465
FNUS75 KPUB 160219
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH CIMARRON FIRE...WALSH FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
819 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
HIGH FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY FOR TOMORROW AND SUNDAY AS SOUTHWEST
WINDS INCREASE. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER 90S, LEADING TO SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY VALUES BOTH
AFTERNOONS. HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FIRE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WITH THE MAIN RISK BEING GUSTY AND ERRATIC
OUTFLOW WINDS. CONDITIONS WORSEN ON SUNDAY, WITH STRONGER WINDS
AND LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. AT THIS TIME,
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
A COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH LATE SUNDAY, USHERING IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST HALF NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH OR LESS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN WEST
AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN NORTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........32 22 21 23 33 28 12 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70 68 65 63 60 57 56 55 54
RH..............38 41 45 50 55 62 64 64 66
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE W NW NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 13 14 15 14 12 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-97F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AT 7 MPH OR LESS UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHEAST
AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTHEAST 12-16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0800. SOUTH AROUND 19
MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 6 3 1 1 1 3 2 3 9 10 23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53 58 70 80 85 87 90 92 94 95 96 95
RH..............69 60 41 31 26 24 21 18 15 13 11 11
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 13 13 13 18 20 24 25 25 24
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 5.0 8.5 10 12 14 15 15
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E E SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 10 8 8 10 12 13 15 20 22
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 16 18 22 36 75 102 134 178 244 272
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-56F.
MAX HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........25 13 12 4 3 2 2 4 6 5 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............95 89 79 75 73 71 67 65 63 61 58 57
RH..............10 12 15 18 19 19 21 22 21 22 25 25
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 14 14 14 15 15 15 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 21 21 21 23 23 23 20 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11 11 11 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 13 13 13 14 14 14 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S SW S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 21 18 17 18 20 23 22 20 17 16 16
SDSPL KT-FT/1000284 36 10 8 9 10 12 10 10 8 8 8
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200,
THEN 26-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 43 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100, THEN
EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 59 70 81 88 90 91 92 93 94 95 95
RH..............27 27 22 16 13 11 10 8 7 6 6 5
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 16 16 16 26 26 26 30 30 30
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 26 26 26 38 38 38 43 43 43
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 10 10 10 16 16 16 18 18 18
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 16 16 16 23 23 23 26 26 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 5.5 9.0 13 14 14 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 13 15 18 24 29 32 36 37 37 36
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 7 11 30 86 192 308 380 429 437 454 439
FORECASTER...EHR
REQUESTED BY...RILEY FRAZEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613788.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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