043  
FNUS75 KGJT 162249  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 441 FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
449 PM MDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 MDT ON JULY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE SITE, WITH  
HOT, DRY AND OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS UNTIL SUNSET. EXPECT HOT AND DRY  
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL ABOUT 9 PM THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL ABOUT 9 PM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (32000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
LAL.................2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 9 AM THEN BECOMING  
WEST 5-10 MPH. AFTER 1200 OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH  
UNTIL 9 PM THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR (34000 KNOT-FT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.  
WIND (20 FT)........AFTER 9 AM BECOMING WEST WINDS 8-15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO  
REQUESTED BY...IAN BARRETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1912287.1/GJT  
.DELDT 07/16/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL IPBARRETT@BLM.GOV  
 
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