793
FXUS65 KREV 140942
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
242 AM PDT WED OCT 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
* DRY WEATHER PREVAILS INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH MAINLY LIGHT WINDS
EXCEPT FOR SOME INCREASED EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES BY LATE WEEK.
* SHOWERS, INCREASED WINDS AND COLDER TEMPERATURES COULD RETURN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ROBUST RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC THROUGH
THIS WEEK. AS A RESULT, TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE TO A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. THIS SETUP WILL LEAD TO A
WARMUP FROM MID-LATE WEEK, WITH HIGHS PEAKING IN THE MID-UPPER 70S
FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR 70 FOR SIERRA COMMUNITIES FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, WITH
AFTERNOON GUSTS OF GENERALLY 10-15 MPH OVER WESTERN NEVADA VALLEYS
AND UP TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE SIERRA. THURSDAY, AN INCREASE IN WINDS
WILL ARRIVE DUE TO AN UPPER LOW THAT DEVELOPS NEAR SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. WINDS WILL MOSTLY BECOME EASTERLY FOR THURSDAY, WITH
GUSTS 15-20 MPH MIXING DOWN TO THE LOWER VALLEYS AND UP TO 40+ MPH
ACROSS SIERRA PEAKS. FOR FRIDAY, THE BULK OF THE WIND WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD, WITH THE LEESIDE VALLEYS ALONG THE SIERRA GUSTING UP TO 25
MPH WHILE THE SIERRA ONLY GUSTS TO 20 MPH. AS THE LOW GETS PICKED UP
IN THE WESTERLY FLOW BY SATURDAY, WINDS WILL AGAIN RETURN TO THE
TYPICAL AFTERNOON GUSTS AROUND 10-20 MPH. BY SUNDAY, ANOTHER INBOUND
TROUGH WILL BRING IN MORE INCREASING WINDS. GUSTY WINDS WILL STICK
AROUND INTO MONDAY, AS THE TROUGH DRAWS NEARER.
LATE MONDAY, SHOWER CHANCES START TO APPEAR ON THE MAP, WITH THE
NORTHERN SIERRA DOWN TO THE TAHOE BASIN CHECKING IN WITH 10-25%
CHANCES. BY TUESDAY MORNING, THE WET WEATHER CHANCES INCREASE,
BRINGING 25-45% CHANCES TO THE SIERRA, WHILE THE SIERRA FRONT
WILL SEE CHANCES 15-35%, HIGHER CHANCES OVER DOUGLAS, LYON AND
MINERAL COUNTIES. THOSE INCREASING CHANCES WILL ALSO INCLUDE SNOW
OVER THE SIERRA, WHICH FOR NOW IS BEING DEPICTED AS LIGHT AMOUNTS
RANGING FROM A DUSTING TO UP TO A COUPLE INCHES. WHILE YESTERDAY'S
GUIDANCE HAD GOOD AGREEMENT, THERE WAS A BIT MORE SPREAD IN
OUTCOMES WITH TODAY'S GUIDANCE. SO WE WILL HOLD OFF ON NAILING
DOWN THE SNOW TOTALS UNTIL WE GET MORE SOLID EVIDENCE AND LESS
DISCREPANCY. HRICH
AVIATION
* VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THIS WEEK. LIGHT WINDS
WILL PRODUCE AFTERNOON GUSTS 10-20 KTS TODAY. HRICH
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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