950  
FNUS72 KCAE 150822  
FWSCAE  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ENOREE C-148 BLOCKS 8&4...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC  
422 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A STRAY SHOWER CANNOT BE RULED OUT NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING,  
BUT MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS PICK  
UP TO 7-10 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 9-11 AM WHERE A COUPLE  
GUSTS NEAR 15 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT, BUT STRONGER GUSTS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO AROUND 55-65%  
AS MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE IN ON  
MONDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  
AFTER 1-3 PM THIS AFTERNOON, CONTINUING UNTIL AROUND 6-8 PM THIS EVENING.  
TONIGHT, WINDS TURN A BIT MORE SOUTHERLY, BUT REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH BEFORE  
THE STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES IN MONDAY WITH STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  
EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL  
ALSO BRING STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT COULD GUST TO 35-40 MPH MONDAY  
MORNING BEFORE TURNING OUT OF THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY EVENING,  
SLIGHTLY WEAKENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 68 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 76 65 53 50 68 69 73 68 81  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 20 40 50 50 30  
TEMP............50 53 60 65 68 70 72 72 72 73  
RH..............93 89 81 73 68 66 64 64 66 66  
APARNT TMP (F)..50 53 60 65 68 70 72 72 72 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE E  
20 FT WIND DIR..060 070 100 110 120 120 120 120 120 110  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 6 6 7 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 10 12 14 15 16 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND DIR.100 110 120 120 130 130 140 140 130 120  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 14 17 16 16 17 15 13  
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3  
ADI.............8 9 23 42 67 65 68 66 51 38  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................4 TO 28.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........72 74 67 71 72 74 74 64 79 80 81 82  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 30 30 10 0 10 10 20 40 40 10  
TEMP............72 70 68 65 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 62  
RH..............68 73 78 90 97 93 93 93 93 97 97 100  
APARNT TMP (F)..72 70 68 65 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND DIR..110 130 130 140 160 170 170 180 180 190 190 190  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 9 10 12 13 15 16 17 20 20 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S SW S  
TRANSP WIND DIR.130 140 160 160 170 180 180 180 200 190 210 200  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 10 10 14 14 16 17 16 16 17  
LVORI...........3 3 4 6 6 6 6 5 5 7 7 7  
ADI.............28 8 4 5 7 9 9 11 12 11 11 12  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 14  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................22 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 81 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 76 97 97 97 97 97 97 91 84 77 70  
WEATHER COV..... CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............59 64 64 65 66 68 66 66 61 58 57 54  
RH..............100 93 93 90 87 81 84 78 78 77 72 66  
APARNT TMP (F)..59 64 64 65 66 68 66 66 61 58 57 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND DIR..190 190 190 190 200 220 230 240 240 240 250 250  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 12 13 14 16 16 16 16 16 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 28 29 30 31 32 32 32 32 33 33  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 200 200 200 220 230 230 240 240 250 260 270  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 22 21 25 26 26 26 26 26 28 29 29  
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............22 49 54 73 81 63 65 67 68 74 80 81  
 
 
FORECASTER...HICKOK  
REQUESTED BY...TODD BENNETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605813.0/CAE  
.DELDT 03/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFERY.BENNETT@USDA.GOV  
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