986
FNUS72 KCAE 200925
FWSCAE
SPOT FORECAST FOR CSNWR RX 02/20/2026...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
425 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WITH A FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA, A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE
AROUND THIS MORNING, FROM IGNITION TIME THROUGH 10AM, ALONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 25-30 MPH. A BROKEN LINE
OF SHOWERS, AND MAYBE A WEAK THUNDERSTORM, IS THEN EXPECTED BETWEEN
10AM-1PM. RAIN CHANCES ARE AROUND 50% BUT WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THIS
LINE APPROACHES REGARDLESS, WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 30 MPH LIKELY. WINDS
WILL THEN TURN WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY BEHIND THIS LINE FOR THE AFTERNOON,
BUT GUSTS WILL STEADILY WEAKEN INTO THE EVENING. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY
JUST BARELY MAKE IT TO THE BURN SITE IN THE AFTERNOON, SO RH'S SHOULD
DIP DOWN TO AROUND 40% BY THE EVENING. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED INTO
SATURDAY MORNING ALONG WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN MOVING IN OVERNIGHT
THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY.
SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING, BUT THIS
IS DUE TO SOME RAIN SHOWERS AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE DENSE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................32 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 97 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........82 77 76 67 66 59 37 38 26 24
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 40 30 10 20 10 0 0 0
TEMP............65 68 70 73 74 78 79 79 81 78
RH..............98 93 87 79 71 61 52 46 40 38
APARNT TMP (F)..65 68 70 73 74 78 80 80 80 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND DIR..220 230 230 240 250 250 250 260 260 260
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.29 31 32 31 29 26 25 23 22 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND DIR.230 230 240 240 250 260 270 270 270 270
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 24 25 26 24 22 23 24 23 16
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............32 54 61 65 61 60 66 73 97 44
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 TO 6.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 27 21 28 28 48 56 63 69 60 59 75
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 30
TEMP............75 71 67 65 63 62 61 61 60 59 58 57
RH..............40 43 49 48 50 54 53 53 58 60 62 68
APARNT TMP (F)..75 71 67 65 63 62 61 61 60 59 58 57
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W NW
20 FT WIND DIR..250 260 260 260 250 260 270 260 260 270 290 300
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND DIR.260 260 260 260 260 270 270 280 280 280 290 310
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 13 12 12 12 12 9 8 8 6 3
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
ADI.............6 5 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO
12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 TO 22.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 84 85 88 90 90 91 91 91 90 90 87
WEATHER COV.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 80 80 80 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70
TEMP............57 57 55 57 60 61 62 62 63 63 63 61
RH..............68 68 76 75 69 67 64 63 61 61 63 67
APARNT TMP (F)..57 57 55 57 60 61 62 62 63 63 63 61
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND DIR..320 330 030 030 030 040 050 060 060 060 060 060
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND DIR.320 330 050 050 050 060 080 090 090 080 080 080
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 12
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3
ADI.............4 5 5 5 5 9 15 19 21 22 19 17
FORECASTER...GROPP
REQUESTED BY...DERRICK ODEGARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603261.0/CAE
.DELDT 02/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DERRICK_ODEGARD@FWS.GOV
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