769
FXUS65 KPUB 230507
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1007 PM MST SUN FEB 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEK.
- MIDWEEK BRINGS FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE PLAINS.
- A PASSING WAVE WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TUES-
WEDS, WITH A BRIEF CHANCE FOR RAIN ON THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1206 PM MST SUN FEB 22 2026
THE REST OF TODAY WILL KICK OFF OR WARMING TREND. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN IN THE 40S-50S ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL ROLL IN TONIGHT, AND COUPLED WITH SOME
WESTERLY DOWNSLOPING ONTO I-25, LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT. TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS OVER
THE EASTERN PLAINS AND VALLEYS. THE MOUNTAINS/PLAINS INTERFACE WILL
LIKELY STAY IN THE MID-UPPER 20S, THANKS TO THE DOWNSLOPING.
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE ON MONDAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 60S OVER MOST OF THE PLAINS, AND 50S IN THE
VALLEYS. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS OUT EAST, THOUGH THE MOUNTAIN PEAKS
WILL START GETTING BREEZY LATER IN THE DAY AS FLOW ALOFT INCREASES
BENEATH THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1206 PM MST SUN FEB 22 2026
STRONGER NORTHWEST FLOW WILL MOVE IN OVER THE REGION ON TUESDAY,
WITH A STRONG JET MAXIMUM TO OUR NORTH. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE
OUT OF THE WEST, LEADING TO HIGH TEMPS IN THE 70S OUT EAST AS
ALONGSIDE AFTERNOON GUSTS. A FEW HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER PORTIONS OF I-25,
PARTICULARLY NEAR GAP FLOW AREAS. HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR THE SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR.
ON WEDNESDAY, A DISTURBANCE WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE SIMILAR TO TUESDAY, WITH STRONGER
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. MORE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS, MID-LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, RH IS A BIT
HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY, WHICH MAY PROVE TO BE A MITIGATING FACTOR.
MEANWHILE, THE WAVE WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS, WITH A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWEST-FACING
SLOPES. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SHORT WINDOW FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS
OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE/PIKES PEAK REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THOUGH THE
INCOMING SYSTEM LOOKS A BIT DRIER THAN IT DID YESTERDAY.
FINALLY, WARMER AND DRIER AGAIN LATER IN THE WEEK, WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING BACK IN OVER THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS AND FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY, WITH
MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASING HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1007 PM MST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE NEAR CERTAIN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT ALL
3 TAF SITES, KPUB, KALS AND KCOS. WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT AND
DIURNALLY DRIVEN.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ228>230.
SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...HODANISH
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