624  
FNUS72 KCHS 261847  
FWSCHS  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FMF C73 PLANNING...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
247 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AT THE BURN SITE: PERSISTENT LIGHT S TO SW WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT, BECOMING  
BREEZY WEDNESDAY, WITH FOG UNLIKELY AND MODERATE TO GOOD DISPERSION  
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SEA-BREEZE WILL LIKELY BE POORLY DEFINED  
WEDNESDAY GIVEN THE PERSISTENTLY S/SW WINDS. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS AT  
THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY MORNING, STORMS MOST LIKELY INITIATING VERY NEAR  
OR OVER THE BURN SITE MIDDAY.  
 
LIGHTER WINDS AND LESS VENTILATION EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY  
MORNING, WITH THE THREAT FOR FOG REMAINING LOW.  
 
BIG PICTURE: WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH  
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT ROUNDS OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING HOURS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. A COLD FRONT COULD PUSH INTO  
THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING, REMAINING GENERALLY STATIONARY THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND, CONTINUING HIGH-END RAIN CHANCES.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH  
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT ROUNDS OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING HOURS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. A COLD FRONT COULD PUSH INTO  
THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING, REMAINING GENERALLY STATIONARY THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND, CONTINUING HIGH-END RAIN CHANCES.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MAX ADI.............61.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 54 51 55 71 72 67 65  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 60 60 30 40  
TEMP............83 84 86 87 87 87 88 86  
RH..............77 74 70 68 65 65 63 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 13 13 13 13 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.4 3.2 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 14 14 14 12 12 12  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 3  
ADI.............49 54 53 61 59 52 47 35  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MAX LVORI...........7.  
MIN ADI.............1.  
INVERSION BEGIN.....2000  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........70 74 68 60  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0  
TEMP............85 80 77 75  
RH..............70 77 82 84  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G11 S 2G11 SW 2G11 SW 2G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 600 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2  
LVORI...........4 4 6 6  
ADI.............1 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 12 TO 14 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX ADI.............95.  
INVERSION END.......0900  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........39 21 46 73  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 60  
TEMP............72 77 88 91  
RH..............87 87 61 54  
20 FT WIND......SW 2G9 W 3G11 W 4G13 W 3G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1800 4500 5200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2 W 12 W 14 W 12  
LVORI...........6 4 1 1  
ADI.............2 26 73 82  
 
 
FORECASTER...BARNES  
REQUESTED BY...KELLY WETZEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614465.0/CHS  
.DELDT 05/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KELLY.WETZELWILSON@USDA.GOV  
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