723  
FNUS75 KPUB 211239  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHRADER CREEK FIRE...USFS RGNF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
639 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE BURN AREA WILL SEE INCREASING CHANCES OF DAILY SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, AS MODEST SOUTH  
TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT BECOMES WEST TO SOUTHWEST, USHERING IN ANOTHER  
SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL ALSO  
BRING AN INCREASING CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH  
FLOODING.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY  
(50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL 1500, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN EAST AROUND 13 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN EAST  
AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 10 7 4 13 21 29 31 32 34 41 48  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............52 54 58 62 64 65 67 70 71 71 71 70  
RH..............59 55 50 46 42 39 36 32 30 29 30 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 17 17 17 20 20 20 18 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.5 6.5 7.5 9.0 9.0 9.5 8.0 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 10 16 20 21 21 18 18 18 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 19 57 98 121 136 141 140 149 105 104  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(64 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN  
SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2100  
UNTIL 2400.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0100, THEN SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 63 69 76 68 60 52 47 42 36 37 37  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............68 67 64 61 60 59 58 57 57 56 55 53  
RH..............33 37 43 50 51 55 57 62 62 64 66 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 16 16 16 14 14 14 13 13 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.0 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S SW S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 10 8 7 10 12 10 10 10 9 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100092 66 7 5 4 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (46 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 6500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1600, THEN 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN  
GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 34 31 28 46 64 82 80 78 76 75 74  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
TEMP............53 55 57 60 63 66 66 66 66 66 67 66  
RH..............69 66 62 55 50 43 43 45 45 45 43 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 20 20 20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 5.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 3.5 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 13 13 14 13 10 10 12 12 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 21 41 57 76 73 58 55 61 37 35  
 

 
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...LUCAS PETTIGREW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617768.1/PUB  
.DELDT 07/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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