672
FXUS65 KGJT 121023
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
323 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY, WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY MID-WEEK.
- FAVORED COLD POOL VALLEYS, INCLUDING THE GUNNISON AND YAMPA
RIVER VALLEYS, WILL SEE ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT.
- QUIET CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH A CHANCE FOR A
BRIEF COOLDOWN BY THE COMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 123 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
THE THICK CLOUD DECK THAT REMAINED OVER THE REGION FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY YESTERDAY IS CONTINUING TO MOVE SOUTHWARD, CURRENTLY
SITUATED OVER THE SAN JUANS SOUTHWARD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. SOME THINNER HIGH CLOUDS
ARE MOVING INTO NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO AS ANOTHER
WAVE RIDES UP AND OVER THE EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS
THE WEST AND DOWN INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE WEAK UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO PARTLY
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE THICKER CLOUDS TODAY WILL BE MOVING EASTWARD
INTO SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FIRMLY IN
PLACE AND ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE LEADING TO
ANOTHER REX BLOCK. THIS WILL KEEP US DRY THOUGH THE COMING WEEK.
UNDERCUT THE TEMPERATURES IN THE COLD POOL BASINS DUE TO
PERSISTENT INVERSIONS AND LACK OF MIXING, BUT THESE TEMPERATURES
SHOULD MODERATE AS WAA KICKS IN AND SNOWPACK SLOWLY ERODES IN
THESE VALLEYS. ALSO, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
FLOW WITH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME ON THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THIS RIDGE SO THAT SHOULD HELP AS WELL. TEMPERATURES
TODAY SHOULD WARM TO AROUND 5 OR SO DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL GIVEN
LESS CLOUD COVER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, WITH HIGHS BUMPING UP
TOWARDS 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 123 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
WARM DAYS, COOL NIGHTS, AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
SEVEN-DAY FORECAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING CENTERED TO OUR
WEST. FLURRIES CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
FROM TIME TO TIME WITH PERSISTENT NORTH/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
OTHERWISE, A VERY BENIGN WEATHER WEEK IS ON TAP.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 323 AM MST MON JAN 12 2026
FEW TO SCT HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE PASSING OVERHEAD FROM TIME
TO TIME THROUGHOUT THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES OTHERWISE AND VFR CONDITIONS. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WITH SOME ENHANCED DRAINAGE WINDS THROUGH
THIS MORNING AT KHDN.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...MDA
LONG TERM...KAA
AVIATION...TGJT
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