734  
FNUS75 KPUB 052139  
FWSPUB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP HEAD FIRE...COLORADO IMT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO  
339 PM MDT SUN JUL 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (719) 948-9429, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
PLAN ON ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH LEVELS TODAY THROUGH  
THE AFTERNOON, WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING  
ACROSS THE FIRE AREA AFTER 1300. MAIN THREATS WILL CONTINUE TO BE  
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING, AND STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.  
WESTERLY WINDS START TO STRENGTHEN MONDAY EVENING, PRODUCING MILD  
OVERNIGHT LOWS AND JUST MODERATE RH RECOVERY. TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE  
TO BE A HOT DAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH A  
GREATER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING BY MIDDAY. THERE IS  
A 20-30% CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN ACROSS THE FIRE AREA TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1500, THEN PARTLY SUNNY (51  
PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. PATCHY SMOKE AFTER  
1400.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-87F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........W-SW 6-9 MPH THROUGH 0800, THEN E-SE 7-10 MPH  
WITH OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH  
THROUGH 1400, NW 10-15 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
1300.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 10000 FT AGL AFTER  
1000.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN NORTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1300, THEN SOUTH AROUND 10  
MPH UNTIL 1400, THEN EAST UNTIL 1500, THEN  
SOUTH UNTIL 1600, THEN NORTH AROUND 12 MPH  
UNTIL 1700, THEN EAST.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1100.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 8 8 8 8 9 22 36 51 48 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............60 68 76 80 83 85 86 86 86 86 85  
RH..............44 33 25 21 17 15 14 14 14 15 15  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SE SE SE E E E N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 13 13 13 13 13 13 16 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W SE SE SE E E E N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.5 3.5 7.5 11 13 11 13 12 9.5 8.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW W S E S N E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 9 7 7 8 10 10 10 12 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 16 29 44 66 87 96 116 104 93 83  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (57 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL  
2100.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62F.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NE 10-15 MPH THROUGH 1900, THEN BECOMING  
W-SW 10-15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000, THEN 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2200, THEN SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000, THEN POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........42 61 54 40 35 27 31 26 28 22 23 20  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............82 82 77 72 70 69 67 66 64 63 62 61  
RH..............18 18 24 29 31 32 34 36 40 41 43 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 16 16 16 17 17 17 20 20 20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE W W W W W W W W W  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.0 7.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE S W W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 14 16 14 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/100092 73 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 7 6  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY SUNNY (61  
PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88F.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200, THEN S-SW  
7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 1200.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL  
1000, THEN 8500 FT AGL UNTIL 1700, THEN 4500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1400, THEN SOUTH UNTIL  
1700, THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000, THEN  
GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 22 18 13 18 23 57 57 57 57 58 65  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............60 62 70 79 85 87 87 87 86 85 83 80  
RH..............46 44 35 27 22 20 19 19 21 22 25 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 10 10 10 7 7 7 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 16 16 16 10 10 10 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 4 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.12 12 12 10 10 10 6 6 6 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.5 6.5 9.0 12 11 10 9.5 7.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW S SE S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 14 13 12 10 9 10 13 14 16 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 7 24 40 63 80 93 98 112 114 97 69  
 

 
FORECASTER...MOORE  
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616777.0/PUB  
.DELDT 07/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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