789
FXUS65 KGJT 052326
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
526 PM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHT CHANCE (15-30%) FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR
THE DIVIDE TODAY AND SATURDAY.
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY.
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1158 AM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026
LINGERING MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR
AND ALONG THE DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TOMORROW. THESE
SHOWERS WILL HAVE BETTER CHANCES OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS THAN
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. ON SATURDAY, A DEEP LOW DROPS INTO THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST SETTING UP A LONGWAVE TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST
WITH RIDGING OVER THE PLAINS. THIS PATTERN PUTS THE REGION UNDER A
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. TODAY AND TOMORROW HIGHS WILL BE NEAR RECORD
VALUES, BUT THE TROUGH PUSHES THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES EAST OF
US BY SUNDAY. HIGHS COOL ABOUT FIVE DEGREES SUNDAY ONWARD, BUT
WE WILL STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. WITH THE HOT, AND EXTREMELY
DRY CONDITIONS, EXPECT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DAILY
FOR A GOOD MAJORITY OF THE AREA FROM SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
MID NEXT WEEK. IN GENERAL WIND GUSTS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
WILL BE 25-35 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 40 MPH. ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY 35-45 MPH. AS THAT TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
MOISTURE COULD ADVECT INTO THE AREA, WHICH MAY RESULT IN SHOWERS
AND STORMS. THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE TROUGH COULD STILL
CHANGE SO THE DETAILS ARE NOT CLEAR.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 519 PM MDT FRI JUN 5 2026
GUSTS OF 15-25 KTS ARE OCCURRING OVER KASE, KEGE, KRIL, KDRO,
AND KVEL AS OF NOW. THESE GUSTS MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1-3
HOURS BEFORE LIGHTER WINDS SETTLE IN OVERNIGHT. GUSTS OF 20-30
KTS PICK UP TOMORROW AFTERNOON FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1111 PM MDT MDT THU JUN 4 2026
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH
TUESDAY. IN GENERAL WIND GUSTS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE 25-35
MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 40 MPH. ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH GUSTS AROUND 35-45 MPH, AND
PERHAPS UPWARDS OF 50 MPH. THE COVERAGE OF RED FLAG WILL CHANGE
DAY TO DAY FOR A FEW ZONES BASED ON WIND SPEED AND RH INCREASING.
MOISTURE DOES INCREASE ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS A SYSTEM
PASSES TO OUR NORTH. THIS COULD RESULT IN SHOWERS AND STORMS,
BUT IT IS TOO FAR OUT FOR DETAILS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR COZ200-202-
203-207-290-292.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ200-202-
203-205-207-290>293.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR COZ200-202-203-205-207-290>293.
UT...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR UTZ486-487-
490-491.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR UTZ486-487-
490-491.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR UTZ486-487-490-491.
DISCUSSION...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
FIRE WEATHER...TGJT
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