948
FXUS65 KGJT 131121
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
421 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION.
- FAVORED COLD POOLS, INCLUDING THE GUNNISON AND YAMPA RIVER
BASINS, WILL REMAIN COLD EACH NIGHT.
- QUIET CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH A CHANCE FOR A
BRIEF COOLDOWN BY THE COMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 252 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE LOW TO
OUR SOUTHEAST MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST OUT OF MEXICO INTO TEXAS, BUT
POSITION THE HIGH OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WHEN SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS IT 2-300 MILES FARTHER NORTH, CLOSE TO THE WASHINGTON-OREGON
BORDER. THIS VARIATION MAY ALLOW A WEAK SHORTWAVE DESCENDING AROUND
THE HIGH ALONG THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS TO PUSH A BIT FARTHER WEST TO
INCREASE THE CHANCES OF FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ON THE
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS TONIGHT, BUT THIS IS ABOUT THE LIMIT FOR
WEATHER EXCITEMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR COOL
MORNINGS AND WARM AFTERNOONS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED SNOW, THE WEATHER WILL BE DRY WITH
HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS TODAY THAT WILL SCATTER OUT BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE LIGHT AND
MOSTLY TERRAIN DRIVEN.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 341 PM MST MON JAN 12 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE WESTERN CONUS KEEPING US
UNDER DRY NORTHWEST FLOW. A FEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CARVE OUT THE MAIN TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US. EACH SYSTEM WILL
BRING THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
ALSO, WE WILL GET CLIPPED BY THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONTS CAUSING
TEMPERATURES TO DROP 5-10 WITH EACH PASSAGE. DESPITE THAT HIGHS STAY
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 415 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT TERRAIN
DRIVEN WINDS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
OVER THE NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 00Z AND 12Z, BUT NO
IMPACTS LIKELY AT TAF SITES.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DB
LONG TERM...KAA
AVIATION...DB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page