062
FXUS65 KPUB 081106
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
506 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER TEMPERATURES AND ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
RETURN INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1242 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING IN OVER OUR REGION, WITH BREEZY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SETTLING IN OVER SE COLORADO. HIGHS TODAY WILL
BE A BIT WARMER THAN YESTERDAY, WITH LOW-MID 70S OVER MOST AREAS.
OUTSIDE OF A FEW CLOUDS POPPING UP OVER THE MOUNTAINS, MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. THOUGH WE WILL BE WARM AND
DRY, RH WILL STILL REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH, AND WINDS SHOULD REMAIN WEAK
ENOUGH, TO NEGATE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR TODAY. TONIGHT WILL
BE CALM AND MILD, WITH LOWS IN THE 40S OVER THE PLAINS AND 30S IN
THE VALLEYS.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1242 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PASS OVER OUR AREA ON SATURDAY, SENDING A
WEAK FRONT SOUTH ACROSS OUR EASTERN PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM, WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S OUT
EAST, AND WINDS MAY PICK UP ENOUGH FOR SOME CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THANKFULLY, RECENT
MOISTURE HAS TAKEN FUELS OUT OF CRITICAL STATUS, SO NO HIGHLIGHTS
NEEDED AT THIS TIME. AS THE FRONT PASSES, LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT, SOME SHOWERS MAY POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
OUR AREA. HOWEVER, FORCING WITH THIS WAVE IS GENERALLY WEAK, AND
WITH SURFACE CONDITIONS SO DRY QPF LOOKS MINIMAL.
UPPER RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILD IN OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND
INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM, WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE 70S-80S, AND EVEN INTO THE 90S ON MONDAY. ANY
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION LOOK LOW UNTIL AT LEAST MIDWEEK, WITH SOME
MOISTURE HITTING THE MOUNTAINS BY ABOUT WEDS-THURS. OTHERWISE, THE
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE METEOROLOGICAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE UPPER ARKANSAS AND THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE. FUELS REMAIN NON-CRITCAL FOR NOW, BUT WILL NEED TO KEEP AN
EYE ON HOW THINGS DRY OUT OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR SO.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 505 AM MDT FRI MAY 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL THREE TAF SITES, KCOS, KPUB, AND
KALS, FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT AND EASTERLY
THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO BROKEN MIDDLE AND UPPER-
LEVEL CLOUDS PERSIST OFF AND ON THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS FROM VIRGA AND HIGH BASED SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON, MAINLY NEAR KCOS, BUT CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN
ANY TAF AT THIS TIME.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...EHR
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