215
FXUS65 KREV 301916
AFDREV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1216 PM PDT TUE JUN 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* COOLER CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH THE WEEK, REACHING NEAR NORMAL TEMPS BY THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.
* TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS -- STAY FIRE
SAFE.
* THERE'S A 10% CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM TO
FORM FROM THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
* WE'RE STILL RUNNING ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD TROUGH THAT SETTLED OVER THE REGION, BUT A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK WILL CONTINUE. EXPECT HIGHS TODAY
IN THE LOW TO MID 80S IN WARMER VALLEYS, AND IN THE 70S FOR SIERRA
VALLEYS. BY THE 4TH OF JULY WEEKEND, THESE WILL CLIMB ABOUT 10
DEGREES, CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
* WINDS OVERALL WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN, WITH THE USUAL AFTERNOON
WESTERLY BREEZES GUSTING 20-25 MPH. WHILE NOT AN ENHANCED FIRE
RISK, THE VERY DRY BRUSH CAN EASILY IGNITE AND QUICKLY SPREAD
WITH THE WIND, SO CONTINUE TO BE CAUTIOUS AND NOT DO ANYTHING
THAT COULD CREATE A SPARK AS WE GO THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
IN ADDITION, IF YOU PLAN TO RECREATE ON AREA LAKES, BE PREPARED
FOR WINDS TO INCREASE EACH DAY BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM.
* OVERALL, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY, WITH DECREASING HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES. DESPITE THIS, THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY
THROUGH SURFACE HEATING FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND EVEN A STRAY
THUNDERSTORM TO FORM (A 10% CHANCE) FROM SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS WOULD BE ALONG THE SIERRA, MARCHING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN NEVADA SIERRA FRONT, INCLUDING THE
PINE NUT MOUNTAIN RANGE. -DAWN
AVIATION
NO MAJOR AVIATION CONCERNS WITH WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS AND SW
FL100 WINDS AROUND 15 KTS. TYPICAL WESTERLY AFTERNOON WINDS WILL
INCREASE BETWEEN 21-23Z AT TERMINAL SITES WITH GUSTS REACHING UP TO
20 KTS. THERE IS LESS THAN A 5% CHANCE FOR ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS TO
DEVELOP TODAY OR WEDNESDAY. -DAWN
REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
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