456
FNUS75 KPUB 041446
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP HEAD FIRE...COLORADO IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
846 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON JULY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A PATTERN SHIFT LEADING TO LESS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
IS UNDERWAY, AS WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY,
BECOMING GENERALLY WEAK SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE STATE. LAST NIGHTS PASSING
WAVE BROUGHT IN AN INCREASE TO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITHIN EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE PLAINS, HOWEVER, THIS MOISTURE WILL MIX
OUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON LEADING TO LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS ACROSS THE
AREA AGAIN TODAY. HOWEVER, WEAKENING FLOW ALOFT AND THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING BACK ACROSS THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES, WILL KEEP
WINDS MORE EASTERLY IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
A SLOW INCREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND WEAK EASTERLY FLOW WILL
ALLOW FOR BETTER RH RECOVERY TONIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE WILL ALSO
BRING BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY,
WITH THESE STORMS LIKELY REMAINING HIGH BASED, BRINGING THE THREAT
OF DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(44 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL
0700, THEN PATCHY SMOKE AFTER 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12-16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13000 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH UNTIL 0700, THEN WEST
AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHWEST UNTIL
1300, THEN SOUTHWEST UNTIL 1600, THEN SOUTH
AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200, THEN
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 55 48 41 34 34 34 34 44 53
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64 68 73 77 80 82 83 84 82 81
RH..............41 35 26 21 17 15 14 13 15 16
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..16 8 8 8 12 12 12 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.23 12 12 12 17 17 17 20 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE E E E E E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.14 7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 3.0 5.0 8.0 11 13 14 13 14 13
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N NW NW W W SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 12 15 16 17 15 16
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 23 40 64 109 164 190 196 176 172
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(57 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9-14 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN
WEST 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN WEST
AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63 57 52 46 44 43 41 36 30 25 24 24
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............80 77 72 67 64 62 60 59 57 56 55 55
RH..............17 21 28 36 41 46 49 53 57 59 61 61
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 9 9 9 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 14 14 14 8 8 8 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.12 12 12 8 8 8 5 5 5 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE NW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 14 12 10 10 8 8 8 7 8 7
SDSPL KT-FT/100092 59 8 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400, THEN PARTLY SUNNY(56
PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1500, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10
MPH UNTIL 1500, THEN EAST AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 7000 FT AGL UNTIL
1200, THEN 11500 FT AGL UNTIL 1400, THEN 4500
FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN SOUTH AROUND
8 MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN NORTH AROUND 12 MPH
UNTIL 1400, THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 23 MPH UNTIL
1500, THEN AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200, THEN
VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500, THEN FAIR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 29 18 9 7 7 20 45 73 64 56 40
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC SCH
TEMP............53 57 63 70 76 79 81 82 81 81 83 80
RH..............64 57 46 36 28 26 22 22 21 21 19 22
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W E E E SE SE SE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 14 14 14 18 18 18 21 21 21
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W E E E SE SE SE E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 8 8 8 11 11 11 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.0 5.5 8.5 12 11 5.5 5.0 4.0 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SE SE S S S N SE SE SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 7 7 10 12 23 10 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 15 21 33 52 104 110 113 45 47 45
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616743.0/PUB
.DELDT 07/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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