2 7.4 6.6 6.5 6.9 6.7 6.4 6.1 5.7
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 5 20 35 60 65 65 85 90 95 90 90 95 95 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 42 42 49 53 51 48 48 45 43 42 40 39 37 38 38 39 38
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 42 37
WIND DIR W SE E NE NW SE SE S S S S S S S S S SE
WIND (MPH) 3 3 3 4 3 4 6 13 13 12 16 13 12 9 12 10 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 50 50 90 90 90 90 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.38 0.19 0.38 0.30
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.4 8.7 8.9 9.1 9.4 9.9 9.7 9.4 8.1 7.2 6.6 6.4 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.6
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 10 15 30 60 55 65 75 80 85 90 90 95 95 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 38 40 45 49 47 44 43 41 39 39 37 37 33 34 35 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 36 40 33
WIND DIR SE NE E NE NE E SE S S S S S S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 6 5 6 9 9 10 12 17 16 16 13 14 16 16 20 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 80 80 90 90 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.12 0.27 0.22
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.8 9.8 9.5 8.3 7.5 6.8 6.6 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.0 5.6
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 80 20 5 15 35 65 55 70 75 85 85 95 95 95 90 90
TEMPERATURE 37 35 43 47 46 39 39 39 37 36 38 38 36 35 34 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 35 40 32
WIND DIR NW W E SE E E E SE S W SW SW SW S S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 5 5 9 9 10 9 9 9 12 16 14 13 13 11 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 80 80 90 90 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.6 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.5 9.0 9.2 9.0 8.1 7.4 7.1 7.2 7.0 6.6 6.1 5.8
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV FW CL FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 15 5 15 35 65 65 70 80 85 85 95 95 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 35 34 42 46 45 38 38 37 35 34 38 37 35 34 33 32 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 33 39 31
WIND DIR NW NW E SE E E E E S W SW SW SW S S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 5 5 8 8 10 9 9 6 11 13 13 13 14 11 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 80 80 90 90 80 80 80
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.13 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.7 7.6 7.7 8.0 8.2 8.4 9.0 9.2 9.1 8.1 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.8
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 40 5 10 25 30 50 65 65 80 85 85 95 95 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 37 36 42 49 48 42 40 39 37 36 39 40 38 37 36 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 35 42 33
WIND DIR S SE E E E E E SE S S S SW S W S S W
WIND (MPH) 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 9 11 11 11 11 11 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 20 20 80 80 90 90 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.15
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.0 7.8 8.0 8.3 8.6 9.0 9.4 9.5 9.1 8.2 7.5 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.0 5.6
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV FW FW FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 25 10 15 35 50 45 70 75 90 90 95 95 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 38 37 43 47 46 42 41 41 39 37 38 37 35 35 34 35 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 37 40 32
WIND DIR W SE SE SE E E E SE SE SW SW SW SW S S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 9 4 4 8 8 9 8 8 8 10 12 11 13 14 12 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 29
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 20 20 80 80 100 100 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.3 8.7 8.9 9.1 8.9 8.2 7.5 7.1 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.1 5.7
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC FW FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 35 10 15 35 50 40 70 70 90 90 100 100 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 38 37 43 47 46 42 41 41 39 37 39 38 35 36 35 36 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 37 40 32
WIND DIR SW S SE SE E E E SE SE SW SW SW W SW S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 5 4 6 8 9 8 9 8 11 12 11 13 14 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 80 80 100 100 90 90 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.0 8.1 8.3 8.2 8.5 8.7 9.0 8.8 8.2 7.4 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.6 6.1 5.7
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 40 5 10 25 35 55 55 65 75 80 80 95 95 90 85 80
TEMPERATURE 40 39 44 47 46 43 43 43 40 38 38 37 35 36 35 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 37 40 33
WIND DIR N E E E NE NE E SE S S S S S S S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 6 3 9 11 11 11 10 11 10 8 9 12 14 13 16 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 20 20 70 70 90 90 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.18 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.4 8.7 9.1 9.5 9.5 8.9 8.2 7.7 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.3 5.8 5.5
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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