557  
FXUS66 KHNX 051736  
AFDHNX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA  
1036 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2025  
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
1. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE (5-15%) FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS  
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SIERRA NEVADA CREST, WITH CHANCES FALLING  
BELOW 5% TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND REMAINING AT THAT LEVEL THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND.  
 
2. THE COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH HIGHS  
ACROSS THE REGION APPROACHING NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF  
YEAR. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO DIP BELOW NORMAL OVER THE  
WEEKEND AND FURTHER STILL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE LAST, SMALL AMOUNT OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE THAT IS LINGERING  
ALONG THE SIERRA NEVADA CREST HAS A 5 TO 15% CHANCE FOR  
PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON, THOUGH THIS HAS THE  
STRONGER LIKELIHOOD OF MAINLY PRODUCING CUMULUS AND A FEW  
TOWERING CUMULUS CLOUDS, SIMILAR TO THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. AFTER  
TODAY, THE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FALL FURTHER DOWN TO LESS THAN  
5%, WHERE EVEN CUMULUS CLOUDS MAY STRUGGLE TO FORM OVER THE  
SIERRAS.  
 
CAUSING THAT DECREASE IN THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS AN INCOMING  
TROUGH FROM THE PACIFIC, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER THAN  
WHAT IS NORMALLY SEEN AT THIS TIME OF YEAR. IF THOSE CONDITIONS  
MATERIALIZE, THIS TROUGH WILL LEAD TO A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT  
COOLDOWN FOR THE REGION, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE VALLEY 5 TO  
10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BY MID NEXT WEEK. HIGHS TODAY ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, AND BECOMING  
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. LONG TERM MODELS ARE ALSO  
SIGNALING THAT THIS COOLDOWN WILL BE SOMEWHAT SHORT LIVED AS  
ZONAL FLOW MAY BEGIN TO TAKE OVER BY NEXT WEEKEND IN THE MIDDLE  
OF THE MONTH, WHICH WOULD LEAD TO THE RETURN OF NEAR NORMAL TO  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  
 
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
 
18Z UPDATE:  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR  
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE IS A 10-15 PERCENT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA FROM 19Z FRI UNTIL 06Z SAT.  
 
 
   
AIR QUALITY ISSUES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
   
CERTAINTY  
 
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.  
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.  
 
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT  
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION  
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.  
 
 
   
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...EW  
DSS/PIO........................CM  
 
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD  
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