736
FNUS75 KPUB 271603
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEULAH FIRE BURN 8/28...BEULAH FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1003 AM MDT THU AUG 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING, MOSTLY
DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY, BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE TERRAIN BETWEEN NOON-2PM,
SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND INTO
THIS EVENING. OUTFLOW WINDS FROM STORMS WILL BE ERRATIC AND UP TO
AROUND 40 MPH. THE BEST TIME WINDOW FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY WILL BE BETWEEN 1200 AND 2100. PAY SPECIAL ATTENTION TO ANY
SLOW- MOVING STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP AS THOSE MAY PRODUCE ENOUGH
LOCALIZED RAINFALL TO CREATE FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST ALONG THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND I-25 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BRINGING
THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO 1
INCH IN DIAMETER.
DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A 20-30
PERCENT CHANCE FOR SOME AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, WITH I-25 AND EAST REMAINING MOSTLY DRY. BEST CHANCE
FOR STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 3PM-8PM, WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND
MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL. AS ALWAYS, ANY SUSTAINED RAIN
FROM A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING
OVER THE BURN SCAR. BY FRIDAY NIGHT, CONVECTION WILL DISSIPATE AND
WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST.
LOOKING AHEAD TO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, PLAN ON CONTINUED WARM
CONDITIONS WITH ONLY A 20-30% CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS. MONDAY LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE
AN INCREASE IN STORM POTENTIAL FOR THE AREA, THEN TRENDS ARE
POINTING TO MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES HEATING BACK UP.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 UNTIL
1700, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100, THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1500. NORTHWEST AROUND
12 MPH AFTER 1700.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200.
TIME (MDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
SKY (%).........3 4 7 22 31 49 48 58
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
TEMP............79 82 86 87 87 88 86 84
RH..............36 33 28 28 27 25 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 18 18 18 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 5.5 7.0 8.5 8.5 7.5 7.5 7.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W SW W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 8 8 8 10 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100019 37 56 61 59 53 66 76
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2300, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(39
PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
2100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........76 94 75 55 52 50 47 41 35 29 33 36
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............80 77 73 70 68 67 66 65 63 62 60 59
RH..............39 43 48 51 53 52 52 52 54 56 60 62
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 16 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 5 3 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(37 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000, THEN 8000 FT AGL UNTIL
1700, THEN 3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1400. WEST AROUND
12 MPH AFTER 1700.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700, THEN
POOR.
TIME (MDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
SKY (%).........40 35 29 24 22 20 18 31 43 56 56 56
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............59 63 69 75 80 84 88 90 91 90 88 85
RH..............62 56 47 40 33 28 23 21 20 22 25 29
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 4.5 7.0 8.5 9.5 9.5 8.5 6.5 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW S S SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 10 10 9 8 8 8 9 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 7 13 22 39 61 70 67 67 60 51 35
FORECASTER...GARBEROGLIO
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN WARE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2620707.0/PUB
.DELDT 08/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page