162
FXUS65 KVEF 042107
AFDVEF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
108 PM PST WED MAR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY, WITH A RELATIVE LULL ON FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD WIND
ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.
* CALMER CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND BEGINNING ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA LATER THIS
AFTERNOON IN BISHOP AND DYER AND CONTINUE TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT
REACHING THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN UPPER LOW
WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST AND WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION FURTHER EAST AS
WELL (ALTHOUGH A BRIEF SHOWERS CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN FAR EASTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY ON THURSDAY). THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE WIND AND NO
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WIND ADVISORIES THAT ARE IN EFFECT. THE
TREND HAS BEEN FURTHER EAST WHICH MAY LIMIT THE WINDS TO SOME EXTENT
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY (INYO AND WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES).
IN GENERAL, WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH
OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. AS THE FIRST WAVE PUSHES TO THE EAST ON
FRIDAY WINDS WILL BACK OFF MARGINALLY BUT THE SECOND WAVE WILL DIVE
SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA FRIDAY EVENING AND PARK OFF THE BAJA
COAST ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL AID IN PRODUCING A REINFORCING SHOT OF
WIND AND FOR SOME LOCATIONS, LIKE DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY A
LIKELY STRONGER SHOT OF WINDS ON SATURDAY. WE'LL BE MONITORING THIS
EVOLUTION AND THE POTENTIAL NEED FOR ADDITIONAL WIND PRODUCTS WITH
THE SECOND SYSTEM. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES
OR SO COOLER ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW THEIR
SEASONAL NORMALS.
THE LATEST ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLE TOOLS INDICATE THE CLOSED
LOW OVER THE BAJA WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST BUT IT'S IMPACTS WILL BE
DIMINISHED IN OUR AREA BY SUNDAY. SOME FORM OF RIDGING WILL BUILD
INTO THE DURING THE WEEK PROVIDING CALMER CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TREND WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGE 6 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION...FOR HARRY REID...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE
WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL PICK UP DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH 15 TO 20 KNOT WIND
GUSTS EXPECTED INTO THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT THE WINDS TO SHIFT
AROUND TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BETWEEN 08-10Z AS A FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE VALLEY. 25 TO 35 KNOT GUSTS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT
WITH A 50% CHANCE OF GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ON FRIDAY BUT WITH GUSTS IN THE 20-25 KTS RANGE.
FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...FOR THE 18Z FORECAST PACKAGE...SOUTHWESTERLY-TO-
WESTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT,
SOUTHERN NEVADA, NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA. MEANWHILE IN INYO COUNTY AND
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN, NORTHWESTERLY-TO-NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK
UP DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS A FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THIS
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS INTO SOUTHERN
NEVADA OVERNIGHT. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 KTS WILL BE COMMON ON THURSDAY.
FEW TO BKN MID-TO-HIGH CLOUDS AOA 10 KFT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE
REGION OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SKIES CLEARING BEHIND IT.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR IMPACTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
DISCUSSION...CZYZYK
AVIATION...CZYZYK
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