502
FNUS75 KPUB 251723
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 24 WF...FT CARSON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1123 AM MDT WED MAR 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 MDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING... (NOTE - THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY
BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON).
DISCUSSION
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY, A COMPLICATED WIND PATTERN IS OVER OR NEAR
THE BURN SITE. AS OF 1100 LOCAL, A CONVERGENCE LINE SEPERATING
WEST NORTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM
THE NORTH SIDE OF FORT CARSON SOUTHEAST TO JUST NORTH OF THE
PUEBLO AIRPORT. WEST OF THIS LINE, WINDS WERE GUSTY FROM THE
NORTHWEST, WHILE EAST OF THIS LINE WINDS WERE GENERALLY FROM A
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT.
BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE, THIS CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY IS FORECAST
TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE WEST AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES, BUT WILL
LIKELY NOT GET AS FAR WEST OF THE BURN SITE. LIKEWISE, WINDS AT
THE BURN SITE WILL LIKELY KEEP A WESTERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD. AMBIENT TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH
TO AROUND 90 AT THE FIRE SITE.
TO BE HONEST WITH YOU, I CANNOT RULE OUT THAT THIS BOUNDARY COULD
PUSH WEST OVER THE BURN SCAR, AND YOU MAY GET SOME SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH OVER THE BURN SITE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
PLEASE BE PREPARED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A COMPLICATED WIND
PATTERN OVER THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE POOR.
FOR TOMORROW, CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY AS A PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS AND
THIS WILL ALLOW WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO OCCUR OVER THE BURN
SITE, AND THEY WILL BE GUSTY MOST OF THE TIME. THESE WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. BY
LATE IN THE DAY, A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS
THE BURN AREA AND WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST
AND WILL LIKELY BE GUSTY FOR A FEW HOURS. BASED ON LATEST DATA,
THIS FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION DURING THE 1800-2000 (6 PM-8 PM)
TIME FRAME TOMORROW.
MUCH COOLER WEATHER ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL
BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.
PLEASE CALL IF YOU NEED ANY ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. HAZE AND PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10-14 MPH.
(PLEASE READ THE DISCUSSION ABOVE FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF SHIFTING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON)
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........18
WEATHER COV.....DEF
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ
TSTM COV........
TEMP............84
RH..............11
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14
20 FT WIND GUST.24
EYE LVL WND DIR.S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8
EYE LVL WND GST.14
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17
SDSPL KT-FT/1000141
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN
SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN WEST
AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTHEAST
AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND
8 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN NORTHWEST UNTIL 0100,
THEN WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........40 39 38 37 27 18 8 7 6 5 8 10
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............81 74 68 66 63 62 60 59 58 56 56 55
RH..............14 18 24 29 31 32 34 34 34 36 35 35
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 7 7 7 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 13 13 13 13 13 13 15 15 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S NE SE N NW NW W W NW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 9 8 8 8 8 9 14 16 17 17
SDSPL KT-FT/100068 9 6 5 5 5 5 5 8 10 11 10
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200, THEN EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 16 15 13 11 9 7 13 19 25 28 30
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 55 61 70 76 79 82 83 83 83 83 81
RH..............35 35 28 21 17 14 12 11 10 10 10 11
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 14 14 14 18 18 18 20 20 20
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 26 26 26 32 32 32 32 32 32
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 12 12 12
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 16 16 16 19 19 19 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 4.0 7.5 11 13 15 15 14 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 13 12 14 18 22 23 23 23 22 20
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 8 13 17 49 124 211 264 287 288 256 197
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...P. WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2607482.3/PUB
.DELDT 03/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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