273
FNUS71 KPHI 051001
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR LORD STIRLING RXB...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
501 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
MEANWHILE, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE LIFTING OFF THE COAST OF
THE CAROLINAS FURTHER OUT TO SEA. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO CROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. IN THE WAKE OF THAT
FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK,
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING OUR REGION
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (17300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ADI.................8 TO 23.
TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........15 69 83 83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10
TEMP............23 26 29 29
RH..............43 50 58 63
20 FT WIND......E 3 SE 5 E 3 E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 7
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2500 2200 1400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 SE 8 SE 6 E 6
ADI.............22 17 15 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 17 11 7
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO
6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................2 TO 3.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........81 89 96 94 91 90
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE SNOW NONE SNOW SNOW NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 20 10 20 20 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 10 20 20 10
TEMP............28 26 27 27 26 27
RH..............68 81 81 85 92 92
20 FT WIND......NE 2 SE 1 SE 1 S 1 S 1 S 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 2 2 2
MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 500 500 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 E 7 NE 6 NE 6 W 5 W 5
ADI.............3 3 3 3 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 3 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...DESILVA
REQUESTED BY...ERIC KELLY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527056.0/PHI
.DELDT 12/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.KELLY@DEP.NJ.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page