012  
FNUS72 KCHS 140807  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAIRLAWN B1 - BU2...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
407 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING AROUND 8  
AM. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW. WINDS THIS  
AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 10 KNOTS, WITH GUSTS INTO THE  
UPPER TEENS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP TO  
NEAR CRITICAL VALUES, AROUND 30%. RH VALUES COULD DROP AS LOW AS  
25% FOR A BRIEF MOMENT THIS AFTERNOON. NO SEABREEZE IS FORECAST  
THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THROUGH THE DAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............131.  
INVERSION END.......0900.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 73 76 79 81 81 82 82 82  
RH..............78 62 52 44 38 35 33 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 11 13 13 14 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.5 3.4 4.8 6.4 6.6 6.9 7.1 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 14 14 16 16 16  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............31 40 52 77 105 108 120 131 116  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MAX LVORI...........3.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....2000.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........2 3 2 2 3 3  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 74 66 62 58 56  
RH..............34 41 50 54 59 64  
20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 9 9 9 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 600 400 400 500 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 10 N 2 N 2 N 2 N 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............1 2 1 1 2 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............44.  
INVERSION END.......0900.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........3 1 1 3  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 62 75 80  
RH..............66 60 38 34  
20 FT WIND......N 3G11 N 3G9 N 2G7 SW 1G7  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2300 4700 5600  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 4 N 10 NW 6 W 6  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 35 41 39  
 

 
FORECASTER...MASKELL  
REQUESTED BY...CHELSEA MACKENZIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613588.0/CHS  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL C.F.MACKENZIE@TNC.ORG  
 
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