203
FNUS72 KCAE 190910
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR CSNWR RX 02/19/2026...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
410 AM EST THU FEB 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO RAMP UP TODAY WITH MINIMUM RH
VALUES NEAR THE BURN SITE LIKELY REMAINING ABOVE 55%. AN AREA OF
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE IS CURRENTLY MOVING NEAR THE BURN SITE, BUT
SHOULD CLEAR IN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES REMAIN
THROUGH AT LEAST THE LATE MORNING BEFORE CLOUDS MAY SCATTER OUT A
BIT MORE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SPOTTY RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY, BUT THESE ARE EXPECTED TO
BE FAR AND FEW BETWEEN AND THE BETTER CHANCES REMAIN SOUTH OF THE
BURN SITE. WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AROUND 7-12 MPH
AFTER THE INVERSION BREAKS BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON WHERE GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH ARE EXPECTED. A FEW GUSTS NEARING 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY BETWEEN 1 PM AND 4 PM, BUT THESE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE FREQUENT.
LOW CLOUDS MOVES BACK IN TONIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT NEARS, BUT LITTLE FOG
IS EXPECTED NEAR THE SITE DUE TO ELEVATED NEAR SURFACE WINDS. THIS FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY, BRINGING RAIN
CHANCES MAINLY DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS WITH BREEZY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 88 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91 88 81 75 77 67 54 43 40 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 62 64 67 70 72 74 75 76 74
RH..............96 90 87 81 73 68 61 59 58 59
APARNT TMP (F)..58 62 64 67 70 72 74 75 76 74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..210 220 220 220 220 230 230 230 220 220
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 10 12 13 13 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.9 4.2 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND DIR.220 240 240 240 240 230 230 230 230 230
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 18 18 18 21 22 23 23 20
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............13 28 41 48 52 65 76 85 88 58
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 TO 14.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........32 31 34 49 48 43 60 60 64 66 79 72
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............71 70 67 65 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 63
RH..............68 72 81 87 84 87 90 90 91 91 95 97
APARNT TMP (F)..71 70 67 65 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND DIR..220 220 220 220 220 220 210 210 210 210 220 220
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 13 13 13 14 15 15 16 17 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND DIR.220 220 220 230 220 220 220 210 220 220 220 220
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 15 13 13 13 13 15 14 16 16
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
ADI.............7 7 7 10 8 8 8 8 13 12 14 14
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 24
TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................25 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 123 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........77 79 76 78 80 76 72 68 63 59 54 54
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............64 64 64 67 70 73 75 77 78 79 79 77
RH..............95 98 95 89 81 74 67 60 53 47 43 43
APARNT TMP (F)..64 64 64 67 70 73 75 77 78 80 80 77
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..220 220 220 230 230 230 240 240 240 250 250 250
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 13 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 22 23 23 23 23 23 22 21 20 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.6 4.6 5.6 5.9 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.230 220 230 240 240 240 250 250 250 260 260 260
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 20 23 26 29 30 30 30 30 28 24
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............25 26 38 52 66 73 77 79 89 96 123 94
FORECASTER...HICKOK
REQUESTED BY...DERRICK ODEGARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603152.0/CAE
.DELDT 02/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DERRICK_ODEGARD@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page