364
FNUS75 KBOU 141003
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN MOUNTAIN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
403 AM MDT SUN JUN 14 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE WILL BE LIMITED TO NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES
AFTER TODAY. THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF PRECIP AT
THE BURN SITE TODAY, WITH NOTHING ELSE EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST
SATURDAY. IT WILL BE HOT AND DRY FROM MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE AREA,
THOUGH LITTLE TO NO RAIN IS EXPECTED IF THAT HAPPENS. INSTABILITY
WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE TOO. QPF STILL LOOKS PRETTY LIGHT,
WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR BOTH DAYS
COMBINED. OBVIOUSLY THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME FOR THIS TO CHANGE
BETWEEN NOW AND THEN.
FOR WEDNESDAY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FAIRLY QUICKLY IN
THE MORNING AND WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. THE CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS GUSTS 20MPH
OR GREATER WILL BE POSSIBLE BY 0600-0700. CONFIDENCE IN JUST HOW
GUSTY THEY WILL BE WILL GROW AFTER TOMORROW WHEN THE HI-RES MODELS
COME INTO PLAY. CONDITIONS LOOK TO IMPROVE FOR THURSDAY AS MUCH
LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1500. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1200. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1500.
CWR.................6 PERCENT INCREASING TO 23 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...48 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN SOUTHEAST
5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN EAST AROUND 8 MPH
UNTIL 1300, THEN NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0800, THEN SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15
MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN NORTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH
UNTIL 1500, THEN NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 61 55 55 55 59 63 67 71 73 75
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 50 50 60 60 60
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50 50
TEMP............46 47 49 55 57 60 61 61 61 62 60
RH..............85 90 83 67 61 55 54 56 53 51 56
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S SE E NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 9 12 13 15 15 13 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.1 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.0 3.1 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW NE N N N NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 13 15 14 13 13 13 12 12 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 17 30 42 52 54 47 42 30 31 39
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P F F F F F P P P
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...31 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN
VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
2100 UNTIL 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL UNTIL 0200, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN NORTH 8
TO 9 MPH UNTIL 0100, THEN SOUTH UNTIL 0300,
THEN SOUTHWEST UNTIL 0500, THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........71 66 68 79 80 69 60 51 45 38 35 32
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 30 30 30 0 0 10 0 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 30 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 58 54 53 52 50 49 50 49 49 48 48
RH..............66 65 74 76 75 80 82 81 83 80 82 81
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE SE S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 9 9 7 6 2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N N N N N S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 10 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 26 20 14 13 11 6 6 4 4 3 3
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1100, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1300 UNTIL 1600, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN NORTHEAST
5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1600, THEN
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800, THEN 3400 FT AGL
UNTIL 1000, THEN 6300 FT AGL UNTIL 1300, THEN
9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1500, THEN 6200 FT AGL UNTIL
1600, THEN 8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN LIGHT
UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH UNTIL
1700, THEN AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,
THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN VERY GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 23 10 6 25 27 36 39 45 48 19 33
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 20 10 0 20 20 20 10 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 0 20 20 20 10 20
TEMP............49 50 53 57 63 65 67 69 70 70 71 69
RH..............80 80 77 69 56 50 45 40 38 36 35 36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 3 5 6 8 8 8 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 2 6 7 9 13 13 13 15 15 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.8 4.0 5.1 6.1 6.4 9.5 9.6 6.2 8.8 8.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 10 12 13 16 17 13 17 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 11 28 46 61 70 133 143 69 132 141
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P F G G VG VG G VG VG
OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY JUNE 21 THROUGH SATURDAY JUNE 27
FORECASTER...BONNER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES PILSMAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615310.4/BOU
.DELDT 06/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES.PILSMAKER@USDA.GOV
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