858
FXUS65 KREV 222027
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
127 PM PDT WED APR 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STORM EXITING TONIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES. LIGHT RAIN/SNOW OR
PELLET SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
* COLD MORNING THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXCEPT A FEW
SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS FRIDAY.
* SHOWERS BECOMING MORE LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH POTENTIAL
FOR WETTING RAINS AND MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL.
DISCUSSION
* STORM EXITING THE REGION WITH JUST RESIDUAL LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WEAK INSTABILITY COULD YIELD
PELLET SHOWERS - SEEING A SHORT ANVIL OR TWO OUT THE WINDOW
HERE. SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. SKIES WILL
CLEAR TONIGHT, LEADING TO WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES WITH
HARD FREEZES LIKELY (80% ODDS) IN RURAL VALLEYS OF W NEVADA.
WITH RECENT MOISTURE, AREAS OF FOG ARE LIKELY (70% ODDS) IN
NORMALLY PRONE VALLEYS LIKE NEAR TRUCKEE AND THE SIERRA VALLEY.
* TEMPS WARM BACK UP TO NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. A FEW SHOWERS COULD BUBBLE UP OVER THE SIERRA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOW-END INSTABILITY PRESENT UNDER WEAK
TROUGHING.
* SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY IS WHERE THINGS GET A LITTLE MORE INTERESTING
WITH MORE APPRECIABLE TROUGHING DROPPING INTO THE REGION. GUIDANCE
SHOWS INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND T-STORMS/PELLET SHOWERS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HIGHEST CHANCES OVER THE
MOUNTAINS BUT IF WE END UP WITH ORGANIZED BANDS OF SHOWERS, THEN
WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE INTO W NEVADA. THIS COULD ALSO BE A SNEAKY
SNOWFALL FOR AREAS ABOVE 6,500-7,000' WHICH WOULD IMPACT TRAVEL
OVER SIERRA PASSES SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WHEN TEMPS ARE
COLDEST. TYPICALLY THIS TIME OF YEAR SNOWFALL IMPACTS ARE LIMITED
TO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS, UNLESS SNOWFALL RATES ARE PARTICULARLY
HIGH.
* COLD AND BREEZY DAY SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY GRADUALLY INCREASING
TEMPERATURES AS THE WEEK GOES ON NEXT WEEK. GUIDANCE INDICATES
CONTINUED RISK FOR DAILY RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AT LEAST INTO MONDAY
AND TUESDAY, AS THE TROUGH PATTERN OVER THE WEST NEVER TOTALLY
FADES AWAY. I'D SAY OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR NEXT WEEK IS
BELOW NORMAL WITH MULTIPLE WAVES/TROUGHS IN THE MODELS.
-CHRIS
AVIATION
* ISOLATED MVFR RAIN/SNOW OR PELLET SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY
EVENING, MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS NEAR MMH/TVL/TRK (30-40%
ODDS). A FEW IN THE VICINITY OF RNO/CXP/MEV TOO (10-20% ODDS).
GUSTY W/NW WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS WELL, WITH GUSTS 20-25
KNOTS POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS.
* CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT WITH WINDS SUBSIDING. FOG LIKELY THURSDAY
MORNING (70% ODDS) AT TRK AND NEARBY VALLEYS THAT HAD RECENT
RAIN/SNOWFALL.
* VFR CONDITIONS THURSDAY WITH GENERALLY LIGHT N/NE WINDS.
-CHRIS
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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