044
FNUS75 KBOU 022213
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR OPHIR MOUNTAIN RX HAND PILES...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
313 PM MST MON FEB 2 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
OUR NEXT WEAK WINTER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
TUESDAY, WITH ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ANTICIPATED FOR THE BURN
LOCATION (~.5"). NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE DAY ON TUESDAY, GUSTING 20-25 MPH FROM 1100 ONWARD. SMOKE
DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY GOOD FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH
EARLY EVENING (1100-1600). TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID
30S AND RH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 40%, WITH EXCELLENT
RECOVERY VALUES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER WITH LIGHTER WINDS. WINDS WILL
ONCE AGAIN REMAIN OUT OF THE NW WITH GUSTS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
15-20 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO 20-25% IN THE
AFTERNOON, AND SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FAIR FROM LATE
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON (1100-1400).
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND
21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700,
THEN FAIR.
TIME (MST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........62 68 68 67 66 64 62 60
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............26 31 34 34 33 32 30 29
RH..............52 43 40 41 45 47 51 53
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 13 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.17 21 23 24 25 25 25 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 4.2 4.6 4.8 4.9 5.0 4.7 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 28 30 31 32 32 30 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 100 119 128 137 141 122 45
SMOKEDISPERSION.G VG VG VG VG VG VG F
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 14.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........61 63 65 67 68 70 70 69 69 60 56 43
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 10
TEMP............28 26 25 24 23 22 21 21 20 19 19 18
RH..............58 65 68 71 74 77 81 81 84 88 84 84
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 25 24 23 22 21 21 20 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 17 17 15 15 16 16 15 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 26 24 23 23 21 21 23 24 22 20 18
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 0800, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0700, THEN
AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5
MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 29 22 17 12 7 5 4 2 7 12 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............16 14 14 18 25 31 36 39 40 40 38 34
RH..............88 92 88 70 48 36 28 24 22 22 25 30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 2.8 2.2 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 14 15 15 16 16 14 12 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 15 14 21 31 41 43 47 49 34 22 13
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P F F F F P P P
FORECASTER...BONNER
REQUESTED BY...PRESTON BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601521.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PRESTON.BURNS@USDA.GOV
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