621
FXUS66 KLOX 222312
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
312 PM PST SUN FEB 22 2026
SYNOPSIS
22/159 PM.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARMING TO THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. BY TUESDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE 8 TO 12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ADDITIONAL WARMING THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL BRING HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE VALLEYS AND
SOME INTERIOR COASTAL AREAS INTO THE 80S.
SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)
22/157 PM.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE
TODAY TO BRING SUNNY SKIES WITH MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S
TO MID 70S ACROSS THE CSTS/VLY.
582 DAM HGTS AND 2 TO 4 MB OF OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING ANOTHER 3
TO 6 DEGREES OF WARMING TO THE AREA INTO MONDAY, DESPITE AN
INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. ALMOST ALL CST/VLY HIGH
TEMPS WILL BE IN THE 70S WITH A SMATTERING OF 80-82 DEGREE
READINGS IN THE WARMEST VLY LOCATIONS. THESE MAX TEMPS ARE MOSTLY
6 TO 12 DEGREES OVER NORMAL.
THE OFFSHORE FLOW WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY ON TUESDAY. LOW CLOUDS ARE
FORECAST TO PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL COAST A LITTLE DISTURBANCE MOVES
OVERHEAD. ASIDE FROM THE LOW CLOUDS SKIES WILL LIKELY REMAIN
PARTLY CLOUDY. WHILE THE WEAKER OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING SLIGHT
COOLING THE COASTS (MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL), THE
INTERIOR AND ESP THE ANTELOPE VLY WILL SEE ADDITIONAL WARMING.
ON TUESDAY NIGHT THERE IS JUST THE BAREST OF A CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF SLO COUNTY.
LONG TERM (THU-SUN)
22/157 PM.
THE AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER A RIDGE EMANATING FROM 589 DAM UPPER
HIGH ABOUT 600 MILES TO SOUTH FOR THE ENTIRE XTND PERIOD. THERE
WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A SFC GRADIENT PUSH IN EITHER DIRECTION E OR W
BUT THERE WILL BE A PRETTY STEADY OFFSHORE PUSH FROM THE N.
THE WEAK FLOW IN THE E/W DIRECTION WILL ALLOW FOR SOME MORNING LOW
CLOUDS EACH MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME CLOUDS PUSHING
THROUGH THE RIDGE BRING PARTLY-MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO THE AREA AT
TIME ESP NORTH OF PT CONCPETION.
THE OFFSHORE PUSH FROM THE NORTH MAY BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE
N/S PASSES, POTENTIALLY APPROACHING ADVISORY LEVELS ON WEDNESDAY.
TEMPS ARE WHAT EVERYONE WILL BE TALKING ABOUT. WEDNESDAY WILL HAVE
SIMILAR TEMPS COMPARED TO TUESDAY WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 70S AND
A FEW 80 OR 81 DEGREE READINGS ACROSS THE CSTS/VLYS. THE RIDGE
WILL STRENGTHEN SOME THU AND FRI AND THIS WILL LEAD TO 2 TO 3
DEGREES OF WARMING EACH DAY FOR ALMOST ALL THE AREA. FRIDAY'S
HIGHS WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES OVER NORMAL WITH CST/VLY HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S AT THE BEACHES, THE 70S AND LOWER 80S ACROSS THE
CSTS AND IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90 IN THE VLYS. SATURDAY WILL SEE
LITTLE CHANGE IN THESE VERY WARM VALUES.
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
FAVORED TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK (MARCH 2-8).
AVIATION
22/2311Z.
AT 2222Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 500 FT DEEP. THE TOP OF THE
INVERSION WAS AT 1200 FT WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 19 C.
OVERALL, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN 00Z TAF PACKAGE. VFR CONDITIONS TO
DOMINATE THE FORECAST PERIOD.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
ANY EAST WIND COMPONENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 7 KTS.
KBUR...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. NO WIND
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
MARINE
22/231 PM.
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. HIGHER
CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN SEAS. LESS CONFIDENCE IN WINDS.
FOR THE WATERS SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE CHANNEL ISLANDS
AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST, THERE IS A
MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCE OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVEL WINDS
EACH DAY THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT, HIGHEST FROM NEAR POINT
CONCEPTION SOUTH TO SAN NICOLAS ISLAND. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
INSIDE THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BIGHT, THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SCA LEVEL WINDS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.
LOCAL SCA LEVEL GUSTS MAY OCCUR FOR BRIEF PERIODS. OTHERWISE,
WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY MORNING. FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND ONWARD, THERE IS A
MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCE OF SCA LEVELS WINDS, HIGHEST ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE BIGHT.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
PST MONDAY FOR ZONES 673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...MUNROE/RORKE
AVIATION...BLACK
MARINE...GOMBERG/HALL
SYNOPSIS...30
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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