397  
FWUS46 KMFR 032136  
AVGMFR  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR  
236 PM PDT SUN MAY 3 2026  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK BK SC BK SC BK SC SC SC FW CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 40 45 55 60 30 55 50 55 50 40 30 25 5 15 15  
TEMPERATURE 49 42 41 41 40 41 46 46 45 42 42 41 40 42 50 54 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 48 38 55  
WIND DIR SE NE NE NE NE NE NE NW NW N N N N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 12 10 12 13 10 14 16 11 14 21 24 18 14 13 16 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 10 20 10 10 10 30 30 30 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.10 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.8 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK BK SC BK SC BK BK SC SC SC CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 40 45 60 70 35 55 50 60 50 40 30 25 5 15 15  
TEMPERATURE 50 40 39 38 38 40 46 47 44 40 40 39 37 41 52 57 55  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 49 35 58  
WIND DIR S E N N E SW W W S NW NW N N N N N NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 9 10 6 11 11 10 13 16 17 13 11 10 12 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 40 50 55 55 30 55 50 55 50 40 30 25 5 15 20  
TEMPERATURE 48 43 41 41 40 41 44 45 43 42 41 40 40 42 49 53 53  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 47 37 55  
WIND DIR SE N NE NE NE E E NW W N N N N N NE N N  
WIND (MPH) 13 11 12 14 11 16 17 11 14 23 24 18 14 13 16 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 10 20 10 10 10 40 30 30 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.10 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.7 9.9 10.1 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC SC SC SC BK BK BK SC SC SC FW CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 45 50 45 50 30 55 55 60 50 40 30 25 5 15 20  
TEMPERATURE 38 34 32 31 30 33 36 36 36 33 33 31 30 32 40 44 43  
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 38 29 44  
WIND DIR E NE E E NE NE NE N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N  
WIND (MPH) 18 13 18 19 16 20 21 19 26 34 33 27 24 23 24 18 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 41 31 40 37 37 37 43 40 50 62 58 47 43 40 41 37 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.12 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.5 1.9 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.3 8.8 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV SC SC BK BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC FW CL FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 40 45 55 60 30 60 55 55 50 40 30 25 5 15 25  
TEMPERATURE 52 45 43 41 40 42 48 49 48 45 43 42 41 43 51 56 55  
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 51 40 57  
WIND DIR S SW NW N NW NW NE N NW NW NW NW N N N N N  
WIND (MPH) 6 11 8 10 10 11 11 12 11 18 18 13 14 11 12 10 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 10 10 20 10 10 40 30 30 5 5 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.4 10.0 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.4 8.8 8.2 8.8 9.2 9.6  
 
   
..CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC SC BK OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 60 45 45 60 75 55 55 55 60 55 55 40 35 10 5 10  
TEMPERATURE 58 49 49 46 45 47 51 53 51 47 46 47 45 49 58 64 64  
MIN/MAX TEMP 44 55 44 66  
WIND DIR N SW NW SW S S E E S N N NW NW N N N NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 8 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 4 5 10 9 8 8 6 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 20 20 20 10 10 30 30 30 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.05 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.6 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.5 9.1 8.3 8.7 9.3 9.7  
 
   
..MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK SC BK OV SC SC BK BK SC SC SC SC FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 55 45 55 70 45 50 55 60 50 40 30 30 10 10 10  
TEMPERATURE 53 46 45 42 40 45 47 50 48 45 44 43 41 45 51 57 58  
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 51 40 58  
WIND DIR SE SW NW NW NW N N N E NW NW NW N N N N NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 9 9 8 12 13 11 12 16 18 12 12 11 12 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 20 10 10 10 10 5 20 20 20 5 5 0 0 5 5 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.4 9.0 8.3 8.7 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC FW SC FW FW BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 35 20 30 10 10 50 35 30 25 25 25 15 10 30 25  
TEMPERATURE 59 50 47 44 43 47 57 57 55 48 44 41 40 45 56 58 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 42 59 39 60  
WIND DIR N N NE NE NE NE N NW NW N N N N NE NE N NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 11 16 12 13 12 10 12 14 12 12 11 12 11 9 10 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 5 5 0 10 30 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.4 9.0 8.9 10.1 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.0 9.0 8.0 9.1 9.2 9.6  
 
   
..GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC FW SC FW FW BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 35 25 30 10 10 50 35 30 30 25 25 15 10 30 30  
TEMPERATURE 58 50 46 43 41 46 56 58 55 48 43 41 40 44 56 58 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 58 38 60  
WIND DIR SE N NE NE NE NE NE NW NW N N N N NE NE N NW  
WIND (MPH) 6 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 16 13 13 12 12 11 10 9 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 5 5 0 10 30 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 10.0 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.1 8.8 9.8 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 9.2 9.6  
 
   
..BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK SC SC SC FW BK SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 55 40 50 30 25 50 40 40 45 50 45 35 10 30 10  
TEMPERATURE 62 54 49 45 44 46 55 57 56 51 46 44 42 44 56 61 61  
MIN/MAX TEMP 43 59 41 63  
WIND DIR E NW NW N N N NW W NW NW NW N N N N NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 4 8 6 6 5 13 16 13 9 9 8 6 6 9 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 10 5 5 0 10 30 20 20 0 0 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.9 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.6 10.0 10.1 9.8 9.2 8.9 8.0 9.0 9.2 9.7  
 
   
..MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 35 30 35 15 15 45 40 35 30 40 40 25 10 25 20  
TEMPERATURE 58 52 49 46 45 48 54 54 53 49 45 44 43 45 54 57 56  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 55 42 59  
WIND DIR N N N NE N NE N NW NW NW NW N NE NE NE NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 12 12 13 9 8 10 10 12 13 12 12 12 11 10 9 10 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 5 0 0 10 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.4 8.8 9.0 9.6 10.0 9.9 9.7 9.1 9.0 8.0 9.0 9.2 9.5  
 
   
..MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 70 25 25 30 10 10 40 35 35 25 40 35 15 10 20 20  
TEMPERATURE 58 52 49 46 45 49 56 56 55 49 45 44 42 45 56 58 57  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 57 42 60  
WIND DIR NW N NE NE NE NE N NW NW N N N NE NE NE N NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 13 13 8 8 9 11 12 13 12 11 11 11 10 8 11 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 10 5 0 0 10 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.1 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.4 8.6 8.9 9.6 10.0 9.8 9.6 9.0 9.0 8.1 9.0 9.2 9.4  
 
   
..MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/04/26 TUESDAY 05/05/26  
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17  
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW CL FW  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 70 45 60 50 35 30 35 40 45 40 40 35 10 5 5  
TEMPERATURE 55 49 47 46 45 46 48 49 49 47 45 44 43 45 51 55 56  
MIN/MAX TEMP 45 49 42 56  
WIND DIR N W NW N NW N N NW N NW NW N N NE N NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 10 11 13 10 11 11 11 19 19 12 10 10 8 11 11 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 10 5 5 5 5 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 5 5 0  
PRECIP TYPE R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.0 8.0 8.8 9.1 9.5  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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