985
FNUS72 KCAE 160820
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 74 RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
420 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON OCTOBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOME THIN FOG-STRATUS IS POSSIBLE AFTER 5AM DEPENDING ON TREE CANOPY,
WIND EXPOSURE AND NEARBY CREEKS. CURRENTLY ONLY SEEING FOG-STRATUS
ALONG CREEKS AND RIVERS WITH EXPOSED AREAS LIFTING TO STRATUS. ANY
FOG-STRATUS SHOULD REMAIN THIN AND CLEAR OUT QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.
OTHERWISE, WINDS DEVELOP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING,
SUSTAINED 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 14-18 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
PERIODIC MAX GUSTS UP TO 18-22 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THIS EVENING BEFORE ABRUPTLY
SHIFTING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND MIDNIGHT AS A STRONG FRONT
ROLLS THROUGH. GUSTS TO AROUND 25MPH LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING BEHIND THIS FRONT, STEADILY SHIFTING FROM NORTHWEST TO OUT
OF THE NORTH BY SUNRISE.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
LVORI...............8.
ADI.................4.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............64
RH..............97
APARNT TMP (F)..64
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND DIR..210
20 FT WIND SPD..2
20 FT WIND GUST.8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW
TRANSP WIND DIR.230
TRANSP WIND SPD.8
LVORI...........8
ADI.............4
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. 7 TO 10 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 116 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 14 13 13 10 4 6 10 7 7 17 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 63 62 67 73 77 81 83 84 85 86 85
RH..............97 100 100 93 79 69 60 55 51 48 46 46
APARNT TMP (F)..64 63 62 67 73 77 83 85 85 86 87 86
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..220 220 220 230 230 230 240 240 240 240 240 240
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 8 8 9 11 12 13 15 17 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 3.4 5.1 5.6 5.9 6.0 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.230 230 230 240 240 250 260 260 250 250 260 260
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 8 9 10 12 12 14 15 16 17 17
LVORI...........9 8 8 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 10 8 10 16 27 48 81 95 106 115 116
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH OVERNIGHT
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15 TO
16 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 TO 44.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........7 18 11 13 23 24 25 26 60 54 53 51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 80 75 74 74 73 72 71 70 69 67 65
RH..............49 58 69 69 69 71 71 71 71 68 68 68
APARNT TMP (F)..85 82 75 74 74 73 72 71 70 69 67 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND DIR..230 230 230 230 240 240 280 300 310 330 330 340
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 14 14 14 13 15 15 15 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW W W W NW NW NW N N N
TRANSP WIND DIR.260 250 240 250 250 260 300 310 310 340 340 350
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 10 12 10 13 13 16 15 15 16
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............44 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 11 17 17 18
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................18 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 88 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 41 42 31 40 38 27 23 24 41 33 15
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 61 59 59 60 61 62 63 65 64 65 64
RH..............70 70 72 75 72 67 62 58 52 52 52 50
APARNT TMP (F)..62 61 59 59 60 61 62 63 65 64 65 64
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND DIR..340 350 350 000 000 000 010 010 010 010 010 020
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 12 10 12 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.19 20 20 21 23 22 22 22 22 23 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.4 1.9 2.9 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.6 6.1 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NE NE N
TRANSP WIND DIR.350 000 010 010 020 020 020 020 020 030 030 020
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 21 23 23 21 21 20 18 20 18
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............18 45 42 65 77 86 81 84 82 80 88 81
FORECASTER...GROPP
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL HENDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623858.0/CAE
.DELDT 10/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.HENDERSON1@USDA.GOV
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