472
FNUS75 KPUB 152125
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR 51.5 FIRE...WALSH FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
325 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 PM THIS EVENING
AT THE BURN SITE. VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL FROM PASSING
STORMS AND NEW FIRE STARTS COULD OCCUR. WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW (10-15%), THE FIRE RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED.
IN ADDITION TO THE LIGHTNING POTENTIAL, HIGH BASES WILL ALLOW FOR
STRONG OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS, IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. AGAIN, THIS WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER THE BURN SITE. AFTER 10 PM,
WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND TRANSITION FROM NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY.
A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
VALUES DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN HOT, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 90S.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-14 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
TIME (MDT) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............90 89
RH..............15 17
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...12 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16
SDSPL KT-FT/1000160 145
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 1800 TO 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN
NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2000, THEN SOUTHEAST
UNTIL 2200, THEN NORTH AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........21 24 32 30 20 13 29 24 44 23 14 2
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............87 84 76 70 68 66 63 61 59 57 55 54
RH..............21 23 31 38 40 45 50 53 57 62 64 66
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 12 12 12 9 9 9 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.12 12 12 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E SE S NW NW NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 14 15 14 13 15 16 15 14 14 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100099 53 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 5 6 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN
NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN
SOUTHEAST 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 13000 FT AGL AFTER
1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0800, THEN EAST
AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN SOUTH AROUND 15
MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1600.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 5 3 2 1 2 1 2 4 12 13 15
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
TEMP............53 58 69 78 83 87 89 91 92 93 94 94
RH..............69 62 44 35 30 25 24 20 18 16 14 13
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 9 12 12 12 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 15 15 15 21 21 21 25 25 25
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 9 9 9 13 13 13 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 5.0 7.5 11 12 13 13 13
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE E E SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 12 9 9 10 12 13 15 18 22
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 18 19 25 41 67 104 128 164 206 245
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...RILEY FRAZEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613759.0/PUB
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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