610  
FNUS75 KGJT 152204  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUDSLIDE WATCH...SAN MIGUEL COUNTY SHERIFF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
404 PM MDT MON AUG 15 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON AUGUST 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WIDESPREAD MONSOONAL PRECIPITATION IS THE STORY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL  
DAYS. EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS  
THAT MOVE THROUGH, ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING,  
AND MAYBE SOME SMALL HAIL. STORM COVERAGE WILL DIMINISH DURING THE  
OVERNIGHT HOURS, BUT CANNOT RULE OUT SOME LINGERING OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY.  
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN KICK OFF OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN  
LATE TUESDAY MORNING, WITH THE SAME MAIN THREATS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56%.  
SURFACE WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. WINDS MAY BE  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2000, WITH DECREASING  
COVERAGE THROUGH 2400. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82%.  
SURFACE WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH. WINDS MAY  
BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BECOMING CLOUDY (80-90%)  
AFTER 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH 0900, INCREASING IN COVERAGE TO SCATTERED  
AFTER 0900. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.  
SURFACE WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH SWITCHING TO  
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY WINDS AFTER 0900. WINDS MAY BE  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRIANNA BEALO  
REQUESTED BY...DEPUTY WILKERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2216740.0/GJT  
.DELDT 08/15/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL COLBYW@SANMIGUELSHERIFF.ORG  
 
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