625
FXUS65 KREV 200708
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1208 AM PDT SAT JUN 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TODAY FOR NORTHEAST
CA AND NORTHWEST NV, WITH POSSIBLE FIRE, AVIATION, AND
RECREATIONAL IMPACTS.
* SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND
* ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES RETURN BY THE START OF NEXT WEEK,
WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES.
DISCUSSION
* AFTER AN ACTIVE FRIDAY WEATHER-WISE, TODAY WILL HAVE FAR LESS
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT 15-25%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST
CA EASTWARD THROUGH NORTHERN WASHOE INTO NORTHERN PERSHING
COUNTY. THE MAIN CULPRIT IS THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH STILL OVER
THE AREA THAT IS INTERACTING WITH DAYTIME HEATING. THE PRIMARY
CONCERNS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN, SMALL HAIL, WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH. PER SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS, THERE STILL EXISTS A
10% CHANCE FOR DRY STORMS WITH NEW LIGHTNING IGNITIONS OUTSIDE
OF THE MAIN STORM CORES.
* THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL EVENTUALLY EXIT THE REGION BY
SUNDAY. THIS WILL KEEP US WITH NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. AFTERNOON READING IN WESTERN
NV VALLEYS WILL END UP IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES,
WHILE THE SIERRA COMMUNITIES WILL BE IN THE MID-70S TO LOW 80S.
FOR REFERENCE, AVERAGE HIGHS FOR WESTERN NV ARE NEAR 90 DEGREE
AND NEAR 80 DEGREES IN THE SIERRA COMMUNITIES.
* BY MONDAY INTO NEXT WEEK, A LARGE SCALE HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO
SETUP AND BUILD OVER THE SOUTHWEST US. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE BACK ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS BY MONDAY
ALL THE WAY THROUGH INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL REINTRODUCE
WIDESPREAD MODERATE HEATRISK FOR WESTERN NV AND LOWER VALLEYS.
SO WHILE HOT TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE FOR NEXT WEEK, AT LEAST
IT'S NOT LOOKING LIKE AN INTENSIVE HEAT WAVE. BY FRIDAY ONWARD,
ENSEMBLES ARE SHOWING ANOTHER POSSIBLE RIDGE BREAKDOWN, WITH
INCREASING WINDS AND LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES. -MCKELLAR
AVIATION
* VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL WESTERN NV AND EASTERN SIERRA TERMINALS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
* ALSO, EXPECT TYPICAL WEST WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING WITH SUSTAINED 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS.
-MCKELLAR
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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