962
FXUS65 KGJT 280217
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
817 PM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AND
WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN
ELEVATED.
- RED FLAG WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT TODAY AND TOMORROW FOR MUCH
OF EASTERN UTAH AND THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY FOR THE SAME AREAS
AND TIMES AS GUSTY WINDS AND DRY AIR REMAIN IN PLACE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 816 PM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
WEDNESDAY'S RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM
AS WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS HAVE DISSIPATED.
THURSDAY'S RED FLAG WARNING AND FRIDAY'S FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAIN IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1213 PM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
HOT, DRY, AND WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE
THE DEEP CLOSED LOW WILL CONTINUE SPINNING OVER THE GREAT BASIN
KEEPING THE CWA UNDER BROAD SOUTHERLY FLOW. DRIER AIR WILL START
MOVING IN, ESSENTIALLY CUTTING OFF MOISTURE ADVECTION AND
WIDESPREAD PRECIP. A FEW STRAY SHOWERS OR A QUICK STORM MAY
FIRE OVER THE SPINE OF THE DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING BUT
COVERAGE AND QPF WILL BE LOW. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALSO
TIGHTEN THANKS TO THE LOW SO WE CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE THE LOW OPENS UP AND LIFTS TO
THE NORTHEAST. HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THANKS
TO THE SAME SOUTHERN FLOW AND WARM AIR ADVECTION. CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AS DESCRIBED
BELOW. AS THE LOW TRANSITIONS, MODELS ARE INDICATING SOME LIGHT
PRECIP POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN, MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE I-70 FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 531 PM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING 20+ KT
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON HOW LONG INTO THE
EVENING OR NIGHT THESE GUSTS WILL PERSIST, BUT REGARDLESS,
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AT ALL TERMINALS FOR THE MAJORITY
OF THE TAF PERIOD. 20+ KT GUSTS REDEVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS
WELL. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR THOUGH AND VFR CONDITIONS
DOMINATE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1213 PM MDT WED MAY 27 2026
A DEEP CLOSED LOW CONTINUES SPINNING OFF TO OUR WEST AND WILL
TIGHTEN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME
GUSTY SURFACE WINDS TO FORM EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. WE WILL ALSO BE INVITING A DRIER AIR MASS INTO THE
REGION DURING THE SAME TIME. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW
15%, PARTICULARLY IN EASTERN UTAH AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
RED FLAG WARNINGS REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FOR THURSDAY HAS ALSO BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS OCCUR FRIDAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME ZONES AND TIME,WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WHICH WILL DECREASE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ207-290.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR COZ207-290.
UT...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR UTZ486-487-
490.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING FOR UTZ486-487-490.
UPDATE...TGJT
DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
FIRE WEATHER...TGJT
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