109
FNUS75 KPUB 191541
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH TROUT CREEK RX P#4...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
941 AM MDT MON OCT 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1022 MDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE GENERALLY WEAK WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH BRIEF RAINFALL AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE WITH ANY SHOWER. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINS
PROGGED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, AS A PACIFIC
STORM SYSTEM DIGS ACROSS THE WEST COAST AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN
THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. AMPLE MOISTURE WITHIN THE INCREASING
FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS, AND A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS, TO AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS
AT AND ABOVE 12,000 FEET THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. THERE STILL
REMAIN DIFFERENCES ON THE LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM
AS IT LIFTS OUT ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND, THOUGH COOLER
AND CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER LOOKS TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
BURN SITE FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(52 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1300.
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37 38 38 50 62 74 74 74
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45 48 51 51 52 54 53 51
RH..............51 46 42 41 39 36 38 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 3.5 4.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.5 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 10 10 10 10 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 24 38 54 56 54 49 50
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN WEST
AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........74 68 61 55 47 39 31 34 37 39 42 44
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49 47 44 42 40 39 39 38 37 36 36 35
RH..............48 53 62 70 73 76 73 76 79 85 82 85
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 3 3 3 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SE SE S S S SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200, THEN FAIR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 42 42 42 41 41 40 40 39 39 36 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 36 37 42 46 50 52 54 56 57 57 56
RH..............85 89 89 76 63 54 48 43 38 35 35 37
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 3 3 8 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 4.5 6.5 7.0 7.0 6.0 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 2 5 15 30 43 71 78 75 58 51
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NACCARATO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623715.5/PUB
.DELDT 10/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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