316  
FNUS72 KCAE 111656  
FWSCAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR USAF PLANNING...USAF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC  
1256 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED MOST OF THE AFTERNOON AS A FRONT  
APPROACHES AND PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING. MIN RH VALUES WILL LIKELY HANG OUT IN THE 38-45% RANGE  
THIS AFTERNOON WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 50S. RAIN CHANCES  
ARE RELATIVELY LOW; WE CAN'T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM  
NEAR THE FORECAST SITE BUT IT IS GENERALLY 30-40%. THE FRONT  
SHOULD FULLY PUSH THROUGH AFTER 8P, WITH TWO WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED.  
ONE WILL BE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE 2P-4P RANGE WHERE WINDS  
SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AND THEN ANOTHER IMMEDIATELY  
BEHIND THE FRONT AROUND 8P WHERE WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH AND  
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO  
15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................58 TO 86.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 67 61 59 59  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30  
TEMP............82 82 83 81 80  
RH..............53 51 49 53 54  
APARNT TMP (F)..83 83 84 82 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N  
20 FT WIND DIR..310 300 320 340 350  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.8 5.0 4.5 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND DIR.280 300 340 000 000  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 15 15  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............58 69 86 79 80  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................69 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........72 83 73 78 64 82 78 67 75 62 64 71  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 76 73 69 67 65 63 62 60 59 57 57  
RH..............54 58 64 70 73 75 78 78 81 83 86 83  
APARNT TMP (F)..79 76 73 69 67 65 63 62 60 59 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND DIR..010 020 030 030 030 040 040 040 040 040 040 040  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 14 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.1 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND DIR.020 030 040 040 040 040 050 040 040 050 030 030  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 18 16 17 17 16 14 14 13 13 12  
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
ADI.............69 22 12 14 12 12 11 9 9 8 8 8  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 77 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 60 52 54 30 32 31 16 19 3 6 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 55 57 60 65 68 70 72 73 75 76 76  
RH..............83 86 83 78 63 53 46 41 38 37 34 34  
APARNT TMP (F)..56 55 57 60 65 68 70 72 73 75 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..040 040 040 050 060 060 070 070 070 080 090 090  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.2 4.1 5.1 5.9 7.0 7.0 6.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND DIR.040 040 050 060 070 070 070 070 080 080 070 090  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 14 13 13 13 12 10 9 9 7  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 11 22 33 38 50 62 68 75 77 77 56  
 
 
FORECASTER...LARKIN  
REQUESTED BY...ZACH BROWN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613377.0/CAE  
.DELDT 05/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ZACHARY_BROWN@FWS.GOV  
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