543
FXUS65 KREV 022046
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1246 PM PST MON FEB 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS, ABOVE AVERAGE
AFTERNOON HIGHS,LIGHT WINDS, AND VALLEY INVERSIONS THROUGH THIS
WEEK.
* THE HIGH PRESSURE MAY WEAKEN BY THIS WEEKEND WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES RETURNING BY THE SECOND WEEK OF FEBRUARY, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
DISCUSSION
NOT A WHOLE LOT GOING ON IN THE FORECAST IN THE NEXT 5-6 DAYS.
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVERHEAD THIS WEEK, KEEPING WESTERN NV AND
THE SIERRA DRY AND RELATIVELY WARM. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER
AROUND 60 FOR LOWER NV VALLEYS AND AROUND 50-55 FOR SIERRA VALLEYS
THIS WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS WEEK, WITH
AIR STAGNATION AND VALLEY INVERSIONS NOTICEABLE IN THE MORNINGS
AND AFTERNOONS.
SO WHEN WILL WE SEE OUR NEXT STORM? WELL, ENSEMBLES AND EVEN LONG
RANGE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POSSIBILITY OF OUR NEXT
(AND WEAK LOOKING) SYSTEM MOVING IN AS EARLY AS THE 6TH OR 7TH OF
FEBRUARY. THAT PROBABILITY IS PRETTY LOW RIGHT NOW DUE TO THE
DISCREPANCIES IN THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE COAST.
HOWEVER, WHERE CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER, IS A COUPLE DAYS LATER AROUND
THE 9TH OF FEBRUARY. MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT ABOUT A FAIRLY
MODERATE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOME TIME AROUND MONDAY THE 9TH,
IF NOT EARLIER ON SUNDAY THE 8TH. WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS STORM AS
IT GETS CLOSER, BUT JUST KNOW FOR NOW THAT THERE COULD BE ADDITIONAL
SNOW FOR THE SIERRA COMING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
-JUSTIN
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KTRK WHERE LOWER CIGS/VIS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO
PATCHY FZFG DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 09-16Z TONIGHT. HAZE WILL LINGER
AROUND KRNO AND POSSIBLY KTRK AND CXP AS WELL IN THE MORNINGS AND
EARLY AFTERNOONS.
-JUSTIN
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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