041
FXUS65 KREV 031903
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1203 PM PDT FRI JUL 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARM AND DRY WEATHER WITH A MINOR TO MODERATE HEATRISK WILL
PREVAIL THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
* TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES MAY POSE MINOR IMPACTS TO FIRE AND
RECREATION INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE SIERRA EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
SEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE INDEPENDENCE DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP
OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS ON THE 4TH OF JULY EXPECTED TO REACH
THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S ACROSS W.NEVADA, THE HWY 395 CORRIDOR
EXTENDING INTO SUSANVILLE, AND THE CHALFANT VALLEY. E.SIERRA
COMMUNITIES WILL GENERALLY SEE MID-80S. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL
YIELD MINOR HEATRISK ACROSS SIERRA COMMUNITIES WITH MODERATE
HEATRISK ACROSS LOWER W.NEVADA VALLEYS OVER THE WEEKEND.
DAYTIME HEATING MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABLILTY TO SPROUT
AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILD-UPS ALONG THE E.SIERRA AND OVER PORTIONS
OF LASSEN COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE BUILD-UPS COULD
YIELD A 15% CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG WITH A 10% CHANCE OF AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON FROM N.MONO COUNTY AND INTO
THE TAHOE BASIN AND EXTENDING ACROSS LASSEN COUNTY. THESE LOW,
10-15% CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
THE ADDITION OF N.WASHOE COUNTY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TYPICAL AFTERNOON ZEPHYR BREEZES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH AFTERNOON WESTERLY GUSTS OF AROUND 20-25 MPH. HOWEVER, SUNDAY
AFTERNOON COULD SEE A BOOST TO THE WINDS WITH AREAS ROUGHLY
NORTHWARD OF SUSANVILLE-PYRAMID LAKE SEEING GUST POTENTIAL OF
AROUND 30-35 MPH. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF E.LASSEN, N.WASHOE, AND PERSHING
COUNTIES LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, WE ARE FAVORING A PATTERN OF SEASONABLE
HEAT WITH DRY CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUILD-UPS
WITH LOW (10-15% CHANCE) OF SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.
LONGER TERM OUTLOOKS FAVOR THE BUILDING OF A STRONG FOUR-CORNERS
RIDGE AROUND 7/10-7/16 WHICH COULD INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
HOTTER WEATHER WITH INCREASING HEAT RISKS. FUENTES
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES (20-25 KTS) PREVAIL
THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. CUMULUS BUILD-UPS ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE COMMON WITH ONLY A 10-15% CHANCE OF
MATURING INTO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT KTVL AND KMMH.
SALAS/FUENTES
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page