364
FXUS66 KSGX 252051
AFDSGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
151 PM PDT THU APR 25 2024
SYNOPSIS
GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS; PERIODS OF DRIZZLE OR LIGHT RAIN WEST OF THE
MOUNTAINS; AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. A DEEP
MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS THROUGHOUT
MUCH OF THE COASTAL BASIN THROUGH FRIDAY. THE MARINE LAYER WILL
BECOME SHALLOWER INTO THE WEEKEND. A GRADUAL WARMING IS EXPECTED
OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
VISIBLE SATELLITE AT 130 PM THIS AFTERNOON WAS SHOWING WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS THE COASTAL BASIN. CLEAR SKIES WERE PREVAILING
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. THE MARINE LAYER WILL REMAIN DEEP INTO
FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIGS SOUTH INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
THIS WILL KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE UNSETTLED, WITH PERIODS OF PASSING
SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN FLOW AHEAD OF THE CORE OF THE
SYSTEM. THE PASSING SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE AREAS OF
SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE AS THEY INTERACT WITH DEEP MARINE
LAYER MOISTURE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AS THE CORE OF THE
LOW DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, PERIODS
OF LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COAST AND VALLEY AREAS IN
SAN DIEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN SLOPES ARE THE MOST
LIKELY PLACES TO SEE A SHOWER. MOST AREAS WILL SEE 0.05 INCHES OF
RAIN OR LESS, BUT A FEW LOCATIONS MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO 0.15 INCHES
IF SHOWERS TRAIN ACROSS THAT PARTICULAR AREA. 0.10 TO 0.35 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAIN FOOTHILLS. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ABOVE 7000 FT FRIDAY EVENING.
PERIODS OF GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND
INTO THE DESERTS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. PEAK GUSTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE MOSTLY 50 TO 60 MPH ON THE DESERT
MOUNTAIN SLOPES. GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE DESERTS. LOCAL
GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE SAN GORGONIO PASS NEAR
WHITEWATER. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY SATURDAY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF
STRONGER WIND GUSTS ON FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE GREAT BASIN AND EAST INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. PEAK GUSTS OF
50 TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED ON THE DESERT MOUNTAIN SLOPES. GUSTS IN
THE DESERTS WILL PEAK AT 40 TO 50 MPH. THERE WILL ALSO BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS 70 TO 75 MPH IN WIND PRONE LOCATIONS LIKE
THROUGH THE SAN GORGONIO PASS.
WIDESPREAD BELOW AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AND
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY, HIGHS WILL WARM TO NEAR AVERAGE, WITH SOME
LOCATIONS STILL A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. FURTHER WARMING IS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, SOME UNCERTAINTY DEVELOPS IN THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN, WITH SOME ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS SHOWING TROUGHING WHILE OTHERS
MAINTAIN A WEAK RIDGE. THIS INTRODUCES UNCERTAINTY INTO THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR COOLER CONDITIONS TO
RETURN. THIS UNCERTAINTY ALSO IMPACTS THE DEPTH OF THE MARINE LAYER.
CURRENT FORECAST FOLLOWS NBM WITH A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING ON
THURSDAY WITH A SHALLOWER MARINE LAYER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK, SLOWLY
DEEPENING INTO THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
252000Z...COAST/VALLEYS/FOOTHILLS...BKN-OVC LOW CLOUDS BASED FROM
3500-4500 FEET MSL AND TOPS TO 6000 FEET WILL CONTINUE, ALONG WITH
SCATTERED -DZ OR -SHRA DROPPING CIGS TO 2500 FEET AND VIS TO 3-5SM
WITH HIGHER TERRAIN OBSCURED. CLOUD BASES BKN-OVC LOWERING DOWN TO
NEAR 2500-3500 FEET MSL ALONG WITH SOME OBSCURATION OF HIGHER
TERRAIN OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
MOUNTAIN RIDGES/DESERTS...AREAS OF WEST WINDS WITH SURFACE GUSTS 25-
55 KT TODAY AND TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL LLWS AND ROTORS NEAR LEE SLOPES
AND ADJACENT DESERTS, SUCH AS VCNTY KPSP, ALONG WITH MOD TO STG
UP/DOWNDRAFTS. AREAS OF REDUCED VIS 2-5SM IN BLDU IN DESERTS.
MARINE
STRONGER WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS WILL GENERATE HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY BEYOND 15 NM
OFFSHORE. A FEW GALES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT NEAR SAN CLEMENTE
ISLAND. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTAINS THE DETAILS. OTHERWISE, NO
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SKYWARN
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.
SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR APPLE AND LUCERNE
VALLEYS-COACHELLA VALLEY-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-SAN
DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SAN GORGONIO PASS NEAR BANNING.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAN MATEO POINT TO THE MEXICAN BORDER
AND OUT TO 30 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR
WATERS FROM SAN MATEO POINT TO THE MEXICAN BORDER EXTENDING
30 TO 60 NM OUT INCLUDING SAN CLEMENTE ISLAND.
PUBLIC...CO
AVIATION/MARINE...SMALL
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