857
FXUS66 KHNX 152356 CCA
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
455 PM PDT WED APR 15 2026
UPDATE
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION.
KEY MESSAGES
1. A GRADUAL WARMING AND DRYING TREND EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH
NEAR SEASONAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.
2. ANOTHER LOW SYSTEM BRINGS STRONG WINDS THURSDAY WITHIN THE
MOJAVE DESERT SLOPES AND DESERT FLOOR.
3. AN ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE STARTS EXISTS BY THE END OF THIS
WEEK IN EASTERN KERN COUNTY DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND INCREASED
WINDS.
DISCUSSION
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO EXIT EASTWARD AND IN ITS PLACE,
A WEAK RIDGE WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, THURSDAY
WILL HAVE AN INSIDE SLIDER COOLING DOWN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
AND BRINGING WINDS TO THE MOJAVE DESERT SLOPES AND THE DESERT
FLOOR. AS SUCH, A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 11AM
THURSDAY TO 11AM FRIDAY. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DOESN'T SUGGEST ANY
PRECIPITATION, BUT DOES SUGGEST COOLER TEMPERATURES. THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA WILL BE AT A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF
EXCEEDING 68 DEGREES AND A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 75
DEGREES. THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE CWA WILL SEE 90 PERCENT CHANCE
OF EXCEEDING 70 DEGREES AND A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 78
DEGREES.
AFTER THURSDAY, ANOTHER RIDGE WILL TAKE HOLD OVER THE AREA. THIS
IS GOING TO BRING WARM TEMPERATURES TO THE CWA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. ON SUNDAY, THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE VALLEY HAS A 90
PERCENT CHANCE OF MEETING AND EXCEEDING 75 DEGREES AND A 10
PERCENT CHANCE TO MEET OR EXCEED 89 DEGREES. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE VALLEY HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE TO MEET OR EXCEED
80 DEGREES AND A 10 PERCENT CHANCE TO MEET OR EXCEED 90 DEGREES.
THIS WARM WON'T STICK AROUND FOREVER. BY MONDAY TEMPERATURES ARE
GOING TO FALL TO BELOW NORMAL ONCE AGAIN AS A CLOSED LOW MAKES
ITS WAY DOWN. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION AND A SMALL (5-10 PERCENT) CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. AS OF THE CURRENT ENSEMBLE RUN, NORTHERN SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE TO MEET OR EXCEED 0" OF
RAIN AND 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF MEETING OR EXCEEDING 0.4". THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE VALLEY ALSO HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE TO
MEET OR EXCEED 0" BUT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF 0.2". AS MONDAY
GROWS CLOSER, CONFIDENCE WITH THE IMPACTS OF THIS NEXT CLOSED
LOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING TO G35KT ACROSS MOJAVE DESERT AFTER 06Z
THURSDAY.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS LOW.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS LOW.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC/AVIATION...BB
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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