241  
FNUS75 KBOU 050636  
FWSBOU  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRIS PARK - UNIT LM...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO  
1236 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH HI-RES GUIDANCE CONTINUING TO  
SHOW THE BEST CHANCES WILL BEGIN AROUND 1500. ANY RAINFALL IS  
EXPECTED TO BE VERY LIGHT (UNDER 0.05"). FAIR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES  
ARE STILL EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT (~60%) THAT SHOULD ALLOW FOR  
SOME SLIGHT DRYING THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.  
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO  
65-70%. THURSDAY LOOKS TO HAVE TO LOWEST CHANCES FOR  
PRECIPITATION (~15%), THOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME SHOWERS IN THE AREA  
THAT BRING CLOUD COVER AND AN INCREASE IN RH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
EACH DAY SHOULD SEE RH VALUES IN THE 20-25% RANGE IN THE AFTERNOON  
(RAWS HAS BEEN SHOWING LOWEST RH VALUES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING  
BETWEEN 1PM-3PM THIS WEEK). EACH DAY SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED  
TO BE AT LEAST FAIR BY 1100 AND BECOME POOR BY 1600.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN  
WEST UNTIL 1100, THEN EAST UNTIL 1600, THEN  
EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 6800 FT AGL  
UNTIL 1200, THEN 10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN  
5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN LIGHT  
UNTIL 1300, THEN WEST 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1500,  
THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN  
EAST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN NORTHEAST  
AROUND 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300, THEN  
GOOD UNTIL 1400, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,  
THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........46 39 32 36 30 35 44 40 65 59 77 84  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............45 44 45 52 60 65 67 67 69 67 65 63  
RH..............52 53 52 44 31 25 23 24 23 25 29 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 5 5 5 6 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 10 10 10 13 15 15 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 5.2 7.4 8.7 11 11 8.9 8.5 5.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W NW NW W E W W SE E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 8 7 7 7 9 10 8 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 5 6 31 44 52 86 102 63 68 38  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P F F G VG G G P  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1900, THEN  
WEST 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0200, THEN AROUND 5 MPH  
UNTIL 0400, THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 91 80 69 61 54 46 44 41 39 37 35  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 54 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 44 43 42  
RH..............43 50 56 58 59 61 60 60 59 58 58 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 8 8 6 5 5 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 14 16 15 12 9 8 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 0800, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1000, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND  
6 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTH UNTIL 1200, THEN  
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN EAST  
AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN NORTHEAST AROUND  
5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 1100 FT AGL  
UNTIL 1000, THEN 3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN  
6500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200, THEN 9300 FT AGL UNTIL  
1600, THEN 6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 3900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 11 MPH UNTIL 0900. EAST AROUND 10 MPH  
AFTER 1700.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200, THEN  
GOOD UNTIL 1700, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 26 20 13 26 40 53 53 53 53 53 53  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............42 44 47 51 56 62 66 67 66 64 61 58  
RH..............59 57 56 50 41 32 27 27 29 33 37 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW S SE SE SE SE E NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 3.8 6.5 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.3 6.6 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW S S S S S SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 6 8 28 50 73 80 87 93 64 37  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P F G G G G G P  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 8 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BONNER  
REQUESTED BY...FUELS AFMO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622980.0/BOU  
.DELDT 10/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JARRED.GORDON@USDA.GOV  
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