418
FNUS75 KPUB 131910
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH TROUT CREEK RX P#4...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
110 PM MDT TUE OCT 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, A STORM SYSTEM WILL BE PASSING OVER
THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION,
WITH SHOWERS EXPECTED AT THE BURN LOCATION TOMORROW THROUGH
THURSDAY. GIVEN THE EARLY FALL SEASON SYSTEM, PRECIPITATION TYPE
WILL FLUCTUATE, WITH RAIN AND THUNDER POTENTIAL DURING THE DAY AND
SNOW POTENTIAL AT NIGHT, ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. OVERALL, LIQUID PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO RANGE
AROUND 0.3 TO 0.5 INCHES, WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MOSTLY 1 INCH OR
LESS. LOOKING AT WINDS, THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED EARLY
WEDNESDAY, WITH SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH,
AND GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH. WINDS LESSEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE REST OF
THE DAY WEDNESDAY, AND BECOME MORE LIGHT, LESS THAN 10 MPH, AND
VARIABLE, NO STRONG PREVAILING DIRECTION, UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH SUSTAINED EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FOLLOW A TYPICAL DIURNAL TREND, WITH
VALUES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AROUND 72-23 PERCENT, INCREASING TO
84-85 PERCENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND FALLING BACK DOWN TO AROUND
42-43 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
FOR THE 16TH THROUGH THE 21ST, CURRENTLY, TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO WARM ABOVE 60 DEGREES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ALONG WITH THAT, HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 20
PERCENT. THE LOWEST VALUES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH
VALUES FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 20 RANGE. AFTER SATURDAY,
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED TO START SLOWLY INCREASING AGAIN.
AS FOR VENTILATION, RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH RATES ONLY SLIGHTLY IMPROVING TO FAIR SUNDAY
AND MONDAY, AND POTENTIALLY GOOD RATES TUESDAY.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40F.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 13-17 MPH UNTIL 1500, THEN
SOUTH 11-15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL 1700, THEN AROUND 12
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 88 91 89 82 88 80 72 85 82
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RS RS SW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............39 40 40 39 39 39 39 39 38 38
RH..............96 92 96 96 92 89 89 82 79 76
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 17 17 17 15 15 15 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.21 26 26 26 23 23 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 18 20 16 17 18 14 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 21 24 29 38 33 34 37 24 14
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(68 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(30 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN
LIGHT AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 2400, THEN NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........69 72 65 46 26 31 29 29 22 15 16 15
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............36 35 34 33 31 31 30 30 30 30 30 29
RH..............75 78 85 85 88 85 85 85 81 81 81 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 7 7 7 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 9 9 9 10 10 10 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W NW NW NW W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 8 9 10 8 9 10 8 7
SDSPL KT-FT/100011 7 9 4 5 5 5 4 4 6 4 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTH AROUND 8 MPH
UNTIL 1200, THEN NORTHEAST 10-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN NORTHEAST
AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 17 21 24 32 41 49 57 66 74 70 67
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............29 29 32 36 39 42 44 45 46 46 44 42
RH..............81 81 75 69 64 57 53 51 47 45 47 48
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 13 13 13 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 13 13 13 20 20 20 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 4.0 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 10 12 14 15 17 16 15 14 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 9 13 31 49 76 69 62 56 48 41
FORECASTER...SIMCOE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NACCARATO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623715.0/PUB
.DELDT 10/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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