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FXUS65 KGJT 202352
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
552 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 218 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TRAVELING OVER EASTERN UT
AND WESTERN CO TONIGHT. THIS IS LITTLE UPLIFT AND NOT MUCH LOWER
LEVEL MOISTURE SO ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS SHOULD ACCOMPANY IT. THE
NEXT LARGE PACIFIC TROUGH CONTINUES TO PRESENT A WEAKER SOLUTION
IN THE MODELS. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES SUNDAY. IT WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT
SPLITS SUNDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 218 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019
THE SOUTHERN COMPONENT OF THE SPLIT TROUGH CLOSES OFF AND TRAVELS
SOUTH THRU EASTERN NV AND WESTERN UT TO WESTERN AZ BY MONDAY. AS
IT DOES SO THE FORECAST AREA FINDS ITSELF UNDER AND SOMEWHAT
AMBIGUOUS FLOW, VERY SIMILAR TO THE LAST SYSTEM THE MOVED THROUGH
EARLIER THIS WEEK. SCATTERED PRECIPITATION WILL SMALL POCKETS OF
NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL CONDITION OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. BY TUESDAY MORNING THE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST TO NM AND
PRECIPITATION WILL MIGRATE EAST AS WELL, FOCUSING ON THE SOUTHWEST
CO MOUNTAINS. BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE
MIDWEST TO WESTERN TX WITH RIDGING OVER THE AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER WED. THROUGH FRI.
THEN THE NEXT WEAK TROUGH WILL BREEZE THROUGH THE ARE SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 550 PM MDT SAT APR 20 2019
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LAYERED MIDDLE
CLOUD WILL CONTINUE WITH LOCAL ILS CEILINGS. A FEW SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING WEAK TROUGH WILL BRIEFLY OBSCURE
MOUNTAIN TOPS THIS EVENING WITH ISOLATED WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 KTS
EXPECTED UNTIL 03Z. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CC
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...TGJT
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