129
FXUS65 KREV 030850
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1250 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS, ABOVE AVERAGE
AFTERNOON HIGHS, LIGHT WINDS, AND VALLEY INVERSIONS THROUGH
THIS WEEK.
* THE HIGH PRESSURE MAY WEAKEN BY THIS WEEKEND WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES RETURNING BY THE SECOND WEEK OF FEBRUARY, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
DISCUSSION
WE'RE EXPECTING THE 3 C'S THIS WEEK: COOL, CALM, AND COLLECTED
CONDITIONS (4 C'S?). HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION,
CONTINUING THE TREND OF LIGHT WINDS, COOL/MILD AFTERNOON HIGHS,
VALLEY HAZE, AND DRY CONDITIONS. LOCALIZED AREAS OF FREEZING FOG
MAY ALSO DEVELOP FOR FOG-PRONE SIERRA VALLEYS EACH MORNING THIS
WEEK BEFORE DISPERSING BY LATE MORNING. FURTHERMORE, AIR QUALITY
REDUCTIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND AREAS OF PRESCRIBED BURNS
DUE TO STRONG INVERSIONS. CHECK FIRE.AIRNOW.GOV FOR LOCAL
READINGS.
IN OTHER NEWS, THIS METEOROLOGIST (AND ANOTHER, MORE INFAMOUS ONE)
MANAGED TO SEE HER SHADOW TODAY! MY WINTER AND SNOW LOVERS,
REJOICE! AND LOOKING AT LONG-RANGE GUIDANCE, THE MODELS LOOK TO
AGREE WITH THIS STATEMENT. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE TO GET SNOW ALONG
THE SIERRA IS LATE THIS WEEKEND (SUNDAY AT THE EARLIEST) AS A
SHORTWAVE DROPS DOWN THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER, WITH THIS
LOW-LEVEL FEATURE AND THE FACT THAT IT'S ABOUT A WEEK OUT, THERE'S
PLENTY OF TIME FOR THAT LOW TO WOBBLE IN ANY DIRECTION, LEAVING
CONFIDENCE LOW ON THE EXTENT OF IMPACTS. THE NBM DOES HINT AT SNOW
LEVELS BETWEEN 5.5-6.5 KFT THOUGH, SO WE MIGHT JUST BE IN LUCK!
-GIRALTE
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KTRK WHERE LOWER CIGS/VIS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO
PATCHY FZFG DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 09-16Z TONIGHT. SLANTWISE
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS POSSIBLE FOR KRNO/KCXP/KMEV DUE TO VALLEY
INVERSIONS AND HAZE IN THE MORNINGS EACH DAY THIS WEEK.
-GIRALTE
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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