309  
FNUS72 KCHS 210951  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NS-20...DOD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
451 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY INTO  
TONIGHT BEFORE PUSHING OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST  
SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAINS TO REGION.  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM  
0.75-1.25 INCHES. THERE IS A RISK FOR A STRONG AND/OR SEVERE  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IMPACTING THE SPOT LOCATION THIS AFTERNOON  
INTO EARLY EVENING AS WELL. DRIER AND COLDER CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE  
REGION.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............23.  
INVERSION END.......1100  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 80 81 68 74 79 84 86 84 89  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 40 30 30 40 50 70 80  
TEMP............64 66 67 68 70 71 71 71 68 67  
RH..............100 97 90 90 81 79 79 79 84 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..W N NE E E E E E E NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N N N NE NE NE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.4 8 8 8 14 14 14 10 10 10  
LVORI...........9 7 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI.............3 5 10 21 23 22 21 16 16 12  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MAX LVORI...........10.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....1800  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........95 92 93 92 95 94  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 60 70 90 70  
TEMP............65 60 58 58 58 56  
RH..............84 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND......E 3 E 2 N 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 5 4 5 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 800 600 500 800 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 4 E 4 E 2 NW 2 NW 2 NW 4  
LVORI...........5 10 10 10 10 10  
ADI.............4 1 1 1 1 2  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST  
AROUND 34 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............124.  
INVERSION END.......0800  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........95 77 66 33  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 50 50 20  
TEMP............56 58 60 57  
RH..............100 90 75 59  
20 FT WIND......W 4G9 NW 8G16 NW 12G22 NW 13G23  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1600 3900 6200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NW 22 NW 30 NW 34  
LVORI...........9 4 3 1  
ADI.............5 29 72 119  
 
 
FORECASTER...BERRY  
REQUESTED BY...AARON MURDOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603369.0/CHS  
.DELDT 02/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AARON.MURDOCK@USDA.GOV,ZACHARY_BROWN@FWS.GOV  
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