206
FNUS71 KBOX 161038
FWSBOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MASHPEE WMA RX FIRE...MASSWILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
538 AM EST THU NOV 16 2023
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON NOVEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN. WINDS WILL BE
AROUND 10KTS OUT OF THE WEST, BECOMING CALM THIS EVENING. SW WINDS
THEN INCREASE FRIDAY, 10-15 KTS GUSTING 15-20 KTS.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 PERCENT TODAY AND FROM
55 TO 65 PERCENT ON FRIDAY.
OUTLOOK...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE NEXT SYSTEM TAKES AIM AT THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. RAIN ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT AND ENDS SATURDAY EVENING.
WINDS BECOME GUSTY LATE SATURDAY. DRY, QUIET WEATHER RETURNS
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............43.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...58.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................6 TO 15 DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CEILING (KFT).......25.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 14 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 46 48 51 55 57 58 58 57 56 54 51
DEWPOINT........41 41 42 42 42 42 42 42 43 44 45 45
RH..............74 83 80 71 61 57 55 55 59 64 71 80
HEAT INDEX (F)..44 41 43 51 55 57 58 58 57 56 54 51
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 12 13 14 13 13 12 10 8 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 20 20 18 18 16 14 14 14 13 10
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
SURFACE WND SPD.12 10 12 13 14 13 13 12 10 8 7 5
SURFACE WND GST.22 21 20 20 18 18 16 14 14 14 13 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 10 8 7 5
LVORI...........3 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5
ADI.............10 11 15 15 15 14 15 14 8 6 3 2
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 3 2 2 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 7 4 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............43.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...39.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............9.
ADI.................1 TO 5.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 15.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........10 19 18 17 11 8 10 14 18 21 25 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 46 45 44 43 42 42 42 42 42 43 43
DEWPOINT........45 45 45 44 43 42 42 42 42 42 43 43
RH..............89 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
HEAT INDEX (F)..47 46 45 44 43 42 42 42 40 39 39 39
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 7 7 7 3 5 5 6 7 9 10
SURFACE WND DIR.W W SW SW S S S S S S S S
SURFACE WND SPD.3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 6 7
SURFACE WND GST.9 7 7 7 7 3 5 5 6 7 9 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 5 7 8 10
LVORI...........7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9
ADI.............2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 4 5
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 20 15 15
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45 INCREASING TO 51 THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...39.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................8 TO 16 INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CEILING (KFT).......14 DECREASING TO 11 EARLY, THEN DECREASING TO
7.0 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 4.0
INCREASING TO 4.5 DECREASING TO 3.5 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........33 30 42 50 57 62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 51 57 61 60 58
DEWPOINT........44 49 51 52 52 52
RH..............100 93 80 72 75 80
HEAT INDEX (F)..39 51 57 61 60 58
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 10 SW 14 SW 15 SW 16 S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 21 23 23 21
SURFACE WIND....S 8 S 10 SW 14 SW 15 SW 16 S 14
SURFACE WND GST.10 15 21 23 23 21
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 14 S 15 SW 16 SW 16 SW 15
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 3 4
ADI.............8 11 16 18 18 13
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 6 6 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
CEILING (KFT)...15 11 4.0 4.5 4.5 3.5
FORECASTER...BRW
REQUESTED BY...ALEX ENTRUP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2325401.0/BOX
.DELDT 11/16/23
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALEX.ENTRUP@MASS.GOV
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