728  
FXUS65 KGJT 202352  
AFDGJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
552 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 218 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019  
 
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TRAVELING OVER EASTERN UT  
AND WESTERN CO TONIGHT. THIS IS LITTLE UPLIFT AND NOT MUCH LOWER  
LEVEL MOISTURE SO ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS SHOULD ACCOMPANY IT. THE  
NEXT LARGE PACIFIC TROUGH CONTINUES TO PRESENT A WEAKER SOLUTION  
IN THE MODELS. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND  
NORTHERN ROCKIES SUNDAY. IT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT  
SPLITS SUNDAY NIGHT.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 218 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019  
 
THE SOUTHERN COMPONENT OF THE SPLIT TROUGH CLOSES OFF AND TRAVELS  
SOUTH THRU EASTERN NV AND WESTERN UT TO WESTERN AZ BY MONDAY. AS  
IT DOES SO THE FORECAST AREA FINDS ITSELF UNDER AND SOMEWHAT  
AMBIGUOUS FLOW, VERY SIMILAR TO THE LAST SYSTEM THE MOVED THROUGH  
EARLIER THIS WEEK. SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL SMALL POCKETS OF  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL CONDITION OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY  
NIGHT. BY TUESDAY MORNING THE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST TO NM AND  
PRECIPITATION WILL MIGRATE EAST AS WELL, FOCUSING ON THE SOUTHWEST  
CO MOUNTAINS. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE  
MIDWEST TO WESTERN TX WITH RIDGING OVER THE AREA.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER WED. THROUGH FRI.  
THEN THE NEXT WEAK TROUGH WILL BREEZE THROUGH THE ARE SATURDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 550 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LAYERED MIDDLE  
CLOUD WILL CONTINUE WITH LOCAL ILS CEILINGS. A FEW SHOWERS  
ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING WEAK TROUGH WILL BRIEFLY OBSCURE  
MOUNTAIN TOPS THIS EVENING WITH ISOLATED WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS  
EXPECTED UNTIL 03Z. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
CO...NONE.  
UT...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...CC  
LONG TERM...CC  
AVIATION...TGJT  
 
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