489  
FNUS71 KPHI 211907  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MULLICA RIVER FIRE JUNE 21 PM...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
307 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EDT ON JUNE 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT  
WITH RH VALUES RECOVERING TO AROUND 90%. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL  
INCREASE ON WEDENSDAY TO AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES  
AROUND 70%. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE AS THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING PROGRESS ON WEDNESDAY, BECOMING LIKELY AFTER 4 PM. SKIES  
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND  
SHIFT MORE EASTERLY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14200 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................12 TO 14.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 83  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20  
LAL.............1 1  
TEMP............82 81  
RH..............41 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5  
ADI.............14 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 15  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT,  
THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................8 TO 29.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........86 86 89 88 88 87 83 84 83 83 81 78  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 20  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............79 77 73 70 68 68 67 67 66 65 65 64  
RH..............49 54 64 73 78 82 87 86 90 90 90 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 15 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 14 12 14 13 14 13 13 13 12  
ADI.............29 8 8 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 11 8 8 6 6 7 7 8 9 8 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 23 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................8 TO 46.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........79 78 67 71 72 75 77 82 83 84 84 84  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............64 66 68 72 72 75 76 77 77 77 76 75  
RH..............93 92 86 76 77 76 76 76 76 78 77 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 16 18 18 20 20 20 20 22 22 22 23  
ADI.............8 21 32 36 44 43 42 42 46 46 43 44  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 14 27 33 44 43 42 41 45 43 39 38  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...STAARMANN  
REQUESTED BY...NJFFS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2214007.1/PHI  
.DELDT 06/21/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EXCHF5200@AOL.COM  
 
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