647  
FXUS65 KREV 080853  
AFDREV  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV  
153 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
* TEMPERATURES WARM UP THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY TO  
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.  
 
* WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
* A STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES BY THE END OF THE WEEK, BRINGING COOLER  
TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AREA REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS  
EVENING. THIS WILL KEEP THE WARM TREND GOING THROUGH TOMORROW  
AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH IS PUSHED EAST BY THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT  
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE PACNW. TEMPERATURES IN THE NEXT 2 DAYS  
WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WESTERN NV AND NE CA, WHILE SIERRA  
COMMUNITIES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WINDS INCREASE AS  
THE UPPER RIDGE IS SLOWLY PUSHED AWAY. GUSTS TODAY WILL BE IN THE  
20-30 MPH RANGE AND BY THURSDAY THEY WILL BE IN THE 20-35 MPH  
RANGE, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF US-50. SOME AREAS SOUTH OF US-50 MAY  
HAVE ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY  
DUE TO THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.  
 
THE LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY, AND WILL  
PUSH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.  
THE FIRST SHORTWAVE PASSES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BRINGING STRONGER  
WINDS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN AND SNOW CHANCES ABOVE 7 KFT IN  
THE SIERRA, AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE TIGHTENING OF THE  
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 MPH FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON IN THE VALLEYS, HIGHER GUSTS IN THE MOUNTAINS. CHANCES  
OF GUSTS GREATER THAN 35 MPH ARE IN THE 60-80%. IT WILL BE A KIND  
OF WET WEEKEND IF YOU ARE IN THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND NE CA WITH A  
40-60% CHANCE OF SEEING WETTING RAIN. OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE MOSTLY  
VERY LIGHT AND SPOTTY RAIN FOR WESTERN NV. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN  
TERMS OF THUNDERSTORMS AS CHANCES ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA  
ARE BELOW 10%. SNOW LEVELS DROP TO 7 KFT WITH THE COOLER AIR  
INTRUSION. SO, SOME LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW/FLURRIES ARE LIKELY THIS  
WEEKEND OVER THE SIERRA CREST AND PASSES. NOT EXPECTING  
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS, AS THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING ONE  
INCH OF SNOW IS 10-20%. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP CONSIDERABLY THIS  
WEEKEND TOO. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE 10-20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.  
BY SUNDAY MORNING, MANY PLACES ACROSS WESTERN NV VALLEYS MAY BE  
FLIRTING WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES.  
 
NEXT WEEK, WE REMAIN UNDER THE LONGWAVE TROUGH, BUT THE LAND OF  
UNCERTAINTY RETURNS AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE IS DEPICTED DIFFERENTLY  
WITH EVERY MODEL WITH RESPECT TO ITS TIMING AND POSITION. ANYWAY,  
THE CURRENT TREND THAT WE CAN PERCEIVE AT THE MOMENT IS COOLER  
TEMPERATURES WITH BREEZY AFTERNOONS, AND LOW TO MODERATE CHANCES  
OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW. HOW MUCH RAIN AND SNOW IS ALSO  
TBD, BUT THE CURRENT TREND HINTS AT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS, EXCEPT  
NEAR THE SIERRA CREST.  
 
-HC  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
 
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST, BUT  
INCREASE BETWEEN 20-03Z TO 10-15 KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS. KTRK  
REMAINS THE EXCEPTION BETWEEN 10Z-16Z DUE TO PATCHY FZFG.  
AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW, BUT PEAK ON FRIDAY.  
 
-HC  
 
 
   
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NV...NONE.  
CA...NONE.  
 
 
 
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