232  
FNUS75 KGJT 230445  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNNY MEYERS...USDA, FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
1045 PM MDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING PERIODIC  
SHOWERS TO THE FIRE LOCATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE  
CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WILL BE RELATIVELY LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE A BIT COOLER WITH BETTER RH RECOVERY AS A RESULT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 0900  
THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BY  
1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900, THEN 2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET, THEN  
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 7 MPH BY 2100. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-24000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100, THEN 1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200, THEN 2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...NORV LARSON  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC WHITE IC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1817284.0/GJT  
.DELDT 10/23/18  
.EMAIL ECWHITE@FS.FED.US  
 
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