479
FXUS66 KHNX 060924
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
124 AM PST THU NOV 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS AFTER TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
2. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE WARM UP ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
3. PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING THROUGH 18Z.
4. NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
THE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE CLOUDS YESTERDAY AND STRONG WINDS TO
THE SIERRA CREST AND MOJAVE SLOPES IS MOVING NORTH AND TO THE
EAST TODAY. IN ITS PLACE, A RIDGE IS BUILDING IN SLOWLY BUT
SURELY INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS CHANGE WILL HELP PROVIDE MORE
STABLE CONDITIONS WHICH WILL HELP FAVOR FOG FORMATION. A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS MORNING UNTIL 10 AM FOR
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY AS SHORT RANGE HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS HAD A 10 TO 40 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF 1/4 MILE
VISIBILITY OR LESS BETWEEN I-5 AND HIGHWAY 99 IN PORTIONS OF
MERCED, MADERA, AND FRESNO COUNTIES.
HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE
RIDGE IS ABLE TO STRENGTHEN. THERE IS A 10 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HIGHS OF AT LEAST 80 SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH A 80 TO 85
PERCENT CHANCE FOR 80 DEGREES IN BAKERSFIELD AND COALINGA.
THE RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN ON TUESDAY AND TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO
DROP. ENSEMBLES BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON THE TIMING OF THE NEXT BIG
TROUGH SLIDING IN WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. LATEST PROBABILITIES
HAVE A 20 TO 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF AT LEAST A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
THE VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY AND A 50 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TENTH
OF AN INCH OF RAIN NEXT THURSDAY.
AVIATION
AREAS OF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE VALLEY BETWEEN 18Z AND 03Z FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON THURSDAY NOVEMBER 6, 2025, NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN
FRESNO, KERN, KINGS, MADERA, AND TULARE COUNTIES, AND KERN
(GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA). BURNING DISCOURAGED IN MERCED
COUNTY, AND SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR CAZ338.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR CAZ301-302.
JPK
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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