952  
FXUS65 KBOU 102043  
AFDBOU  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO  
243 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
 
- SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS EVENING WITH GUSTY  
WINDS 30-65 MPH.  
 
- SCATTERED TO LIKELY LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY  
AND SATURDAY.  
 
- DRIER SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.  
 
- SCATTERED TO LIKELY LATE DAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN  
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR MUCH OF THE CWA WITH TEMPERATURES  
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION /THROUGH THURSDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 242 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. RADAR AND  
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE STORMS WERE  
GUSTING UP TO 65 MPH. EARLIER THIS MORNING, A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS  
RECORDED AT DIA AT 1010Z.  
 
CONCERNING THE CONVECTION FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING, MODELS, INCLUDING THE CAMS, ARE ALL INDICATING SCATTERED  
COVERAGE FOR MUCH OF THE CWA, BUT ONLY THROUGH THIS EVENING; NO  
LATER THAN 02Z.  
 
THERE WILL BE WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY  
WITH A WEAK UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING JUST EAST OF COLORADO SATURDAY  
MID DAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DECENT CAPE. PROGGED PRECIPITABLE  
WATER VALUES CONTINUE TO BE OVER 1.00 INCH FOR THE EASTERN 2/3RDS  
OF THE CWA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE BEST RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS ON THE QPF GRIDS ARE PROGGED FOR LATE DAY FRIDAY, LESS  
LATE DAY SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS BOTH  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
 
ON SUNDAY, THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST AND THE  
AIRMASS DRIES OUT A BIT WITH TEMPERATURES GETTING ABOVE SEASONAL  
NORMALS. POPS WILL BE PRETTY LOW AND CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS AND  
HIGHER FOOTHILLS. THE PLAINS LOOK TO HAVE POOR INSTABILITY WITH  
LOW CAPE AND A MID LEVEL CAP IN PLACE.  
 
FOR THE LATER DAYS, MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, THE UPPER RIDGE IS  
AROUND ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES TO STAY ABOVE NORMAL. THERE IS  
WEAK UPPER TROUGHING MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY WITH A DECENT COLD  
FRONT TO MOVE DOWN ACROSS THE CWA. FLAT UPPER RIDGING IS PROGGED  
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO  
CONTINUE. FOR POPS, MONDAY IS THE DRIEST DAY, WITH SCATTERED  
CONVECTION RELEGATED TO JUST THE MOUNTAINS. LATE DAY CONVECTION  
AND PRECIPITATION ARE PRETTY DECENT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH  
WEDNESDAY HAVING THE HIGHEST POPS.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1255 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025  
 
CURRENT RADAR SHOWS NORTHWESTERLY WINDS SHOULD COMMENCE, BEHIND A  
BOUNDARY, TO HIT DIA AROUND 1915Z. MODELS SHOW A FEW ROUNDS OF  
CONVECTION FOR DIA THROUGH AROUND 01Z/02Z THIS EVENING. SO, WILL  
KEEP A TEMPO AND A PROB30 GROUP IN FOR WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS  
ALONG WITH -TSRA UNTIL 02Z. THERE WILL BE NO CEILING ISSUES.  
 
 
   
BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
RED FLAG WARNING WATCH UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ214.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...RJK  
AVIATION.....RJK  
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