659  
FXUS65 KGJT 251720  
AFDGJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
1120 AM MDT WED JUN 25 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED  
TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND  
LIGHTING.  
 
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
ISSUED AT 345 AM MDT WED JUN 25 2025  
 
A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TODAY  
PROVIDING A BOOST OF SYNOPTIC LIFT TO THE REGION, ESPECIALLY  
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. PWATS REMAIN  
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AT ~125% OF NORMAL, PROVIDING JUST ENOUGH  
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS  
TODAY. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND LIGHTNING WILL BE  
THE PRIMARY STORM THREATS. WHILE MOST OF THE DEVELOPMENT WILL  
REMAIN ANCHORED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN, THE PUSH OF SYNOPTIC LIFT  
COULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS TO  
MOVE OFF THE TERRAIN INTO ADJACENT VALLEYS. WETTING RAIN CHANCES  
ARE LOW (< 25%), BUT ANY PRECIPITATION IS WELCOMED AFTER LAST  
WEEK'S DRY SPELL.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 351 PM MDT TUE JUN 24 2025  
 
A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES BACK IN ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE ADVECTION  
DOES NOT LOOK TO RETURN TO OUR REGION UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS  
SUCH, PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN VERY LOW ACROSS THE AREA  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH MOISTURE PROGGED TO MOVE IN EARLY NEXT  
WEEK, AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE CHANCES WILL PICK BACK UP ON MONDAY  
AND BEYOND.  
 
DESPITE THE DRIER AIRMASS CAUSING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES DROPPING TO SINGLE DIGITS, CONCERNS ABOUT CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITONS ARE LIMITED THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST DUE  
TO WEAKER WINDS.  
 
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND  
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS BUILDING TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL  
BY FRIDAY. THE DESERT VALLEYS IN EASTERN UTAH WILL HAVE THE BEST  
CHANCE OF HITTING 100 DEGREES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1120 AM MDT WED JUN 25 2025  
 
VCTS/TSRA HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS, WITH SOME  
TEMPORARY FLIGHT CATEGORY RESTRICTIONS AT MOUNTAIN TERMINALS  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME CIG AND VIS DROPS WITH GUSTY  
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IF TSRA MOVES OVER TERMINAL. COVERAGE OF  
SHRA/TSRA WILL SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING, WITH PREVAILING VFR  
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF  
PERIOD.  
 
 
   
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
CO...NONE.  
UT...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...KAA  
LONG TERM...GF  
AVIATION...TGJT  
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