470
FNUS75 KPUB 031944
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
144 PM MDT MON AUG 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON,
MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. WHILE LITTLE TO NO WETTING RAINS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE AREA, OUTFLOW WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS BEFORE SHOWERS MOVE ON. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE
40S, WITH RH RECOVERY TO AROUND 70 PERCENT. WINDS WILL VARY BUT
SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH.
FOR TUESDAY, A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW-MID 70S, AND
AFTERNOON RH DOWN TO AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF
THE WEST AND BREEZY. GUSTS OVER THE LOWER TERRAIN WILL BE TO AROUND
20 MPH, AND UP TO 30 MPH OVER THE MOUNTAINS. AS OF NOW, THE ARE
AROUND THE FIRE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FREE OF PRECIPITATION
TOMORROW. HOWEVER, SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY OCCUR OVER THE TERRAIN
ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF LAKE COUNTY. WHILE UNLIKELY, CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT SOME OUTFLOW WINDS, OR A STRIKE OR TWO OF
LIGHTNING DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE SIMILAR, IF A FEW DEGREES WARMER. RH WILL BE LOWER
DURING THE DAY, CLOSER TO 10 PERCENT OR SO. CHANCES FOR ANY SHOWERS
IN THE IMMEDIATE AREA WILL BE CLOSE TO ZERO, WITH WINDS REMAINING
BREEZY AND OUT OF THE NORTHWEST.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 38 TO 52. HIGHS 62 TO 89. WEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 53. HIGHS 64 TO 91. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 54. HIGHS 64 TO 91.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 57.
HIGHS 64 TO 91.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 56.
HIGHS 63 TO 90.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200, THEN MOSTLY SUNNY(45
PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 9
MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN WEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
UNTIL 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN WEST
AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100, THEN
EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15 13 12 11 25 39 52 53 53 54 45 36
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............45 47 51 56 64 68 70 72 71 71 72 71
RH..............65 63 56 50 33 26 21 19 20 20 18 19
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 9 9 9 13 13 13 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 15 15 15 21 21 21 22 22 22
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 9 9 9 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 7.0 10 11 11 11 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 8 15 17 18 21 22 23 22 22
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 4 14 93 163 181 200 207 211 201 200
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN SOUTH
AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN VARIABLE AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000,
THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........27 26 13 13 9 23 21 15 10 7 13 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70 68 63 58 56 54 53 51 51 49 49 48
RH..............18 22 26 34 41 44 47 47 46 47 47 46
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 12 12 12 8 8 8 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 22 22 22 14 14 14 12 12 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W S S S SW SW SW W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.16 16 16 13 13 13 8 8 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 16 10 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 8
SDSPL KT-FT/1000191 86 7 7 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN AROUND 23
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000, THEN
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100, THEN EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 10 7 3 7 12 16 15 15 16 14 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............47 49 52 57 61 65 68 69 70 70 71 71
RH..............46 44 39 32 25 17 13 12 11 11 10 10
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 13 13 13 16 16 16 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 26 26 26 32 32 32 30 30 30
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 16 16 16 19 19 19 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.5 7.0 8.5 9.5 10 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 14 22 28 31 32 31 29 26 24 22
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 5 23 73 133 194 239 259 262 239 232 214
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO
REQUESTED BY...MARK HUFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618605.6/PUB
.DELDT 08/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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