233
FNUS72 KCAE 061621
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR PLANNING FORECAST CSP-C3-7...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1221 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY DRY AS A QUICK MOVING
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WORKS IN. WINDS IN THE MORNING
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 4-7 MPH OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
BUT AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF THE COAST, SHOULD BECOME
INCREASINGLY EASTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND FINALLY
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE EVENING. MINIMUM RH VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO 30-38% DURING THE AFTERNOON.
A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM COULD BRING AN ISOLATED SHOWER
NEAR THE BURN SITE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS GREATER SOUTH OF THE
BURN SITE AND ANY RAIN AMOUNTS SHOULD BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE.
IN TERMS OF WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES, AFTER ANY ISOLATED
SHOWERS MOVE OUT SATURDAY MORNING, DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY WITH 6-10 MPH SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS. THE NEXT MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCE COMES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON, CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................27 TO 62.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 57 51 48 45 42 46 50 54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 60 64 67 69 70 72 73 73
RH..............80 67 56 49 44 42 39 38 40
APARNT TMP (F)..56 60 64 67 69 70 72 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E S S
20 FT WIND DIR..030 040 040 050 070 080 110 160 180
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.8 3.6 4.4 5.3 5.9 6.6 6.8 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND DIR.050 050 050 100 190 230 230 220 210
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 8 6 5 6 7 8
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............27 37 42 45 38 33 46 57 62
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 TO 40.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........53 52 60 65 68 72
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 30 30
TEMP............72 67 63 59 58 57
RH..............43 56 65 78 83 90
APARNT TMP (F)..72 67 63 59 58 57
20 FT WIND......S 1 N 0 SE 1 S 1 S 1 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..180 000 150 160 170 180
MIX HGT (FT)....4600 400 300 500 600 600
TRANSP WIND DIR.200 180 170 170 180 180
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 6 S 8 S 10 S 10 S 9
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 6
ADI.............40 3 4 5 5 4
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16
TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
ADI.................4 TO 8 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........68 56 56 36
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 10
TEMP............57 63 74 79
RH..............93 84 59 47
APARNT TMP (F)..57 63 74 79
20 FT WIND......S 2G5 SW 3G5 SW 6G9 SW 6G12
20 FT WIND DIR..190 210 230 240
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1700 4200 6000
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 220 240 250
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SW 12 SW 16 W 17
LVORI...........6 M M M
ADI.............4 M M M
FORECASTER...HICKOK
REQUESTED BY...CHELSEA MACKENZIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612928.0/CAE
.DELDT 05/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL C.F.MACKENZIE@TNC.ORG
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