913
FNUS75 KPUB 172328
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MESA TRAIL...NM-N2S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
528 PM MDT SUN MAY 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY
DISCUSSION
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING. UTE CANYON AND SPRINGFIELD BOTH HAVE GUSTS NEAR 40
MPH AND HUMIDITY VALUES AT 5 PERCENT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
ARRIVE OVERNIGHT, WITH WINDS SWITCHING NORTHWESTERLY AFTER 2300,
AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING. STRONG MIXING WILL ALLOW FOR
TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK THROUGH THE 80S, WITH WINDS INCREASING
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST BY MID TO LATE MORNING. GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH
ARE FORECAST, AND COULD REACH HIGHER NEAR 50 TO 55 MPH THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE
IN THE 1800 TO 2000 TIME FRAME, WITH WINDS SWITCHING OUT OF THE
NORTH, REMAINING GUSTY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL
WEAKEN TUESDAY MORNING, AND SWITCH SOUTHEASTERLY BY THE EARLY
AFTERNOON, WITH ELEVATED HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 15-20 PERCENT
RANGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 19-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
35 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN
NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
2000, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........7 18 30 40 42 44 47 44 41 38 39 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............88 85 77 72 69 65 63 59 56 55 53 52
RH..............6 7 9 11 13 19 25 32 37 43 54 61
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..23 23 23 14 14 14 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 23 23 23 14 14 14 15 15 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 14 14 8 8 8 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.21 21 21 14 14 14 8 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 28 21 18 16 15 15 15 13 13 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/1000358 138 14 10 8 7 7 8 8 8 9 11
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
SOUTH 17-21 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTHWEST
27-31 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 44 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN SOUTH
AROUND 19 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN AROUND 31 MPH
UNTIL 1300, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 37 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........41 35 29 23 17 11 5 6 6 6 5 5
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... BDT BDT BDT BDT BDT BDT
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 52 58 65 70 74 79 82 84 86 85 82
RH..............68 71 57 41 29 20 14 11 10 8 9 11
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 21 21 21 31 31 31 30 30 30
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 31 31 31 44 44 44 40 40 40
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 13 13 13 19 19 19 18 18 18
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 19 19 19 26 26 26 24 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 4.5 6.0 8.0 10 12 13 12 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 13 20 24 31 41 43 43 38 35
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 17 17 28 74 128 211 366 429 462 399 329
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 19-23 MPH UNTIL 2100,
THEN NORTH 21-25 MPH. GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 26 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN NORTH
AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4 9 15 20 24 27 31 45 45 38 27 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77 70 63 55 52 48 45 43 41 39 38 37
RH..............15 22 32 49 54 63 70 73 76 79 82 82
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..23 23 23 25 25 25 23 23 23 18 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.33 33 33 35 35 35 33 33 33 28 28 28
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 11 11 11
EYE LVL WND GST.20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 20 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 24 24 25 25 23 23 22 21 20 18 18
SDSPL KT-FT/1000222 72 43 48 50 48 51 59 54 47 38 38
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12-16 MPH UNTIL 1200. SOUTHEAST
10-14 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 1300. SOUTHEAST
AFTER 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 5 9 13 11 9 7 6 6 5 9 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 37 41 46 51 54 58 61 65 68 70 70
RH..............85 82 67 56 46 40 34 31 28 25 23 22
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 13 13 13 10 10 10 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 20 20 20 20 20 20 23 23 23
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 8.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE E SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 17 16 14 12 10 10 12 14 16 18
SDSPL KT-FT/100024 35 42 43 44 43 45 49 60 77 101 124
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613887.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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