232
FNUS75 KGJT 230445
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNNY MEYERS...USDA, FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1045 PM MDT MON OCT 22 2018
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING PERIODIC
SHOWERS TO THE FIRE LOCATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE
CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WILL BE RELATIVELY LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A BIT COOLER WITH BETTER RH RECOVERY AS A RESULT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 0900
THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BY
1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900, THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET, THEN
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 7 MPH BY 2100. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-24000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100, THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200, THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...ERIC WHITE IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1817284.0/GJT
.DELDT 10/23/18
.EMAIL ECWHITE@FS.FED.US
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