163
FNUS75 KPUB 022011
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP HEAD FIRE...COLORADO IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
211 PM MDT THU JUL 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
FRIDAY NIGHT...
DISCUSSION
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN THE MAIN CONCERN AT THE FIRE SITE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS 30 TO 45 MPH AND
RH VALUES NEAR 5 PERCENT WILL PREVAIL INTO THIS EVENING. RH VALUES WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING TO NEAR 20 PERCENT, HOWEVER WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN
ELEVATED OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 TO 30 MPH THROUGH MORNING, ESPECIALLY
ALONG RIDGELINES. NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST
RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND VERY
LOW HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 5 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT IN THE
80S. NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY WEAKEN DURING THE
MORNING HOURS, INCREASING AGAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST, WITH GUSTS
NEAR 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS AND RH WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
EVENING HOURS, WITH RED FLAG WARNINGS GOING UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL
DECREASE BY MORNING.
A COLD FRONT ARRIVES SATURDAY BY MID TO LATE MORNING, SWINGING WINDS
NORTHERLY AND THEN EASTERLY BY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL
TO NEAR 10 TO 15 PERCENT, WITH WINDS REMAINING LIGHTER. THERE COULD
BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS
HAPPENING IS VERY LOW.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL
1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 UNTIL 0900, THEN SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH
WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 24 31 38 45 46 47 48 44 40
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 72 75 77 79 82 82 83 84 83
RH..............13 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 12 12 12 14 14 14 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.10 17 17 17 21 21 21 25 26 264
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND GST.6 10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 4.5 8.5 11 12 13 13 15 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 15 18 20 21 21 21 23 23 22
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 62 139 182 215 223 238 293 284 256
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-17 MPH, GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
2000, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 30 24 18 22 26 30 24 18 12 16 21
WEATHER COV..... PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............82 80 74 69 66 63 61 60 58 56 54 54
RH..............5 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 16 19 21
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 17 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 23 23 23 23 23 23 16 16 16
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.16 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 7.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 17 15 15 15 16 17 14 14 13 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/1000237 109 11 8 8 8 9 7 7 7 6 6
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTH AROUND 8 MPH
UNTIL 1200, THEN EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 11500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........25 30 35 40 41 42 43 43 42 42 45 47
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53 57 65 71 76 78 80 81 82 82 82 80
RH..............23 23 20 17 14 13 12 11 10 10 11 12
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W N N N E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 13 13 13 16 16 16 17 17 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W N N N E E E SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.5 4.0 6.5 9.0 12 13 14 14 12 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 12 9 10 13 14 15 15 16 16 17
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 7 23 32 59 101 141 163 173 198 171 154
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616654.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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