708  
FNUS72 KCHS 060844  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR C16 SILV...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
444 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TODAY. A SEA BREEZE SHOULD  
ARRIVE TO THE BURN SITE LATE AFTERNOON, GENERALLY BETWEEN 4-5 PM.  
AN UPTICK IN WINDS IS ANTICIPATED WITH THE SEA BREEZE (14-18 MPH).  
WIND DIRECTION SHOULD BECOME PRIMARILY SOUTH/SOUTH-SOUTHEAST FOLLOWING  
THE SEA BREEZE. SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 MPH SHOULD PREVAIL  
THROUGH TONIGHT WHILE INCREASING RAIN CHANCES OCCUR AROUND DAYBREAK  
THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THURSDAY  
AHEAD OF AND DURING A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............117.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 26 43 55 57 44 48 36 32  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 74 77 80 83 85 85 86 85  
RH..............81 71 64 58 53 48 48 46 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 14 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.5 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.6 5.6 5.6 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............35 51 67 82 100 110 110 117 105  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MAX LVORI...........5.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....2000  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........39 37 38 68 84 93  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............83 76 73 72 71 69  
RH..............55 66 73 73 76 81  
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 16 16 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 600 600 500 600 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 14 S 6 S 4 S 4 SW 4  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 4 5  
ADI.............1 3 3 3 4 3  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............54.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........95 80 87  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 80  
TEMP............67 71 75  
RH..............87 90 82  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G13 SW 4G14 SW 6G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1900 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 4 SW 14 SW 16  
LVORI...........5 4 3  
ADI.............5 31 47  
 
 
FORECASTER...BERRY  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WETZEL-WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612815.0/CHS  
.DELDT 05/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WETZELWILSON@USDA.GOV,WILLIAM.MCCANN@USDA.GOV  
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