551
FNUS72 KCHS 150828
FWSCHS
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMF C151...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
428 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING, BRINGING
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE THE FRONT
LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON, THE COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DECREASE. WINDS WILL BE MORE EASTERLY UNTIL
THE FRONT PASSES, THEN WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND BREEZY FOR THE
AFTERNOON. WHILE THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM TODAY, THERE WILL BE A GREATER POTENTIAL MONDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 16
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 16 MPH.
MAX ADI.............37.
INVERSION END.......1000.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78 68 63 55 63 57 41 52
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 50 40 30 50 30 20 20
TEMP............66 69 71 71 72 73 73 74
RH..............90 87 81 81 81 80 79 78
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 16 16 16 16 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............31 34 33 29 27 33 37 33
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MAX LVORI...........9.
MIN ADI.............1.
INVERSION BEGIN.....1900.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........51 54 65 75 85 73
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 20 50 40
TEMP............72 69 66 66 66 64
RH..............81 92 97 100 97 100
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 6 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 13 16 18 20
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 700 900 800 1000 1100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 8 S 6 S 10 S 10 S 16
LVORI...........6 7 8 9 6 5
ADI.............1 2 4 5 9 13
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
DAY. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 27 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............75.
INVERSION END.......0600.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........76 90 90 98
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 80 80 100
TEMP............63 64 72 72
RH..............100 100 86 83
20 FT WIND......S 8G20 S 12G23 S 15G25 SW 16G27
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2200 2700 2800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SW 22 SW 30 SW 30
LVORI...........5 4 4 4
ADI.............26 40 66 73
FORECASTER...HOLLOWAY
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LESLIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605795.0/CHS
.DELDT 03/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.C.LESLIE@USDA.GOV
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