145
FNUS75 KPUB 021935
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
135 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. RH
WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO 15 PERCENT WHILE WINDS REMAIN AROUND 10-15 MPH
OUR OF THE NORTHWEST, WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH THROUGH THE
END OF THE AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT, LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID-HIGH 40S,
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RH RECOVERY TO AROUND 45 PERCENT. MONDAY WILL
BE WARMER, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S. RH WILL BE BETWEEN 15-20
PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH BREEZY WINDS OUT OF THE WEST-
NORTHWEST AGAIN. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME SLIGHTLY ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS ON MONDAY WILL
BE FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. THERE IS A LOWER-END CHANCE (10-15%) FOR A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE WOULD LARGELY OCCUR
OVER THE MOUNTAINS IN EASTERN LAKE COUNTY, SO THE ONLY IMPACT
CONCERNS AT THIS TIME WOULD BE LIGHTNING, AND POSSIBLE SOME GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS. THIS RISK APPEARS TO MAINLY BE PREVALENT BETWEEN 3-6
PM, BUT EVEN THEN THE CHANCES ARE STILL QUITE LOW.
LOOKING INTO TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, WE'RE EXPECTING A SLIGHT UPTICK IN
MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION, THOUGH MOST CONVECTION WILL BE FOCUSED
EAST OF THE FIRE. TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL SEE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS OVER THE NEARBY TERRAIN, WITH THE MAIN CONCERN BEING
OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING, THOUGH BRIEF PERIODS OF RAINFALL CAN'T
BE RULED OUT ENTIRELY. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AND OUT OF
THE IMMEDIATE AREA ON WEDNESDAY, WITH DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS
LOOKING TO DOMINATE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THIS WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM, WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE TO WIND GUSTS
EACH AFTERNOON WHILE RH APPROACHED SINGLE DIGITS IN SOME AREAS. SOME
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW
HOURS EACH DAY.
DAYS 3-5 FORECAST IS LISTED BELOW THE GRIDDED FORECAST INFORMATION.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(29 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 15 16 17 23 30 36 39 42 45 40 34
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............51 53 59 65 71 73 75 77 75 75 75 75
RH..............41 41 35 30 23 21 18 17 18 18 18 18
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 9 9 9 13 13 13 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 8 8 8 12 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 9.0 11 11 12 12 12 10 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 16 18 18 20 20 20 18 17 18
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 5 14 85 142 171 188 193 194 187 164 165
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN
VARIABLE AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN
SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000,
THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 16 27 40 21 21 14 7 8 21 23 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 70 66 61 59 57 55 54 53 50 49 49
RH..............19 22 24 29 31 35 37 40 43 48 51 54
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW W W W S S S SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...10 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW S S S SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 10 9 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8
SDSPL KT-FT/1000152 77 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(27 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH
UNTIL 1200, THEN WEST 10-14 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11500 FT AGL AFTER
1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1000, THEN WEST
AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 16 10 4 19 33 48 48 49 51 48 43
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............47 49 53 58 63 68 71 73 73 73 73 72
RH..............57 56 51 45 35 25 20 19 18 20 19 19
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 12 12 12 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 18 18 18 24 24 24 26 26 26
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 11 11 11 14 14 14 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 5.5 9.0 12 13 12 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 10 15 17 20 21 21 21 20
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 9 23 58 119 179 211 212 194 199 189
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39 TO 53. HIGHS 62 TO 89. WEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39 TO 52. HIGHS 62 TO 90. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 53. HIGHS 63 TO 90. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42 TO 56. HIGHS 64 TO 91.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 57.
HIGHS 63 TO 90.
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO
REQUESTED BY...MARK HUFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618605.5/PUB
.DELDT 08/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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