023
FNUS75 KBOU 170314
FWSBOU
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAMILTON CREEK PILE RX...SUMMIT FIRE & EMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
814 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE
BURN SITE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS 3-7" BY THURSDAY MORNING.
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, WITH
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS (LESS THAN AN INCH) EXPECTED BY SUNRISE.
TOMORROW MORNING, SNOW WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES WILL RANGE BETWEEN LIGHT
(<0.5"/HR) AND MODERATE (0.5"-1"/HR), WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
MODERATE SNOWFALL TUESDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A SNOW
SQUALLS IN THE MORNING, WHICH COULD BRIEFLY PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATES
>1"/HR. WINDS WILL CONSISTENTLY BE FROM THE WEST, GUSTING UP TO
45 MPH AT TIMES, PARTICULARLY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SMOKE
DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL RANGE FROM VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT DUE
TO FAVORABLE MIXING HEIGHT AND STRONG WINDS.
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SNOWFALL RATES
WILL MOST BE LIGHT (<0.5"/HR), HOWEVER THERE IS ANOTHER POTENTIAL
FOR SNOW SQUALLS CREATING MODERATE SNOWFALL RATES OF UP TO 1"/HR,
PARTICULARLY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. EXPECT LIGHTER SOUTHWEST
WINDS ON WEDNESDAY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE. SMOKE
DISPERSAL CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN RANGE FROM VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT
AGAIN DUE TO FAVORABLE MIXING HEIGHTS AND WIND SPEEDS.
BY THURSDAY MORNING, EXPECT SNOW TO GRADUALLY END, WITH LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING. HOWEVER, ANOTHER
ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN AN INCH.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
UNTIL 0500, THEN SNOW.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 66 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100, THEN
GOOD.
TIME (MST) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........60 60 60 60 60 65 97
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 70
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 100
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............34 33 33 32 31 30 30
RH..............47 49 49 53 58 63 69
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SE SE SE SE S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.1 3.7 3.8 4.4 4.1 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 21 24 25 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..60 53 62 69 92 90 84
SMOKEDISPERSION.G F G G G G G
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW. PATCHY BLOWING
SNOW AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1700.
CWR.................66 PERCENT DECREASING TO 13 PERCENT LATE IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0700. WEST 12
TO 20 MPH AFTER 0800. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 8900 FT AGL UNTIL
1700, THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 30 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN 35 TO 44 MPH
UNTIL 1300, THEN 40 TO 50 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN
AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800,
THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700, THEN VERY GOOD.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 90
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 80
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP............27 27 25 25 27 27 27 30 27 28 28 24
RH..............78 71 74 71 60 57 55 49 53 50 50 57
20 FT WIND DIR..S W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14
20 FT WIND GUST.21 25 28 29 31 32 33 35 35 33 37 32
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 5.0 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.9 8.6 8.1 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 30 35 41 44 44 46 45 45 43 30
VRATE KT-FT/1K..84 105 168 218 291 332 332 347 348 335 299 129
SMOKEDISPERSION.G VG E E E E E E E E E VG
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 0500, THEN
SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................12 PERCENT INCREASING TO 26 PERCENT LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 11 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH UNTIL 0400, THEN EAST AROUND 6
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH UNTIL 0500,
THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 33 MPH UNTIL 0200, THEN SOUTHWEST 22
TO 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0200, THEN GOOD UNTIL 0300,
THEN VERY GOOD.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 91 90 92
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............21 20 21 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20
RH..............65 67 65 71 71 71 74 71 71 74 77 77
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW W W W W W SW SW SW E SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 10 9 6 8
20 FT WIND GUST.29 24 22 22 21 21 18 18 16 18 21 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 28 31 33 33 33 30 26 23 24 25 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..142 115 118 119 113 106 106 103 98 100 103 105
SMOKEDISPERSION.VG VG VG VG VG VG VG VG G VG VG VG
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 33 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900, THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL
1600, THEN VERY GOOD.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........92 92 92 92 92 98 98 98 98 98 98 89
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 80
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............20 20 21 23 26 29 30 30 30 29 28 27
RH..............77 77 74 68 63 55 51 51 51 53 55 57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 24 24 25 26 26 28 28 28 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.2 5.6 6.2 6.9 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 6.7 5.4 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 29 30 32 33 32 31 30 30 29 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..118 126 140 162 193 220 215 211 206 173 135 104
SMOKEDISPERSION.VG VG VG E E E E E E E VG VG
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 11 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS AROUND 30.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 3. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...IDEKER
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON MCBRIDE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602870.0/BOU
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BMCBRIDE@SUMMITFIRE.ORG
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