764
FNUS75 KGJT 011218
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR HILL TOP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
618 AM MDT TUE JUL 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS, BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE
FIRE LOCATION. HOWEVER, CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN REMAIN LOW (10%), MEANING
THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WITH ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS THAT FORM. IN ADDITION, AS MOISTURE
INCREASES, TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES TOMORROW AND THURSDAY,
AND RH VALUES WILL INCREASE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3-5 MPH BECOMING
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 4-8 MPH BY 1100. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000-24000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR BY
1000, TO GOOD BY 1100, AND TO VERY GOOD BY 1400.
DECREASING TO GOOD AGAIN BY 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15700 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) AFTER 2400. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2100.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 4-8 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/
DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3-5 MPH BY 2400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (10000-24000 KNOT-FT)
BY 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL BY 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3-5 MPH BECOMING
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 4-8 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-32000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR BY
1200, AND TO GOOD BY 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11900 FT AGL BY 1500.
DECREASING TO 6700 FT AGL BY 1800.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...BRIANNA BEALO
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516759.4/GJT
.DELDT 07/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHANNON.MOORE@USDA.GOV,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV,ZACH.PIGATI@CRFR.US
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