980
FXUS66 KHNX 150600
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1100 PM PDT THU MAY 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1. FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY EVENING FOR SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND WEST SIDE HILLS.
2. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR THE INDIAN WELLS VALLEY, MOJAVE DESERT, AND MOJAVE DESERT
SLOPES.
3. LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR KERN RIVER VALLEY, INCLUDING LAKE ISABELLA AND
KERNVILLE.
4. STRONG WINDS, INCREASING TEMPERATURES, AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE INCREASED FIRE RISK TOMORROW AND THIS
WEEKEND.
5. A SLIGHT COOLDOWN THIS WEEKEND BEFORE WARMER TEMPERATURES
RETURN NEXT WEEK.
6. PRACTICE SAFETY AROUND AREA LAKES, RIVERS, AND STREAMS, AS
WATERS ARE STILL RUNNING COLD.
DISCUSSION
A BRIEF WARMING TREND TOMORROW IS EXPECTED TO BE FOLLOWED UP BY
A COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND, DUE TO AN INCOMING TROUGH OF THE
THE CONUS. THIS WILL ALSO LEAD TO INCREASED WINDS ACROSS OUR
ENTIRE CWA, ESPECIALLY THE MOJAVE DESERT AND THE ADJACENT
SLOPES, AND AROUND LAKE ISABELLA BEGINNING 5PM TOMORROW
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS DURING THAT TIME PERIOD.
THIS TROUGH WILL ALSO CAUSE THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THE WEST SIDE HILLS TO FALL BELOW 20% FROM
FRIDAY INTO MONDAY, WITH ELEVATED WINDS OCCURRING AT THE SAME
TIME. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK FOR THOSE
REGIONS, AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WAS ISSUED AS A RESULT. THIS
WILL ALSO LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING BY TOMORROW.
THIS WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY EVENING. AND WHILE THE WINDS ON MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO
CALM DOWN COMPARED TO THE WEEKEND, THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP FURTHER MONDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM
UP THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH VALUES BELOW 15% FOR THE VALLEY AND
COASTAL RANGE FROM MONDAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY. FUELS IN THOSE
REGIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MUCH DRIER AS A RESULT OF THESE
CONDITIONS, FURTHER INCREASING THE FIRE RISK.
KEEP IN MIND THAT EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK, RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL
CONTINUE TO RUN COLD THROUGHOUT THE HEAT OF THE DAY, SO PRACTICE
WATER SAFETY WHEN USING SAID PLACES.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AT KMCE.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
CAZ337>339.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR CAZ579-580.
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY FOR
CAZ332.
EW
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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