986
FWUS46 KMFR 210936
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT WED OCT 21 2026
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 50 45 60 85 75 90 95 95 95 95 75 50 30 20 20
TEMPERATURE 46 46 51 53 51 45 45 45 44 42 41 41 41 38 37 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 44 31
WIND DIR E NE E E NE E SE NE N N NW NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 10 12 10 10 12 13 14 14 11 5 6 9 19 20 18 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 40 50 50 70 70 90 80 80 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.26 0.12 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.3 7.1 6.2 5.6
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 45 45 55 85 70 85 95 95 95 95 70 50 25 20 20
TEMPERATURE 40 40 53 55 51 41 40 39 38 38 41 42 40 35 32 30 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 56 36 44 27
WIND DIR NE NE NE E N SE S E NW W W W NW NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 3 3 10 13 8 9 4 4 9 16 14 13 13 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 40 40 40 70 70 90 80 70 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.26 0.11 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.5 8.3 7.0 6.2 5.6
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 50 45 60 85 80 90 95 95 95 95 75 50 30 20 20
TEMPERATURE 47 46 49 53 51 45 45 45 43 43 40 41 41 38 37 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 39 44 31
WIND DIR E NE E E NE E SE NE N N NW W NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 10 11 9 10 11 11 13 12 11 5 8 9 19 20 18 16 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 50 50 50 70 70 90 80 80 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.27 0.12 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.7 9.9 10.1 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.3 7.1 6.2 5.6
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 50 50 60 80 80 90 95 95 95 95 70 50 25 25 25
TEMPERATURE 37 37 42 43 41 35 35 35 34 35 33 33 33 30 28 27 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 33 35 24
WIND DIR E E E E NE NE NE NE E E N NW N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 12 13 13 10 12 16 21 18 18 10 6 12 28 31 28 21 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 27 51 54 50 42 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 40 40 40 70 70 90 80 80 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.24 0.13 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.7 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.6 8.3 7.0 6.2 5.6
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 50 40 60 80 90 95 95 90 95 95 85 50 30 25 25
TEMPERATURE 45 44 49 54 52 47 45 45 42 42 40 42 41 39 36 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 54 40 44 29
WIND DIR N N E SE N S SW NW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 6 4 5 6 10 9 11 6 10 10 17 17 19 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 40 50 80 70 80 80 70 10 10 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.19 0.13 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.9 10.2 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.6 8.3 6.4 6.1 5.4
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 55 60 55 75 85 90 100 95 95 90 75 50 30 20 20
TEMPERATURE 51 51 57 61 58 50 49 48 48 48 45 47 47 44 42 39 37
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 45 49 35
WIND DIR W SE SE E N SW S S S S S NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 3 4 4 5 5 8 4 3 10 6 4 5 5 8 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 30 40 70 60 90 70 70 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.23 0.08 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.7 10.0 9.9 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.0 8.6 8.7 8.4 6.5 6.4 5.8
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 45 55 55 70 75 85 95 95 95 90 80 45 20 20 25
TEMPERATURE 46 47 53 56 55 48 46 46 45 47 42 45 44 41 38 36 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 41 47 32
WIND DIR N NE E NE NE S SW E NW NW NW W N NW N N N
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 4 6 5 8 8 8 8 3 8 16 14 13 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 30 30 30 70 70 90 70 60 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.23 0.07 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.4 9.5 9.7 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.2 6.3 6.3 5.7
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW SC SC BK SC OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 45 25 25 45 30 55 50 90 90 95 90 90 65 50 45 25
TEMPERATURE 40 39 54 58 56 46 43 42 40 39 45 46 44 36 33 30 27
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 39 46 25
WIND DIR E E E SE SW N NE NE SE NW NW W W W NW W W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 6 5 4 9 9 6 5 9 8 13 13 14 18 17 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 20 60 70 40 20 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.6 7.9 6.7 6.2 5.5 3.5
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 50 20 20 40 40 65 50 90 90 95 95 95 65 50 40 25
TEMPERATURE 38 37 53 57 55 45 42 41 39 38 45 46 43 36 32 30 26
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 38 46 24
WIND DIR NE NE E SE S N N NE W W NW NW W W NW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 5 4 9 8 5 5 10 9 13 14 14 18 18 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 20 60 70 50 30 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.8 9.1 9.4 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.6 8.0 6.8 6.2 5.4 3.5
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 40 20 30 30 40 70 80 95 90 95 90 80 60 40 55 45
TEMPERATURE 41 39 54 61 60 50 45 43 41 39 43 46 45 39 35 34 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 39 47 29
WIND DIR E E E NE NE E E E W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 8 6 4 4 5 6 3 8 8 6 9 9 11 12 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 20 70 80 50 40 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.1 8.6 8.0 6.5 6.0 5.9 5.2
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 45 25 25 40 30 45 50 95 90 95 90 85 65 60 50 35
TEMPERATURE 43 42 53 58 56 48 46 45 43 42 43 44 41 37 35 34 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 41 45 28
WIND DIR E E SE SE NW NE NE E SE NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 6 6 2 4 8 8 5 8 6 11 13 14 14 16 21
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 10 50 50 20 10 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.8 9.1 9.5 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.0 8.4 7.7 6.5 6.1 5.5 4.3
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 50 30 25 45 25 30 40 95 90 95 90 90 70 70 45 30
TEMPERATURE 43 42 53 58 56 48 46 45 44 42 44 44 42 37 35 34 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 58 42 45 27
WIND DIR E E SE SE W NE NE E SE NW NW W W W NW W NW
WIND (MPH) 9 9 6 5 2 4 6 8 4 6 6 12 12 13 14 16 23
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 10 50 50 20 10 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.7 9.0 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.4 7.6 6.6 6.2 5.4 3.8
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/21/26 THURSDAY 10/22/26
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW SC BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 40 20 25 40 55 40 60 95 95 90 80 90 45 30 45 25
TEMPERATURE 49 47 53 57 55 49 48 48 46 45 43 44 42 38 37 37 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 43 47 32
WIND DIR SE E SE SE N N NW N E N N NW N NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 10 8 6 4 5 8 8 6 10 8 12 14 16 17 19 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 10 5 5 20 50 70 20 10 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.1 8.8 8.2 7.7 5.8 6.3 6.1 5.3
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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