134
FXUS65 KREV 240953
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
253 AM PDT FRI JUL 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS WILL RESULT IN RECREATION IMPACTS AND
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
* SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN MONO AND MINERAL COUNTIES.
* SEASONABLY HOT WEATHER PREVAILS THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH PERIODS
OF MODERATE HEATRISK ACROSS LOWER ELEVATION VALLEYS.
DISCUSSION
A HOT AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE TODAY AS
EASTERN PACIFIC TROUGHING CONTINUES TO DIRECT DRY, SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW INTO THE REGION. HOWEVER, WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SLIGHTLY
STRONGER THAN USUAL IN RESPONSE TO LOW PRESSURE PASSING TO THE WEST,
ENCOURAGING W/SW GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH FROM FAR NE CALIFORNIA INTO NW
NEVADA. THESE INCREASED BREEZES WILL MAKE FOR ROUGHER WATERS AND
MORE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON LAKES IN THESE AREAS -- EAGLE
LAKE, HONEY LAKE, FRENCHMAN LAKE, PYRAMID LAKE TO NAME A FEW -- AS
WELL AS ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON
(MORE DETAILS BELOW). FARTHER SOUTHEAST, RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL
SUPPORT A LOW 15-30% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONO
COUNTY INTO THE W NV BASIN & RANGE. ELSEWHERE, DRY WEATHER PREVAILS
WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S IN THE SIERRA, AND UPPER 90S
INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN LOWER ELEVATION VALLEYS.
MINIMAL CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN VERY SIMILAR
CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND, INCLUDING RENEWED RECREATION AND FIRE
IMPACTS AS GUSTY WINDS RETURN EACH AFTERNOON. SIMILAR SHOWER AND
STORM CHANCES REMAIN CONFINED TO MONO COUNTY AND PARTS OF THE W NV
BASIN & RANGE THIS WEEKEND, THEN DRY WEATHER IS FAVORED DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE TEMPERATURES MODERATE A BIT, THIS
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S/90S SO BE SURE TO STAY HYDRATED AND LIMIT TIME
IN THE HEAT.
-SALAS
AVIATION
INCREASING W/SW GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS MAY POSE MINOR LLWS IMPACTS THIS
AFTERNOON, AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO A 10-20%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AT KMMH AND KHTH THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL INTO THE
WEEKEND.
-SALAS
FIRE WEATHER
A 3 TO 6 HOUR (UP TO 7 HOURS LOCALLY) OVERLAP OF W/SW GUSTS OF 25-35
MPH AND RH REDUCTIONS BELOW 15% REMAINS ON TRACK TO UNFOLD THIS
AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NE CALIFORNIA AND NW
NEVADA (INCLUDING THE BISCAR AND MACY FIRES) WHERE A RED FLAG
WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TODAY UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY. IT'S
WORTH NOTING THAT STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH LIGHT, TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS OVERNIGHT. NIGHTTIME
RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO POOR IN THESE AREAS EACH NIGHT WITH
RH STRUGGLING TO EXCEED 30-40% IN W NEVADA.
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL WIND/RH IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN A
SIMILAR AREA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS ISSUED TO ADDRESS THIS
POTENTIAL FIRE THREAT.
-SALAS
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM PDT SATURDAY
NVZ458.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
NVZ420-458.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM PDT SATURDAY
NVZ420.
CA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM PDT SATURDAY
CAZ270-278.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
CAZ270-278.
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