028  
FNUS75 KGJT 202143  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DURANGO SE WILDFIRE...DURANGO DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
343 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON APRIL 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE AREA THIS  
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND VIRGA, WITH  
LITTLE OR NO RAIN REACHING THE GROUND UNTIL ABOUT 9 PM. ERRATIC  
GUSTY WINDS ARE VERY POSSIBLE NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR VIRGA WITH GUST TO  
40 MPH POSSIBLE. DRIER CONDITIONS WITH LESS WIND SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). WIDELY ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND VIRGA  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
ERRATIC GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS  
AND VIRGA.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND VIRGA  
UNTIL ABOUT 9 PM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH UNTIL ABOUT 9 PM WITH  
ERRATIC GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR SHOWERS AND  
VIRGA. AFTER 9 PM WINDS SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/  
DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 MPH BECOMING EAST 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (20-30%).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 10 AM THEN BECOMING  
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. AFTER NOON WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.  
LAL.................1.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO  
REQUESTED BY...LORENA WILLIAMS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 1906668.0/GJT  
.DELDT 04/20/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL LORENA_WILLIAMS@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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