033
FNUS75 KPUB 041904
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
104 PM MDT TUE AUG 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
HOT AND LARGELY DRY THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY FORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS, MAINLY BETWEEN 2-5 PM,
BUT OVERALL THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF
LAKE COUNTY. NO EXPECTED RAIN, JUST SOME POSSIBLE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM
THE EAST, AND A LOW-END CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING.
OVERNIGHT, LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW-40S, WITH OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY
TO AROUND 55 PERCENT. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH, STARTING
FROM THE NW BEFORE BECOMING LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE.
TOMORROW, DRIER AND HOTTER ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
70S, WITH RH BELOW 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED, VALID NOON TO 7 PM. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY THROUGHOUT
MOST OF THE DAY, AND OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY, THOUGH WITH POOR RH
RECOVERY (30-40 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT, FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE MORE ELEVATED. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 10000 FT AGL AFTER
1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN AROUND 25
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 2 4 6 9 8 8 8 9 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 46 50 54 62 65 67 69 70 71 72 73
RH..............50 45 37 32 21 16 13 12 11 10 10 9
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 13 13 13 16 16 16 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 20 20 20 23 23 23 23 23 23
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 3.5 5.5 7.0 7.5 8.5 9.5 10 11 9.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 21 28 31 31 31 30 29 26 24
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 18 70 135 179 209 242 250 248 237 201
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL 2300, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(54
PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN
VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
2000, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........11 7 19 32 36 54 42 20 31 16 9 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71 69 64 57 55 53 52 51 50 48 47 46
RH..............10 12 14 18 20 22 23 24 25 28 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 14 14 14 9 9 9 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW W W W SW SW SW W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.16 16 16 8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.5 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW W NW NW W SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 18 12 9 8 7 6 6 7 7 7 8
SDSPL KT-FT/1000186 103 7 5 5 4 3 3 4 5 4 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHWEST 10-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000, THEN
EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 11 7 2 5 8 11 9 8 7 6 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............45 48 53 59 63 67 71 72 73 74 74 73
RH..............31 31 28 23 18 13 10 9 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 23 23 23 28 28 28 28 28 28
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 7 14 14 14 17 17 17 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 4.0 5.5 7.0 8.5 9.5 11 11 12 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 18 22 23 23 22 21 18 17 16
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 5 23 71 115 143 170 185 192 179 177 165
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 54. HIGHS 64 TO 91. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40 TO 54. HIGHS 64 TO 91.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 42 TO 55.
HIGHS 64 TO 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 57.
HIGHS 63 TO 89.
TUESDAY
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 42 TO 56. HIGHS 61 TO 88.
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO
REQUESTED BY...MARK HUFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618605.7/PUB
.DELDT 08/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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