740  
FNUS75 KPUB 151603  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PHANTOM CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
1003 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A DRYING AND SLOW WARMING TREND REMAINS IN THE OFFING INTO THE  
UPCOMING WEEKEND, AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS WESTERN  
COLORADO BEHIND YESTERDAY'S PARTING SYSTEM. A FEW WRAP AROUND  
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH MODERATE  
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND WEAKEN  
THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY, WITH SAID WEAKER FLOW ALOFT LIMITING  
SMOKE DISPERSIONS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. INCREASING SOUTHWEST  
FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK, AHEAD OF ANOTHER WEATHER  
SYSTEM DIGGING INTO THE GREAT BASIN REGION. THE INCREASING FLOW  
ALOFT WILL BRING BETTER DISPERSIONS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT  
WEEK, ALONG WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TO AREAS  
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. MODELS DIFFER ON HOW THIS SYSTEM  
MOVES ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK, THOUGH WE  
WOULD EXPECT SOME PRECIPITATION AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS  
THE AREA BY THE END OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1600, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(45  
PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1300,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1500.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 16-20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 74 79 75 70 66 46 45  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 38 39 40 40 41 41 40  
RH..............79 73 70 64 62 57 55 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 20 20 20 16 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 29 29 29 24 24 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 28 29 28 26 25 22 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100042 54 61 61 64 72 63 49  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(45  
PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(37  
PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5-10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........45 45 40 40 32 28 28 25 25 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 34 32 29 28 28 27 26 25 25 24 23  
RH..............59 69 75 81 85 81 85 88 88 88 88 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 8 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 10 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 9 4 3 3 4 4 5 5 15 14 4  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1600, THEN WEST AROUND  
11 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700, THEN  
POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 23 12 4 2 3 10 18 13 8 12 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............23 22 24 32 39 43 48 50 52 52 52 50  
RH..............84 84 74 53 37 27 20 18 17 16 17 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 9 9 15 15 15 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 4.0 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 13 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 5 13 16 22 28 33 33 28 45 26  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI  
REQUESTED BY...KENDRA JACKSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623838.0/PUB  
.DELDT 10/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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