152
FXUS65 KREV 070933
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
133 AM PST SAT FEB 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* MILD AND DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEKEND.
* COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SIERRA SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY-
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
* INCREASING CHANCES FOR AN IMPACTFUL SIERRA WINTER STORM OVER
VALENTINE'S DAY WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
YESTERDAY WE SAW A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND THE AREA, BUT THAT
SMALL DISTURBANCE HAS SINCE MOVED ON. SO IF THE MILD AND DRY
CONDITIONS OF LATE APPEAL TO YOU, THIS WEEKEND IS GOING TO
DELIVER. HOWEVER, A PATTERN CHANGE IS ON ITS WAY TO SHAKE THINGS
UP AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES TRAVERSE THROUGH AN INCOMING TROUGH.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE SIERRA RIDGES ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH RIDGE GUSTS APPROACHING 55 MPH. THIS INTRODUCES A
COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE
6000 FEET FOR EARLY WEEK. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND IN
NORTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS BELOW 6000
FEET. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL BE GREATEST ALONG THE OREGON
BORDER AND THE NORTHERN SIERRA (85-95%) WITH LITTLE SPILLOVER
EXPECTED UNTIL MONDAY-TUESDAY. TUESDAY GIVES THE BEST CHANCES
(50-60%) TO SEE SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS AS THE FRONT
ADVANCES. WHILE THIS PERTURBATION LOOKS TO LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY,
OUR PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, WITH SNOW
TOTALS ABOVE 6000 FEET ONLY AROUND 0.5-1.5 INCHES. SOME AREAS WILL
HANG ONTO LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH THURSDAY, BUT THE BIG SYSTEM TO
WATCH WILL BE TAKING AIM AT THE VALENTINE WEEKEND AHEAD.
DETAILS FOR THE VALENTINE WEEKEND SYSTEM ARE STILL FUZZY, BUT
OVERALL THE SYSTEM DOES APPEAR COLDER AND MORE MOISTURE-RICH THAN
RECENT STORMS. AREA PASSES SUCH AS DONNER AND FREDONYER ARE
CURRENTLY SITTING AT A 25-30% CHANCE TO ACQUIRE 2 FEET OF FRESH
SNOWFALL OVER THE WEEKEND. IF YOU HAVE PLANS THAT WILL HAVE YOU
TRAVELING OVER THAT WEEKEND, KEEP AN EYE ON THE FORECAST AS WE
IRON OUT THE DETAILS OF THIS POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL STORM. HRICH
AVIATION
* KTRK HAS DEVELOPED FZFG THIS MORNING, BUT SHOULD CLEAR OUT
AROUND 17-18Z. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION. LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR INVERSIONS TO BUILD INTO
VALLEYS, BRINGING SLANTWISE VISIBILITY IMPACTS DUE TO HAZY
SKIES. HRICH
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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