252
FNUS75 KBOU 101121
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK LAKE PARK RX...OTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
521 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MONDAY IS STILL SHAPING UP TO BE QUITE WARM AND DRY WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 80S AND MINIMUM HUMIDITIES AROUND 20%. WINDS
WILL LIKELY PICK UP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH 20 MPH GUSTS POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY DUE TO HIGHER WIND SPEEDS ALOFT MIXING DOWN TO
THE SURFACE. WHILE SOME QUESTIONS REMAIN REGARDING THE TIMING OF A
COLD FRONT, WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY MAJOR IMPACTS FROM THE FRONT OTHER
THAN BRIEF PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD BE FAIR
TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
UNCERTAINTY ENTERS THE PICTURE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY DUE
TO AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM AND THE ARRIVAL OF COOLER AIR.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BE COOLER ON WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. DUE TO THE COOLER AIRMASS IN PLACE AND INCREASING MOISTURE,
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WOULD BE HIGHER, IN THE 30-40% RANGE. THERE
WILL LIKELY AT LEAST BE A CHANCE FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
AREA. SMOKE DISPERSAL LOOKS TO BE POOR ON WEDNESDAY.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1000.
NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800, THEN 2700 FT AGL
UNTIL 1100, THEN 7500 FT AGL UNTIL 1500, THEN
8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0800. EAST AROUND 9
MPH AFTER 1700.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400, THEN
GOOD UNTIL 1700, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 5 5 4 4 5 5 7 10 12 11 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 55 57 61 65 71 75 78 80 80 80 79
RH..............61 59 53 46 38 30 25 22 21 21 21 21
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE E E E NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 13 13 14 16 18 20 20 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 3.2 4.9 6.5 7.3 8.2 9.0 6.8 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 6 8 19 29 46 59 74 90 61 36
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P F F G G G P
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................2 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1900, THEN
NORTH AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN WEST 6 TO 12 MPH
UNTIL 0200, THEN VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL UNTIL 2100, THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL
UNTIL 2400, THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 11 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTH 8
TO 13 MPH UNTIL 0500, THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........9 9 9 9 8 8 7 8 9 10 13 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............76 72 68 64 62 60 59 57 55 53 52 51
RH..............23 27 32 37 41 44 47 51 55 59 61 63
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N NW W W W W W NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 12 10 8 6 5 3 2 1 0
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 18 16 14 12 9 7 6 5 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 14 11 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 8 6
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P P P P
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN EAST 5 TO
13 MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH
UNTIL 1700, THEN NORTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700, THEN 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN NORTHEAST 8
TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN EAST 8 TO 12 MPH
UNTIL 1700, THEN NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1500, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 18 15 13 12 10 9 15 20 26 36 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............51 52 53 56 59 64 67 70 72 72 72 70
RH..............66 66 66 62 55 46 42 36 34 33 33 35
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE E E E E E E NE NE N
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 3 6 7 8 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 8 12 14 16 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 3.6 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE E E E E E NE NE N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 8 9 15 19 27 32 38 44 32 25
SMOKEDISPERSION.P P P P P P P P P F P P
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. VARIABLE
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...APONTE
REQUESTED BY...AARON JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623479.0/BOU
.DELDT 10/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL AJOHNSON@WESTMETROFIRE.ORG
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