794
FXUS65 KGJT 061118
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
518 AM MDT MON APR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING UP TO AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK.
- A FEW ROUNDS OF SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK, WITH THE
BETTER CHANCES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 948 PM MDT SUN APR 5 2026
LIGHT PRECIPITATION, WARMER THAN NORMAL:
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND WEEKEND, WE ARE EXPECTING TO SEE MILD
PUSHES OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE CWA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO GIVE US
MULTIPLE DAYS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION, FAVORING THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER, WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING UP AND EXPECTED
TO REACH 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME LOCATIONS, SNOW LEVELS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO RETURN TO ~9000 FT THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. THIS
MEANS THAT THROUGH THIS SEMI-WET PERIOD, VALLEYS AND LOWER
ELEVATION SLOPES WILL FAVOR RAINFALL WITH SNOW MOSTLY NEAR AND
ABOVE PASS LEVEL. ADDITIONALLY, FORCING IS MINIMAL, IF NOT
NEGLIGIBLE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, CONFINING MOST ACTIVITY TO
THE MOUNTAINS WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL BE THE PRIMARY DRIVER
BEHIND ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT. WITH MOISTURE AT ITS STRONGEST
LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY AND BEYOND, LOOK
FOR THESE PERIODS TO PRODUCE THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE REGION WITH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY EXPECTED TO SEE LIGHTER
PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 513 AM MDT MON APR 6 2026
CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS THE DAY MOVES
FORWARD. KTEX MAY GET CLOSE TO MVFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS TOWARDS
THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD BUT REMAINING TAF SITES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE VFR. A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS
ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
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