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FXUS65 KPUB 310539
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1039 PM MST TUE DEC 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
- PLAINS WILL REMAIN MILD AND DRY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 222 PM MST TUE DEC 30 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING IN ACROSS THE REGION INTO
WEDNESDAY, LEADING TO A CONTINUATION OF DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS
ACROSS SE COLORADO. TONIGHT, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AGAIN WITH LIGHT
WINDS, LEADING TO CHILLY LOWS IN THE TEENS-20S OVER MOST LOCATIONS.
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL HAVE STRONGER RADIATIONAL COOLING, DROPPING
BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN.
FOR WEDNESDAY, NOTABLY WARMER, WITH HIGHS IN THE HIGH-50S TO MID-
60S OUT EAST, WHILE THE SLV REMAINS IN THE HIGH-50S AND THE
MOUNTAINS GENERALLY SIT IN THE 30S. CLOUD COVER WILL START TO
INCREASE LATER IN THE DAY FROM THE WEST, BUT THE AREA IS STILL
EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 221 AM MST TUE DEC 30 2025
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WHILE
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO COLORADO. EXPECT AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER WAVE
APPROACHES. CURRENT GUIDANCE KEEP MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
DRY, WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE BY THURSDAY MORNING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MILD, WITH
MID TO UPPER 30S ALONG THE EASTERN MOUNTAIN LEE SLOPES, AND
LOWER 30S ON THE PLAINS.
SNOW WILL SPREAD ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. OVERALL, ENSEMBLES AND DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO COME IN WITH LESS ACCUMULATION, WITH ONLY AROUND 1
TO 3 INCHES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS
CONTINUE TO LOOK ACROSS THE SAN JUAN RANGE. WHILE IMPACTS LOOK
MINIMAL AT THIS TIME, ROADS OVER MOUNTAIN PASSES COULD BE SLICK
AT TIMES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL COME TO AN END
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, AS THE ENERGY SHIFTS EAST AND THE NEXT
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE PLAINS. SLIGHTLY ENHANCED
MIXING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER WAVE WILL HELP BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 60S ON THURSDAY. WHILE NOT OVERLY
WINDY, GAP WIND PRONE AREAS COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS TO NEAR 30 MPH. CONTINUED MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S ON THE PLAINS.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE BIGGEST CHANGES OCCURRED WITH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PREVIOUS GUIDANCE HAD ENHANCED
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS COLORADO, WITH A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
WINDS ON SATURDAY. THE 00Z GUIDANCE THIS EVENING NOW DEVELOPS A
BROAD RIDGE ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO OVER THE WEEKEND, SHIFTING
IT EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE BIGGEST
CHANGE IS LESS POTENTIAL FOR WIND, AND SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT TO
THE EAST, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SPREADING ACROSS COLORADO.
ENERGY IN THE FLOW LOOKS MINIMAL UNTIL MID WEEK, WITH CONTINUED
DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES DO LOOK TO COOL A FEW
DEGREES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, WITH 50S ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. MOZLEY
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1038 PM MST TUE DEC 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TAF SITES THE NEXT 24 HRS,
WITH LIGHT (LESS THAN 12 KTS) DIURNAL WIND CYCLE PERSISTING.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...PETERSEN
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