014  
FNUS71 KPHI 120809  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LPB UNIT 7...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
409 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TO OUR EAST TODAY. A SURFACE  
TROUGH ACROSS OUR AREA WEDNESDAY GIVES WAY TO A COLD FRONT SETTLING  
ACROSS OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THURSDAY. THE FRONT MAY  
STALL NEAR DELMARVA FRIDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING INTO SATURDAY. HIGH  
PRESSURE ARRIVES FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, THEN A COLD FRONT WILL  
APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO  
8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (30300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................7 TO 44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 10 9 15 23 28 29 27 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 75 78 80 82 82 82 82 81  
RH..............81 71 67 60 56 56 56 58 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW S S S S SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.9 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 8  
ADI.............7 14 18 24 35 37 36 41 44  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 12 16 24 26 25 29 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................3 TO 39.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 36 10 15 10 11 22 33 28 39 45 57  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 78 75 72 70 69 68 67 66 66 65 65  
RH..............62 67 74 81 87 90 97 97 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 8 7 9 9 8 9 8 8 7 7  
ADI.............39 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 16 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (27700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................3 TO 34.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........66 78 60 64 85 85  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............10 30 30 30 80 80  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 30 80 80  
TEMP............65 68 75 78 80 78  
RH..............100 100 84 76 72 74  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 S 2 S 5 S 6 S 6 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 200 1100 2500 3100 1800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 S 8 SW 10 SW 10  
ADI.............3 6 8 23 34 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 1 5 18 28 16  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...MPS  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2519735.0/PHI  
.DELDT 08/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PMCELHENNY@TNC.ORG  
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