851
FXUS66 KHNX 111729
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
929 AM PST SUN JAN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT AND MORNING IN
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY THIS WEEK.
2. EXPECT DRYING AND WARMING CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE WITH GUSTY
EASTERLY WINDS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AT TIMES EARLY THIS
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPED IN A FEW AREAS FROM VISALIA AND HANFORD TO
AROUND FRESNO THIS MORNING, BUT HAS BEEN MAINLY SHALLOW AND
INTERMITTENT. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ALSO RETURNED TO THE COLDEST
VALLEY LOCATIONS BUT FOR A SHORTER DURATION THAN THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR GOING FORWARD THIS
WEEK, ALTHOUGH THE CHANCE FOR MORE FREEZING TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING IS AROUND 20-25 PERCENT. CHANCES FOR
DENSE FOG (VISIBILITY AT 1/4 MILE OR LESS) ACROSS THE CENTRAL
VALLEY ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 40-50 PERCENT FOR TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY, BASED ON LATEST HREF (HIGH RESOLUTION ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE). FOG CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK, GIVEN
THE TIME OF YEAR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA THIS WEEK, ALTHOUGH FLOW ALOFT REMAINS EASTERLY OVER
OUR SOUTHERN PORTIONS. WINDS HAVE REMAINED FROM THE EAST WITH
GUSTS AROUND 30-35 MPH OVER THE MOUNTAIN PORTIONS OF KERN
COUNTY, SUCH AS NEAR THE GRAPEVINE AND THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS.
THE CHANCES FOR 40 MPH GUSTS IN THIS AREA DO LOWER TO AROUND 20
PERCENT FOR TODAY, BUT INCREASE BACK TO ABOUT 40 PERCENT MONDAY
NIGHT, PER LATEST HREF.
FURTHER WARMING OCCURS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK, AND
THE CHANCES FOR HIGHS IN THE 60'S ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
ARE CURRENTLY AT 75-85 PERCENT STARTING THURSDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL ALSO REMAIN COOL, BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH
THAT THIS DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
WEEKEND. THE CPC SHOWS HIGH PROBABILITIES FOR BELOW AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION (ABOUT 70-80 PERCENT AND ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES (AROUND 80 PERCENT) FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD.
NOTICEABLY LOWER CHANCES ARE SHOWN FOR THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK,
INCLUDING ABOUT 50 PERCENT FOR WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
AND 33-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, BUT
WITH A 40-50% CHANCE FOR IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS FOR THE SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEY THROUGH 20Z SUNDAY AND RETURNING 07Z-19Z MONDAY.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON SUNDAY JANUARY 11 2026, FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO, KERN, AND MADERA
COUNTIES. BURN DISCOURAGED IN KINGS, MERCED, AND TULARE
COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA) AND SEQUOIA
NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
BSO
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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