941
FXUS65 KGJT 081809
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1209 PM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO SURGE WELL ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT
WEEK, APPROACHING RECORD VALUES.
- GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, AND CRITICAL FUELS HAS
PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NORTHWEST
COLORADO SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY AND PLEASANT TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECASTED TO BE ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN MOST LOCATIONS.
POCKETS OF GUSTY (25-30 MPH) WINDS MAY EXIST THIS AFTERNOON,
SPECIFICALLY FOCUSED ON SOUTHWEST COLORADO.
THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK:
THIS WEEKEND, DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BEGIN TO DOMINATE, KEEPING
CONDITIONS QUIET ACROSS THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION. SATURDAY
WILL BE A RINSE AND REPEAT OF FRIDAY WITH HIGHS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL, AND GUSTY WINDS INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS DO EXIST SATURDAY, REFER TO THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION FOR
MORE INFORMATION ON THAT. LIGHT SHOWER POTENTIAL IS POSSIBLE (20%)
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY AS WELL. AS WE MOVE AWAY FROM
SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO DOMINATE THE
WESTERN CONUS, WHICH WILL PERSIST MOST, IF NOT ALL OF NEXT WEEK. THE
MOST NOTABLE PART OF THIS PATTERN WILL BE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS.
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, HIGHS WILL BE 10+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL REGION-
WIDE, WITH MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY POTENTIALLY EXCEEDING 20 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME PLACES. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME RECORDS BEING
BROKEN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1138 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE AS A FEW HIGH CLOUDS DRIFT
OVERHEAD TODAY. LOOK FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS OF 20 TO 25KTS
THIS AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1152 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
A WARMING TREND KICKS IN TODAY WHICH WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. TOMORROW, WINDS ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO MIX DOWN
TOWARDS THE SURFACE MAKING FOR GUSTY (25-30 MPH) CONDITIONS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO BE WITHIN THE 10-15% RANGE FOR SOME
LOCATIONS. BECAUSE OF THE GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, AND
CRITICAL FUELS, A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CO ZONE 200 FROM
2PM - 8PM SATURDAY. HOT, DRY, AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO
NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES SURGING WELL ABOVE AVERAGE.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR COZ200.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BS
AVIATION...TGJT
FIRE WEATHER...BS
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