102
FNUS75 KPUB 211229
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 24 WF...FT CARSON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
629 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
DISCUSSION
AROUND THE BURN AREA, CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW WESTERLY TO
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH, WITH ALREADY LOW HUMIDITY
VALUES AROUND 12-15 PERCENT. THESE WINDS WILL PROGRESSIVELY BECOME
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH MID TO LATE MORNING,
MAINTAINING SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH. HOWEVER, AS DIURNAL MIXING
DEVELOPS AROUND 2-3 PM THIS AFTERNOON, STRONGER WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 25 MPH, AND GUSTS TO
AROUND 35-40 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AGAIN
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, WITH DECREASING SPEEDS BACK TO AROUND
10 MPH BY 12 AM TONIGHT. WINDS WILL MAINTAIN THIS SPEED AND
DIRECTION UNTIL AROUND 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHWARD, QUICKLY CHANGING WINDS TO A NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION, AND WITH SUSTAINED WINDS THEN AROUND 10-12 MPH, AND
GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH EXPECTED. THEN FINALLY, WINDS BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING, WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINING AROUND 12 MPH, AND GUSTS TO AROUND 20-23
MPH. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR THROUGH THE
PERIOD OF INTEREST. VALUES WILL TANK FROM THE CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS, WITH HUMIDITY DROPPING TO 3-5 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR, WITH HUMIDITY
VALUES ONLY HOVERING AROUND 20 PERCENT. THEN DESPITE THE COLD
FRONT, HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW SUNDAY AS WELL,
REMAINING AROUND 15-18 PERCENT. OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH RECORD HEAT TO AROUND 90 DEGREES EXPECTED
TODAY, AND A COOL DOWN TO AROUND 70 DEGREES TOMORROW.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL 1300, THEN AREAS OF
SMOKE UNTIL 1700, THEN SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-4 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL
1200, THEN SOUTHWEST 21-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 39 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200, THEN
GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400,
THEN EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 11 12 11 9 7 9 11 13 18 23
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS DEF
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 59 68 76 80 83 85 86 88 88 87
RH..............16 15 11 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 8 18 18 18 25 25 25
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 12 12 12 28 28 28 39 39 39
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 11 11 11 15 15 15
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 7 7 7 17 17 17 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 4.5 6.0 8.0 10 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 10 14 17 21 24 28 30 29
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 5 20 51 93 149 209 264 285 265
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(37 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE UNTIL
2100, THEN PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56F.
MAX HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 21-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 38 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN NORTHWEST 8-12
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 0500, THEN NORTH
AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 34 40 46 46 47 47 46 45 44 45 47
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............84 77 72 69 67 65 64 62 61 60 59 58
RH..............5 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15 17 18
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..25 25 25 20 20 20 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.38 38 38 30 30 30 18 18 18 17 17 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.15 15 15 12 12 12 7 7 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND GST.23 23 23 18 18 18 11 11 11 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW W W NW W W NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 22 20 17 14 13 13 13 10 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/1000148 17 15 13 10 8 8 8 7 6 7 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(59 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0900. SOUTHEAST
11-15 MPH AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN SOUTHWEST
UNTIL 1100, THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300, THEN GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49 49 49 50 52 55 58 59 61 63 66 70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56 56 59 62 65 66 67 68 69 70 70 68
RH..............20 22 22 21 21 23 24 24 23 23 23 25
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 9 9 9 14 14 14 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 13 13 13 21 21 21 23 23 23
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 5 5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 8 8 8 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW W SW S SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 8 8 9 10 12 13 15 16 16 17
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 5 7 9 17 27 39 47 59 69 67 71
FORECASTER...SIMCOE
REQUESTED BY...P. WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2606971.0/PUB
.DELDT 03/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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