608
FXUS65 KBOU 141111
AFDBOU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
511 AM MDT TUE JUL 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
- MONSOONAL MOISTURE MAY REACH THE HIGH COUNTRY BY LATE IN THE
WEEKEND BUT MORE LIKELY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- PROLONGED HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS, ALTHOUGH WE'LL LIKELY STAY JUST SHY OF RED FLAG
CRITERIA MOST DAYS.
DISCUSSION /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 308 AM MDT TUE JUL 14 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL CONTINUE FROM THE CENTRAL US INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES THRU THU. THERE WILL STILL BE SOME LINGERING MID
LEVEL MOISTURE, OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN, FOR WIDELY SCT HIGHER BASED
TSTMS BOTH WED AND THU AFTN. ELSEWHERE IT WILL REMAIN DRY WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS THRU THU. HOWEVER, ANALYSIS OF 850-700 MB TEMPS
SHOW A SLIGHT DROP FOR TODAY AND WED OVER THE AREA SO AFTN HIGHS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER AS COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW DAYS.
FOR FRI AND SAT, LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL BE OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. OVERALL, IT
STILL APPEARS THE BEST FETCH OF MONSOON MOISTURE WILL STAY TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHC OF TSTMS OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AND MAY RISE BACK
INTO THE UPPER 90'S TO AROUND 100 OVER NERN CO.
BY SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, IT APPEARS MONSOON MOISTURE WILL
EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO THE AREA WITH AN INCREASING CHC OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ACROSS NERN CO, A COOL FRONT
MAY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA EITHER ON MON OR TUE. ECMWF HAS IT MOVING
ACROSS ON MON WHILE THE GFS HOLDS IT OFF UNTIL TUE. THUS THIS
FEATURE COMBINED WITH INCREASING MONSOON MOISTURE SHOULD YIELD A
BETTER CHC OF THUNDERSTORMS AT SOME POINT EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 507 AM MDT TUE JUL 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THRU THE PERIOD. SOUTH WINDS AT APA AND DIA WILL
GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 15Z AND THEN TRANSITION TO EASTERLY
BY 17Z. FOR BJC WINDS WILL BE NORTH THIS MORNING AND THEN SWITCH
TO ENE BY 17Z.
FOR THIS AFTN, WINDS WILL BE ESE BY 21Z WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
AT APA AND DIA. BJC WILL BE EASTERLY THROUGH THE AFTN. BY 01Z
WINDS WILL BECOME SE AT ALL THREE AIRPORTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
AT APA AND DIA.
BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...RPK
AVIATION...RPK
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