982
FXUS66 KHNX 242333
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
333 PM PST WED DEC 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE SCATTERED CUMULUS DEVELOPING
INTO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WIND WILL
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT, THOUGH A SHORT LIVED TORNADO CAN'T BE
RULED OUT.
2. HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY AREAS IMPACTED BY DOWNED
TREES OR POWER OUTAGES, MODERATE CONFIDENCE. TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
3. 40% PROBABILITY OF WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH FROM MERCED TO
HANFORD, WILL ALSO TOPPLE TREES AND MOVE LOOSE OBJECTS.
4. HIGH CONFIDENCE OF HEAVY SNOW ABOVE 7000 FEET, WITH SNOW LOAD
IMPACTS ON ROOFS IN THE HIGH SIERRA. TRAVEL WILL BE IMPOSSIBLE WITH
60 MPH WINDS AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.
5. WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL FEATURE THUNDERSTORMS, WITH THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER FROM FRESNO COUNTY AND POINTS
NORTH.
AVIATION
MUCH OF TONIGHT WILL FEATURE DECREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS, BUT
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL AT ALL SITES MUCH OF TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL WAVES OF ENERGY ARRIVE CHRISTMAS MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
LEADING TO INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS THUNDERSTORMS.
AT THIS TIME, HAVE LEFT THUNDER OUT OF THE TAFS AS REFS LIGHTNING
PROBABILITIES ARE GENERALLY <20%, BUT THERE COULD BE A PERIOD IN THE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON WHERE THUNDER GETS ADDED. GLAMP GUIDANCE
FAVORS VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT KMCE, KMER, AND
KBFL, BUT SUGGESTS LIKELY MVFR CONDITIONS AT KFAT AND KVIS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON THURSDAY DECEMBER 25 2025, FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURING STATUS
IS: BURNING DISCOURAGED IN FRESNO, KERN, KINGS, MADERA, MERCED,
AND TULARE COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA) AND
SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR CAZ300>339.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM PST THURSDAY FOR CAZ333>339.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THURSDAY FOR CAZ300>304-308-309-
313-314-316>318-324-332.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST FRIDAY FOR CAZ323-326>331.
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