470  
FNUS72 KCHS 270829  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR C162A SC-FMNF...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
429 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY AND THURSDAY.  
A SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT OVER THE BURN SITE THIS  
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE  
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE. SOME OF  
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BEFORE THE STORMS, HEAT  
INDEX IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 100 DEGREES. SOUTH WINDS OVERNIGHT  
SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 3 TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT, LIMITING FOG DEVELOPMENT.  
HOWEVER, IF WINDS BECOME VERY LIGHT, SHALLOW FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER  
WET GROUND. CONDITIONS LOOK VERY SIMILAR ON THURSDAY.  
 
A COLD FRONT COULD PUSH INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT, REMAINING  
GENERALLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, CONTINUING HIGH-END  
RAIN CHANCES.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............78.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 80 66 60 56 58 65 70 71  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 20 30 40 50 60 60  
TEMP............79 84 86 87 88 88 88 89 87  
RH..............91 77 72 70 68 70 70 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.1 3.8 3.0 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 16 16 16 16 16 16  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 1 3 3 1 1  
ADI.............53 54 59 62 75 78 73 59 52  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX LVORI...........7.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....2000  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........63 47 66 63 57 72  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............86 81 79 78 77 75  
RH..............70 82 85 85 87 90  
20 FT WIND......SW 5 S 4 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 800 600 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 10 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4  
LVORI...........4 5 5 5 6 7  
ADI.............1 3 2 2 2 2  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............70.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........63 54 30 81  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 50  
TEMP............74 78 87 89  
RH..............87 91 68 64  
20 FT WIND......SW 2G11 W 3G11 W 6G11 W 9G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 4500 2400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 4 W 12 W 12 W 10  
LVORI...........6 4 1 1  
ADI.............3 25 61 32  
 
 
FORECASTER...DIXON  
REQUESTED BY...BEN KUHN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614497.0/CHS  
.DELDT 05/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.KUHN@USDA.GOV,KELLY.WETZELWILSON@USDA.GOV  
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