226
FNUS75 KPUB 191226
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MESA TRAIL...NM-N2S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
626 AM MDT TUE MAY 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
CONDITIONS TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL BE COOL WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID-60S, WITH CLOUD COVER
INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. RH THIS AFTERNOON WILL FALL TO
ABOUT 25 TO 30 PERCENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE DAY,
OUT OF THE NORTH THIS MORNING AND TURNING EASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING ANY RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE FIRE, BUT THERE WILL BE SOME SHOWERS TO
THE WEST TODAY OVER THE I-25 CORRIDOR. CURRENTLY OUTFLOW WINDS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE IT THAT FAR EAST, BUT CANNOT RULE IT OUT
ENTIRELY. IF ANY OUTFLOW FROM SHOWERS MAKES IT OUT THAT WAY, GUSTS
COULD BECOME ERRATIC FOR A FEW HOURS, UP TO 35 MPH OR SO. BEST
CHANCE FOR THAT WOULD BE BETWEEN ABOUT 6-9PM TONIGHT, THOUGH AGAIN
CHANCES ARE VERY LOW.
OVERNIGHT, WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHEASTERLY, TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
INTO THE LOW-40S TO UPPER-30S, WITH RH RECOVERING TO NEAR 100
PERCENT.
COOLER ON WEDNESDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW-60S AND RH REMAINING
ABOVE 45 PERCENT. CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AREA INCREASE
HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON, WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING 25 TO 30
MPH.
DISCUSSION
WE WILL CONTINUE ENTERING A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND WETTER PERIOD TODAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(31 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11-15 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN EAST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1300. SOUTHEAST
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1600.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700, THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800, THEN
POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 45 29 23 18 30 13 29 12 10 13 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40 39 42 45 49 52 56 59 62 65 65 65
RH..............78 79 70 60 52 44 38 36 32 29 29 29
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 13 13 13 12 12 12 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 20 20 20 17 17 17 23 23 23
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 12 12 12 10 10 10 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 6.0 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE E E E SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 16 13 12 12 10 12 12 14 16
SDSPL KT-FT/100030 41 36 39 38 42 47 48 55 57 75 87
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(26 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41F.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 12-16 MPH UNTIL 0300, THEN
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16 23 8 16 32 35 32 43 45 76 93 92
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............64 62 59 56 53 52 50 48 46 45 44 43
RH..............29 31 36 38 46 50 56 63 71 73 79 86
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 16 14 14 14 12 12 12 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 21 21 21 17 17 17 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 13 13 13 10 10 10 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 17 17 18 18 18 17 16 15 14 15
SDSPL KT-FT/100096 80 12 12 12 16 15 13 12 16 18 19
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 0900, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 16-20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300, THEN
POOR UNTIL 1400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 98 98 97 96 97 83 74 71 81 79 76
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............43 42 46 47 51 53 55 58 61 62 64 63
RH..............86 96 83 76 68 66 61 57 51 50 46 50
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 14 14 14 16 16 16 20 20 20
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 21 21 21 24 24 24 30 30 30
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 22 26 25
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 18 23 27 35 41 44 38 47 65 84 78
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613887.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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