790
FXUS65 KPUB 132310
AFDPUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
410 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WITH VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
ON THE PALMER DIVIDE, COOLER ON WEDNESDAY, WITH 40S AND 50S
FOR HIGHS.
- ANOTHER WARM UP FOR THURSDAY WITH A STRONGER BUT NOW DRY COLD FRONT
EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.
- CONTINUED COOL ESPECIALLY EASTERN AREAS FOR SAT THEN ANOTHER
GRADUAL WARMUP WITH CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 204 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
CURRENTLY...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER
SPREADING SOUTH ACROSS COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
HAVE WARMED NICELY WITH 50S TO LOWER 60S ACROSS THE PLAINS, AND
40S ACROSS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. OBSERVATIONS ON THE PALMER
DIVIDE HAVE SWITCHED NORTHERLY AS A COLD FRONT ARRIVES THIS
AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER LOW PATTERN WILL
FEATURE AND UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE MISSOURI VALLEY. THIS WILL PUT SOUTHERN COLORADO
UNDER NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
EMBEDDED UPPER WAVE IN THE FLOW WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST OUT OF
WYOMING AND INTO KANSAS OVERNIGHT. AN INITIAL COLD FRONT WILL
ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON, CLEARING THE PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING. AS
THE UPPER WAVE TRACKS TO THE EAST, ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR
WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A
FEW WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTS,
MAINLY ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO IS
GENERATING VERY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE LATE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME, LITTLE IF ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
FOR WEDNESDAY, THE UPPER WAVE CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEAST,
CLEARING DURING THE MORNING. WINDS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR WILL
SUBSIDE DURING THE MORNING, AND REMAIN WEAK NORTHERLY INTO THE
AFTERNOON. OUT NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER NEARER THE UPPER
SHORTWAVE, THE GRADIENT REMAIN TIGHT, AND WINDS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO GUST NEAR 25 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. ANY
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE SHOULD DISSIPATE
AROUND SUNRISE, WITH DRY CONDITIONS AREA WIDE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. AFTER A COLD MORNING STARTS IN THE 20S AND 30S ACROSS
THE PLAINS, TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S OVER
LOWER ELEVATIONS. MOZLEY
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 225 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
TEMPERATURES REBOUND SOME FOR THURSDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER IMPULSE
DIGGING DOWN THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE WESTERN U.S. UPPER RIDGE. THIS
WILL SEND A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA, CHILLING
TEMPERATURES DOWN FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR THE
EASTERN PLAINS. MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND OF KEEPING THE CORE
OF COLDER AIR FARTHER EAST, AND THE FRONT DRY AS IT MOVES THROUGH
THE PLAINS. THIS WILL MEAN HIGHS IN THE 40S ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS FOR BOTH DAYS WITH A SMALLER COOL DOWN FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS. TEMPERATURES REBOUND AGAIN FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY AS THE WESTERN U.S. UPPER
RIDGE EXPANDS BACK EASTWARD. -KT
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 410 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KALS THROUGH 24 HOURS WITH LIGHT
WINDS.
BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AT KCOS AND KPUB,
WITH COS GUSTING UP TO AROUND 20-25 KNOTS. LOW STRATUS IS ALSO
EXPECTED AT BOTH TERMINALS BETWEEN 10-12Z OR SO WEDNESDAY MORNING,
WITH MVFR CIGS FOR A FEW HOURS. VFR SHOULD RETURN TO BOTH TERMINALS
PRIOR TO 18Z.
PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MOZLEY
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
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