959  
FNUS75 KPUB 161900  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASPEN ACRES...RMCC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
100 PM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 MDT ON AUGUST 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE  
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. STORMS ARE ALREADY GOING  
OVER THE MOUNTAINS JUST WEST OF THE BURN SCAR. FLASH FLOOD WATCH  
IN EFFECT THROUGH 8PM. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FULLY DEPART THE  
AREA BY 10PM.  
 
OVERNIGHT, MILD TEMPS AND LIGHT WINDS, MAINLY OUT OF THE WEST. RH  
WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 85 PERCENT.  
 
FOR MONDAY, COVERAGE OF ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE MUCH LOWER  
THAN TODAY. SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY  
BETWEEN NOON AND 4PM. MAIN IMPACT CONCERN WILL BE OUTFLOW WINDS  
AND LIGHTNING, WITH A MUCH LOWER CHANCE FOR ANY WETTING RAIN. THAT  
BEING SAID, IF A STORM DOES MANAGE TO DRIFT OVER THE BURN SCAR,  
ANY STORM COULD STILL PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. AFTERNOON WINDS WILL  
MAINLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST, WITH RH IN THE 30-35  
PERCENT RANGE AT MINIMUM.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(66 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1700, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........62 66 68 70  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............63 63 63 61  
RH..............60 61 62 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 5.5 5.0 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/100045 48 41 33  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(61 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY(47 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN  
WEST AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000  
UNTIL 0200.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0200. WEST AROUND 8  
MPH AFTER 0400.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........71 68 65 62 63 66 68 63 59 54 51 47  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
TEMP............59 58 55 53 53 52 52 52 51 50 50 50  
RH..............68 72 79 84 84 86 85 85 85 85 83 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 7 7 7 5 5 5 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 10 10 10 8 8 8 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE E E E S S S SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 8 7 8 8 9 8 8 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100024 18 7 8 13 10 10 4 5 4 5 5  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(43 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1600. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1600, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1500, THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 9  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1500, THEN SOUTH  
AROUND 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500, THEN  
POOR UNTIL 1600, THEN FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 36 28 20 30 40 49 55 61 66 54 41  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
TEMP............50 52 55 58 63 65 67 67 68 67 67 66  
RH..............79 75 67 61 52 49 48 48 46 47 45 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 5.0 7.0 8.5 8.5 7.0 5.0 5.5 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW W SW SW SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 8 7 6 7 8 8 8 8 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 6 8 19 30 50 60 67 57 36 46 49  
 

 
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ORTNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619571.2/PUB  
.DELDT 08/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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