948  
FNUS75 KBOU 261822  
FWSBOU  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DEVILS SLIDE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO  
1222 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND A COUPLE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRST FEW SHOWERS  
OF THE DAY HAVE DEVELOPED AROUND THE AREA, WITH THE STRONGEST  
CELLS BETWEEN CASTLE ROCK AND CENTENNIAL. A COUPLE SHOWERS ARE  
DEVELOPING IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE, WITH ADDITIONAL  
DEVELOPMENT ALSO NOTED ACROSS MOST OF PARK COUNTY. WHILE THE  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING (30%) AND WETTING RAINFALL (10%) REMAIN LOW,  
IT'S FAIRLY LIKELY THAT VARIABLE/GUSTY WINDS WILL BE AN ISSUE MOST  
OF THE AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE OF DIRECT IMPACTS  
(LIGHTNING/RAIN) WILL BE BETWEEN NOW AND 5PM, WITH CHANCES  
SLOWLY DECREASING IN THE EVENING. OUTSIDE OF OUTFLOW WINDS, WINDS  
SHOULD PREDOMINANTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST.  
 
WITH POLHEMUS RAWS ALREADY AT 80F AND 23% RH, IT'S LIKELY WE'LL  
SEE A BIT MORE WARMING/DRYING OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  
TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD PEAK IN THE LOW 80S, WITH RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY FALLING INTO ABOUT THE 16-21% RANGE.  
 
TOMORROW WILL BE WARMER AND DRIER, WITH LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT IN  
EFFECT FOR THE ZONE DUE TO REPORTED FUEL CONDITIONS, OUR FORECAST  
DOES CALL FOR SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL HUMIDITY (FALLING TO  
AROUND 10-14%) AND SOUTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1700, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................9 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...32 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN  
SOUTH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL UNTIL 1400, THEN 7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500, THEN GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 55 55 58 57 59  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 30 30 30 20  
TEMP............80 82 81 81 79 78  
RH..............23 20 21 23 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 16 14 16 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...12 11 8.2 7.6 7.5 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 17 15 14 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..127 135 123 99 90 90  
SMOKEDISPERSION.VG VG VG G G G  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1900. SOUTHWEST  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH AFTER 2000. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
UNTIL 2100.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER  
2100.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN 14 TO  
19 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000, THEN  
POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 47 52 59 58 62 57 45 48 46 41 39  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 75 71 67 66 64 63 62 61 61 61 60  
RH..............26 30 35 41 44 46 47 47 49 49 50 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 15 18 18 18 18 18 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 4.6 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 14 15 15 17 17 17 17 18 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..63 46 12 8 8 10 11 13 12 12 11 11  
SMOKEDISPERSION.G F P P P P P P P P P P  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 0800, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN  
19 TO 27 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11800 FT AGL  
AFTER 1100.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN 31 TO  
36 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800, THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900, THEN  
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000, THEN EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 26 6 5 10 10 14 13 14 15 11 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 59 64 69 75 78 82 82 83 84 86 84  
RH..............50 54 44 35 26 21 17 16 14 13 12 12  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 16 18 22 24 24 24 24 24 24 24  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 24 25 30 35 37 37 37 37 37 37 37  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 3.3 5.1 7.3 9.1 10 11 12 12 12 12  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 23 24 31 33 35 36 36 35 33 33  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 14 65 108 197 265 310 341 368 364 346 343  
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P G VG E E E E E E E E  
 

 
FORECASTER...HIRIS  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES PILSMAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616263.0/BOU  
.DELDT 06/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.PILSMAKER@USDA.GOV  
 
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