970
FXUS66 KMFR 292246
AFDMFR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
246 PM PST THU JAN 29 2026
DISCUSSION
RADAR HAS A FEW SHOWERS PASSING WEST OF THE
CASCADES, BUT A FEW ARE MAKING THEIR WAY EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE WILL BE LIGHT AND WILL FINISH PASSING LATER THIS EVENING.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S IN MOST SPOTS WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID-/UPPER 50S ALONG THE COAST. TONIGHT WILL BE A MILD NIGHT
WITH MORE 30S TO LOW 40S WEST AND 20S TO LOW 30S EAST. TOMORROW
BETWEEN 7 AM- 9 AM A FEW SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE COAST AND EAST
INTO WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING.
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WILL BE STATUS QUO WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS
TODAY AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.
THE NEXT CHANGE IS FORECAST TO COME IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND. A
TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST WILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE PNW SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL BE A FRONT LIKE THE RECENT ONES WHERE AREAS TO THE
NORTHWEST (COOS, WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES) SEE THE MOST
PRECIPITATION AND IT GETS DRIER HEADING FARTHER INLAND. THE 24-HOUR
PROB FOR 0.01" OF RAIN BETWEEN 10 PM SATURDAY AND 10 PM SUNDAY ARE
AS FOLLOWS: NORTH BEND 96%, ROSEBURG 87%, MEDFORD 54%, KLAMATH FALLS
29%. THE CURRENT ENSEMBLES FAVOR THIS TO FINISH IN SOUTHERN OREGON
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWARD. CURRENT
TOTALS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING ARE FORECAST TO BE
NEAR 0.25"-0.50" AT THE COAST AND LESS THAN A TENTH IN WEST SIDE
VALLEYS AND ALONG THE CASCADES. THE EAST SIDE WILL ONCE AGAIN MAINLY
JUST SEE CLOUD COVER FROM THIS FRONT. AFTER THIS ENDS EARLY MONDAY,
IT'S ALL RIDGING FOR THE REST OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK. THIS WILL
RESULT IN MORE DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS. -HERMANSEN
AVIATION...29/18 TAFS
VFR CEILINGS OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY. A VERY WEAK FRONT WILL BRING VIRGA AND
PERHAPS OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS TO COOS AND DOUGLAS COUNTIES
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
MARINE...UPDATED 200 PM PST THURSDAY, JANUARY 29, 2026
A SERIES
OF FRONTS WILL MAINTAIN UNSETTLED CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY. SOUTH
WINDS WILL REMAIN AT ADVISORY STRENGTH ALONG WITH A SERIES OF HIGH
AND STEEP WEST SWELLS. CONDITIONS SLIGHTLY IMPROVE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. ANOTHER FRONT COULD BRING STRONGER SOUTH WINDS AND STEEP
SEAS AGAIN LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, WITH STEEP SEAS PERSISTING ON
MONDAY.
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...CA...NONE.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST FRIDAY
FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
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