452
FNUS75 KPUB 061933
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE ICT4(T)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
133 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING (THU)
DISCUSSION
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY AND SATURDAY. FAIRLY
LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THE AREA TODAY, SO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WIN DS
ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY, BUT AT THIS POINT LOOK TO FALL JUST
SHORT OF CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. STARTING SUNDAY, LONG RANGE MODELS
ARE HINTING AT AN INCREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE, WHICH THEN
INCREASES FOR MONDAY, AND JUMPS UP CONSIDERABLY FOR TUESDAY AND
ONWARD. IF THIS OCCURS, PLAN ON ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WHICH WILL HELP HUMIDITY LEVELS AND TEMPERATURES, BUT
WHICH WILL ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING STRIKES.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........N-NW 3-7 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN N 8-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 14000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
VERY GOOD.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 5 5 4 7 11 14 18 22 27 27 27
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 48 54 61 66 70 73 75 74 75 75 74
RH..............30 29 24 21 16 14 12 11 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 10 10 10 18 18 18 18 18 18
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 6 6 6 11 11 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 6.5 9.5 12 13 14 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 7 8 9 8 8 9 9 10 10
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 3 15 47 76 90 90 107 128 128 121
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NW WINDS 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100, THEN S-SW 5-10
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN EAST UNTIL
0100, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000,
THEN POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 22 16 9 9 10 9 9 7 6 7 7
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 68 64 59 56 54 52 50 49 48 47 46
RH..............12 15 18 24 27 30 32 35 39 42 44 46
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 13 13 13 10 10 10 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW S S S SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.11 11 11 8 8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...12 7.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NE E E W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7
SDSPL KT-FT/1000109 50 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL 0700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........W-NW 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN NW 8-12
MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS 20-22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 12500 FT AGL AFTER
1000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900, THEN NORTHWEST
AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 6 6 6 16 27 37 40 43 46 42 39
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....SMK
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46 49 55 63 69 72 74 74 74 74 74 74
RH..............46 44 37 28 21 16 13 13 14 14 14 14
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 13 13 13 20 20 20 22 22 22
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 8 8 8 12 12 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 6.5 10 14 14 14 14 13 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 8 10 13 13 13 13 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 9 14 45 91 152 153 153 153 151 135
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10
MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW CELOMMI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618605.9/PUB
.DELDT 08/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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