126
FWUS46 KMFR 151101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 2025
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 5 10 5 25 25 15 30 50 75 75 60 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 52 54 59 63 64 59 56 55 54 54 54 55 54 51 52 53 53
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 52 57 51
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW SW SW W SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 5 4 5 6 9 11 11 13 14 12 9 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 12.1 12.4 12.7 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL CL FW CL SC SC FW FW SC OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 5 5 5 25 25 15 25 45 75 75 60 60 55 45
TEMPERATURE 46 51 63 67 68 59 51 49 48 51 58 59 56 49 48 48 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 47 61 47
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW N N N N SW SW W NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 4 4 5 9 9 5 4 6 9 8 10 10 9 6 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 12.1 12.3 12.6 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 5 5 5 5 25 25 15 25 50 70 70 60 60 55 50
TEMPERATURE 52 54 58 62 64 58 55 55 54 53 53 55 53 50 51 53 53
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 52 57 50
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW SW SW W SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 4 5 5 6 3 5 6 9 11 11 13 14 12 9 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 12.0 12.4 12.7 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL FW FW FW FW SC SC FW SC BK OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 10 15 15 10 25 25 20 30 50 75 75 60 60 55 50
TEMPERATURE 41 43 48 49 50 46 43 42 42 43 43 43 43 41 40 41 42
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 41 44 40
WIND DIR W W W SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 10 10 8 8 9 10 13 16 16 18 20 19 16 17 17 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.16 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.3 11.7 12.1 12.5 12.8 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.7 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW CL FW FW SC FW SC SC OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 5 5 5 5 15 25 30 25 30 45 70 70 60 60 55 55
TEMPERATURE 51 54 61 66 66 61 55 54 52 54 56 58 55 53 52 53 53
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 52 59 52
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW N NW N SW SW SW W SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 8 4 3 3 9 10 8 6 9 9 11 11 10 8 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 11.6 11.9 12.4 12.7 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.5 12.7 12.2 12.1 12.0 11.8
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW CL FW FW FW FW SC OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 10 10 5 25 25 15 20 45 70 75 60 60 50 45
TEMPERATURE 57 60 68 75 76 70 61 59 58 60 65 67 65 60 57 58 59
MAX/MIN TEMP 77 57 69 57
WIND DIR NW N N N N NW NW NW NW N E N N NW NW NW NE
WIND (MPH) 8 9 9 10 13 13 10 6 5 4 3 4 6 4 4 2 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.09 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.2 11.8 12.1 12.3 12.8 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.7 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER CL CL CL FW FW FW SC SC SC SC BK OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 0 0 0 10 10 25 30 25 25 30 55 80 85 70 60 55 55
TEMPERATURE 53 58 62 67 68 61 56 54 53 58 57 58 57 53 54 55 55
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 53 61 53
WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW N N N N W SW NW NW N SE SE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 8 10 12 12 8 6 9 8 9 10 9 6 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 30 30 40 40 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.11 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.4 11.8 12.1 12.4 12.8 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.3 12.5 12.8 12.7 12.2 12.0 11.9 11.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC SC BK SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 10 15 40 50 60 50 70 75 80 85 85 75 55 45 35 30
TEMPERATURE 48 49 57 60 61 58 54 53 51 50 49 52 53 52 51 50 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 49 54 47
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 6 8 9 10 10 8 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 30 30 50 50 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.5 12.2 12.4 12.7 12.9 12.6 12.2 11.9 11.4 10.8 10.8 10.9 10.9
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 15 10 25 30 55 50 65 70 75 85 85 75 50 45 35 30
TEMPERATURE 47 49 57 60 61 58 52 52 50 48 49 52 53 52 50 49 47
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 48 54 47
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 6 8 8 10 10 8 6 6 8 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 30 30 50 50 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.12 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 12.2 12.2 12.6 12.4 12.2 12.2 12.5 12.9 12.5 12.2 12.1 11.6 11.0 11.0 11.0 11.0
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 5 5 20 50 55 65 70 70 80 90 70 55 50 50 55
TEMPERATURE 47 48 61 66 67 62 56 53 51 50 53 58 58 56 54 52 50
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 50 60 48
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 3 4 9 10 11 8 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 5 2 2 1
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 40 40 30 30 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.6 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.6 12.3 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.3
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 25 40 40 60 55 65 85 85 80 85 75 55 55 45 35
TEMPERATURE 48 50 56 59 60 56 53 52 52 50 50 52 52 50 50 50 49
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 50 53 48
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W W W W W W NW NW NW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 5 5 20 20 70 70 50 50 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.11 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.3 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.5 12.6 12.8 12.4 12.2 11.9 11.4 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.8
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 25 35 55 45 60 55 65 90 90 85 85 75 55 55 40 30
TEMPERATURE 47 50 57 59 60 56 53 53 52 50 50 52 52 51 50 50 48
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 50 52 47
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW W SW
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 8 6 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 0 0 5 5 20 20 70 70 50 50 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.8 12.4 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.3 12.6 12.7 12.9 12.4 12.1 11.7 11.1 10.5 10.4 10.5 10.6
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE FRIDAY 08/15/25 SATURDAY 08/16/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 5 15 10 35 50 40 40 40 65 80 85 75 55 60 55 50
TEMPERATURE 51 54 60 63 63 56 54 54 54 53 52 54 54 50 52 54 53
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 52 56 50
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 5 6 5 11 12 9 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 9 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 20 20 30 30 30 30 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.05 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 11.7 11.9 12.1 12.4 12.3 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.5 12.2 11.8 11.1 10.9 11.1 11.0
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page